Download or read book Consumption and Real Exchange Rates in Dynamic Exchange Economies with Nontraded Goods written by David Backus and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals written by Luca Antonio Ricci and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper employs newly constructed measures for productivity differentials, external imbalances, and commodity terms of trade to estimate a panel cointegrating relationship between real exchange rates and a set of fundamentals for a sample of 48 industrial countries and emerging markets. It finds evidence of a strong positive relation between the CPI-based real exchange rate and commodity terms of trade. The estimated impact of productivity growth differentials between traded and nontraded goods, while statistically significant, is small. Increases in net foreign assets and in government consumption tend to be associated with appreciating real exchange rates.
Download or read book Consumption and Real Exchange Rates with Incomplete Markets and Non traded Goods written by Gianluca Benigno and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods written by Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-02-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to provide a perspective on real exchange rate developments following the inception of the EMS. The focus is on structural determinants of real exchange rates, notably the behavior of tradables and nontradable prices and productivity. It is found that changes in the relative price of tradable goods in terms of nontradables account for a sizable fraction of real exchange rate dynamics during the EMS period. Sectoral productivity growth differential help explain the behavior of the relative price of tradable goods, especially in the long run. There is also some evidence that the EMS has extended on relative price behavior.
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the Presence of Nontraded Goods and Transaction Costs written by Inkoo Lee and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The exchange rate is a crucial variable linking a nation's domestic economy to the international market. Thus choice of an exchange rate regime is a central component in the economic policy of developing countries and a key factor affecting economic growth. Historically, most developing nations have employed strict exchange rate controls and heavy protection of domestic industry-policies now thought to be at odds with sustainable and desirable rates of economic growth. By contrast, many East Asian nations maintained exchange rate regimes designed to achieve an attractive climate for exports and an "outer-oriented" development strategy. The result has been rapid and consistent economic growth over the past few decades. Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries explores the impact of such diverse exchange control regimes in both historical and regional contexts, focusing particular attention on East Asia. This comprehensive, carefully researched volume will surely become a standard reference for scholars and policymakers.
Download or read book Consumption Dynamics and Real Exchange Rates written by Morten O. Ravn and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Nontraded Goods Prices and Real Exchange Rate Volatility written by Marco Aurelio Hernandez Vega and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation provides new empirical evidence on the importance of nontraded goods in real exchange rate volatility as well as two essays that evaluate the performance of a new trade model á la Ghironi and Melitz [2005] in replicating such evidence. Chapter 2 provides new empirical evidence by looking at more highly disaggregated data than used in previous literature on consumer price index components and trade for the US and Mexico for the period 2002 to 2009. The main empirical results from this exercise suggest that the relative price of nontraded to traded goods (RERN) accounts for between 64% and 73% of the real exchange rate volatility which is significantly higher than that found in past studies (around 30%). The correlation between RERN and the real exchange rate is 71%. In contrast with previous literature lower frequency data increases the importance of RERN in the real exchange rate volatility: for quarterly data it is between 68% and 84% and for annual data the importance is between 78% and 88%. These results provide new evidence against the sticky price theory; while they generally support the Balassa-Samuelson theory, facts regarding the correlation of traded and nontraded goods prices point to the need to modify some features of this theory. Chapter 3 evaluates whether a "new trade" model, where entry of heterogeneous firms into international trade is endogenous, can explain the empirical facts documented in chapter 2 better than can a standard Balassa-Samuelson theory, where nontraded goods are exogenously determined. A symmetric two country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous firms and entry and exit from domestic and export markets, á la Ghironi and Melitz (2005), performs reasonably well in certain dimensions. Simulations show that the importance of the relative price of nontraded to traded goods (RERN) can explain between 80% and 89% of real exchange rate fluctuations, and can explain a correlation between RERN and the real exchange rate of 97%. The model fails to replicate the empirical evidence that the relative price of nontraded to traded goods is negatively correlated with the relative price of traded goods. Finally, in chapter 4 I calibrate the model to an asymmetric equilibrium where two different economies interact, one large economy representing the US and one small economy representing Mexico. The calibration will involve updating the value of some exogenous variables like the fixed export costs and re-calibrating the shape parameter k from the Pareto distribution. As a result of this new calibration the steady state of the model matches some of the US-Mexico relationships quite well. For example, the steady state of the model implies that home consumption is four times higher than foreign consumption. This value is close to the one reported by Bergin and Glick [2009]. Home real wage is 1.4 times that of foreign country. This value is significantly smaller than the values reported in other studies where wages in the US are up to eight times higher than in Mexico. Nevertheless, it can be considered a good feature of the model that home wages are higher. I conclude that the asymmetric calibration of the Ghironi and Melitz [2005] model improves its performance in replicating the stylized facts reported in chapter two, although, with some caveats regarding the signs and magnitudes of some of the correlations and the fact that moving from monthly to quarterly frequencies does not increases the importance of the relative price of nontraded to traded goods in explaining real exchange rate volatility.
Download or read book Consumption and Real Exchange Rates in Professional Forecasts written by Michael B. Devereux and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Standard models of international risk sharing with complete asset markets predict a positive association between relative consumption growth and real exchange-rate depreciation across countries. The striking lack of evidence for this link the consumption/real-exchange-rate anomaly or Backus-Smith puzzle - has prompted research on risk-sharing indicators with incomplete asset markets. That research generally implies that the association holds in forecasts, rather than realizations. Using professional forecasts for 28 countries for 1990-2008 we find no such association, thus deepening the puzzle. Independent evidence on the weak link between forecasts for consumption and real interest rates suggests that the presence of 'hand-to-mouth' consumers may help to resolve the anomaly.
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate and Consumption Fluctuations Following Trade Liberalization written by Kristian J. Hartelius and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two-sector models with traded and non-traded goods have problems accounting for the stylized fact that the real exchange rate appreciates and consumption booms for several years following trade liberalization, or exchange-rate-based stabilization programs, in small open economies. The paper studies three potential solutions to this 'price-consumption puzzle' and evaluates their quantitative importance in calibrated simulations of Spain's accession to the European Community in 1986. Extending the standard two-sector framework, the paper investigates the effects of relative productivity growth in the traded sector along the lines of Balassa-Samuelson, of time-to-build, and of habit formation in preferences. In contrast to previous studies, we find that habit formation on its own does not enable the model to account for the observed real exchange rate and consumption dynamics. The analysis shows that a calibrated version of the model augmented with all three mechanisms can account for much of the price-consumption dynamics after trade liberalization, without losing explanatory power for other real variables in the Spanish economy after 1986.
Download or read book Currencies Commodities and Consumption written by Kenneth W. Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discusses economic issues associated with exchange rates, commodity prices, the economic size of countries and alternatives to PPP exchange rates.
Download or read book Non Tradable Goods and the Real Exchange Rate written by Pau Rabanal and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How important are nontradable goods and distribution costs to explain real exchange rate dynamics? We answer this question by estimating a general equilibrium model with intermediate and final tradable and nontradable goods. We obtain reasonable estimated parameter values using Bayesian methods, and find that the estimated model can match real exchange rate persistence and, to less extent, volatility. Nontradable sector technology shocks explain about one third of real exchange rate volatility. We present impulse responses to better understand the transmission mechanism of shocks in the open economy. We also show that in order to explain the low correlation between the ratio of relative consumption and the real exchange rates across countries, fiscal policy shocks are necessary in the model, in addition to technology shocks.
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Transition Economies written by Fabrizio Coricelli and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates written by Jerome Leon Stein and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1995 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It concentrates on the real exchange rate, and explains medium-to long-run movements in equilibrium real exchange rates in terms of fundamental variables: the productivity of capital and social (public plus private) thrift at home and abroad.
Download or read book Exchange Rate Policy and the Role of Non Traded Goods Prices in Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Nestor Azcona and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a DSGE model of two small open economies to explain certain features of real exchange rate cyclical fluctuations in countries with fixed and flexible exchange rates, focusing on the role of traded and non-traded goods prices. In particular, the model illustrates why the relative price of nontraded goods and the relative price between domestic and foreign traded goods are more volatile than the real exchange rate under a fixed exchange rate but not under a flexible exchange rate, why deviations from purchasing power parity for traded goods prices can be more volatile under a fixed exchange rate than under a flexible exchange rate, and why there is no correlation between the volatility of the real exchange rate and its variance decomposition.
Download or read book Real Exchange Rates In Developing Countries written by Mr.Mohsin S. Khan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-10-01 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is little empirical research on whether Balassa-Samuelson effects can explain the long-run behavior of real exchange rates in developing countries. This paper presents new evidence on this issue based on a panel data sample of 16 developing countries. The paper finds that the traded-nontraded productivity differential is a significant determinant of the relative price of nontraded goods, and the relative price in turn exerts a significant effect on the real exchange rate. The terms of trade also influence the real exchange rate. These results provide strong verification of Balassa-Samuelson effects for developing countries.
Download or read book PPP Strikes Back written by Mr. Haroon Mumtaz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When heterogeneity is properly taken into account, estimates of the real exchange rate half-life fall dramatically, to little more than one year, or significantly below Rogoff''s "consensus view" of three to five years. We show that corrected estimates are consistent with plausible nominal rigidities, thus, arguably, solving the PPP puzzle.
