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Book Combining Fuzzy Imprecision with Probabilistic Uncertainty in Decision Making

Download or read book Combining Fuzzy Imprecision with Probabilistic Uncertainty in Decision Making written by Mario Fedrizzi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the literature of decision analysis it is traditional to rely on the tools provided by probability theory to deal with problems in which uncertainty plays a substantive role. In recent years, however, it has become increasingly clear that uncertainty is a mul tifaceted concept in which some of the important facets do not lend themselves to analysis by probability-based methods. One such facet is that of fuzzy imprecision, which is associated with the use of fuzzy predicates exemplified by small, large, fast, near, likely, etc. To be more specific, consider a proposition such as "It is very unlikely that the price of oil will decline sharply in the near future," in which the italicized words play the role of fuzzy predicates. The question is: How can one express the mean ing of this proposition through the use of probability-based methods? If this cannot be done effectively in a probabilistic framework, then how can one employ the information provided by the proposition in question to bear on a decision relating to an investment in a company engaged in exploration and marketing of oil? As another example, consider a collection of rules of the form "If X is Ai then Y is B,," j = 1, . . . , n, in which X and Yare real-valued variables and Ai and Bi are fuzzy numbers exemplified by small, large, not very small, close to 5, etc.

Book

    Book Details:
  • Author :
  • Publisher : Springer Nature
  • Release :
  • ISBN : 3031424700
  • Pages : 581 pages

Download or read book written by and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 581 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Combining Interval  Probabilistic  and Other Types of Uncertainty in Engineering Applications

Download or read book Combining Interval Probabilistic and Other Types of Uncertainty in Engineering Applications written by Andrew Pownuk and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-05-03 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can we solve engineering problems while taking into account data characterized by different types of measurement and estimation uncertainty: interval, probabilistic, fuzzy, etc.? This book provides a theoretical basis for arriving at such solutions, as well as case studies demonstrating how these theoretical ideas can be translated into practical applications in the geosciences, pavement engineering, etc. In all these developments, the authors’ objectives were to provide accurate estimates of the resulting uncertainty; to offer solutions that require reasonably short computation times; to offer content that is accessible for engineers; and to be sufficiently general - so that readers can use the book for many different problems. The authors also describe how to make decisions under different types of uncertainty. The book offers a valuable resource for all practical engineers interested in better ways of gauging uncertainty, for students eager to learn and apply the new techniques, and for researchers interested in processing heterogeneous uncertainty.

Book Emerging Technologies

    Book Details:
  • Author : Nora Savage
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2013-05-07
  • ISBN : 9814411000
  • Pages : 344 pages

Download or read book Emerging Technologies written by Nora Savage and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-05-07 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) methodologies affect the public health and environmental impacts from a material, product, process or activity. The authors of this book suggest that a more holistic approach that incorporates societal and behavioral dimensions will create better results. They discuss how to develop an adaptive framework that would include a wider range of perspectives and disciplines. The book will also include discussions about "Technological Black Swans," trading zones, ethics, behavioral nanotechnology, governance, risk, green design, tools for practitioners, and conclude with a chapter presenting a "strategic outlook."

Book Economic Theory of Fuzzy Equilibria

Download or read book Economic Theory of Fuzzy Equilibria written by Antoine Billot and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fuzzy set theory, which started not much more than 20 years ago as a generalization of classical set theory, has in the meantime evolved into an area which scientifically, as well as from the point of view of applications, is recognized as a very valuable contribution to the existing knowledge. To an increasing degree, however, fuzzy set theory is also used in a descriptive, factual sense or as a decision making technology. Most of these applications of fuzzy set theory are in the areas of fuzzy control, multi-criteria analysis, descriptive decision theory and expert systems design. In economics, the application of fuzzy set theory is still very rare. Apart from Professor Ponsard and his group, who have obviously recognized the potential offuzzy set theory in economics much better than others, only very few economists are using this new tool in order to model economic systems in a more realistic way than often possible by traditional approaches, and to gain more insight into structural interdependences of economic systems. I consider it, therefore, particularly valuable that Dr. Billot, in his book, makes a remarkable contribution in this direction. There seems to be one major difference between Dr.

Book Fuzziness in Database Management Systems

Download or read book Fuzziness in Database Management Systems written by Patrick Bosc and published by Physica. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume "Fuzziness in Database Management Systems" is a highly informative, well-organized and up-to-date collection of contributions authored by many of the leading experts in its field. Among the contributors are the editors, Professors Patrick Bose and Janusz Kacprzyk, both of whom are known internationally. The book is like a movie with an all-star cast. The issue of fuzziness in database management systems has a long history. It begins in 1968 and 1971, when I spent my sabbatical leaves at the IBM Research Laboratory in San Jose, California, as a visiting scholar. During these periods I was associated with Dr. E.F. Codd, the father of relational models of database systems, and came in contact with the developers ofiBMs System Rand SQL. These associations and contacts at a time when the methodology of relational models of data was in its formative stages, made me aware of the basic importance of such models and the desirability of extending them to fuzzy database systems and fuzzy query languages. This perception was reflected in my 1973 ffiM report which led to the paper on the concept of a linguistic variable and later to the paper on the meaning representation language PRUF (Possibilistic Relational Universal Fuzzy). More directly related to database issues during that period were the theses of my students V. Tahani, J. Yang, A. Bolour, M. Shen and R. Sheng, and many subsequent reports by both graduate and undergraduate students at Berkeley.

Book Reliability and Safety Analyses under Fuzziness

Download or read book Reliability and Safety Analyses under Fuzziness written by Takehisa Onisawa and published by Physica. This book was released on 2013-06-05 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive, up-to-date account on recent applications of fuzzy sets and possibility theory in reliability and safety analysis. Various aspects of system's reliability, quality control, reliability and safety of man-machine systems fault analysis, risk assessment and analysis, structural, seismic, safety, etc. are discussed. The book provides new tools for handling non-probabilistic aspects of uncertainty in these problems. It is the first in this field in the world literature.

Book Fuzzy Mathematical Programming

Download or read book Fuzzy Mathematical Programming written by Young-Jou Lai and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 317 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last 25 years, the fuzzy set theory has been applied in many disciplines such as operations research, management science, control theory,artificial intelligence/expert system, etc. In this volume, methods and applications of fuzzy mathematical programming and possibilistic mathematical programming are first systematically and thoroughly reviewed and classified. This state-of-the-art survey provides readers with a capsule look into the existing methods, and their characteristics and applicability to analysis of fuzzy and possibilistic programming problems. To realize practical fuzzy modelling, we present solutions for real-world problems including production/manufacturing, transportation, assignment, game, environmental management, resource allocation, project investment, banking/finance, and agricultural economics. To improve flexibility and robustness of fuzzy mathematical programming techniques, we also present our expert decision-making support system IFLP which considers and solves all possibilities of a specific domain of (fuzzy) linear programming problems. Basic fuzzy set theories, membership functions, fuzzy decisions, operators and fuzzy arithmetic are introduced with simple numerical examples in aneasy-to-read and easy-to-follow manner. An updated bibliographical listing of 60 books, monographs or conference proceedings, and about 300 selected papers, reports or theses is presented in the end of this study.

Book Soft Computing for Risk Evaluation and Management

Download or read book Soft Computing for Risk Evaluation and Management written by Da Ruan and published by Physica. This book was released on 2012-08-10 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk is a crucial element in virtually all problems people in diverse areas face in their activities. It is impossible to find adequate models and solutions without taking it into account. Due to uncertainty and complexity in those problems, traditional "hard" tools and techniques may be insufficient for their formulation and solution. This is the first book in the literature that shows how soft computing methods (fuzzy logic, neural networks, genetic algorithms, etc.) can be employed to deal with various problems related to risk analysis, evaluation and management in various fields of technology, environment and finance.

Book An Ontological and Epistemological Perspective of Fuzzy Set Theory

Download or read book An Ontological and Epistemological Perspective of Fuzzy Set Theory written by I. Burhan Türksen and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2005-11-15 with total page 543 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fuzzy set and logic theory suggest that all natural language linguistic expressions are imprecise and must be assessed as a matter of degree. But in general membership degree is an imprecise notion which requires that Type 2 membership degrees be considered in most applications related to human decision making schemas. Even if the membership functions are restricted to be Type1, their combinations generate an interval – valued Type 2 membership. This is part of the general result that Classical equivalences breakdown in Fuzzy theory. Thus all classical formulas must be reassessed with an upper and lower expression that are generated by the breakdown of classical formulas. Key features: - Ontological grounding- Epistemological justification- Measurement of Membership- Breakdown of equivalences- FDCF is not equivalent to FCCF- Fuzzy Beliefs- Meta-Linguistic axioms - Ontological grounding- Epistemological justification- Measurement of Membership- Breakdown of equivalences- FDCF is not equivalent to FCCF- Fuzzy Beliefs- Meta-Linguistic axioms

Book Research and Practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Making

Download or read book Research and Practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Making written by Yacov Y. Haimes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the past two decades, the consideration of mUltiple objectives in modeling and decision making has grown by leaps and bounds. The nineties in particular have seen the emphasis shift from the dominance of single-objective modeling and optimization toward an emphasis on multiple objectives. The proceedings of this Conference epitomize these evolutionary changes and contribute to the important role that the tield of multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) now plays in planning, design, operational, management, and policy decisions. Of special interest are the contributions of MCDM to manufacturing engineering. For example, it has recently been recognized that optimal, single-objective solutions have often been pursued at the expense of the much broader applicability of designs and solutions that satisfy multiple objectives. In particular, the theme (MCDM and Its Worldwide Role in Risk-Based Decision Making) of the XIVth International Conference on Multiple Criteria Decision Making (Charlottesville, Virginia, USA, June 8-12, 1998) represents the growing importance of risk-cost-benefit analysis in decision making and in engineering design and manufacturing. In such systems, minimizing the of rare and extreme events emerges as an essential objective that risk complements the minimization of the traditional expected value of risk, along with the objectives attached to cost and performance. These proceedings include forty-five papers that were presented at the Conference. A variety of techniques have been proposed for solving multiple criteria decision-making problems. The emphasis and style of the different techniques largely reflect the fields of expertise of their developers.

Book Fuzzy Logic and Soft Computing

Download or read book Fuzzy Logic and Soft Computing written by Guoqing Chen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fuzzy Logic and Soft Computing contains contributions from world-leading experts from both the academic and industrial communities. The first part of the volume consists of invited papers by international authors describing possibilistic logic in decision analysis, fuzzy dynamic programming in optimization, linguistic modifiers for word computation, and theoretical treatments and applications of fuzzy reasoning. The second part is composed of eleven contributions from Chinese authors focusing on some of the key issues in the fields: stable adaptive fuzzy control systems, partial evaluations and fuzzy reasoning, fuzzy wavelet neural networks, analysis and applications of genetic algorithms, partial repeatability, rough set reduction for data enriching, limits of agents in process calculus, medium logic and its evolution, and factor spaces canes. These contributions are not only theoretically sound and well-formulated, but are also coupled with applicability implications and/or implementation treatments. The domains of applications realized or implied are: decision analysis, word computation, databases and knowledge discovery, power systems, control systems, and multi-destinational routing. Furthermore, the articles contain materials that are an outgrowth of recently conducted research, addressing fundamental and important issues of fuzzy logic and soft computing.

Book Fuzzy Optimization

    Book Details:
  • Author : Weldon A. Lodwick
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Release : 2010-07-12
  • ISBN : 3642139345
  • Pages : 535 pages

Download or read book Fuzzy Optimization written by Weldon A. Lodwick and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-12 with total page 535 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This potent area of technology allows us to formulate and solve a multitude of problems. Written by leading experts, this overview covers a number of aspects of fuzzy optimization, some related general issues, and various applications of this powerful tool.

Book Practical Applications of Fuzzy Technologies

Download or read book Practical Applications of Fuzzy Technologies written by Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the late 1980s, a large number of very user-friendly tools for fuzzy control, fuzzy expert systems, and fuzzy data analysis have emerged. This has changed the character of this area and started the area of `fuzzy technology'. The next large step in the development occurred in 1992 when almost independently in Europe, Japan and the USA, the three areas of fuzzy technology, artificial neural nets and genetic algorithms joined forces under the title of `computational intelligence' or `soft computing'. The synergies which were possible between these three areas have been exploited very successfully. Practical Applications of Fuzzy Sets focuses on model and real applications of fuzzy sets, and is structured into four major parts: engineering and natural sciences; medicine; management; and behavioral, cognitive and social sciences. This book will be useful for practitioners of fuzzy technology, scientists and students who are looking for applications of their models and methods, for topics of their theses, and even for venture capitalists who look for attractive possibilities for investments.

Book Readings in Fuzzy Sets for Intelligent Systems

Download or read book Readings in Fuzzy Sets for Intelligent Systems written by Didier J. Dubois and published by Morgan Kaufmann. This book was released on 2014-05-12 with total page 929 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Readings in Fuzzy Sets for Intelligent Systems is a collection of readings that explore the main facets of fuzzy sets and possibility theory and their use in intelligent systems. Basic notions in fuzzy set theory are discussed, along with fuzzy control and approximate reasoning. Uncertainty and informativeness, information processing, and membership, cognition, neural networks, and learning are also considered. Comprised of eight chapters, this book begins with a historical background on fuzzy sets and possibility theory, citing some forerunners who discussed ideas or formal definitions very close to the basic notions introduced by Lotfi Zadeh (1978). The reader is then introduced to fundamental concepts in fuzzy set theory, including symmetric summation and the setting of fuzzy logic; uncertainty and informativeness; and fuzzy control. Subsequent chapters deal with approximate reasoning; information processing; decision and management sciences; and membership, cognition, neural networks, and learning. Numerical methods for fuzzy clustering are described, and adaptive inference in fuzzy knowledge networks is analyzed. This monograph will be of interest to both students and practitioners in the fields of computer science, information science, applied mathematics, and artificial intelligence.