Download or read book Concepts for Improving the Military Content of Automated War Games written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes one aspect of recent work in the Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC), the challenge of finding ways to incorporate military realism in analytically oriented automated war games. Meeting the challenge has required developing new concepts and techniques that show great promise. The philosophy behind them has even greater applicability. One such concept is that of analytic war plans, logic structures attempting to capture the many high-level decision points that would be faced by the United States and Soviet Union in conflict. The analytic war plans are abstract rule-based generalizations of decision trees. The other concept treated in this paper defines an approach to combat modeling that sacrifices analytic elegance for pragmatism as part of a philosophy requiring the RSAC to treat numerous special phenomena of war that can have important implications even at the strategy level, but which have traditionally been ignored or poorly treated in analytic models. (Author).
Download or read book Improving the Military Content of Strategy Analysis Using Automated War Games written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Note describes new concepts for building a high degree of military content into the automated war games. The concepts involve rule-based logic structures that we call 'analytic war plans, ' and higher-resolution versions that we refer to as 'branched scripts.' These logic structures define the range of strategies and grand tactics from which the computer models ('Red Agent' and 'Blue Agent') can choose. The Note also describes our intended approach to combat modeling and explains how we intend to achieve realism and to reflect effects of numerous special phenomena usually ignored by modelers (e.g., attacks on C3I systems and disruptions of rear areas).
Download or read book Automated War Gaming as a Technique for Exploring Strategic Command and Control Issues written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This document describes a preliminary concept for including strategic command and control effects within the automated war gaming of Rand's Strategy Assessment Center. The concept features: a top-down functionally oriented approach relevant to the interests of civilian and military leaders; a hierarchical and otherwise multilevel gaming structure; and heuristic rule-based models using a variety of artificial intelligence techniques. The approach will be sensitive to key features of war plans and control procedures. It will make a start on reflecting such phenomena as nonunitary decisionmaking, deception, and confusion. It will take into account some of the asymmetries distinguishing the U.S. and the Soviet approach to Command Control Communications and Intelligence. Initial versions of the implemented concept should be useful and interesting but will be relatively simple; with time, it should be possible to evolve gracefully and use some of the detailed models available on pieces of the overall C3I problems. (Author).
Download or read book Modeling and Analysis of Conventional Defense in Europe written by Reiner K. Huber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a collection of contributions to a workshop on "Long-teY'fr/ Development of NATO's Conventional Forrward Defense" to which the GERMAN STRATEGY FORUM (DSF*» had invited some 50 systems analysts and defense experts of the United States, the United Kingdom, the Federal Republic of Germany and the SHAPE Technical Centre. Held in Bonn from 2 to 4 December 1984, this workshop was to provide a forum for the dis cussion, at a non-political expert level and in the light of available analysis results, of proposals for the improvement of NATO's conventional defense capabilities. In addition, it aimed at arriving at some recommenda tions as to which of these proposals deserve to be studied further and what methodological deficiencies must be alleviated and information gaps closed for an adequate assessment. The idea to organize this workshop has been discussed ever since 1980 with several defense systems analysts in the US and the UK who shared the opinion that, with a view to the immense global build-up of the Soviet threat on one hand and the stringency of defense resources in most NATO countries on the other, there is no reason that could permit us to dismiss any proposal promising improvement without careful study.
Download or read book Game structured Analysis as a Framework for Defense Planning written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Applying Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Strategic level Gaming and Simulation written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes a large-scale program melding rule-based modeling and traditional simulation in the problem domain of game-structured military strategic analysis in the RAND Strategy Assessment Center. It then draws on the program's experience to discuss paradigms from artificial intelligence, concepts and techniques for representing knowledge in a policy domain having no body of acknowledged experts or experimental data, and lessons from managing the related research and software development. Finally it discusses implications for the ability to reflect concepts of bounded rationality and organizational behavior in policy analysis.
Download or read book A Bibliography of Selected Rand Publications written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Naval War College Review written by Naval War College (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Proceedings of the 1987 IEEE International Conference on Systems Man and Cybernetics October 20 23 1987 Radisson Mark Plaza Hotel Alexandria Virginia written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Government Reports Announcements Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1983-12 with total page 1036 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Simulation and Wargaming written by Charles Turnitsa and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-02-15 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the potential synergies between computer simulation and wargaming Based on the insights of experts in both domains, Simulation and Wargaming comprehensively explores the intersection between computer simulation and wargaming. This book shows how the practice of wargaming can be augmented and provide more detail-oriented insights using computer simulation, particularly as the complexity of military operations and the need for computational decision aids increases. The distinguished authors have hit upon two practical areas that have tremendous applications to share with one another but do not seem to be aware of that fact. The book includes insights into: The application of the data-driven speed inherent to computer simulation to wargames The application of the insight and analysis gained from wargames to computer simulation The areas of concern raised by the combination of these two disparate yet related fields New research and application opportunities emerging from the intersection Addressing professionals in the wargaming, modeling, and simulation industries, as well as decision makers and organizational leaders involved with wargaming and simulation, Simulation and Wargaming offers a multifaceted and insightful read and provides the foundation for future interdisciplinary progress in both domains.
Download or read book Army of None Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War written by Paul Scharre and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2018-04-24 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the 2019 William E. Colby Award "The book I had been waiting for. I can't recommend it highly enough." —Bill Gates The era of autonomous weapons has arrived. Today around the globe, at least thirty nations have weapons that can search for and destroy enemy targets all on their own. Paul Scharre, a leading expert in next-generation warfare, describes these and other high tech weapons systems—from Israel’s Harpy drone to the American submarine-hunting robot ship Sea Hunter—and examines the legal and ethical issues surrounding their use. “A smart primer to what’s to come in warfare” (Bruce Schneier), Army of None engages military history, global policy, and cutting-edge science to explore the implications of giving weapons the freedom to make life and death decisions. A former soldier himself, Scharre argues that we must embrace technology where it can make war more precise and humane, but when the choice is life or death, there is no replacement for the human heart.
Download or read book The Role of Automated War Gaming in Strategic Analysis written by Bruce W. Bennett and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the last several years, The Rand Corporation's Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) has been developing a new framework for strategy analysis. This paper reviews the effort and discusses early RSAC experience with automated war gaming, which includes not only computerized force modeling and bookkeeping, but also automated decision making. The initial focus was on strategic forces. It became obvious that Rand also had to handle major conventional conflicts as well, since the use of strategic forces seemed most likely to escalate from theater conflict. Furthermore, most analysts felt that the outcomes of theater conflicts were critical to the outcome of the war even after the employment of strategic forces. Rand is therefore producing a simulation of integrated, global conflict, which assesses the capabilities of both conventional and nuclear forces in various contigencies. Rand also emphasized model flexibility that facilitates sensitivity testing of both military and political issues--providing the capability to answer a broad range of 'what if?' questions.
Download or read book Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference On Systems Man and Cybernetics written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Rand s Experience in Applying Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Strategic level Military political War Gaming written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper highlights some recent experience in Rand's Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC), a large-scale DoD program to develop new concepts and techniques combining features of war gaming and analytic modeling. The centerpiece of the program is a system for automated war gaming in which some or all political and military national decisions can be made by automatons, and in which both force operations and combat are described by theater and strategic-level models. The RSAC development program is providing a wealth of technical and managerial lessons in adapting and extending such artificial intelligence (AI) techniques as scripts, production rules, English-readable programming languages, goal-directed search, and pattern matching. Most previous AI applications have dealt with smaller and less-complex problems, and have not had to combine AI techniques with those of well-structured system programming and algorithmic combat modeling. Also, the RSAC integration effort has brought together professionals from at least a half-dozen cultures with good ideas but different notions of what constitutes good practice and natural logic. The experience has been illuminating, and the emerging synthesis is unlike previous simulations of which we are aware. (Author).
Download or read book Explanation Mechanisms for Knowledge based Models in the Rand Strategy Assessment System written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This user's manual for understanding the behavior of knowledge-based decision models written in the RAND-ABEL programming language and incorporated in the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) teaches the user how to use the RSAS explanation mechanisms. The limiting factor is often the user's intuition about where to look for the evaluation of variables determining the values of higher-level variables in the RSAS's hierarchical models. Success depends on a top-down understanding of the models (since the RSAS knowledge-based programs are structured to match the conceptual models). Summary procedures that work well and efficiently assist the user.
