Download or read book Development of a Practical Model for School Leaders Using Elementary Student Data to Predict High School Dropout Risk written by Nathan Hoven and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many researchers have identified the myriad of concerns that frequently affect people who drop out of school prior to high school graduation. These include increased risks of lower income, need for welfare support, unemployment, and criminal activity (Alexander, Entwisle, & Horsey, 1997; Christenson & Thurlow, 2004; Gleason & Dynarski, 2002; Suh, Suh, & Houston, 2007). School leaders have a keen interest in helping all students successfully complete school, thereby reducing the risk of these issues occurring later in life. In an effort to help students avoid these potential risks, school leaders have tried to identify students at risk of dropping out of school so they can intervene and help the students persist to graduation. Researchers have documented the ineffectiveness of high school intervention efforts (Bowers, 2010) as well as the greater effectiveness of earlier interventions (Entwisle & Alexander, 1993; Suh et al., 2007). As a result, there has been more emphasis placed on identifying potential dropouts earlier in their educational careers. This study has attempted to develop a practical dropout prediction model based on elementary data. The study examined 222 students who entered high school together, then collected data from when those same students were in elementary school. The resulting models did not have high levels of predictive accuracy, but they did provide some useful results for identifying the students most severely at risk of dropping out. In addition, the study has provided some useful knowledge to aid in further research on identification and intervention efforts.
Download or read book High School Dropout Graduation and Completion Rates written by National Academy of Education and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-04-17 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High school graduation and dropout rates have long been used as indicators of educational system productivity and effectiveness and of social and economic well being. While determining these rates may seem like a straightforward task, their calculation is in fact quite complicated. How does one count a student who leaves a regular high school but later completes a GED? How does one count a student who spends most of his/her high school years at one school and then transfers to another? If the student graduates, which school should receive credit? If the student drops out, which school should take responsibility? High School Dropout, Graduation, and Completion Rates addresses these issues and to examine (1) the strengths, limitations, accuracy, and utility of the available dropout and completion measures; (2) the state of the art with respect to longitudinal data systems; and (3) ways that dropout and completion rates can be used to improve policy and practice.
Download or read book Using Data to Improve Student Learning in High Schools written by Victoria Bernhardt and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-10-11 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book helps you make sense of the data your school collects, including state student achievement results as well as other qualitative and quantitative data. Easy-to-use templates, tools, and examples are available on the accompanying downloadable resources. High stakes accountability requires that you develop your understanding of who your students are and how to get them where you want them to be.
Download or read book A Model to Predict High School Dropouts in a Small Rural Florida School District written by Bill R. Owens and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this study was to provide a predictive model for profiling potential high school dropouts during the middle school years using data available to teachers, counselors, and administrators. The subjects for the study were 377 students (175 dropouts and 202 persisters) in grades 9 through 12 that attended the Okeechobee County Schools between the 1992-93 and 1995-96 school years. The null hypothesis stated that a model consisting of a subset of the 23-predictor variables would not discriminate between students who drop out of school and those who persist. Data were collected from archival sources within the school district and analyzed through discriminant analysis using an SPSS program. Cross validation was performed using a FORTRAN program developed by Morris and Meshbane (1995). Numerous models were identified that discriminated between dropouts and persisters; therefore, the null hypothesis was rejected. The model that had the highest hit rates contained the following variables: (a) age in the eighth grade, (b) suspensions in the eighth grade, (c) attendance in the seventh grade, (d) attendance in the eighth grade, (e) membership in a dropout prevention program, (f) free or reduced-price lunch status, (g) limited-English proficiency status, (h) retention status, and (i) athletic status. The variable that appeared most often in the models that had the highest hit rates for the dropout group was retention status. Other variables that appeared in models included the number of Ds and Fs in the seventh grade, the number of Ds and Fs in the eighth grade, and suspensions in the seventh grade. Variables that were not found to be as significant based on F-ratios included (a) gender, (b) membership in an exceptional education program, and (c) certain achievement test scores. A large amount of missing data relative to the achievement test scores may have contributed to the lack of significance. Hispanic students dropped out in disproportion to the representation in the sample. In addition, most of the dropouts in the sample were not in dropout prevention programs, and most of the dropouts that were in a dropout prevention program dropped out despite the intervention. A profile of the high school dropout based on this study includes: (1) being retained more often, (2) being overage, (3) receiving more Ds and Fs, having poorer attendance, and being suspended more often in the seventh and eighth grades, and (4) receiving a free or reduced-price lunch.
Download or read book Resources in Education written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 756 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Handbook of Student Engagement Interventions written by Jennifer A. Fredricks and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-05-04 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Student Engagement Interventions: Working with Disengaged Students provides an understanding of the factors that contribute to student disengagement, methods for identifying students at risk, and intervention strategies to increase student engagement. With a focus on translating research into best practice, the book pulls together the current research on engagement in schools and empowers readers to craft and implement interventions. Users will find reviews on evidence-based academic, behavioral, social, mental health, and community-based interventions that will help increase all types of engagement. The book looks at ways of reducing suspensions through alternative disciplinary practices, the role resiliency can play in student engagement, strategies for community and school collaborations in addressing barriers to engagement, and what can be learned from students who struggled in school, but succeeded later in life. It is a hands-on resource for educators, school psychologists, researchers, and students looking to gain insight into the research on this topic and the strategies that can be deployed to promote student engagement. Presents practical strategies for engagement intervention and assessment Covers early warning signs of disengagement and how to use these signs to promote engagement Reviews contextual factors (families, peers, teachers) related to engagement Focuses on increasing engagement and school completion for all students Emphasizes multidimensional approaches to disengagement
Download or read book Aiming for Success Evaluating Statistical and Machine Learning Methods to Predict High School Student Performance and Improve Early Warning Systems written by David Alexandro and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In response to the high school dropout crisis, which comes with great economic and social costs, early warning systems (EWSs) have been developed to systematically predict and improve student outcomes. The purpose of this study is to evaluate different statistical and machine learning methods to predict high school student performance and improve EWSs. By improving education EWSs, this study aims to better identify those students in need of targeted support and inform on-the-ground practitioners who may intervene long before students may be dropping out. The current study explores the aforementioned methods in the context of a cohort of 40,008 Connecticut students. The study utilized more than 100 predictors and developed models to predict each student's probability of being on-track to graduate within four years using data collected prior to a student's entry into 9th grade. Random forests, classification and regression tree (CART, or decision tree), and regularized logistic regression-ridge, lasso, and elastic net-models were developed, and performance of the models was evaluated on a validation dataset by comparing classification accuracy measures. The study revealed that random forests models developed using a training set balanced by oversampling did the best job of identifying which students are at risk. These models captured complex interactions among covariates and performed best when thresholds were optimized using Youden's index rather than defaulted at a 0.5 cut-off. The variable importance rankings showed that standardized test scores, attendance, and course performance were the top-ranking predictors of being on-track. Coefficients from elastic net models provided nuanced information to complement random forests results. In addition, incorporating detailed special education-related predictors served to improve classification accuracy, especially for students with disabilities. This study is filling a practical void in education to support the development of more sophisticated predictive models. This will be usable by researchers as an approach to ensure future EWSs work optimally. It is also an opportunity for practitioners to leverage new knowledge about students who are at-risk, and to test interventions at many levels in an attempt to improve graduation outcomes.
Download or read book Strategies to Help Solve Our School Dropout Problem written by Franklin P. Schargel and published by Eye On Education. This book was released on 2001 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analyzes the school dropout situation in America and examines the demographic and social influences that contribute to the problem including immigration, poverty, teenage pregnancy and drug use, and provides strategies for prevention and accountability, alternative schooling, and community and family involvement.
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 564 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Using an Early Warning System to Identify and Support Students at Risk for High School Dropout written by National High School Center and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 2 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States high school dropout problem has been called a national crisis, with only 74.9% of public high school students graduating with a diploma in 2008. With states and districts under mounting pressure to raise graduation rates, there is increasing urgency to obtain more accurate and timely data to systematically identify students most likely to drop out of high school so that dropout prevention supports can be offered to get them back on track to graduate. Early warning systems can help educators predict which students may be in danger of dropping out of high school by using indicators based on readily available school-level data (e.g., attendance and course performance). To facilitate the establishment and use of early warning systems across the nation, the National High School Center has developed an" Early Warning System Implementation Guide" and a free downloadable Microsoft Excel-based tool, the "Early Warning System (EWS) Tool v2.0". The EWS Tool v2.0 is based on research on the academic and behavioral predictors of dropout and can be used by schools, districts, and states to identify students who are at risk for dropping out of high school. This brochure details what early warning systems are and how they can be used to identify and support students who are at risk of dropout, and provides a brief overview of the EWS Tool v2.0 and early warning system implementation process. (Contains 4 footnotes.).
Download or read book Research in Education written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 1270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book IDRA Newsletter written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Developing Early Warning Systems to Identify Potential High School Dropouts Issue Brief written by Jessica B. Heppen and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The high school dropout problem has been called a national crisis. Educators, researchers, and policymakers continue to work to identify effective dropout prevention approaches. One important element of such prevention efforts is the identification of students at highest risk for dropping out and then the targeting of resources to keep them in school. An early warning system that uses "indicators based on readily accessible data" can predict, during students' first year in high school, whether the students are on the right path toward eventual graduation. Research is clear that ninth grade is a "make or break" year. More students fail ninth grade than any other grade in high school, and a disproportionate number of students who are held back in ninth grade subsequently drop out. Recent research in large urban school districts, including Chicago and Philadelphia, provides information about powerful indicators that can predict, by the end of the first year of high school, or even during the first semester, whether students will complete high school. This brief guide reviews this research and uses it as a basis for providing guidance to schools and districts about using data to address the dropout problem. This guide, intended for educators and policymakers at the school, district, and state levels, is designed to provide information about the following: (1) Factors that contribute to a student's dropping out; (2) Research on early warning indicators; (3) School-level early warning systems; (4) District-level early warning systems; and (5) States' roles in supporting the development and use of early warning systems. (Contains 3 tables and 3 endnotes.).
Download or read book Resources in Education written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 1096 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Current Index to Journals in Education written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 838 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Comparison of High School Dropout Rates in 1982 and 1992 written by Phillip Kaufman and published by Department of Education Office of Educational. This book was released on 1996 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The decade of the 1980s saw great change in the educational system. This report examines the changing demographics of high school students over the last decade and investigates the impact that these changes may have had on high school dropout rates. Specifically, the study examined the changing nature of the high school population during the last decade and describes the different effects of various student-level characteristics on the propensity for students to drop out of school between 1980 and 1982 compared to 1990 and 1992. The report provides data that depict changes in the characteristics of students' families, in students' economic backgrounds, in dropout rates, and in the characteristics of dropouts. Data show that during the 1980s, a growing number of students with characteristics traditionally associated with school failure began attending high school; at the same time, high school dropout rates decreased by almost 50 percent. The declines occurred among students with a variety of characteristics--minority and majority students, students in intact families and nonintact families, and students with children of their own living in their household. Many groups of students traditionally considered "at risk" for school failure dropped out at lower rates in 1990 than in 1980. However, there were other groups of students whose dropout rates did not improve. These were students from poor families, who had histories of poor academic achievement, and who had multiple risk factors in their backgrounds. The study used data on two cohorts of high school sophomores collected by the National Center for Education Statistics--the sophomore cohort of 1980 from the High School and Beyond (HS&B) study, and the sophomore cohort of 1990 from the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988 (NELS:88). Appendices contain methodological notes, standard error tables, and multivariate analyses. Eight figures and 57 tables are included. (LMI)
Download or read book Understanding Dropouts written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2001-08-29 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role played by testing in the nation's public school system has been increasing steadily-and growing more complicated-for more than 20 years. The Committee on Educational Excellence and Testing Equity (CEETE) was formed to monitor the effects of education reform, particularly testing, on students at risk for academic failure because of poverty, lack of proficiency in English, disability, or membership in population subgroups that have been educationally disadvantaged. The committee recognizes the important potential benefits of standards-based reforms and of test results in revealing the impact of reform efforts on these students. The committee also recognizes the valuable role graduation tests can potentially play in making requirements concrete, in increasing the value of a diploma, and in motivating students and educators alike to work to higher standards. At the same time, educational testing is a complicated endeavor, that reality can fall far short of the model, and that testing cannot by itself provide the desired benefits. If testing is improperly used, it can have negative effects, such as encouraging school leaving, that can hit disadvantaged students hardest. The committee was concerned that the recent proliferation of high school exit examinations could have the unintended effect of increasing dropout rates among students whose rates are already far higher than the average, and has taken a close look at what is known about influences on dropout behavior and at the available data on dropouts and school completion.
