Download or read book Does Meeting Expectations Matter Evidence from Analyst Forecast Revisions and Share Prices written by Ron Kasznik and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates w ...
Download or read book Management Earnings Forecasts and Value of Analyst Forecast Revisions written by Yongtae Kim and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the stock-price reactions to analyst forecast revisions around earnings announcements to test whether pre-announcement forecasts reflect analysts' private information or piggybacking on confounding events and news. We find that management earnings forecasts influence the timing and precision of analyst forecasts. More importantly, evidence suggests that prior studies' finding of weaker (stronger) stock-price responses to forecast revisions in the period immediately after (before) the prior-quarter earnings announcement disappears once management earnings forecasts are controlled for. To the extent that management earnings forecasts are public disclosures, our results suggest that the importance of analysts' information discovery role documented in prior studies is likely to be overstated.
Download or read book The Value of Analyst Forecast Revisions written by Kanyuan Huang and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the information contained in analyst forecast revisions following earnings announcements. I find that sorting firms on aggregated forecast revisions generates a much stronger post-earnings-announcement drift than sorting on measures of earnings surprises. The strong association between aggregated forecast revisions and post-earnings-announcement returns is driven by the subsample of firms with large-magnitude earnings surprises. This result is consistent with analysts' roles in interpreting corporate earnings. Further, the mispricing is the strongest when forecast revisions contradict earnings surprises, suggesting investors have difficulties in processing contradictory signals. Lastly, I document aggregated forecast revisions are more informative when the information environment around earnings announcements is more opaque, when firms have high accruals and when investors do not pay attention to the firm. They are less informative when analysts disagree with each other. Overall, these results point to the value of analyst forecast revisions following earnings announcements.
Download or read book The Magnitude and Timing of Analyst Forecast Response to Quarterly Earnings Announcements written by Lise Newman Graham and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Earnings Expectations in the COVID Crisis written by Augustin Landier and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze firm-level analyst forecasts during the COVID crisis. First, we describe expectations dynamics about future corporate earnings. Downward revisions have been sharp, mostly focused on 2020, 2021 and 2022, but much less drastic than the lower bound estimated by Gormsen and Koijen (2020). Analyst forecasts do not exhibit evidence of over-reaction: As of mid-May, forecasts over 2020 earnings have progressively been reduced by 16%. Longer-run forecasts, as well as expected "Long-Term Growth" have reacted much less than short-run forecasts, and feature less disagreement. Second, we ask how much discount rate changes explain market dynamics, in an exercise similar to Shiller (1981). Given forecast revisions and price movements, we estimate an implicit discount rate going from 10% in mid-February, to 13% at the end of March, back down to their initial level in mid-May. We then decompose discount rate changes into three factors: changes in unlevered asset risk premium (0%), increased leverage (+1%) and interest rate reduction (-1%). Overall, analyst forecast revisions explain all of the decrease in equity values between January 2020 and mid May 2020, but they do not explain shorter term movements.
Download or read book The Impact of the Global Settlement written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Predictability of Analyst Forecast Revisions written by Michael J. Jung and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most prevalent forecasts of firms' long-term earnings issued by analysts are two-year-ahead earnings per share (EPS) estimates. When introduced by analysts, two-year-ahead EPS estimates set market expectations for firms' future earnings. Subsequent revisions to these estimates are highly correlated with contemporaneous changes in stock prices. We examine whether such revisions are sufficiently predictable to enable investors to earn abnormal returns on hedged portfolios. We find that analyst forecast revisions are predictable and document an implementable strategy for investors. Consistent with investors' fixation on unscaled EPS, the strategy earns positive abnormal returns using unscaled EPS revisions but not when revisions are scaled by the level of the EPS estimate or the stock price. Abnormal returns are found for firms with low analyst coverage, consistent with a greater initial mispricing from analyst optimism for firms with poorer information environments.
Download or read book Why Do Analysts Issue Forecast Revisions Inconsistent with Prior Stock Returns Determinants and Consequences written by Xiaobo Dong and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the informativeness of analyst forecast revisions that are directionally inconsistent with prior stock price movements (sign-inconsistent revisions). Sign-inconsistent revisions represent approximately one-half of the forecast revisions from 1995 through 2010. Our tests indicate that sign-inconsistent revisions are less informative than are sign-consistent revisions. Sign-inconsistent revisions are less likely to be closer to actual earnings realizations and they generate smaller stock price reactions. We also find evidence that sign-inconsistent revisions are associated with analysts' economic incentives to generate trading volume and their behavioral limitations related to information uncertainty. These results suggest that sign-inconsistent revisions do not necessarily benefit investors.
Download or read book Focus on Finance and Accounting Research written by Michael H. Neelan and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2007 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Preface; The Role of Revenues and Costs in CEO Compensation; The Importance of Intellectual Capital Reporting: Perspectives from Finance Professionals; Has Regulation Changed the Market's Reward for Meeting or Beating Expectations?; Reaction of the Brazilian Stock Market to Positive and Negative Shocks; Earnings Management to Meet Earnings Benchmarks: Evidence from Japan; Audit in Ukraine; Auditor Reputation and Auditor Independence: Evidence from an Emerging Market; Trends of the Returns-Earnings Associations Over the Last Three Decades; Managers' Discretionary Behaviour, Earnings Management and Corporate Governance: An Empirical International Analysis; Index.
Download or read book International Perspectives on Accounting and Corporate Behavior written by Kunio Ito and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the globalization of accounting standards occurring through convergence to International Financial Reporting Standards, local accounting systems are deeply intertwined with each country’s unique institutions such as its corporate system, disclosure practices and enforcement mechanisms. First, this book empirically analyzes the effects of globalization and localization of accounting rules on corporate behavior such as earnings management, signaling, investment behavior and dividend payout policy. Second, the book unravels the economic consequences of disclosure based on the concept of self-disciplining enforcement such as management forecasts, environmental disclosures and risk disclosures by Japanese firms. This volume is a step forward in understanding the link between accounting and corporate behavior based on a new institutional accounting approach.
Download or read book The Effect of Meeting Analyst Forecasts and Systematic Positive Forecast Errors on the Information Content of Unexpected Earnings written by Thomas J. Lopez and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on two distinct, but related, issues with respect to managers' incentives to report earnings that meet or exceed analysts' expectations. First, we assess the differential stock price sensitivity to earnings that meet or exceed analysts' expectations compared to those that do not. Second, we examine whether the market implicitly revises analysts' earnings forecasts for firms that systematically report earnings that exceed forecasts. We find that the earnings response coefficient (ERC) is significantly higher for firms that meet analysts' forecasts. Additionally, we find that the market recognizes and adjusts the forecast error of firms that exhibit a systematic pattern of reporting positive or negative unexpected earnings. The market fully adjusts for the systematic component of the forecast error when it is negative; however, only a partial adjustment is made when the systematic component is positive. Overall, our evidence suggests that managers who try to report earnings that meet analysts' forecasts are responding to two market incentives. First, the market provides a premium to positive forecast errors and assigns a higher multiple to the level of positive unexpected earnings. Second, though the market recognizes systematic bias in analysts' forecasts, it does not fully adjust for systematically positive forecast errors. Our evidence provides, at a minimum, a partial explanation for managers' fixation on reporting positive unexpected earnings.
Download or read book Conflicts of Interest written by Luc Thévenoz and published by Kluwer Law International B.V.. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Conflicts of interest arise naturally in all walks of life, particularly in business life. As general and indeed inevitable phenomena, conflicts of interest should not be prohibited but properly managed. This book presents indepth analysis of such management in three areas of corporate governance where the conflict-of-interest problems are particularly acute: executive compensation, financial analysis, and asset management. ""Conflicts of Interest"" presents the results of a two-year-long research project bringing together academics and practitioners in both law and finance from Europe and the.
Download or read book A Research Agenda for Mergers and Acquisitions written by David R. King and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-05-02 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Research Agenda poses unique questions and perspectives on how to generate impactful research on mergers and acquisitions. Bringing together a mix of established and emerging scholars, it outlines how future research in the field can enable managers to make better decisions and improve mergers and acquisition success.
Download or read book Handbook of Corporate Finance written by David J. Denis and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-02-12 with total page 709 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Expertly surveying the realm of corporate finance, this adroitly-crafted Handbook offers a wealth of conceptual analysis and comprehensively outlines recent scholarly research and developments within the field. It not only delves into the theoretical dimensions of corporate finance, but also explores its practical implications, thereby bridging the gap between these distinct strands.
Download or read book The Speed With Which Analysts Incorporate Firm Specific and Industry Information in Their Forecasts written by Sami Keskek and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We separate analyst forecast revisions into components representing industry-wide and firm-specific news. Using the relation between analyst forecast revisions and upcoming news to estimate how completely analysts incorporate their private information in their forecasts, we show that analysts incorporate a smaller proportion of industry-wide news than firm-specific news in their forecasts, particularly when the underlying news is bad. Post-forecast-revision drift is strongly associated with the private industry-wide information that analysts withhold from their forecast revisions. Furthermore, analysts' information withholding varies predictably with their incentives. Unlike prior research that attributes post-forecast revision drift to delayed market response to news in forecast revisions, our findings suggest that the drift arises because investors are unable to anticipate the news that analysts withhold from their forecast revisions. Our study sheds light on analysts' role in conveying firm-specific and industry-wide news to investors and on the implications for post-forecast-revision drift.
Download or read book Revisions of Earnings Forecasts and Security Returns written by John Capstaff and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prior evidence has demonstrated that for North American markets EPS forecast revisions are associated with security price changes, although this evidence is much stronger for pre-announcement changes than for post-announcement. As there is considerable interest in using analysts' forecasts for stock selection purposes in Europe, it is clearly of some importance to determine whether forecast revisions are associated with security returns, and whether the revisions can be used to trade successfully. We use a large sample of individual analysts' forecast revisions in Europe's three largest markets - the U.K., France and Germany ? and demonstrate that forecast revisions follow significant abnormal returns and can also be used to identify significant, post announcement returns. This result is found in all years bar one, is stronger for the U.K. than the other markets, for downward than for upward revisions, for less researched rather than more researched firms and for forecasts diverging from the consensus rather than converging. Although surprisingly strong evidence against the EMH these results are consistent with certain other studies which also demonstrate delayed market reaction to news.
Download or read book Value written by McKinsey & Company Inc. and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-10-26 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible guide to the essential issues of corporate finance While you can find numerous books focused on the topic of corporate finance, few offer the type of information managers need to help them make important decisions day in and day out. Value explores the core of corporate finance without getting bogged down in numbers and is intended to give managers an accessible guide to both the foundations and applications of corporate finance. Filled with in-depth insights from experts at McKinsey & Company, this reliable resource takes a much more qualitative approach to what the authors consider a lost art. Discusses the four foundational principles of corporate finance Effectively applies the theory of value creation to our economy Examines ways to maintain and grow value through mergers, acquisitions, and portfolio management Addresses how to ensure your company has the right governance, performance measurement, and internal discussions to encourage value-creating decisions A perfect companion to the Fifth Edition of Valuation, this book will put the various issues associated with corporate finance in perspective.
