Download or read book Dice Have No Memory written by William Bonner and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-10 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Right now, Congress, the Fed, and the Treasury are all gambling with your future and your money. And it's contagious. Economies around the globe are suffering from the biggest multitrillion-dollar bets ever wagered on big governments and miraculous financial interventions in pretend "free markets." One man saw it all coming and told his readers well in advance of today's crisis. Bill Bonner reports on the true health and well-being of the world's largest economy to over half a million readers each day in The Daily Reckoning. His newsletter is to the mainstream financial press what the Gnostic Gospels are to the King James Bible. Back in 2000, Bill Bonner sounded like a prophet crying in the wilderness. While everyone scrambled to purchase shares of the latest and hottest dot-com, Bill announced his Trade of the Decade: Sell dollars, buy gold. Back in 2000, you could get an ounce for around $264. Today, you could pay as much as $1,400 for that same ounce. Finally, some of Bonner's best pronouncements, predictions, and profitable analysis are collected in one place. Dice Have No Memory gather's Bonner's richest insights from August 1999 through November 2010 to form a chronological narrative of economics in America. Here's a fraction of what you'll find inside: *Gold says "I Told You So" *Three out of Four Economists Are Wrong *Imperial Overstretch Marks *Why Debt Does Matter *Economic Zombies Shuffle Towards Bankruptcy Bonner's Dice Have No Memory offers elegies for economists, tips for investors, tirades against wasteful warfare past and present, and practical guides to modern finance with graceful prose, well-earned intelligence, and riotous irreverence. Bill Bonner's common sense genius rips the window dressing off modern finance - a world normally populated by misguided do-gooders, corrupt politicians, and big bankers empowered by dubious "mathematical" truths. The investing game is rigged, just like Monte Carlo. Instead of giving you magic formulas, this archcontrarian teaches you how to think clearly. And Dice Have No Memory gives today's investor the next moves he should make...before it's too late.

Download or read book Getting Science written by Brian Clegg and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-04-11 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The science in this book is not for the children, but for the adults who have to explain it. Starting with a whirlwind tour of the great milestones of modern science, Getting Science goes on to take each of the main curriculum topics and give it a new twist.

Download or read book Luck Logic and White Lies written by Jörg Bewersdorff and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2004-12-10 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book considers a specific problem—generally a game or game fragment, and introduces the mathematical methods. It contains a section on the historical development of the theories of games of chance, and combinatorial and strategic games.

Download or read book Probability Choice and Reason written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-09-16 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world. Features: An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinking Many classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzles An exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain world The application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicine Exercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe further Solutions to exercises at the end of the book This book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book.

Download or read book Casino Craps written by Frank Scoblete and published by Triumph Books. This book was released on 2010-05 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most comprehensive craps book ever written, this is the book that gives readers everything needed to get a real, verifiable edge at the game of craps. The authors, two of the greatest living dice controllers, share, in words and pictures, their secret Golden Touch technique and give the edge needed to beat the house. Readers will learn several keys to winner craps, including how the game is really played, how to develop a Golden Touch controlled throw, which are the best and worst bets and "buy" bets, how to reduce the hit of the house edge by using the five count, how to push the casino to give a better game than advertised, how to set the dice to reduce or increase the appearance of different numbers, and how to judge what a real edge means.

Download or read book The Everything Craps Strategy Book written by Larry Edell and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2005-12-12 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Everything Craps Strategy Book reveals all the secrets a gambler needs to go home a winner. Whether a novice or a pro, you'll learn the tricks and tips necessary to mastering one of the more difficult gambling games in the casino. From laying down the basics to step-by-step guidance on advanced strategies, this is your all-inclusive guide to beating the craps table! Strategies include: Pass and Come Do and Don't Side Regression and Progression Multilevel Systems Winning in Tournament Play Comps and Money Management Gambling isn't risky if you know what you're doing, and The Everything Craps Strategy Book is your ticket to putting the odds in your favor!

Download or read book Cosmic Order and Cultural Astronomy written by Rana Singh and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2009-10-02 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Throughout the Indian subcontinent there are territories and areas wherein culture, geography, and the archetypal cosmos interact with each other to create a sacredscape that is infused with meaning, cultural performances and transcendent power. These sacred sites possess extensive mythological associations where believed that spirit can cross between different realms. In a broad perspective such studies falls within the realm of cultural astronomy, which has two broad areas, viz. archaeoastronomy, concerned with the study of the use of astronomy and its role in ancient cultures and civilizations; and ethnoastronomy that studies the use of astronomy and its role in contemporary cultures. The seven essays in this volume deals with the critical appraisal of studying cultural astronomy and cosmic order and its implications in India, illustrated with case studies like heritagescape of Khajuraho, where stone speaks; manescape of Gaya, where manes come and bless the devotees; Deviscape of Vindhyachal, where goddess resorts; Shivascape of Kashi, where Shiva dances in making order; Shaktiscape of Kashi, that possesses the spatial ordering of goddesses; and Naturscape of Chitrakut, where mother earth blesses.

Download or read book The Doomsday Calculation written by William Poundstone and published by Little, Brown Spark. This book was released on 2019-06-04 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, a fascinating look at how an equation that foretells the future is transforming everything we know about life, business, and the universe. In the 18th century, the British minister and mathematician Thomas Bayes devised a theorem that allowed him to assign probabilities to events that had never happened before. It languished in obscurity for centuries until computers came along and made it easy to crunch the numbers. Now, as the foundation of big data, Bayes' formula has become a linchpin of the digital economy. But here's where things get really interesting: Bayes' theorem can also be used to lay odds on the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence; on whether we live in a Matrix-like counterfeit of reality; on the "many worlds" interpretation of quantum theory being correct; and on the biggest question of all: how long will humanity survive? The Doomsday Calculation tells how Silicon Valley's profitable formula became a controversial pivot of contemporary thought. Drawing on interviews with thought leaders around the globe, it's the story of a group of intellectual mavericks who are challenging what we thought we knew about our place in the universe. The Doomsday Calculation is compelling reading for anyone interested in our culture and its future.

Download or read book Fault Tolerance Techniques for SRAM Based FPGAs written by Fernanda Lima Kastensmidt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-02-01 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reviews fault-tolerance techniques for SRAM-based Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), outlining many methods for designing fault tolerance systems. Some of these are based on new fault-tolerant architecture, and others on protecting the high-level hardware description before synthesis in the FPGA. The text helps the reader choose the best techniques project-by-project, and to compare fault tolerant techniques for programmable logic applications.

Download or read book Financial Reckoning Day Fallout written by Addison Wiggin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-08-06 with total page 523 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to harness inspiration for successful, long-term innovation Why does real innovation elude so many companies, including the biggest corporations with top resources? The problem, in all cases, is that they are lacking inspiration. In Look At More, Andy Stefanovich outlines inspiration as a discipline and a systematic approach for innovation that when applied consistently, brings long-term, sustainable results. It is about learning to think differently and getting others to do the same. By focusing on the front end of the Inspiration?Creativity?Innovation continuum, Look at More brings a fresh perspective to a popular conversation that is experiencing fatigue. Inspiration is the most effective way of unleashing innovation and this book shows you how. Introduces Play's LAMSTAIH process, which stands for Look At More Stuff; Think About It Harder, a systematic approach for harnessing inspiration Outlines the five key drivers for finding new ideas that lead to innovation--Mood, Mindset, Mechanisms, Measurement, Momentum Filled with strategies, tactics, insights, and cases that show how to instill inspiration at all levels CEOs, managers and entrepreneurs alike will find Look At More an invaluable tool for navigating the ever-hungry innovation mandate and turning inspiration into a strategic competitive advantage.

Download or read book The Druperman Tapes written by John Goodger and published by Minotaur Books. This book was released on 2005-02-01 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Gambling fans will relish the behind-the-scenes look at Vegas [with] a solid action-movie finale." - Publishers Weekly Druperman, the head of a confidential cooperative of the most powerful casinos in Las Vegas, has received a videotape threatening violence against the cooperative's members unless a ransom is paid. The criminals identify themselves only by a code name. As the casino owners dig in their heels and refuse to pay, the stakes get higher. The head of security at the city's top casino, a former LVPD detective, is determined to find the perpetrators, putting himself, and his new love, at risk in the process.

Download or read book Statistics Hacks written by Bruce Frey and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2006-05-09 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Want to calculate the probability that an event will happen? Be able to spot fake data? Prove beyond doubt whether one thing causes another? Or learn to be a better gambler? You can do that and much more with 75 practical and fun hacks packed into Statistics Hacks. These cool tips, tricks, and mind-boggling solutions from the world of statistics, measurement, and research methods will not only amaze and entertain you, but will give you an advantage in several real-world situations-including business. This book is ideal for anyone who likes puzzles, brainteasers, games, gambling, magic tricks, and those who want to apply math and science to everyday circumstances. Several hacks in the first chapter alone-such as the "central limit theorem,", which allows you to know everything by knowing just a little-serve as sound approaches for marketing and other business objectives. Using the tools of inferential statistics, you can understand the way probability works, discover relationships, predict events with uncanny accuracy, and even make a little money with a well-placed wager here and there. Statistics Hacks presents useful techniques from statistics, educational and psychological measurement, and experimental research to help you solve a variety of problems in business, games, and life. You'll learn how to: Play smart when you play Texas Hold 'Em, blackjack, roulette, dice games, or even the lottery Design your own winnable bar bets to make money and amaze your friends Predict the outcomes of baseball games, know when to "go for two" in football, and anticipate the winners of other sporting events with surprising accuracy Demystify amazing coincidences and distinguish the truly random from the only seemingly random--even keep your iPod's "random" shuffle honest Spot fraudulent data, detect plagiarism, and break codes How to isolate the effects of observation on the thing observed Whether you're a statistics enthusiast who does calculations in your sleep or a civilian who is entertained by clever solutions to interesting problems, Statistics Hacks has tools to give you an edge over the world's slim odds.

Download or read book The Uncommon Investor written by Benjamin Gallander and published by Insomniac Press. This book was released on 2009-11-26 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Never before have average people greater access to the stock market. The investor is literally drowning in financial information, loaded with financial techno-babble. This book teaches people how to invest without being dependent on a broker, financial institutions and banks. It allows people to make their own decisions without being stampeded by market trends. This is a book for people who only have a few hundred dollars or a few hundred thousand dollars to invest. The Uncommon Investor explains in detail the methodology used in the investment letter, which is arguably number one in North America, with five year annualized return of 33.9% and 53.2% return in 1997. The techniques are outlined in an entertaining format, as a group of family and friends gather to watch the seventh game of the World Series. Each section is divided into innings, with baseball used as the backbone analogy throughout the book. The Uncommon Investor takes the reader from the initial stages of choosing the stock, through to the buy and sell decisions; focussing on how to identify companies which are turningaround or under valued. The techniques start from basic stock market methodologies, and gradually move to a more intricate methodology. Care is taken to ensure that readers will not only be learning a process, but remain entertained. In addition, The Uncommon Investor explores other investment opportunities. Mutual funds, bonds, gold, commodities, real estate, and government paper are all highlighted as investment options. The pros and cons of each of these areas are looked at.

Download or read book Computing the Climate written by Steve M. Easterbrook and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2023-08-31 with total page 347 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accurate climate models have existed since the 1800s. Learn how these models have developed - and why we should believe them.

Download or read book Quantitative Methods written by Paolo Brandimarte and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-01-03 with total page 912 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible introduction to the essential quantitative methods for making valuable business decisions Quantitative methods-research techniques used to analyze quantitative data-enable professionals to organize and understand numbers and, in turn, to make good decisions. Quantitative Methods: An Introduction for Business Management presents the application of quantitative mathematical modeling to decision making in a business management context and emphasizes not only the role of data in drawing conclusions, but also the pitfalls of undiscerning reliance of software packages that implement standard statistical procedures. With hands-on applications and explanations that are accessible to readers at various levels, the book successfully outlines the necessary tools to make smart and successful business decisions. Progressing from beginner to more advanced material at an easy-to-follow pace, the author utilizes motivating examples throughout to aid readers interested in decision making and also provides critical remarks, intuitive traps, and counterexamples when appropriate. The book begins with a discussion of motivations and foundations related to the topic, with introductory presentations of concepts from calculus to linear algebra. Next, the core ideas of quantitative methods are presented in chapters that explore introductory topics in probability, descriptive and inferential statistics, linear regression, and a discussion of time series that includes both classical topics and more challenging models. The author also discusses linear programming models and decision making under risk as well as less standard topics in the field such as game theory and Bayesian statistics. Finally, the book concludes with a focus on selected tools from multivariate statistics, including advanced regression models and data reduction methods such as principal component analysis, factor analysis, and cluster analysis. The book promotes the importance of an analytical approach, particularly when dealing with a complex system where multiple individuals are involved and have conflicting incentives. A related website features Microsoft Excel® workbooks and MATLAB® scripts to illustrate concepts as well as additional exercises with solutions. Quantitative Methods is an excellent book for courses on the topic at the graduate level. The book also serves as an authoritative reference and self-study guide for financial and business professionals, as well as readers looking to reinforce their analytical skills.

Download or read book The Only Girl in the Game written by John D. MacDonald and published by Murder Room. This book was released on 2014-06-14 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Her employers are the high priests of Las Vegas and she is their handmaiden. Her job is to lead the lambs to the sacrifice, to keep them happy at the tables, where her partners slaughter the suckers. She longs to be free of the entertainers rubbing elbows with thugs at the craps tables, the divorcées hocking their jewels next to all-night marriage chapels, and the little white balls bouncing along the roulette wheels twenty-four hours a day. But no matter how hard she tries to escape her past, she's fated to be caught for ever backstage in the sick glitter of the infamous strip with nothing but sand and neon and money, money, everywhere.

Download or read book The Decline Effect written by Dean Brooks and published by FriesenPress. This book was released on 2023-01-31 with total page 897 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A crisis is coming for everyone who uses math and science. For decades now, the classical model of probability (the indifference principle and the Gaussian distribution) has been breaking down and revealing its limitations in fields from economics to epidemiology. Now a new approach has revealed the underlying non-classical principle behind all these 'anomalous' laws: — Pareto’s law of elite incomes — Zipf’s law of word frequencies — Lotka’s law of scientific publications — Kleiber’s law of metabolic rates — the Clausewitz-Dupuy law of combat friction — Moore’s law of computing costs — the Wright-Henderson cost law — Weibull’s law of electronics failures — the Flynn Effect in IQ scores — Benford’s law of digit frequencies — Farr’s law of epidemics — Hubbell’s neutral theory of biodiversity — Rogers’ law of innovation classes — Wilson’s law of island biogeography — Smeed’s law of traffic fatalities The general law behind all these particular laws (and countless others) is the "decline effect". As a system ages or grows in size, the rules of probability subtly change. Entropy increases, rare items become rarer, and average performance measures decline. The human meaning of a decline may be positive (decreasing costs, falling epidemic mortality) or negative (lower customer loyalty, decreasing efficiency), but the mathematical pattern is always the same. The implications are enormous, as these examples show: All epidemic diseases decline in infectiousness and in lethality. HIV-AIDS went from a highly infectious, 95-percent fatal disease, to a survivable condition with a latency of decades. COVID-19 went from a death rate of 7 percent in early 2020, to under 2 percent in 2022. Hereditary dynasties around the world declined smoothly in lifespan, from hundreds of years to tens of years. When democracies replaced monarchies, the decline (in spans of party control) continued.