Download or read book Common Stochastic Trends Cycles and Sectoral Fluctuations written by Anthony Garratt and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Common Stochastic Trends Common Cycles and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations written by Chang-Jin Kim and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Common Stochastic Trends Common Cycles and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. Federal Reserve Board presents the full text of an article entitled "Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations," by Chang-Jin Kim and Jeremy Piger. The article discusses the nature of business cycle asymmetry using a dynamic factor model of output, investment, and consumption.
Download or read book Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations in a Large Open Economy written by Stephen B. DeLoach and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations written by Robert Graham King and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Common Trends and Common Cycles in Macroeconomic Data written by João Victor Issler and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Download or read book Common Stochastic Trends Common Cycles and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations written by Chang-Jin Kim and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper investigates the nature of business cycle asymmetry using a dynamic factor model of output, investment, and consumption. We first identify a common stochastic trend and a common transitory component by embedding the permanent income hypothesis within a simple growth model. We then investigate two types of asymmetry commonly identified in U.S. business cycle dynamics: (1) Infrequent negative permanent shocks, modeled as shifts in the growth rate of the common stochastic trend and (2) infrequent negative transitory shocks, modeled as "plucking" deviations from the common stochastic trend. Tests of marginal significance suggest both types of asymmetry were present in post-war recessions, although the shifts in trend are less severe than the received literature suggests."
Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
Download or read book Cycles Growth and Structural Change written by Lionello F Punzo and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume gathers together key new contributions on the subject of the relationship, both empirical and theoretical, between economic oscillations, growth and structural change. Employing a sophisticated level of mathematical modelling, the collection contains articles from, amongst others, William Baumol, Katsuhito Iwai and William Brock.
Download or read book Essays on the Long and Short run Dynamics of Macro variables in the Pacific Rim Countries written by Mohd. Pisal Zainal and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend Cycle Estimation written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-20 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.
Download or read book Central America written by Mr.Dominique Desruelle and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-11-24 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central America has made substantial progress in recent years in moving economic reforms forward and deepening regional and global integration. As result of these efforts, the region has experienced higher growth, increased capital inflows, and some reductions in poverty rates. But Central America remains vulnerable to adverse shocks and continues to face widespread poverty. While today Central America is in better condition to face such shocks, the current turmoil in global financial markets and U.S. growth slowdown could put at risk the hard-won gains of recent years. Faced with these challenges, the authorities are monitoring developments closely and are taking precautionary measures, but they also need to continue implementing productivity-enhancing reforms and measures aimed at reducing income inequality and poverty.
Download or read book The Dynamics of Cities written by Dimitrios Dendrinos and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-09-26 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dimitrios Dendrinos, an expert in the application of non-linear dynamics and chaos theory to the subject of urban and regional dynamics, focuses here on fundamental issues in population growth and decline. He approaches the topic of urban growth and decline within a global system perspective, viewing the rise and fall of cities, industries and nations as the result of global interdependencies which lead to unstable dynamics and widespread dualisms. Professor Dendrinos provides valuable insights into the evolution of human settlements and considers the possible futures open to the giant cities of the world.
Download or read book Inflation Employment and Business Fluctuations written by Bozzano G Luisa and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2000-11-16 with total page 746 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Textbook on Macroeconomic Knowledge and Analysis
Download or read book Central America s Regional Trends and U S Cycles written by Shaun K. Roache and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-02 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economies of Central America share a close relationship with the United States, with considerable comovement of GDP growth over a long period of time. Using the common cycles method of Vahid and Engle (1993), this paper suggests that the business cycles in Central America are dominated by the U.S. The most cyclically sensitive countries include Costa Rica, El Salvador, and Honduras.
