Download or read book Did Mutual Fund Return Persistence Persist written by James J. Choi and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A seminal study of persistence in mutual fund performance is Carhart (1997), who found that U.S. equity mutual funds' past-year returns positively predict their raw excess return and one-factor alpha over the next year. Based on these results, an investor may believe that she can earn higher returns by buying mutual funds with high past-year returns. We are able to replicate Carhart's results in his 1963-1993 sample period, but we find that significant performance persistence does not exist in the 1994-2018 period. Even during the 1963-1993 period, performance persistence weakened in later years. The disappearance of significant performance persistence is due to lower returns to favorable styles, as well as less favorable style tilts and increased style-adjusted underperformance by past winning funds.
Download or read book Persistence in Style Adjusted Mutual Fund Returns written by Melvyn Teo and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The literature on mutual fund persistence took a hit with the finding that one-year stock momentum and expense ratios account for most of the persistence in mutual fund performance (Carhart, 1992; Carhart, 1997). However, since equity mutual funds are grouped into styles (e.g., large value, small growth, mid-cap growth, etc.) and are often confined to trading stocks within their style, one should measure fund performance relative to style when investigating managerial ability. Using CRSP mutual fund data and a methodology similar to Carhart (1997), we find that differences in style-adjusted fund returns persist for up to six years. Neither one-year momentum nor expense ratios explain our results. Our results are also robust to controlling for size, book-to-market equity, load, and total net assets. Since manager tenure is about four years, our results suggest that managerial ability may not be as dead as it seems.
Download or read book Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth written by Andreas Fagereng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-27 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their financial assets (a standard deviation of 14%) and on their net worth (a standard deviation of 8%). Second, heterogeneity in returns does not arise merely from differences in the allocation of wealth between safe and risky assets: returns are heterogeneous even within asset classes. Third, returns are positively correlated with wealth: moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the financial wealth distribution increases the return by 3 percentage points - and by 17 percentage points when the same exercise is performed for the return to net worth. Fourth, wealth returns exhibit substantial persistence over time. We argue that while this persistence partly reflects stable differences in risk exposure and assets scale, it also reflects persistent heterogeneity in sophistication and financial information, as well as entrepreneurial talent. Finally, wealth returns are (mildly) correlated across generations. We discuss the implications of these findings for several strands of the wealth inequality debate.
Download or read book On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by Mark M. Carhart and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a sample free of survivor bias, I demonstrate that common factors in stock returns and investment expenses almost completely explain persistence in equity mutual funds' mean and risk-adjusted returns. Hendricks, Patel and Zeckhauser's (1993) quot;hot handsquot; result is mostly driven by the one-year momentum effect of Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), but individual funds do not earn higher returns from following the momentum strategy in stocks. The only significant persistence not explained is concentrated in strong underperformance by the worst-return mutual funds. The results do not support the existence of skilled or informed mutual fund portfolio managers.
Download or read book Explaining Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by F. Detzel and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the determinants of persistence in mutual fund performance. Previous research that uses factor-mimicking portfolios and characteristic benchmarks to model fund performance fails to explain all the persistence in fund returns. This study employs a model that directly relates mutual fund returns to the characteristics of the stocks held by funds. Adjusting fund returns for the size of the stocks in which funds invest and financial ratios intended to capture fund manager investment styles explains all the persistence in mutual fund returns from 1976-1985, the period in which persistence is most prevalent.
Download or read book Cross Sectional Learning and Short Run Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by Marno Verbeek and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using monthly return data of more than 6,400 US equity mutual funds we investigate short-run performance persistence over the period 1984-2003. We sort funds into rank portfolios based on past performance, and evaluate the portfolios' out-of-sample performance. To cope with short ranking periods, we employ an empirical Bayes approach to measure past performance more efficiently. Our main finding is that when funds are sorted into decile portfolios based on 12-month ranking periods, the top decile of funds earns a statistically significant, abnormal return of 0.26 percent per month. This effect persists beyond load fees, and is mainly concentrated in relatively young, small cap/growth funds.
Download or read book Performance of Mutual Funds written by G. Gregoriou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-04 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book responds to a growing demand for mutual funds. This timely collection of original papers focuses on changes of international investment in Europe, the US and New Zealand. Using a fresh approach, innovative techniques and various models this book assesses performance and provides an understanding of mutual funds on an international level.
Download or read book Persistence in Mutual Fund Returns Revisited written by Amitabh S. Dutta and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been much debate about mutual fund performance - especially about the persistence of excess returns. Prior research on persistence in performance has examined samples of mutual funds in various ways. This study examines the returns on a sample of growth equity mutual funds over the period 1988-1996. The determination of winning/losing is based on a fund outperforming/underperforming the Samp;P 500 as the market benchmark. The sample of mutual funds examined over the study period shows both significant positive performance as well as persistence in performance. Persistence in positive performance outweighs persistence in negative performance.
Download or read book Mutual Fund Performance and Performance Persistence written by Peter Lückoff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-01-22 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Peter Lückoff investigates why fund flows and manager changes act as equilibrium mechanisms and drive the performance of both previously outperforming and previously underperforming funds back to average levels.
Download or read book Is Money Really smart written by Russ Wermers and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Swing Pricing and Fragility in Open end Mutual Funds written by Dunhong Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-01 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to prevent runs on open-end mutual funds? In recent years, markets have observed an innovation that changed the way open-end funds are priced. Alternative pricing rules (known as swing pricing) adjust funds’ net asset values to pass on funds’ trading costs to transacting shareholders. Using unique data on investor transactions in U.K. corporate bond funds, we show that swing pricing eliminates the first-mover advantage arising from the traditional pricing rule and significantly reduces redemptions during stress periods. The positive impact of alternative pricing rules on fund flows reverses in calm periods when costs associated with higher tracking error dominate the pricing effect.
Download or read book Return Persistence and Fund Flows in the Worst Performing Mutual Funds written by Jonathan B. Berk and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document that the observed persistence amongst the worst performing actively managed mutual funds is attributable to funds that have performed poorly both in the current and prior year. We demonstrate that this persistence results from an unwillingness of investors in these funds to respond to bad performance by withdrawing their capital. In contrast, funds that only performed poorly in the current year have a significantly larger (out)flow of funds/return sensitivity and consequently show no evidence of persistence in their returns.
Download or read book Is There Long Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I analyze long-term performance persistence for a sample of 6525 US equity mutual funds between 1970 and 2013. I test for evidence of five-year performance persistence by using a non-parametric method involving the construction of contingency tables. I also apply a parametric cross-sectional regression of fund performance on past fund performance. I conduct the tests with four different performance measures, namely continuous returns, Jensen's alphas, Four Factor alphas and Sharpe Ratios. I find evidence for performance persistence across all performance measures and with both methodologies. Four Factor alphas show the most significant evidence. The observed persistence is to a great extent driven by funds that consistently perform below or equal to the median of their peers during the analyzed time periods. Performance persistence is especially pronounced during periods where the market shows a sustained upward or downward trend. The results are robust for longer time horizons up to ten years. I find reversals in performance to occur especially when the testing period is to a large extent characterized by a sharp negative market movement, such as the aftermath of the technology bubble in the early years of the 21st century. Past performance over longer time periods can therefore be considered for the evaluation of a long-term investment in a mutual fund, but should not be used as a standalone criterion.
Download or read book Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by Zekeriya Eser and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Keywords. Persistence, Calendar-Related Distortions, Robot Funds, Performance Attribution Models, Momentum Factors
Download or read book Skill and Persistence in Mutual Fund Returns written by Bradford D. Jordan and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The addition of the Fama and French (2015) profitability (RMW) and investment (CMA) factors to the standard four-factor model reveals persistent positive alpha after fees for mutual funds. Over the period 2000-2014, about 65 percent of fund managers have at least some skill, and about 15 percent have skill in excess of fees. The best performing funds have significant negative exposures to both factors, while the worst performing funds have significant positive exposures. Because of that pattern, failure to account for these factors masks a difference in alpha between the best and worst performers of almost 7 percent per year.
Download or read book On persistence in mutual fund performance written by M M Carhart and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Differences in Short Term Performance Persistence by Mutual Fund Equity Class written by Andrew L. Detzel and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To consistently earn positive alpha, active fund managers must have access to mispriced stocks. We show that mispricing varies by equity class in such a way that greater mispricing occurs in smaller-cap and more value-oriented stocks, providing opportunity for managers in these classes. Accordingly, we find the greatest evidence that top-performing mutual fund managers continue to earn positive alpha in smaller-cap and more value-oriented classes when investigating quarterly performance persistence by equity class. Conversely, large cap funds show no evidence of persistence in superior performance. In contrast to the patterns of persistence in superior performance, relative performance persists in all equity classes.
