Download or read book Currency Hedging Over Long Horizons written by Kenneth Froot and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reexamines the widely-held wisdom that the currency exposure of international investments should be entirely hedged. It finds that the previously documented ability of hedges to reduce portfolio return variance holds at short horizons, but not at long horizons. At horizons of several years, complete hedging not only does not lower return variance, it actually increases the return variance of many portfolios. Hedge ratios chosen to minimize long-run return variance are not only low, they also have no perceptible impact on return variance. The paper reports and explores these results, their apparent causes, and investigates their implications for hedging practice.

Download or read book Currency Hedging for International Portfolios written by Jochen M. Schmittmann and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-06-01 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the benefits from hedging the currency exposure of international investments in single- and multi-country equity and bond portfolios from the perspectives of German, Japanese, British and American investors. Over the period 1975 to 2009, hedging of currency risk substantially reduced the volatility of foreign investments at a quarterly investment horizon. Contrary to previous studies, the paper finds that at longer investment horizons of up to five years the case for hedging for risk reduction purposes remained strong.In addition to its impact on risk, hedging affected returns in economically meaningful magnitudes in some cases.

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Risk Premia Over Short and Long Horizons microform Frequentist and Bayesian Perspectives written by Bauer, Gregory Harvey and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 2001 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Some Like It Hedged written by Momtchil Pojarliev and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2018-11-07 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign currency exposure is a by-product of international investing. When obtaining global asset exposure, investors also obtain the embedded foreign currency exposure. Left unmanaged, this currency exposure acts like a buy-and-hold currency strategy, which receives little or no risk premium and adds unwanted volatility. In “Some Like It Hedged,” the author shows that the impact of foreign currency exposure on institutional portfolios depends significantly on the base currency of the investors and the specific composition of their portfolios. In general, investors whose base currency is negatively correlated with global equities, as are the US dollar and the Japanese yen, will reduce the volatility of their portfolios by fully hedging foreign currency exposure. In contrast, investors whose home currency is positively correlated with global equities, as is the Canadian dollar, will benefit from keeping some unhedged foreign currency exposure—in particular, exposure to the US dollar. Finally, investors with larger allocations to domestic assets will experience only small reductions in volatility from hedging. Pojarliev discusses a variety of options to address foreign currency exposures. Although there is no single best-practice solution for addressing foreign currency exposures, institutional investors have three main choices. Do nothing (i.e., maintain unhedged foreign currency exposure). Doing nothing is always the easiest option, but from a risk–return perspective, it could be the worst available choice. Currency has no long-term expected return because, although it is a risk exposure, it is not an economic asset. Hence, long-term currency returns are expected to be zero. Hedging should, therefore, have no long-term impact on the return and only affect the volatility. The volatility reduction from hedging can be redeployed more efficiently by increasing exposure to economic assets for which a risk premium exists. Hedge passively (i.e., maintain a constant hedge ratio).In general, hedging some of the foreign currency risk will decrease the volatility of the portfolio. The relationship between a specific hedge ratio and the decrease in volatility depends on the particular portfolio and, most importantly, on the base currency of the investor. Yet, passive hedging creates its own problems, including negative cash flow generation when foreign currencies are appreciating and detraction from returns because of hedging costs. Passive hedging might also introduce a major market-timing risk. If the base currency weakens after a passive policy is implemented, the investor will suffer substantial hedging losses when the forward currency hedging contracts settle. Hedge actively (i.e., vary the hedge ratio). One way to address the market-timing risk of implementing a passive hedging program is to actively time the hedging of the foreign currencies. An active hedging program seeks to reduce the risk of the foreign currency exposure but varies the hedge ratios for the various currencies based on market views to avoid negative cash flow and to generate positive returns. A successful active hedging program should both add to the return of the portfolio and lower the volatility, and it should outperform both an unhedged and a passive hedging benchmark. The best choice to address foreign currency exposure will differ from institution to institution, but it boils down to two fundamental factors. First, the optimal solution depends on the importance of risk versus return and the institution’s tolerance for negative cash flow. Second, investors must decide whether they believe that currency managers are able to achieve a positive information ratio over the long run after fees and, importantly, whether they will be able to identify these currency managers. Any currency policy will depend on the details of the specific portfolio—in particular, on the base currency of the investor and the size of the foreign currency exposure.

Download or read book The Term Structure of Currency Hedge Ratios written by Olaf Korn and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many firms face product price risk in foreign currency, uncertain costs in home currency and exchange rate risk. If prices and exchange rates in different countries interact, natural hedges of foreign exchange risk might result. If the effectiveness of such hedges depends on the hedge horizon, they might affect a firm's usage of foreign exchange derivatives at different horizons and lead to a term structure of optimal hedge ratios.We analyze this issue by deriving the variance minimizing hedge position in currency forward contracts within a basic model of an exporting firm that is exposed to different risks. In an empirical study, we quantify the term structure of hedge ratios for a quot;typicalquot; German firm that is exporting either to the United States, the United Kingdom or Japan, using a cointegrated vector autoregressive models of prices, interest rates and exchange rates.Our main empirical result shows that the term structure of hedge ratios is clearly decreasing for all currencies considered, going down to a half or less for a hedge horizon of ten years. We have found that one explanation is that revenue risk increases more strongly with the hedge horizon than does exchange rate risk. The main reason, however, lies in the correlation structure between different risks that varies with the hedge horizon due to cointegration relations; i.e., we observe natural hedges at long horizons. As a consequence, hedging effectiveness decreases much less with the hedge horizon than hedge ratios.For long horizons, there can also be substantial differences between currencies. For instance, the ten-years hedge ratio for the British Pound still amounts to 53% in comparison to 34% for the US Dollar. In contrast, the difference for shorter horizons of up to two years is very small.In conclusion, our findings can (partly) explain the severe underhedging of long-term exchange rate exposures that is frequently observed and have important implications for the design of risk management strategies.

Download or read book The Currency Hedging Debate written by Lee R. Thomas and published by Ifr Publishing. This book was released on 1990 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title provides a forum for the discussion surrounding the use of currency hedging for portfolio managment and examines the arguments for the different hedging techniques. The main arguments are outlined with contributions from both academics and practitioners. The evidence on the performance of various funds is examined in detail.

Download or read book Mastering Illiquidity written by Thomas Meyer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-06-10 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Arms investors with powerful new tools for measuring and managing the risks associated with the various illiquid asset classes With risk-free interest rates and risk premiums at record lows, many investors are turning to illiquid assets, such as real estate, private equity, infrastructure and timber, in search of superior returns and greater portfolio diversity. But as many analysts, investors and wealth managers are discovering, such investments bring with them a unique set of risks that cannot be measured by standard asset allocation models. Written by a dream team of globally renowned experts in the field, this book provides a clear, accessible overview of illiquid fund investments, focusing on what the main risks of these asset classes are and how to measure those risks in today's regulatory environment. Provides solutions for institutional investors in need of guidance in today's regulatory environment Offers detailed descriptions of risk measurement in illiquid asset classes, illustrated with real life case studies Helps you to develop reliable risk management tools while complying with the regulations designed to contain the individual and systemic risks arising from illiquid investments Features real-life case studies that capture an array of risk management scenarios you are likely to encounter

Download or read book Efficient Currency Hedging for Australian Superfunds written by Jie Ding and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hedging reduces the volatility of the portfolio return when currency return and unhedged equity returns are negatively correlated. Australian dollar returns are highly negatively correlated with equity returns when the investment horizon is long. Hence as a long term benchmark, Australian superannuation funds should fully hedge the currency risk of their equity portfolio. Interest rate differentials and real exchange rates between Australian dollar and foreign currencies are found to be good indicators for an efficient dynamic hedging strategy in the short term.

Download or read book Currencies written by MSCI. Inc. and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the question of whether currency hedging pays off in the long run using data from the hedged and unhedged versions of the MSCI Global Investable Market Indices. These data allow us to perform comparisons of unusually large breadth (4 base currencies and 40 markets) and history (1987 to 2008). Our research indicates that the answer depends not only on the base currency, market, and hedging horizon, but also on the investor's goals, e.g. risk reduction or return/risk maximization.

Download or read book FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility Korea s Case written by Mr.Jack Ree and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-07 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks’ foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after the crisis, including decreasing demand for currency hedges and the diversifying investor base for bonds, point to a possible weakening of the interaction mechanism; and we find evidences are strongly supportive of this.

Download or read book International Finance written by Maurice D. Levi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-05-07 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this updated fourth edition, author Maurice Levi successfully integrates both the micro and macro aspects of international finance. He sucessfully explores managerial issues and focuses on problems arising from financial trading relations between nations, whilst covering key topics such as: * organization of foreign exchange markets * determination of exchange rates * the fundamental principles of international finance * foreign exchange risk and exposure * fixed and flexible exchange rates. This impressive new edition builds and improves upon the popular style and structure of the original. With new data, improved pedagogy, and coverage of all of the main developments in international finance over the last few years, this book will prove essential reading for students of economics and business.

Download or read book Uncertain Growth Cycles Corporate Investment and Dynamic Hedging written by Adam Yonce and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the theory of finance, uncertainty plays a crucial role. Economists often use the terms uncertainty and volatility interchangeably, yet volatility is not the only form of uncertainty. Firms face uncertainty about whether the economy is in an expansionary or recessionary state, industries face regulatory uncertainty, and individuals face uncertainty about risk premia. In this dissertation, I consider the role that uncertainty about growth rates, regulatory policy, and risk premia play in the investment decisions of firms and individuals. The key theme linking the three chapters is learning in dynamic environments. In Chapter 1, I study the effects of demand growth uncertainty on corporate investment decisions. In particular, how does uncertainty about the state of the economy and the state of demand growth affect a firm's decision to allocate capital to irreversible investment projects? In the model, firms are able to choose both the timing and scale of their investments, and the optimal scale will depend on the unobserved state of demand growth. This second decision gives rise to an incentive to delay investment that does not exist in standard real option models: When investment is irreversible, firms risk allocating a sub-optimal level of capital to a project. Theoretically, I show how this incentive to delay is closely linked to the benefits of learning about the economy. Empirically, using estimated probabilities filtered from GDP growth, I find that 1) beliefs about the economy inform corporate investment decisions, and 2) the relationship between investment and beliefs is quadratic. In Chapter 2, I study an empirical extension of the model. Many industries in the United States face regulatory uncertainty, and a natural conjecture is that increased regulatory uncertainty has a dampening effect on investment if 1) regulatory policy affects the cash flows of the firm, 2) firms have flexibility over the scale of their investments, and 3) regulatory uncertainty resolves quickly. While regulatory uncertainty is not observable, I consider two proxies: A variable indicating Presidential election years, and a variable indicating divided government. The former is meant to capture policy uncertainty associated with the possibility of a change in government, while the latter is meant to capture policy uncertainty associated with ideological variance. Empirically, both measures are associated with a decrease in corporate investment rates, consistent with the theoretical framework. The second purpose of this chapter is to highlight the dangers of making inferences about investment using inconsistent estimators and regressions that fail to account for plausible alternative hypotheses. Previous work linking investment to the political cycle relies on least squares estimators that are inconsistent because the firm-specific control variables are endogenous to the investment decision. For a specific sub-sample of non-manufacturing firms, I show that least squares estimates easily reject the null hypothesis, while consistent first-difference estimates fail to do so. Finally, I include a control for the fiscal environment of the federal government, which helps to uncover important dynamics between investment, the budget deficit, and the election cycle. In chapter 3, I consider the currency hedging problem of a risk-averse international investor who faces an unobservable currency risk premium. A non-zero risk premium introduces a speculative motive for holding foreign currency in the optimal portfolio, and a time-varying risk premium introduces a market-timing strategy. Uncertainty about the stochastic properties of the risk premium significantly tames both the speculative and market timing components, especially at long investment horizons, and the optimal hedge approaches a complete hedge as risk aversion and the investment horizon increase. However, an investor who ignores the risk premium and fully hedges foreign investments faces a substantial opportunity cost because she forgoes the benefits of dynamic learning.

Download or read book Forecasting and Hedging in the Foreign Exchange Markets written by Christian Ullrich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-30 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Historical and recent developments at international ?nancial markets show that it is easy to loose money, while it is dif?cult to predict future developments and op- mize decision-making towards maximizing returns and minimizing risk. One of the reasons of our inability to make reliable predictions and to make optimal decisions is the growing complexity of the global economy. This is especially true for the f- eign exchange market (FX market) which is considered as one of the largest and most liquid ?nancial markets. Its grade of ef?ciencyand its complexityis one of the starting points of this volume. From the high complexity of the FX market, Christian Ullrich deduces the - cessity to use tools from machine learning and arti?cial intelligence, e.g., support vector machines, and to combine such methods with sophisticated ?nancial mod- ing techniques. The suitability of this combination of ideas is demonstrated by an empirical study and by simulation. I am pleased to introduce this book to its - dience, hoping that it will provide the reader with interesting ideas to support the understanding of FX markets and to help to improve risk management in dif?cult times. Moreover, I hope that its publication will stimulate further research to contribute to the solution of the many open questions in this area.

Download or read book International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity written by International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-07 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of the guidelines published in 2001 sets forth the underlying framework for the Reserves Data Template and provides operational advice for its use. The updated version also includes three new appendices aimed at assisting member countries in reporting the required data.

Download or read book Currencies Commodities and Consumption written by Kenneth W. Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discusses economic issues associated with exchange rates, commodity prices, the economic size of countries and alternatives to PPP exchange rates.

Download or read book International Finance 5th Edition written by and published by Routledge. This book was released on with total page 605 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Handbook of Exchange Rates written by Jessica James and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-29 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.