Download or read book Betting Against the Crowd written by Yair Neuman and published by Springer. This book was released on 2024-03-19 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Crowds are misleading, both in their simplicity and in their complexity. On the one hand, they behave according to expected trends; on the other, they present sudden shifts and frantic, unexpected behavior. Therefore, “betting against the crowd,” whether in politics, sports, or finance, requires a deep understanding of the crowd’s dynamics. In this book, Prof. Neuman addresses this challenge by delving into the complexity of crowds. The book involves foundational issues and novel ideas, such as why crowds behave unexpectedly, why betting against the crowd is possible only in short time frames, why is it important to be attentive to suspicious signs that are indicative of the crowd’s behavior, and why the long tail of fatalities in armed conflicts leaves us surprised by blitz attacks of violent mobs. The book combines scientific knowledge, experiments, and accessible, often humorous, exposition. It can be read by anyone with a basic science education who seeks to understand crowds and how one can act within and against them.

Download or read book Betting Against the Crowd written by Yair Neuman and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book NFL Betting Biases Profitable Strategies and the Wisdom of the Crowd written by Corey A. Shank and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper finds that betting biases in the NFL market go beyond preferring to bet on the favorite team and the over. The results show that as more bettors place wagers, the percentage of wagers on the favorite team increases. Additionally, bettors have a preference to bet against the line movement to receive better betting odds in the point spread market. Moreover, bettors prefer betting on the favorite when the away team has lost recent games and on the over when the home team has been covering the over in recent games. Furthermore, bettors have a nonlinear preference in the point spread betting, as they are less likely to wager on the favorite when the spread is small or large. Finally, economically profitable strategies are put forth based upon the percentage of bettors betting on the favorite or over by using a contrarian strategy when 50% to 60% of bettors place the same wager. These results have important implications as they can be used by the sportsbook to create betting lines to maximize profit.

Download or read book Against the Crowd written by Alan Potts and published by Aesculus Press Ltd. This book was released on 2004 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The methods of a modern backer. Alan Potts is a full-time professional punter, who makes a steady and lucrative income from gambling. In this book, he reveals, for the first time, the techniques and methods that consistently give him the edge over bookmakers. Anyone who bets on horses will find valuable insights on how to become - and stay - a winner.

Download or read book Beat the Crowd written by Kenneth L. Fisher and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-03-30 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Train your brain to be a real contrarian and outsmart the crowd Beat the Crowd is the real contrarian’s guide to investing, with comprehensive explanations of how a true contrarian investor thinks and acts – and why it works more often than not. Bestselling author Ken Fisher breaks down the myths and cuts through the noise to present a clear, unvarnished view of timeless market realities, and the ways in which a contrarian approach to investing will outsmart the herd. In true Ken Fisher style, the book explains why the crowd often goes astray—and how you can stay on track. Contrarians understand how headlines really affect the market and which noise and fads they should tune out. Beat the Crowd is a primer to the contrarian strategy, teaching readers simple tricks to think differently and get it right more often than not. Discover the limits of forecasting and how far ahead you should look Learn why political controversy matter less the louder it gets Resurrect long-forgotten, timeless tricks and truths in markets Find out how the contrarian approach makes you right more often than wrong A successful investment strategy requires information, preparation, a little bit of brainpower, and a larger bit of luck. Pursuit of the mythical perfect strategy frequently lands folks in a cacophony of talking heads and twenty-four hour noise, but Beat the Crowd cuts through the mental clutter and collects the pristine pieces of actual value into a tactical approach based on going against the grain.

Download or read book The Sceptical Investor written by John Stepek and published by . This book was released on 2019-03-11 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everyone wants to be a contrarian investor. From the hedge funds who bet against the US housing market in the run up to 2008, to George Soros’s billion-dollar bet against the Bank of England in 1992, some of the most famous and most profitable trades in history have been contrarian calls. And with the relentless growth of passive investing - investors blindly following the market - the opportunities for a smart investor to profit by betting against the crowd should be greater than ever. Yet being a contrarian is hard work. It takes patience, the conviction to stand by an unpopular viewpoint, and the mental toughness to endure being 'wrong' for prolonged periods of time. Standing out from the crowd goes against our every natural instinct. Which is, of course, why it works. So how do you go about it? There is no single, mechanical investment approach that marks an investor out as a contrarian. Instead, you need to adopt a sceptical mindset: a flexible mode of thinking that allows you to stand back and spot when the market’s view of the world is badly out of touch with reality - and the best way to profit when reality eventually reasserts itself. In The Sceptical Investor, John Stepek, executive editor of MoneyWeek, pulls together the latest research on behavioural finance, and examples from well-known contrarian investors, to offer practical techniques to help you to spot opportunities in common investment situations, from turnaround plays to bubbles and busts, that others in the market miss. It won't make you popular and it won't make you famous. But it will make you money.

Download or read book Trading Against the Crowd written by John F. Summa and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-10-27 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Efficient market theorists contend that markets are random and thus not predictable. With the publication of Trading Against theCrowd, however, noted author, economist, and professional trader John Summa convincingly shows that investor sentiment can be incorporated into profitable stock and stock market trading systems. In this groundbreaking book, Summa explains how to use popular gauges of crowd psychology, such as put/call ratios, option-implied volatility, short sales, investor surveys, and advisory opinion to trade against, or contrary to, prevailing market sentiment. He also makes compelling arguments against the efficient markets hypothesis with the presentation of his own quantitative weekly bear and bull news-flow intensity indices, which he builds from news scans. This data series, and other popular measures of crowd psychology, are processed through custom indicators that are programmed into profitable trading systems, such as Squeeze Play I & II, Tsunami Sentiment Wave, and the Fourth Estate. Trading Against the Crowd is the first book to provide a comprehensive assessment of investor crowd psychology, offering valuable market timing tools and trading techniques, including: MetaStock and Trade Station system and custom indicator code; comparative statistical studies of CBOE, OEX, and equity-only put/call ratios; straightforward instructions for combining price triggers with sentiment indicators; a practical guide to understanding put/call ratios, short sales, investor surveys, newsletter opinion, and stock market news-flow intensity; how to use LEAP options as trading vehicles to avoid use of stop loss orders; use of put/call ratios for trading the Treasury bond futures market; and test results and evaluation of trading system performance. Many of today’s professional money managers rely on investor sentiment for improved market timing. They know that at extremes of market sentiment, markets tend to be the most predictable.Trading Against the Crowd shows how you can begin to profit from these short- to medium-term sentiment waves generated by the actions of the speculative crowd. Put into practice powerful sentiment data using thoroughly back-tested trading systems, and rise above the herd mentality of the investor crowd, where potentially large profits await.

Download or read book Betting on You written by Laurie Ruettimann and published by Henry Holt and Company. This book was released on 2021-01-12 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Indispensable reading for anyone seeking to improve their professional selves." —Daniel H. Pink, #1 New York Times bestselling author of When An essential guide for how to snap out of autopilot and become your own best advocate, with candid anecdotes and easy-to-adopt steps, from veteran HR specialist and popular podcast host Laurie Ruettimann Chances are you've spent the past few months cooped up inside, buried under a relentless news cycle and work that never seems to switch off. Millions of us worldwide are overworked, exhausted, and trying our hardest—yet not getting the recognition we deserve. It’s time for a fix. Top career coach and HR consultant Laurie Ruettimann knows firsthand that work can get a hell of a lot better. A decade ago, Ruettimann was uninspired, blaming others and herself for the unhappiness she felt. Until she had an epiphany: if she wanted a fulfilling existence, she couldn’t sit around and wait for change. She had to be her own leader. She had to truly take ahold of life—the good, the bad, and the downright ugly—in order to transform her future. Today, as businesses prioritize their bottom line over employee satisfaction and workers become increasingly isolated, the need to safeguard your well-being is crucial. And though this sounds intimidating, it’s easier to do than you think. Through tactical advice on how to approach work in a smart and healthy manner, which includes knowing when to sign off for the day, doubling down on our capacity to learn, fixing those finances, and beating impostor syndrome once and for all, Ruettimann lays out the framework necessary to champion your interests and create a life you actually enjoy. Packed with advice and stories of others who regained control of their lives, Betting on You is a game-changing must-read for how to radically improve your day-to-day, working more effectively and enthusiastically starting now.

Download or read book Efficiency Of Racetrack Betting Markets 2008 Edition written by Donald B Hausch and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-06-20 with total page 679 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A reprint of one of the classic volumes on racetrack efficiency, this book is the only one in its field that deals with the racetrack betting market in-depth, containing all the important historical papers on racetrack efficiency. As evidenced by the collection of articles, the understanding of racetrack betting is clearly drawn from, and has correspondingly returned something to, all the fields of psychology, economics, finance, statistics, mathematics and management science.

Download or read book 50 Westerns The Best Adventures Gunfight Duels Battles Rider Trails Legendary Outlaws written by Karl May and published by Good Press. This book was released on 2023-12-21 with total page 10890 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Buckle up and get ready to go on a memorable adventure with our best-ever Western classics. Contents: Man in the Saddle (Ernest Haycox) Canyon Passage (Ernest Haycox) Trail Smoke (Ernest Haycox) Winnetou (Karl May) The Bandit of Hell's Bend (Edgar Rice Burroughs) The Deputy Sheriff of Comanche County (Edgar Rice Burroughs) The War Chief (Edgar Rice Burroughs) Apache Devil (Edgar Rice Burroughs) Riders of the Purple Sage (Zane Grey) The Rainbow Trail (Zane Grey) The Spirit of the Border (Zane Grey) The Untamed (Max Brand) The Night Horseman (Max Brand) The Seventh Man (Max Brand) The Virginian: A Horseman of the Plains (Owen Wister) The Last of the Mohicans (James Fenimore Cooper) The Prairie (James Fenimore Cooper) Chip, of the Flying U (B. M. Bower) The Flying U Ranch (B. M. Bower) The Flying U's Last Stand (B. M. Bower) Cabin Fever (B. M. Bower) Rimrock Trail (J. Allan Dunn) The 'Breckinridge Elkins' Series (Robert E. Howard) The Outcasts of Poker Flat (Bret Harte) The Luck of Roaring Camp (Bret Harte) Heart of the West (O. Henry) White Fang (Jack London) The Wolf Hunters (James Oliver Curwood) The Two-Gun Man (Charles Alden Seltzer) The Boss of the Lazy Y (Charles Alden Seltzer) The Law of the Land (Emerson Hough) The Short Cut (Jackson Gregory) Whispering Smith (Frank H. Spearman) The Outlet (Andy Adams) Reed Anthony, Cowman: An Autobiography (Andy Adams) A Texas Cow Boy (Charles Siringo) The Hidden Children (Robert W. Chambers) The Way of an Indian (Frederic Remington) The Bridge of the Gods (Frederic Homer Balch) The Desert Trail (Dane Coolidge) Hidden Water (Dane Coolidge) That Girl Montana (Marah Ellis Ryan) The Long Dim Trail (Forrestine C. Hooker) A Voice in the Wilderness (Grace Livingston Hill) The Rules of the Game (Stewart Edward White) John Brent (Theodore Winthrop) The Lions of the Lord (Harry Leon Wilson) A Tale of the Western Plains (G. A. Henty)...

Download or read book Martial Arts Collection Jade Dragon and the Handsome Guest written by Zhixin Lin and published by Zhixin Lin. This book was released on with total page 1137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Ralph Compton Never Bet Against the Bullet written by Jackson Lowry and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2020-06-02 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thrilling new Ralph Compton Western, the fate of a small town rests in the hands of a gambler who’s ready to risk more than money. The people of Meridian, Colorado, live and die by coal mining, and when the railroad bypasses them, their livelihood is in peril. However, they discover that for a hefty sum of money they can create a spur line and save the town. A hefty sum that the town does not have. Their only hope is former gambler Asa Newcombe. The townspeople pool their money so Newcombe can enter the big poker game in Golden Junction, and as much as he wants to leave his past life behind, the whole town is counting on him. Winning the big pot will burnish his reputation, but his goal is simple: Get the money and get out alive. His opponents include wealthy ranchers, tinhorn gamblers, and men who are outright criminals—and many of them will stop at nothing to make their fortune, even if they have to cheat, drug, or kill to do so....

Download or read book Betting On Kincade written by Devon McKay and published by Forever in Love Publishing. This book was released on 2022-01-11 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner takes all... Everyone Cassie Wilcox loved is gone. And now, thanks to her drunken stepfather, her house and family business will be taken from her, too, unless she can find a way to buy back the ranch from the new owner. With less than two months to come up with money she doesn’t have, her options are running out, and apparently, her common sense as she rents out rooms to an eclectic group of strangers. Returning home for Dalton Kincade is bittersweet. Not a damn thing has changed. Two years on the rodeo circuit weren’t able to shake free the memory of the feisty redhead who’d broken his heart into a thousand pieces. Nor the sting of her parting words…Never trust a Kincade. Winning her beloved ranch in a drunken bet is the last thing he expected to happen, but at least he saved it for her. Now, he has to figure out how to break that news to a woman who never wants to see him again. Renting a room in the house he now owns might be a risk, but it’s nothing compared to betting his heart on winning back the love of his life.

Download or read book Not Betting on Forever written by Natasha Moore and published by Entangled: August. This book was released on 2022-08-08 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What’s the fun when you don’t bet to win? Single mom Melanie Hayes should absolutely, completely, and totally not be attracted to her next door neighbor. Nick Campagna can be her friend, her secret crush, or just the arrogant —and unavoidably handsome—jerk next door, but nothing more. Because, even though it was a million years ago, he’s also her sister’s ex. And now, with Lakeside’s Battle of the Businesses in full swing, Nick’s also Melanie’s competition. Their families have always been competitive, so it’s no surprise to anyone that Nick and Melanie are playing for more than just bragging rights. With a coveted piece of land on the line, Nick isn’t backing down. Maybe he can’t help noticing that the tomboy he knew as a kid has turned into a stunning redhead. Maybe he is attracted to Melanie. Ridiculously so. But as real as this feels, Nick knows this is one game he definitely can’t win. They’ve known each other long enough that it’s definitely not love at first sight. But attraction can happen in an instant. And this is one wager where winning is nowhere near as fun as playing the game...

Download or read book Betting on Red written by Shawn Ward and published by Christian Faith Publishing, Inc.. This book was released on 2021-01-13 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are you ready for some really good news? Well, you've come to the right place. The information contained in this book can radically change your life in the best way possible. Moments before taking my own life, I found the winning formula that many have already discovered that leads to a massive jackpot and I finally get to share it with you! Now, I am not talking about the jackpot of cash that comes and goes, it's much greater than that. This jackpot is what the rich, poor, and everyone in between would give anything to win-the jackpot of true peace, lasting hope, and pure happiness that can never be taken away. Have you ever felt as though something is missing in your life, but you can't quite put your finger on what it is? Have you ever journeyed on a soul searching mission to find the purpose of life, true happiness, and personal fulfillment-only to be unfulfilled time and time again? That's exactly how I felt before I found the answer.It is my great pleasure to reveal how a single bet on Red can complete the puzzle of life and fulfill you in unimaginable ways.Sit back, relax, and enjoy learning how to win the biggest jackpot in human history!

Download or read book Betting on the Civil Service Examinations written by En Li and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2023 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Weixing was a highly-organized lottery practice wherein people bet on the surnames of which candidates would pass the civil and military examinations in China. This book reconstructs the inner mechanisms of Weixing and other lottery games and traces a series of institutional revenue innovations surrounding lottery regulation from the 1850s to the early 1900s, depicting an expansive community created by the lottery with cultural and informational channels stretching around the world."--

Download or read book Inkling of Truth written by Saffron Bryant and published by Saffron Bryant. This book was released on 2022-03-20 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Magic's worth killing for... but is it worth dying for? When her oldest friend is murdered, Skylar is determined to follow the clues until the bitter end. She finds a trail far from cold. The royal family is harvesting citizens for their vitality. Could it be related to how Skylar's parents died a decade past? She has a reputation for justice, but this time it's personal. The secrets will change Skylar's life, and the whole kingdom -- if only she can survive long enough to find them all. Murder. Mystery. Fantasy. Join Skylar and solve the case today!