Download or read book War and Chance written by Jeffrey A. Friedman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-04-01 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks, or estimate the countless other risks that shape foreign policy choices. Many scholars and practitioners therefore believe that it is better to keep foreign policy debates focused on the facts - that it is, at best, a waste of time to debate uncertain judgments that will often prove to be wrong. In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman shows how foreign policy officials often try to avoid the challenge of assessing uncertainty, and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he explains how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices. Each of these claims contradicts widespread skepticism about the value of probabilistic reasoning in international politics, and shows how placing greater emphasis on assessing uncertainty can improve nearly any foreign policy debate. A clear-eyed examination of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty, War and Chance provides scholars and practitioners with new foundations for understanding one of the most controversial elements of foreign policy discourse.

Download or read book Long Journey for Sevenpence written by Megan Hutching and published by Victoria University Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using interviews and questionaires, Megan Hutching has created a lively account of the process of emigration from the point of view of the migrants themselves, often in their own words. She recounts their experiences of the 12,000-mile sea journey to New Zealand and adaption to a life in a new country. Not all agree that it was the best thing they ever did, but most of them remained and now consider themselves New Zealanders. Why did people in post-war Britain make the long journey to the other side of the world? Besides the answers to this question, in this generously illustrated history Hutching also explores New Zealand government policy and the reasons for the assistend immigration scheme in 1947.

Download or read book Bibliography of Agriculture written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 1438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Bazaars and Fair Ladies written by Beverly Gordon and published by Univ. of Tennessee Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tracing their development from the early 1800s to the present day, Gordon shows how women's fairs have reflected and influenced American culture, including styles of display and presentation, forms of public entertainment, attitudes about consumption and commodities, and perceptions of other cultures and of the past.

Download or read book Catalog of Copyright Entries written by Library of Congress. Copyright Office and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Let Us Make Men written by D'Weston Haywood and published by UNC Press Books. This book was released on 2018-09-25 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During its golden years, the twentieth-century black press was a tool of black men's leadership, public voice, and gender and identity formation. Those at the helm of black newspapers used their platforms to wage a fight for racial justice and black manhood. In a story that stretches from the turn of the twentieth century to the rise of the Black Power movement, D'Weston Haywood argues that black people's ideas, rhetoric, and protest strategies for racial advancement grew out of the quest for manhood led by black newspapers. This history departs from standard narratives of black protest, black men, and the black press by positioning newspapers at the intersections of gender, ideology, race, class, identity, urbanization, the public sphere, and black institutional life. Shedding crucial new light on the deep roots of African Americans' mobilizations around issues of rights and racial justice during the twentieth century, Let Us Make Men reveals the critical, complex role black male publishers played in grounding those issues in a quest to redeem black manhood.

Download or read book All Music Guide to Soul written by Vladimir Bogdanov and published by Hal Leonard Corporation. This book was released on 2003 with total page 918 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With informative biographies, essays, and "music maps, " this book is the ultimate guide to the best recordings in rhythm and blues. 20 charts.

Download or read book Nuclear Science Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 652 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Congressional Record written by United States. Congress and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 1386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book My Husband and My Wives written by Charles Rowan Beye and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2012-10-02 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A memoir of a man looking back over eight decades at the complications of discovering at puberty his attraction to other men. A wonderfully original, challenging, life- and love-affirming account that could only have been written by the unconventional man who lived through it all.

Download or read book Commercial Fisheries Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book TID written by and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Princeton Alumni Weekly written by and published by princeton alumni weekly. This book was released on 1961 with total page 1088 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Radioisotopes in World Industry written by U.S. Atomic Energy Commission. Division of Isotopes Development and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Overseas Business Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 654 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Department of State News Letter written by United States. Department of State and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 836 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Newspaper Clippings from the Lawrence County Alabama Moulton Advertiser 1884 1892 written by Robin Sterling and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volume 1 also contains 57 chapters of Col. James E. Saunder's "Early Settlers of Lawrence County" which begins with the Indian days and guides the reader through the early history of Lawrence County up through the description of the men and actions of the 9th and 16th Alabama Infantry Regiments.