Download or read book Choice Set Heterogeneity and the Role of Advertising written by Michaela Draganska and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Demand Estimation with Unobserved Choice Set Heterogeneity written by Gregory S. Crawford and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a method to estimate preferences in the presence of unobserved choice set heterogeneity. We build on the insights of Chamberlain's Fixed-Effect Logit and exploit information in observed purchase decisions in either panel or cross-section environments to construct "sufficient sets" of choices that lie within consumers' true but unobserved choice sets. This allows us to recover preference parameters without having to specify the process of choice set formation. We illustrate our ideas by estimating demand for chocolate bars on-the-go using individual-level data from the UK. Our results show that failing to account for unobserved choice set heterogeneity can lead to statistically and economically significant biases in the estimation of preference parameters.

Download or read book Handbook on the Economics of Retailing and Distribution written by Emek Basker and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-29 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook explores and critically examines current research in economics and marketing science on key issues in retailing and distribution. Providing a rich perspective for the discussion of public policy, contributions from several disciplines and continents range from the history of chains and the impact of multinational retailers on international trade patterns to US merger policy in the retail context, the rise of the Internet, and consumer-to-consumer sales. The chapters address methodological issues such as the structural estimation of entry games between retailers, productivity measurement when both inputs and output are not fully observable, and demand estimation with variable assortment. Policy issues explored include mergers, zoning, and the regulation of buyer power, while other chapters address some of the recent exciting developments in technology, retail formats, and data availability. The book goes on to study the changes in online retailing and ‘big data’, and to examine competition in specific retail sectors including gasoline stations, automobile dealerships, supermarkets, and ‘big box’ retail. This state-of-the-art Handbook is an essential reference for students and academics of economics and marketing science, and offers an outsider’s perspective to specialists in operations research, data analytics, geography, and sociology.

Download or read book Scalable Models of Consumer Demand with Large Choice Sets written by Robert Nathanael Donnelly and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three essays related to the analysis of heterogeneity in consumer preferences based on individual level data on historical choices. In particular, they are connected by their application of modern Bayesian approaches to model consumers who differ both in their preferences for observed characteristics as well as their preferences for characteristics that are unobserved by the econometrician, but can instead be inferred from the correlations in choice behavior across different subsets of the population of consumers. The three chapters of this dissertation are also connected by their focus on scalability (both in computation and statistical efficiency) to large choice sets. Large choice sets are all around us, and the rise of E-commerce is leading to even larger sets of products that consumers can choose between. The average grocery store has tens of thousands of unique SKUs. The South Bay region around Stanford University has thousands of restaurants to choose between when you decide to go out for lunch. Large web retailers like Amazon sell hundreds of millions of distinct items. Individual level data on choices in situations like these present both opportunities and challenges. While these data sources are often large and rich in information, it is almost always the case that the number of choice occasions that we observe for any single individual is very small relative to the number of possible items they could have chosen between. Some types of products are easily described as a bundle of characteristics that consumers have preferences over, for example cars (horsepower, number of doors, leather seats) or digital cameras (resolution, zoom, flash), however for many other product categories it is more difficult to find a ''feature representation'' of products that accurately captures the heterogeneity in preferences across consumers. What are the characteristics that differ between Coke and Pepsi that lead to such strong disagreements over which is best. My work builds on recently developed approaches from machine learning for estimating models with large numbers of latent variables. This allows us to infer latent ''characteristics'' of products that are not directly observed by the econometrician, but can be inferred based on similarities in choice patterns across a large set of consumers. This allows us to model consumer preferences with heterogeneity in preferences for both observed and unobserved product characteristics. The first chapter of this dissertation is a paper written together with Susan Athey, David Blei, Francisco Ruiz, and Tobias Schmidt which analyzes consumer choices over lunchtime restaurants using data from a sample of several thousand anonymous mobile phone users in the San Francisco Bay Area. The data is used to identify users' approximate typical morning location, as well as their choices of lunchtime restaurants. We build a model where restaurants have latent characteristics (whose distribution may depend on restaurant observables, such as star ratings, food category, and price range), each user has preferences for these latent characteristics, and these preferences are heterogeneous across users. Similarly, each restaurant has latent characteristics that describe users' willingness to travel to the restaurant, and each user has individual-specific preferences for those latent characteristics. Thus, both users' willingness to travel and their base utility for each restaurant vary across user-restaurant pairs. We use a Bayesian approach to estimation. To make the estimation computationally feasible, we rely on variational inference to approximate the posterior distribution, as well as stochastic gradient descent as a computational approach. Our model performs better than more standard competing models such as multinomial logit and nested logit models, in part due to the personalization of the estimates. We analyze how consumers re-allocate their demand after a restaurant opens or closes and compare our predictions to the actual realized outcomes. Finally, we show how the model can be used to analyze counterfactual questions such as what type of restaurant would attract the most consumers in a given location. The second chapter is a paper written together with Susan Athey, David Blei, and Francisco Ruiz applies a similar approach in the context of supermarket scanner data. This paper demonstrates a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer makes choices from many different categories. The consumer's utility is additive in the different categories, and her preferences about product attributes as well as her price sensitivity vary across products. Her preferences are correlated across products. We build on techniques from the machine learning literature on probabilistic models of matrix factorization, extending the methods to account for time-varying product attributes, a more realistic functional form for price sensitivity, and products going out of stock. We incorporate the information about the product hierarchy, so that consumers are assumed to select at most one alternative within a category. We evaluate the performance of the model using held-out data from weeks with price changes. We show that our model improves over traditional modeling approaches that consider each category in isolation, when we evaluate the ability of the model to predict responsiveness to price changes (using held-out data from a large number of price changes that occurred in our sample). We show that one source of the improvement is the ability of the model to accurately estimate heterogeneity in preferences (by pooling information across categories); another source of improvement is its ability to estimate the preferences of consumers who have rarely or never made a purchase in a given category in the training data. We consider counterfactuals such as personally targeted price discounts, showing that using a richer model such as the one we propose substantially increases the benefits of personalization in discounts. The third chapter of this dissertation proposes a novel estimator for learning heterogeneous consumer preferences based on both browsing and purchase data from online retailers with large product assortments. This work was done in collaboration with Ilya Morozov. Despite increasing availability data on the product pages consumers browse prior to making a purchase, the existing marketing literature provides little guidance on how retailers can use it to make better marketing decisions. In this paper, we propose an empirical framework that allows to efficiently extract information from consumers' search histories and use it to design personalized product recommendations. Our framework is based on the standard consideration set model from the marketing literature. To extract information from the unstructured search data, we augment the model with rich consumer heterogeneity and include several unobserved product characteristics. We then propose a way to estimate this model's parameters using a latent factorization approach from the computer science literature. The proposed framework can be seen as combining a structural approach to modeling consumer consideration from marketing with nonparametric estimation methods commonly used in the computer science. We are in discussion with a large online retailer to gain access to data and to run an AB test to experimentally validate the effects of improved rankings and recommendations of products.

Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Marketing written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 634 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of the Economics of Marketing, Volume One: Marketing and Economics mixes empirical work in industrial organization with quantitative marketing tools, presenting tactics that help researchers tackle problems with a balance of intuition and skepticism. It offers critical perspectives on theoretical work within economics, delivering a comprehensive, critical, up-to-date, and accessible review of the field that has always been missing. This literature summary of research at the intersection of economics and marketing is written by, and for, economists, and the book's authors share a belief in analytical and integrated approaches to marketing, emphasizing data-driven, result-oriented, pragmatic strategies. - Helps academic and non-academic economists understand recent, rapid changes in the economics of marketing - Designed for economists already convinced of the benefits of applying economics tools to marketing - Written for those who wish to become quickly acquainted with the integration of marketing and economics

Download or read book The Value of Information written by Ramanan Laxminarayan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-08-14 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book examines applications in two disparate fields linked by the importance of valuing information: public health and space. Researchers in the health field have developed some of the most innovative methodologies for valuing information, used to help determine, for example, the value of diagnostics in informing patient treatment decisions. In the field of space, recent applications of value-of-information methods are critical for informing decisions on investment in satellites that collect data about air quality, fresh water supplies, climate and other natural and environmental resources affecting global health and quality of life.

Download or read book Choice Models in Marketing written by Sandeep R. Chandukala and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2008 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Choice Models in Marketing examines recent developments in the modeling of choice for marketing and reviews a large stream of research currently being developed by both quantitative and qualitative researches in marketing. Choice in marketing differs from other domains in that the choice context is typically very complex, and researchers' desire knowledge of the variables that ultimately lead to demand in marketplace. The marketing choice context is characterized by many choice alternatives. The aim of Choice Models in Marketing is to lay out the foundations of choice models and discuss recent advances. The authors focus on aspects of choice that can be quantitatively modeled and consider models related to a process of constrained utility maximization. By reviewing the basics of choice modeling and pointing to new developments, Choice Models in Marketing provides a platform for future research.

Download or read book Market Segmentation written by Michel Wedel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern marketing techniques in industrialized countries cannot be implemented without segmentation of the potential market. Goods are no longer produced and sold without a significant consideration of customer needs combined with a recognition that these needs are heterogeneous. Since first emerging in the late 1950s, the concept of segmentation has been one of the most researched topics in the marketing literature. Segmentation has become a central topic to both the theory and practice of marketing, particularly in the recent development of finite mixture models to better identify market segments. This second edition of Market Segmentation updates and extends the integrated examination of segmentation theory and methodology begun in the first edition. A chapter on mixture model analysis of paired comparison data has been added, together with a new chapter on the pros and cons of the mixture model. The book starts with a framework for considering the various bases and methods available for conducting segmentation studies. The second section contains a more detailed discussion of the methodology for market segmentation, from traditional clustering algorithms to more recent developments in finite mixtures and latent class models. Three types of finite mixture models are discussed in this second section: simple mixtures, mixtures of regressions and mixtures of unfolding models. The third main section is devoted to special topics in market segmentation such as joint segmentation, segmentation using tailored interviewing and segmentation with structural equation models. The fourth part covers four major approaches to applied market segmentation: geo-demographic, lifestyle, response-based, and conjoint analysis. The final concluding section discusses directions for further research.

Download or read book Discrete Choice Analysis written by Moshe Ben-Akiva and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-04-20 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discrete Choice Analysis presents these results in such a way that they are fully accessible to the range of students and professionals who are involved in modelling demand and consumer behavior in general or specifically in transportation - whether from the point of view of the design of transit systems, urban and transport economics, public policy, operations research, or systems management and planning. The methods of discrete choice analysis and their applications in the modelling of transportation systems constitute a comparatively new field that has largely evolved over the past 15 years. Since its inception, however, the field has developed rapidly, and this is the first text and reference work to cover the material systematically, bringing together the scattered and often inaccessible results for graduate students and professionals. Discrete Choice Analysis presents these results in such a way that they are fully accessible to the range of students and professionals who are involved in modelling demand and consumer behavior in general or specifically in transportation - whether from the point of view of the design of transit systems, urban and transport economics, public policy, operations research, or systems management and planning. The introductory chapter presents the background of discrete choice analysis and context of transportation demand forecasting. Subsequent chapters cover, among other topics, the theories of individual choice behavior, binary and multinomial choice models, aggregate forecasting techniques, estimation methods, tests used in the process of model development, sampling theory, the nested-logit model, and systems of models. Discrete Choice Analysis is ninth in the MIT Press Series in Transportation Studies, edited by Marvin Manheim.

Download or read book Building Models for Marketing Decisions written by Peter S.H. Leeflang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 642 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about marketing models and the process of model building. Our primary focus is on models that can be used by managers to support marketing decisions. It has long been known that simple models usually outperform judgments in predicting outcomes in a wide variety of contexts. For example, models of judgments tend to provide better forecasts of the outcomes than the judgments themselves (because the model eliminates the noise in judgments). And since judgments never fully reflect the complexities of the many forces that influence outcomes, it is easy to see why models of actual outcomes should be very attractive to (marketing) decision makers. Thus, appropriately constructed models can provide insights about structural relations between marketing variables. Since models explicate the relations, both the process of model building and the model that ultimately results can improve the quality of marketing decisions. Managers often use rules of thumb for decisions. For example, a brand manager will have defined a specific set of alternative brands as the competitive set within a product category. Usually this set is based on perceived similarities in brand characteristics, advertising messages, etc. If a new marketing initiative occurs for one of the other brands, the brand manager will have a strong inclination to react. The reaction is partly based on the manager's desire to maintain some competitive parity in the mar keting variables.

Download or read book Essays on Choice Set Heterogeneity in Demand Estimation written by Alessandro Iaria and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Heterogeneous Consumption Experience written by Juin K. Chong and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Handbook of Marketing Decision Models written by Berend Wierenga and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-07-12 with total page 598 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Second Edition of this book presents the state of the art in this important field. Marketing decision models constitute a core component of the marketing discipline and the area is changing rapidly, not only due to fundamental advances in methodology and model building, but also because of the recent developments in information technology, the Internet and social media. This Handbook contains eighteen chapters that cover the most recent developments of marketing decision models in different domains of marketing. Compared to the previous edition, thirteen chapters are entirely new, while the remaining chapters represent complete updates and extensions of the previous edition. This new edition of the Handbook has chapters on models for substantive marketing problems, such as customer relationship management, customer loyalty management, website design, Internet advertising, social media, and social networks. In addition, it contains chapters on recent methodological developments that are gaining popularity in the area of marketing decision models, such as structural modeling, learning dynamics, choice modeling, eye-tracking and measurement. The introductory chapter discusses the main developments of the last decade and discusses perspectives for future developments.

Download or read book Digital and Social Media Marketing written by Nripendra P. Rana and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-11 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines issues and implications of digital and social media marketing for emerging markets. These markets necessitate substantial adaptations of developed theories and approaches employed in the Western world. The book investigates problems specific to emerging markets, while identifying new theoretical constructs and practical applications of digital marketing. It addresses topics such as electronic word of mouth (eWOM), demographic differences in digital marketing, mobile marketing, search engine advertising, among others. A radical increase in both temporal and geographical reach is empowering consumers to exert influence on brands, products, and services. Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) and digital media are having a significant impact on the way people communicate and fulfil their socio-economic, emotional and material needs. These technologies are also being harnessed by businesses for various purposes including distribution and selling of goods, retailing of consumer services, customer relationship management, and influencing consumer behaviour by employing digital marketing practices. This book considers this, as it examines the practice and research related to digital and social media marketing.

Download or read book Models for Heterogeneous Variable Selection written by Timothy J. Gilbride and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Marketing managers are interested in knowing how consumers will react to different product configurations. The product manager can change physical attributes through the design of the product and the perception of psychological attributes through promotion strategies. Because consumers are heterogeneous in their tastes and preferences, studies have focused on obtaining individual level estimates of attribute importance from a representative sample of consumers as opposed to just aggregate level estimates. Marketing researchers have procedural and statistical methods of obtaining measures of attribute importance for each respondent on each attribute. In laboratory or experimental choice settings, studies can be designed to help focus respondents' attention and processing of the product attributes. Bayesian methods of modeling heterogeneity shrink poorly measured individual level parameters to the overall or group level mean. However, it is erroneous to assume that consumers use all the product attributes in all brand choice situations. This thesis demonstrates that improved inference and predictive accuracy can be obtained by modeling which attributes are actually being used by consumers in different discrete choice situations. This thesis contributes new models for determining, at the individual level, which product attributes are being used by a consumer in a brand choice decision. The heterogeneous variable selection model extends current aggregate level models of Bayesian variable selection. This model assumes a distribution of heterogeneity with mass concentrated at 0 and away from 0. The pooled variable selection model allows the set of variables used by an individual to vary by choice context. Examples of separate contexts include partial and full profile choice experiments or choice experiments and actual market place transactions. A hybrid model combines the heterogeneous and pooled variable selection models. The threshold variable selection model incorporates insights from an extended model of choice and provides a behavioral explanation of why certain product attributes are used. Tractable algorithms are introduced for estimating the proposed variable selection models. In the two empirical studies presented, a variable selection model fits the data better than baseline models with no variable selection and conventional distributions of heterogeneity.

Download or read book Decision Process Heterogeneity written by Susan Bardi Kleiser and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Discrete Choice Experiments in Marketing written by Klaus Zwerina and published by Physica. This book was released on 2014-03-12 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The chapter starts with a positioning of this dissertation in the marketing discipline. It then provides a comparison of the two most popular methods for studying consumer preferences/choices, namely conjoint analysis and discrete choice experiments. Chapter 1 continues with a description of the context of discrete choice experiments. Subsequently, the research problems and the objectives ofthis dissertation are discussed. The chapter concludes with an outline of the organization of this dissertation. 1. 1 Positioning of the Dissertation During this century, increasing globalization and technological progress has forced companies to undergo rapid and dramatic changes-for some a threat, for others it offers new opportunities. Companies have to survive in a Darwinian marketplace where the principle of natural selection applies. Marketplace success goes to those companies that are able to produce marketable value, Le. , products and services that others are willing to purchase (Kotler 1997). Every company must be engaged in new-product development to create the new products customers want because competitors will do their best to supply them. Besides offering competitive advantages, new products usually lead to sales growth and stability. As household incomes increase and consumers become more selective, fmns need to know how consumers respond to different features and appeals. Successful products and services begin with a thorough understanding of consumer needs and wants. Stated otherwise, companies need to know about consumer preferences to manufacture tailor-made products, consumers are willing to buy.