Download or read book Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-06 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes results of Global Warming forecast using four methods. The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).
Download or read book Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-06 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication introduces four methods to forecast the global surface temperature over land and ocean (global warming). The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).
Download or read book Dataset CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 3 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes Business as Usual (BAU) forecast of world global CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) for 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [6]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The GDP forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world GDP will change from 126.3 MM$/y in 2020 to 728.1 MM$/y in 2100, a 476% increase. CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the GDP in the same year. The world 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP Cp$ in 2020 will decrease by 64% in 2100 to 0.000096 tCO2/$GDP.
Download or read book Dataset CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 3 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world's global CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) for 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The population forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world population will change from 7,795 million in 2020 to 15,206 million in 2100, a 95% increase. CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the population in the same year. The world CpC was 4.3366 tCO2/y,cap in 2020. The CpC forecast for 2100 is 4.6160 tCO2/y,cap, 6.4% increase.
Download or read book CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world’s global CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) in the period 2020-2100. The CO2 emissions BAU forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The GDP forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world GDP will change from 126.3 MM$/y in 2020 to 728.1 MM$/y in 2100, a 476% increase. CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the GDP in the same year. According to the forecast, the world 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP Cp$ in 2020 will decrease by 64% in 2100 to 0.000096 tCO2/$GDP. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 emissions forecast, CO2 emissions per GDP
Download or read book CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world’s global CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) in the period 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The population forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world population will change from 7,795 million in 2020 to 15,206 million in 2100, a 95% increase. CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the population in the same year. The world CpC was 4.3366 tCO2/y,cap in 2020. The BAU CpC forecast for 2100 is 4.6160 tCO2/y,cap, 6.4% increase.
Download or read book CO2 Emissions per GDP written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work analyzes CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) in the period 1990-2020. The dataset includes 192 countries, 99.1% of the population of the world, 99.4% of the world GDP and 99.6% of global CO2 emissions without international transport. The GDP per capita of the countries included in this work was in 2020 16,247$/cap compared to the world average 16,206$/cap. The world average Cp$ was 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP in 2020, 38% below the 1990 level. 62 countries increased their Cp$ between 1990 and 2020, increasing Global Warming by 0.057°C. CO2 emissions of 44 countries were above the world average Cp$ in the period 1990-2020. The emissions above the world average were 9% of global CO2 emissions in this period, which increased Global Warming by 0.055°C. 10 countries above the world average of Cp$ (2020) with the highest change in the cumulative CO2 emissions between 1990 and 2020, caused 44% of Global Warming in this period, +0.281°C. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per GDP
Download or read book Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per GDP to Reach 1 5 C 2 0 C Climate Change Limit in 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.5°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,353,587 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 18%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.7°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,086,161 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 9.34%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 2.0°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 1,684,038 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 5.91%. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per GDP, GDP per capita, Global Warming forecast
Download or read book Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per Capita to Reach 1 5 C 2 0 C Climate Change Limit in 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.5°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,359,526 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 17%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.7°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,085,593 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 7.85%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 2.0°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 1,683,503 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 4.46%. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per capita, Global Warming forecast
Download or read book Global Warming Datasets Converted to 1850 1900 Baseline written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-03-25 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication includes global warming databases converted to the uniform baseline. The publication includes NASA, NOAA and Berkeley Earth databases of global surface temperature changes in the period 1850-2021 for land+ocean, 1750-2021 for land only and 1880-2021 for ocean only. The databases are converted to the 1850-1900 baseline showing minor differences between them. 61 years linear trendlines indicate constant increase of global warming reaching in 2021 0.017 °C/y for land+ocean, 0.026 °C/y for land only, and 0.012 °C/y for ocean only.
Download or read book Global Warming Acceleration written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-22 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication analyzes changes of global warming rates (GWR) expressed in Centigrade per year (°C/y) and introduces a parameter “global warming acceleration” (GWA) expressed in Centigrade per year per year (°C/y2). GWA may be applied for prediction of the GWR for the next decade. If the current decrease of GWA will continue for the next 11 years, Global Warming Rate will increase from the current +0.017 °C/y to +0.019 °C/y, for land+ocean.
Download or read book Global Warming Baselines Conversion Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-03-21 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication includes a conversion table between various baselines of global surface temperature changes. The conversion factor from 1951-1980 to 1850-1900 baseline is +0.31°C for land+ocean, +0.49°C for land only, and +0.29°C for ocean only.
Download or read book Inconvenient Data written by George Root and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016-08-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a serious study of how the climate is changing based on the best available estimates of past global and sea surface temperatures. There is no doubt that the Earth's climate is warming. The analysis I will present in this book strongly suggests that CO2 is partially responsible for this warming. However, the global temperature record does not support the "climate catastrophe" predictions you will hear from the "consensus of scientists." The data do support the conclusion that global temperatures are going to remain fairly stable for the next 50 years. The "global warming" due to CO2 will be offset by a downward trend in temperatures caused by natural cyclic variations in climate. The estimated global temperature data, such as that maintained by the UK Met Office in conjunction with the Hadley Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, is the only actual hard evidence we have that the Earth's climate is changing. These data do not provide any evidence about what is causing the climate to change, but they do provide evidence about how the climate is changing. I am going to use standard data analysis tools to coerce that data into giving up its secrets about how the climate is changing. This study provides several really significant results. Good news for the planet and its inhabitants. Bad news for the politicians and "consensus of scientists" who believe that greenhouse gases, CO2 in particular, will soon cause a "climate catastrophe" of biblical proportions. These predictions are based upon an erroneous interpretation of the global temperature record that even a lay person unskilled in technical matters will be able to understand. This book is composed of two main parts. In the first part, a new model of climate change based on actual measured global temperature data is developed and validated. In the second part, this data based model's predictions of future temperatures are compared with the predictions produced by the IPCC computer simulations and endorsed by the "consensus of scientists." I will show that the IPCC predictions are entirely incompatible with the measured temperature data. I will show that, in order to make their computer simulations appear to match recent global temperatures on Earth, the IPCC has had to inflate the warming effect of CO2 by a factor of 5X. And it is this 5X multiplication of the effect of CO2 that is responsible for the IPCC's "climate catastrophe" predictions. The actual climate data refute the assertion that such a "catastrophe" is immanent.
Download or read book An R and S Plus Companion to Applied Regression written by John Fox and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2002-06-05 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book fits right into a needed niche: rigorous enough to give full explanation of the power of the S language, yet accessible enough to assign to social science graduate students without fear of intimidation. It is a tremendous balance of applied statistical "firepower" and thoughtful explanation. It meets all of the important mechanical needs: each example is given in detail, code and data are freely available, and the nuances of models are given rather than just the bare essentials. It also meets some important theoretical needs: linear models, categorical data analysis, an introduction to applying GLMs, a discussion of model diagnostics, and useful instructions on writing customized functions. " —JEFF GILL, University of Florida, Gainesville
Download or read book Climate Change written by The Royal Society and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2014-02-26 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate Change: Evidence and Causes is a jointly produced publication of The US National Academy of Sciences and The Royal Society. Written by a UK-US team of leading climate scientists and reviewed by climate scientists and others, the publication is intended as a brief, readable reference document for decision makers, policy makers, educators, and other individuals seeking authoritative information on the some of the questions that continue to be asked. Climate Change makes clear what is well-established and where understanding is still developing. It echoes and builds upon the long history of climate-related work from both national academies, as well as on the newest climate-change assessment from the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. It touches on current areas of active debate and ongoing research, such as the link between ocean heat content and the rate of warming.
Download or read book Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States written by U.S. Global Change Research Program and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-08-24 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summarizes the science of climate change and impacts on the United States, for the public and policymakers.
Download or read book Thriving on Our Changing Planet A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2019-06-18 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live on a dynamic Earth shaped by both natural processes and the impacts of humans on their environment. It is in our collective interest to observe and understand our planet, and to predict future behavior to the extent possible, in order to effectively manage resources, successfully respond to threats from natural and human-induced environmental change, and capitalize on the opportunities â€" social, economic, security, and more â€" that such knowledge can bring. By continuously monitoring and exploring Earth, developing a deep understanding of its evolving behavior, and characterizing the processes that shape and reshape the environment in which we live, we not only advance knowledge and basic discovery about our planet, but we further develop the foundation upon which benefits to society are built. Thriving on Our Changing Planet: A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space (National Academies Press, 2018) provides detailed guidance on how relevant federal agencies can ensure that the United States receives the maximum benefit from its investments in Earth observations from space, while operating within realistic cost constraints. This short booklet, designed to be accessible to the general public, provides a summary of the key ideas and recommendations from the full decadal survey report.
