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Book Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market

Download or read book Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market written by Terry A. Marsh and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market

Download or read book Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market written by Terry A. Marsh and published by Forgotten Books. This book was released on 2015-06-16 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Excerpt from Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market In this paper, we develop a model of the dividend process for the aggregate stock market. Previous research has focused almost exclusively on dividend behavior at the micro level of the individual firm. Hence, to motivate the focus here on aggregate dividend behavior, we begin with a brief review of these earlier micro studies, this to be followed by a discussion which locates the place of our aggregate analysis within this body of research. In Sections 2-5, we derive and fit our econometric model of the dividend process. In Section 6, we compare the performance of the model with other models in the literature. Although long a staple of financial management textbooks, corporate dividend policy remains a topic on which the field has failed to arrive at even a local sense of closure. Fischer Black (1976) has aptly described this lack of closure as the "dividend puzzle." The pivotal point in this puzzle is the classical work of Miller and Modigliani (1961) which demonstrated the irrelevance of dividend policy for determining the firm's cost of capital. Miller and Modigliani showed that when investors can create any payout pattern they want by selling and purchasing shares, the expected return required to induce them to hold these shares will be invariant to the way in which firms "package" gross dividend payments and new issues of stock (and/or other zero net present value transactions). Since neither the firm's expected future net cash flows nor its discount rate is affected by the choice of dividend policy per se, its current market value cannot be changed by a change in that policy. Thus, dividend policy "does not matter." About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.

Book Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market  Classic Reprint

Download or read book Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market Classic Reprint written by Terry A. Marsh and published by Forgotten Books. This book was released on 2018-02-26 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Excerpt from Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market In a series of stimulating papers (198la, l98lb, and Robert Shiller uses seemingly powerful variance bounds tests to show that variations in aggregate stock market prices are much too large to be justified by the variation in subsequent dividend payments. Under the assumption that the real expected return on the market remains essentially constant over time, Shiller concludes that the excess variation in stock prices identified in his tests provides strong evidence to reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Even if the real expected return on the market does change over time, Shiller further concludes that the amount of variation in that rate necessary to save the Efficient Market Hypothesis is so large that the measured excess variation in stock prices cannot be attributed to this source. We need hardly mention the significance of such a conclusion. If Shiller's rejection of market efficiency is sustained, then serious doubt is cast on the validity of the most important cornerstone of modern financial economic theory. To be sure, of the hundreds of earlier tests of efficient markets, there have been a few which appear to reject market efficiency [cf. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.

Book Dividend Behavior and Dividend Signaling

Download or read book Dividend Behavior and Dividend Signaling written by Richard Priestley and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the dividend behavior of the aggregate stock market. We propose a model that assumes managers minimize the costs of adjustment associated with being away from their target dividend payout. The target is expressed as a function of lagged stock prices and permanent earnings, generalizing previous models of dividend behavior. We present a new method for measuring unobserved permanent earnings based on the Kalman filter. Our specification of dividend behavior is strongly supported by the data relative to both alternative models and over time. We find significant evidence of dividend smoothing and dividends conveying information regarding unexpected positive changes in current permanent earnings. We also find that both the speed of adjustment of dividends to target dividends and tests of signaling are sensitive to the specification of the model.

Book Dividend Policy and Behavior in Emerging Markets

Download or read book Dividend Policy and Behavior in Emerging Markets written by Jack D. Glen and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1995 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Modelling the Dividend Behaviour of the Aggregate US Stock Market

Download or read book Modelling the Dividend Behaviour of the Aggregate US Stock Market written by Ian Garrett and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Permanent Earnings Hypothesis

Download or read book Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Permanent Earnings Hypothesis written by Ming-Shiun Pan and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study examines the aggregate dividend behavior of U.S. corporations based on the permanent earnings hypothesis. Using annual data of aggregate earnings and dividends from 1871-1993, I find that although managers change dividends proportional to permanent earnings changes, they make revisions with a larger percentage change in dividends than in permanent earnings. The results from the post-war data show that firms follow a partial adjustment policy with a long-term dividend payout target in mind and make revisions with a delay. The quarterly data analysis yields results similar to those of the post-war annual data.

Book Time Series Implications of Aggregate Dividend Behavior

Download or read book Time Series Implications of Aggregate Dividend Behavior written by Bong-Soo Lee and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the hypothesis that dividend changes are determined by changes in some measure of permanent earnings. The analysis employs two measures of permanent earnings and takes into account the nonstationarity of dividend and earnings series. This study finds that dynamic dividend behavior is accounted for primarily by changes in permanent earnings. Dividends respond strongly to permanent changes in earnings without any significant overreaction, whereas they respond little, if at all, to transitory changes in earnings. The findings also suggest that the Partial Adjustment Hypothesis, which assumes managers partially adjust dividends to a target dividend, performs better when the target dividend level is proportional to permanent earnings than when it is proportional to current earnings.

Book A Utility based Model of Aggregate Dividend Behavior

Download or read book A Utility based Model of Aggregate Dividend Behavior written by Si-Wang Ryu and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book By Force of Habit

Download or read book By Force of Habit written by John Y. Campbell and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a consumption-based model that explains the procyclical variation of stock prices, the long-horizon predictability of excess stock returns, and the countercyclical variation of stock market volatility. Our model has an i.i.d. consumption growth driving process, and adds a slow-moving external habit to the standard power utility function. The latter feature produces cyclical variation in risk aversion, and hence in the prices of risky assets. Our model also predicts many of the difficulties that beset the standard power utility model, including Euler equation rejections, no correlation between mean consumption growth and interest rates, very high estimates of risk aversion, and pricing errors that are larger than those of the static CAPM. Our model captures much of the history of stock prices, given only consumption data. Since our model captures the equity premium, it implies that fluctuations have important welfare costs. Unlike many habit-persistence models, our model does not necessarily produce cyclical variation in the risk free interest rate, nor does it produce an extremely skewed distribution or negative realizations of the marginal rate of substitution.

Book Dividends and Dividend Policy

Download or read book Dividends and Dividend Policy written by H. Kent Baker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-05-04 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dividends And Dividend Policy As part of the Robert W. Kolb Series in Finance, Dividends and Dividend Policy aims to be the essential guide to dividends and their impact on shareholder value. Issues concerning dividends and dividend policy have always posed challenges to both academics and professionals. While all the pieces to the dividend puzzle may not be in place yet, the information found here can help you gain a firm understanding of this dynamic discipline. Comprising twenty-eight chapters—contributed by both top academics and financial experts in the field—this well-rounded resource discusses everything from corporate dividend decisions to the role behavioral finance plays in dividend policy. Along the way, you'll gain valuable insights into the history, trends, and determinants of dividends and dividend policy, and discover the different approaches firms are taking when it comes to dividends. Whether you're a seasoned financial professional or just beginning your journey in the world of finance, having a firm understanding of the issues surrounding dividends and dividend policy is now more important than ever. With this book as your guide, you'll be prepared to make the most informed dividend-related decisions possible—even in the most challenging economic conditions. The Robert W. Kolb Series in Finance is an unparalleled source of information dedicated to the most important issues in modern finance. Each book focuses on a specific topic in the field of finance and contains contributed chapters from both respected academics and experienced financial professionals.

Book Payout Policy

Download or read book Payout Policy written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dividend policy continues to be among the premier unsolved puzzles in finance. A number of theories have been advanced to explain dividend policy. This e-book briefly reviews the principal theories of payout policy and dividend policy and summarizes the empirical evidence on these theories. Empirical evidence is equivocal and the search for new explanation for dividends continues.

Book Corporate Payout Policy

Download or read book Corporate Payout Policy written by Harry DeAngelo and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Corporate Payout Policy synthesizes the academic research on payout policy and explains "how much, when, and how". That is (i) the overall value of payouts over the life of the enterprise, (ii) the time profile of a firm's payouts across periods, and (iii) the form of those payouts. The authors conclude that today's theory does a good job of explaining the general features of corporate payout policies, but some important gaps remain. So while our emphasis is to clarify "what we know" about payout policy, the authors also identify a number of interesting unresolved questions for future research. Corporate Payout Policy discusses potential influences on corporate payout policy including managerial use of payouts to signal future earnings to outside investors, individuals' behavioral biases that lead to sentiment-based demands for distributions, the desire of large block stockholders to maintain corporate control, and personal tax incentives to defer payouts. The authors highlight four important "carry-away" points: the literature's focus on whether repurchases will (or should) drive out dividends is misplaced because it implicitly assumes that a single payout vehicle is optimal; extant empirical evidence is strongly incompatible with the notion that the primary purpose of dividends is to signal managers' views of future earnings to outside investors; over-confidence on the part of managers is potentially a first-order determinant of payout policy because it induces them to over-retain resources to invest in dubious projects and so behavioral biases may, in fact, turn out to be more important than agency costs in explaining why investors pressure firms to accelerate payouts; the influence of controlling stockholders on payout policy --- particularly in non-U.S. firms, where controlling stockholders are common --- is a promising area for future research. Corporate Payout Policy is required reading for both researchers and practitioners interested in understanding this central topic in corporate finance and governance.

Book Dividend Policy

Download or read book Dividend Policy written by George Frankfurter and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2003-06-24 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dividend Policy provides a comprehensive study of dividend policy. It explores the puzzle presented by dividends: irrational and subject to fashion, yet popular and desirable, they remain a priority among managers, even while perceived as largely symbolic. After exploring the history of dividend payments, from the emergence of the modern corporation to current perspectives, it traces the evolution of academic models on dividend policy. Here the authors review models of symmetric and asymmetric information before analyzing academia's accomplishments in solving the dividend puzzle. Related subjects, such as valuation and wealth distribution, round out the authors' presentation about new ways to think about one of the most intriguing subjects in financial economics. The book is recommended for professors and students in departments of finance and business, corporate finance staff, and financial regulators. The only comprehensive study of dividend policy Covers the historical evolution of dividends and academic research on dividend policy Presents new ways of thinking about dividends and dividend policy