Download or read book Chance Hits written by Norman H. Chance and published by . This book was released on 1915 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Taking Chances written by John Haigh and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 1999-03-04 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.
Download or read book Duchamp and the Aesthetics of Chance written by Herbert Molderings and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2010-06-04 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Situating Duchamp firmly within the literature & philosophy of his time, Herbert Molderings recaptures the spirit of a frequently misread artist & his aesthetic of chance.
Download or read book The Daily News Almanac and Political Register for written by and published by . This book was released on 1910 with total page 706 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Chicago Daily News Almanac and Year Book for written by George Edward Plumbe and published by . This book was released on 1910 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Chicago Daily News Almanac written by and published by . This book was released on 1910 with total page 646 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Some New Evidence for Human Survival written by Charles Drayton Thomas and published by . This book was released on 1922 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Infantry Journal written by and published by . This book was released on 1916 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book New Methods of Machine gun Fire written by Friedrich August Oskar von Merkatz and published by . This book was released on 1916 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Synchronicity written by C. G. Jung and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-11-14 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is parapsychological study of the meaningful coincidence of events, extrasensory perception, and similar phenomena.
Download or read book Occasional Papers written by U.S. Army Engineer School and published by . This book was released on 1908 with total page 848 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Choice and Chance written by William Allen Whitworth and published by . This book was released on 1867 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Improving Bayesian Reasoning What Works and Why written by Gorka Navarrete and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2016-02-02 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We confess that the first part of our title is somewhat of a misnomer. Bayesian reasoning is a normative approach to probabilistic belief revision and, as such, it is in need of no improvement. Rather, it is the typical individual whose reasoning and judgments often fall short of the Bayesian ideal who is the focus of improvement. What have we learnt from over a half-century of research and theory on this topic that could explain why people are often non-Bayesian? Can Bayesian reasoning be facilitated, and if so why? These are the questions that motivate this Frontiers in Psychology Research Topic. Bayes' theorem, named after English statistician, philosopher, and Presbyterian minister, Thomas Bayes, offers a method for updating one’s prior probability of an hypothesis H on the basis of new data D such that P(H|D) = P(D|H)P(H)/P(D). The first wave of psychological research, pioneered by Ward Edwards, revealed that people were overly conservative in updating their posterior probabilities (i.e., P(D|H)). A second wave, spearheaded by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, showed that people often ignored prior probabilities or base rates, where the priors had a frequentist interpretation, and hence were not Bayesians at all. In the 1990s, a third wave of research spurred by Leda Cosmides and John Tooby and by Gerd Gigerenzer and Ulrich Hoffrage showed that people can reason more like a Bayesian if only the information provided takes the form of (non-relativized) natural frequencies. Although Kahneman and Tversky had already noted the advantages of frequency representations, it was the third wave scholars who pushed the prescriptive agenda, arguing that there are feasible and effective methods for improving belief revision. Most scholars now agree that natural frequency representations do facilitate Bayesian reasoning. However, they do not agree on why this is so. The original third wave scholars favor an evolutionary account that posits human brain adaptation to natural frequency processing. But almost as soon as this view was proposed, other scholars challenged it, arguing that such evolutionary assumptions were not needed. The dominant opposing view has been that the benefit of natural frequencies is mainly due to the fact that such representations make the nested set relations perfectly transparent. Thus, people can more easily see what information they need to focus on and how to simply combine it. This Research Topic aims to take stock of where we are at present. Are we in a proto-fourth wave? If so, does it offer a synthesis of recent theoretical disagreements? The second part of the title orients the reader to the two main subtopics: what works and why? In terms of the first subtopic, we seek contributions that advance understanding of how to improve people’s abilities to revise their beliefs and to integrate probabilistic information effectively. The second subtopic centers on explaining why methods that improve non-Bayesian reasoning work as well as they do. In addressing that issue, we welcome both critical analyses of existing theories as well as fresh perspectives. For both subtopics, we welcome the full range of manuscript types.
Download or read book The Encyclop dia Britannica written by Hugh Chisholm and published by . This book was released on 1910 with total page 986 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Chance in Biology written by Mark Denny and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2002-09-23 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Life is a chancy proposition: from the movement of molecules to the age at which we die, chance plays a key role in the natural world. Traditionally, biologists have viewed the inevitable "noise" of life as an unfortunate complication. The authors of this book, however, treat random processes as a benefit. In this introduction to chance in biology, Mark Denny and Steven Gaines help readers to apply the probability theory needed to make sense of chance events--using examples from ocean waves to spiderwebs, in fields ranging from molecular mechanics to evolution. Through the application of probability theory, Denny and Gaines make predictions about how plants and animals work in a stochastic universe. Is it possible to pack a variety of ion channels into a cell membrane and have each operate at near-peak flow? Why are our arteries rubbery? The concept of a random walk provides the necessary insight. Is there an absolute upper limit to human life span? Could the sound of a cocktail party burst your eardrums? The statistics of extremes allows us to make the appropriate calculations. How long must you wait to see the detail in a moonlit landscape? Can you hear the noise of individual molecules? The authors provide answers to these and many other questions. After an introduction to the basic statistical methods to be used in this book, the authors emphasize the application of probability theory to biology rather than the details of the theory itself. Readers with an introductory background in calculus will be able to follow the reasoning, and sets of problems, together with their solutions, are offered to reinforce concepts. The use of real-world examples, numerous illustrations, and chapter summaries--all presented with clarity and wit--make for a highly accessible text. By relating the theory of probability to the understanding of form and function in living things, the authors seek to pique the reader's curiosity about statistics and provide a new perspective on the role of chance in biology.
Download or read book Chance Hits 1915 written by Norman H. Chance and published by . This book was released on 2008-06-01 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This scarce antiquarian book is a facsimile reprint of the original. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment for protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature in affordable, high quality, modern editions that are true to the original work.
