Download or read book Labor Force Projections Through 2021 written by David Brauer and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) examines many developments that could have short- or longer-term consequences for the budget and the economy. In coming decades, one such development is expected to be a slower rate of growth of the labor force relative to its average over the past few decades. That slowdown is anticipated to occur primarily because of the aging and retirement of large numbers of baby boomers and because women's participation in the labor force has leveled off since the late 1990s after having risen substantially for the preceding three decades. This report describes CBO's methods for projecting such trends through 2021. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand report.
Download or read book Budget options written by United States. Congressional Budget Office and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book CBO s Economic Forecasting Record written by Holly Battelle and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-11 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) regularly evaluates the accuracy of its economic forecasts by comparing them with the economy¿s actual performance and with others¿ forecasts. Such evaluations help guide CBO¿s efforts to improve the quality of its forecasts and are also intended to assist Members of Congress in their use of the agency¿s estimates. Contents of this report: (1) Choice of Forecasts for the Evaluation; (2) Measuring the Quality of Forecasts: Statistical Bias; Accuracy; Alternative Measures of Forecast Quality; (3) Limitations of Forecast Evaluations: (4) The Effects of Bus. Cycles, Changes in the Trend Rate of Productivity Growth, and Oil Price Shocks; (5) Forecasting Record: 2-Year Forecasts; 5-Year Projections; (6) Historical and Forecast Data.
Download or read book How CBO Estimates the Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Labor Market written by Edward Harris and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Affordable Care Act (ACA) will make the labor supply, measured as the total compensation paid to workers, 0.86 percent smaller in 2025 than it would have been in the absence of that law, the Congressional Budget Office estimates. Three-quarters of that decline will occur because of health insurance expansions, which raise effective tax rates on earnings from labor—for instance, by phasing out health insurance subsidies as people’s income rises—and thus reduce the amount of labor that workers choose to supply. The labor force is projected to be about 2 million full-time-equivalent workers smaller in 2025 under the ACA than it would have been otherwise. Those estimates were based mainly on CBO’s calculations of the effects of the law’s major components on marginal and average tax rates and on the agency’s analysis of research about the change in the labor supply resulting from a change in tax rates. For components of the law that were difficult to express in terms of changes in tax rates, CBO based its estimates on a review of the available literature about similar policy changes.
Download or read book Budget and Economic Outlook 2017 to 2027 written by Congress, Congressional Budget Office and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2017-06-14 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) routinely presents the latest possible forecast of economic activity projected a decade in advance. These forecasts are continually updated to reflect social, political, and economic changes that could impact financial reporting results. For the present period, the CBO outlook is summarized as follows: * The Budget Deficit for 2017 Is Projected to Be Similar to Last Year's. * Growing Deficits Through 2027 Are Projected to Drive Up Federal Debt. * The Projected Deficit for 2017 Is Smaller than CBO's August 2016 Estimate, but the Cumulative Deficit Is Largely Unchanged. * CBO Expects Moderate Economic Growth to Continue. * Economic Activity Is Projected to Be Modestly Lower Than CBO Estimated in August.
Download or read book Big Data for Twenty First Century Economic Statistics written by Katharine G. Abraham and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2022-03-11 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction.Big data for twenty-first-century economic statistics: the future is now /Katharine G. Abraham, Ron S. Jarmin, Brian C. Moyer, and Matthew D. Shapiro --Toward comprehensive use of big data in economic statistics.Reengineering key national economic indicators /Gabriel Ehrlich, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, David Johnson, and Matthew D. Shapiro ;Big data in the US consumer price index: experiences and plans /Crystal G. Konny, Brendan K. Williams, and David M. Friedman ;Improving retail trade data products using alternative data sources /Rebecca J. Hutchinson ;From transaction data to economic statistics: constructing real-time, high-frequency, geographic measures of consumer spending /Aditya Aladangady, Shifrah Aron-Dine, Wendy Dunn, Laura Feiveson, Paul Lengermann, and Claudia Sahm ;Improving the accuracy of economic measurement with multiple data sources: the case of payroll employment data /Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz --Uses of big data for classification.Transforming naturally occurring text data into economic statistics: the case of online job vacancy postings /Arthur Turrell, Bradley Speigner, Jyldyz Djumalieva, David Copple, and James Thurgood ;Automating response evaluation for franchising questions on the 2017 economic census /Joseph Staudt, Yifang Wei, Lisa Singh, Shawn Klimek, J. Bradford Jensen, and Andrew Baer ;Using public data to generate industrial classification codes /John Cuffe, Sudip Bhattacharjee, Ugochukwu Etudo, Justin C. Smith, Nevada Basdeo, Nathaniel Burbank, and Shawn R. Roberts --Uses of big data for sectoral measurement.Nowcasting the local economy: using Yelp data to measure economic activity /Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca ;Unit values for import and export price indexes: a proof of concept /Don A. Fast and Susan E. Fleck ;Quantifying productivity growth in the delivery of important episodes of care within the Medicare program using insurance claims and administrative data /John A. Romley, Abe Dunn, Dana Goldman, and Neeraj Sood ;Valuing housing services in the era of big data: a user cost approach leveraging Zillow microdata /Marina Gindelsky, Jeremy G. Moulton, and Scott A. Wentland --Methodological challenges and advances.Off to the races: a comparison of machine learning and alternative data for predicting economic indicators /Jeffrey C. Chen, Abe Dunn, Kyle Hood, Alexander Driessen, and Andrea Batch ;A machine learning analysis of seasonal and cyclical sales in weekly scanner data /Rishab Guha and Serena Ng ;Estimating the benefits of new products /W. Erwin Diewert and Robert C. Feenstra.
Download or read book Projecting Labor Force Participation and Earnings in CBO s Long term Microsimulation Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Budget and Economic Outlook An Update written by and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Economic Effects of Recent Increases in Energy Prices written by John Peterson and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2006-08 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NOTE: NO FURTHER DISCOUNT FOR THIS PRINT PRODUCT--OVERSTOCK SALE -- Significantly reduced list price while supplies last Analyzes the short-term macroeconomic effects of the recent rise in energy prices as well as the likely effects over the next ten years. Utility company personnel, American citizens and consumers, economists, and energy policy advocates may be interested in this volume to compare it to today's energy position and dependence in America. Middle school students and above may be interested in this volume for research papers. All libraries should have a copy of this text in their reference collections. Related products: International Energy Outlook 2016, With Projections to 2040 can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/061-003-01167-5 New Realities: Energy Security in the 2010s and Implications for the U.S. Military is available here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/008-000-01093-5 Energy& Fuels resources collection can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/catalog/science-technology/energy-fuels Other reports produced by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/agency/237
Download or read book An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook Fiscal Years 2017 To 2027 written by Congressional Budget Office (U.S.) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2017-06-29 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn About America's Monetary Policy, Interest Rates, and Economic projections! CBO's economic forecast--which underlies its budget projections--indicates that, under current law, the economy will expand through 2018 at a pace that leads to further tightening of the labor market. Greater demand for workers will put downward pressure on the unemployment rate and upward pressure on the rate of labor force participation. As the amount of unused productive resources in the economy shrinks, inflation and interest rates are projected to rise. In the later part of the 10-year projection period, annual output growth is projected to average 1.9 percent, constrained by a relatively slow increase in the size of the nation's labor force. High school students and above may find this report beneficial for U.S. economy, economic conditions, and America's debt research papers. American citizens, small business, corporations, lobbyists, fiscal managers, economists, and media news outlets may find this information invaluable for understanding America's future growth and management of debt. Members of Congress, government agency personnel at Federal and State level, plus investors may be interested in this updated edition. Related products: Congressional Budget Reports & Economic Analyses resources collection can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/catalog/budget-economy/congressional-budget-reports-economic-analyses Budget of the U.S. Government, A New Foundation for American Greatness, Fiscal Year 2018 is available here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/budget-united-states-government-fy-2018-paperback-book Major Savings and Reforms: Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2018 can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/major-savings-and-reforms-budget-us-government-fiscal-year-2018 Sign up today for an annual print subscription to Economic Indicators that provide economic information on gross domestic product, income, employment, prices, wages, production, business activity, security markets, Federal Finance, and more at this link: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/752-004-00000-5?ctid=
Download or read book The Budget and Economic Outlook written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book CBO s Long Term Projections for Social Security written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-06 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updates the Cong. Budget Office¿s (CBO) previously published long-term projections of the Social Security (SS) program¿s finances, which cover the 75-year period spanning 2009-2083. Contents: (1) Finances of the SS Program: Projected Outlays and Revenues over the Next 75 Years; Uncertainty of Projections of SS¿s Finances; Outlays and Revenues; Trust Fund Ratio; (2) The Dist¿n. of SS Taxes and Benefits: 1st-Yr. Benefits; 1st-Yr. Replacement Rates; Lifetime Benefits; Lifetime Payroll Taxes and Lifetime Benefits for Workers, Dependents, and Survivors; (3) Demographic and Econ. Assumptions Used in CBO¿s Analysis: Assumptions about Interest, Inflation, and Unemploy. for 2020 and Later; Assumptions Underlying Projections of GDP and Earn.
Download or read book CBO Economic Forecast and Budget Projections written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Budget and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hysteresis in Labor Markets Evidence from Professional Long Term Forecasts written by Mr.John C Bluedorn and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-23 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when employment rises unexpectedly, forecasters typically raise their long-term forecasts of employment by more than one-for-one and also expect a strong rise in labor force participation, suggesting more persistent effects than is traditionally assumed. Economic booms associated with changes in aggregate demand, when inflation is rising and unemployment falling unexpectedly, also come with persistent long-term effects on expected employment and labor force participation, suggesting positive hysteresis. Our forecast evaluation tests indicate that forecasters are, on average, unbiased in their assessment of these positive, persistent effects.
Download or read book Aging and the Macroeconomy written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-01-10 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.
Download or read book What Does the Minimum Wage Do written by Dale Belman and published by W.E. Upjohn Institute. This book was released on 2014-07-07 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Belman and Wolfson perform a meta-analysis on scores of published studies on the effects of the minimum wage to determine its impacts on employment, wages, poverty, and more.
Download or read book The Congressional Budget Office written by Philip G. Joyce and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2011-04-18 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Created in 1974, the U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has become one of the most influential forces in national policymaking. A critical component of our system of checks and balances, the CBO has given Congress the analytical capacity to challenge the president on budget issues while it protects the public interest, providing honest numbers about Congress's own budget proposals. The book discusses the CBO’s role in larger budget policy and the more narrow "scoring" of individual legislation, such as its role in the 2009–2010 Obama health care reform. It also describes how the first director, Alice Rivlin, and seven successors managed to create and sustain a nonpartisan, highly credible agency in the middle of one of the most partisan institutions imaginable. The Congressional Budget Office: Honest Numbers, Power, and Policy draws on interviews with high-level participants in the budget debates of the last 35 years to tell the story of the CBO. A combination of political history, economic history, and organizational development, The Congressional Budget Office offers an important, first book-length history of this influential agency.
