Download or read book Decision Theory and Decision Analysis Trends and Challenges written by Sixto Ríos and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1994-07-31 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges is divided into three parts. The first part, overviews, provides state-of-the-art surveys of various aspects of decision analysis and utility theory. The second part, theory and foundations, includes theoretical contributions on decision-making under uncertainty, partial beliefs and preferences. The third section, applications, reflects the real possibilities of recent theoretical developments such as non-expected utility theories, multicriteria decision techniques, and how these improve our understanding of other areas including artificial intelligence, economics, and environmental studies.
Download or read book BESLUTNINGSTEORI OG OPERATIONSANALY SE written by and published by . This book was released on 1961 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Statistics and Decisions written by S. H. Kim and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1992-05-02 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This systematic introduction to decision theory also acquaints the reader with the basic concepts and theories of probability and statistics. Assuming only an understanding of calculus, the book can be used as a textbook, or a self-study guide, and is addressed to both students and researchers in fields from engineering and the natural sciences, to management, economics and psychology. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Download or read book Betting on Theories written by Patrick Maher and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1993-02-26 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a major new contribution to decision theory, focusing on the question of when it is rational to accept scientific theories. The author examines both Bayesian decision theory and confirmation theory, refining and elaborating the views of Ramsey and Savage. He argues that the most solid foundation for confirmation theory is to be found in decision theory, and he provides a decision-theoretic derivation of principles for how many probabilities should be revised over time. Professor Maher defines a notion of accepting a hypothesis, and then shows that it is not reducible to probability and that it is needed to deal with some important questions in the philosophy of science. A Bayesian decision-theoretic account of rational acceptance is provided together with a proof of the foundations for this theory. A final chapter shows how this account can be used to cast light on such vexing issues as verisimilitude and scientific realism.
Download or read book Planning Based on Decision Theory written by Giacomo Della Riccia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2003-10-21 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Planning of actions based on decision theory is a hot topic for many disciplines. Seemingly unlimited computing power, networking, integration and collaboration have meanwhile attracted the attention of fields like Machine Learning, Operations Research, Management Science and Computer Science. Software agents of e-commerce, mediators of Information Retrieval Systems and Database based Information Systems are typical new application areas. Until now, planning methods were successfully applied in production, logistics, marketing, finance, management, and used in robots, software agents etc. It is the special feature of the book that planning is embedded into decision theory, and this will give the interested reader new perspectives to follow-up.
Download or read book Decision Making and Programming written by V. V. Kolbin and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2003 with total page 757 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problem of selection of alternatives or the problem of decision making in the modern world has become the most important class of problems constantly faced by business people, researchers, doctors and engineers.The fields that are almost entirely focused on conflicts, where applied mathematics is successfully used, are law, military science, many branches of economics, sociology, political science, and psychology. There are good grounds to believe that medicine and some branches of biology and ethics can also be included in this list. Modern applied mathematics can produce solutions to many tens of classes of conflicts differing by the composition and structure of the participants, specific features of the set of their objectives or interests, and various characteristics of the set of their actions, strategies, behaviors, controls, and decisions as applied to various principles of selection or notions of decision optimization.The current issues of social and economic systems involve the necessity to coordinate and jointly optimize various lines of development and activities of modern society. For this reason, the decision problems arising in investigation of such systems are versatile, which shows up not only in the multiplicity of participants, their interests and complexity of reciprocal effects, but also in the laborious development of social utility criteria for a variety of indices and versatile objectives. The efficient decision methods for such complex systems can be developed only the basis of specially developed mathematical tools.
Download or read book Advances in Multiple Criteria Decision Making and Human Systems Management written by Milan Zeleny and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited as a Festschrift in honor of Prof Milan Zeleny, this volume reflects and emulates his unmistakable legacy: the essential multidimensionality of human and social affairs. It contains papers dealing with: Multiple Criteria Decision Making; Social and Human System Management; and Information, Knowledge and Wisdom Management.
Download or read book Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs written by George Lennox Sharman Shackle and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1961 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Foundations of Decision Theory written by Michael Bacharach and published by Wiley-Blackwell. This book was released on 1991-01 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Psychological Decision Theory written by J. Kozielecki and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1982-03-31 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Decision Enhancement Services written by Peter G. W. Keen and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2008 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision Enhancement (DE) is a field of practice aimed at extending lessons, principles and tools built up over a thirty year period, largely under the term 'Decision Support'. This book encourages reflection and discussion within and across executives, their advisors, change management specialists, and experts in multi-disciplinary fields.
Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory written by John Winsor Pratt and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 906 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: They then examine the Bernoulli, Poisson, and Normal (univariate and multivariate) data generating processes.
Download or read book Modern Developments in Behavioral Economics written by John Malcolm Dowling and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2007 with total page 459 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the field of behavioral economics and provides insights into the following questions: ? Does utility bring happiness?? How do emotions and personal perspectives color our economic decisions?? How do altruism, trust, fairness and justice come into play in game theory?? Why are some organizations so successful in implementing their objectives?? Can advances in neuroeconomics unlock the secrets of how decisions are made?The book looks at decision making and behavior from the point of view of (i) individual behavior and choice; (ii) group and interactive choice; and (iii) collective choices and decision making. In particular, it covers the following aspects: instances when bounded rationality leads to decisions inconsistent with standard economic assumptions; risk and the processes by which investors and consumers make decisions; altruistic and cooperative behavior as alternatives to competition; game theory as a way to explore motives of cooperation versus competition; the determinants of happiness and the relationship between utility and well-being; the concept of social capital, including motivations for charity and being a responsible citizen; how trust and fairness relate to economic actions and the motivation to cooperate rather than compete; behavior such as crime, corruption and bribery from ethical, social and economic viewpoints; and, finally, the decision making process of collective choice and how societies develop rules for governing themselves.This is the first book to bridge economics, psychology, sociology and political sciences and explain the nuanced subtleties of decision making.
Download or read book Multi Objective Decision Making written by Diederik M. Roijers and published by Morgan & Claypool Publishers. This book was released on 2017-04-20 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many real-world decision problems have multiple objectives. For example, when choosing a medical treatment plan, we want to maximize the efficacy of the treatment, but also minimize the side effects. These objectives typically conflict, e.g., we can often increase the efficacy of the treatment, but at the cost of more severe side effects. In this book, we outline how to deal with multiple objectives in decision-theoretic planning and reinforcement learning algorithms. To illustrate this, we employ the popular problem classes of multi-objective Markov decision processes (MOMDPs) and multi-objective coordination graphs (MO-CoGs). First, we discuss different use cases for multi-objective decision making, and why they often necessitate explicitly multi-objective algorithms. We advocate a utility-based approach to multi-objective decision making, i.e., that what constitutes an optimal solution to a multi-objective decision problem should be derived from the available information about user utility. We show how different assumptions about user utility and what types of policies are allowed lead to different solution concepts, which we outline in a taxonomy of multi-objective decision problems. Second, we show how to create new methods for multi-objective decision making using existing single-objective methods as a basis. Focusing on planning, we describe two ways to creating multi-objective algorithms: in the inner loop approach, the inner workings of a single-objective method are adapted to work with multi-objective solution concepts; in the outer loop approach, a wrapper is created around a single-objective method that solves the multi-objective problem as a series of single-objective problems. After discussing the creation of such methods for the planning setting, we discuss how these approaches apply to the learning setting. Next, we discuss three promising application domains for multi-objective decision making algorithms: energy, health, and infrastructure and transportation. Finally, we conclude by outlining important open problems and promising future directions.
Download or read book Decision Diagrams for Optimization written by David Bergman and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-01 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces a novel approach to discrete optimization, providing both theoretical insights and algorithmic developments that lead to improvements over state-of-the-art technology. The authors present chapters on the use of decision diagrams for combinatorial optimization and constraint programming, with attention to general-purpose solution methods as well as problem-specific techniques. The book will be useful for researchers and practitioners in discrete optimization and constraint programming. "Decision Diagrams for Optimization is one of the most exciting developments emerging from constraint programming in recent years. This book is a compelling summary of existing results in this space and a must-read for optimizers around the world." [Pascal Van Hentenryck]
Download or read book Logic Probability and Science written by and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2022-02-22 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the contents: Charles MORGAN: Canonical models and probabilistic semantics. - Francois LEPAGE: A many-valued probabilistic logic. - Piers RAWLING: The exchange paradox, finite additivity, and the principle of dominance. - Susan VINEBERG: The logical status of conditionalization and its role in confirmation. - Deborah MAYO: Science, error statistics, and arguing from error. - Mark N. LANCE: The best is the enemy of the good: Bayesian epistemology as a case study in unhelpful idealization. - Robert B. GARDNER & Michael C. WOOTEN: An application of Bayes' theorem to population genetics. - Peter D. JOHNSON, Jr.: Another look at group selection."
Download or read book The Dynamics of Thought written by Peter Gardenfors and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-11-10 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a selection from the articles that I have written over a period of more than twenty years. Since the focus of my research interests has shifted several times during this period, it would be difficult to identify a common theme for all the papers in the volume. Following the Swedish tradition, I therefore present this as a smörgåsbord of philosophical and cognitive issues that I have worked on. To create some order, I have organized the sixteen papers into five general sections: (1) Decision theory; (2) belief revision and nonmonotonic logic; (3) induction; (4) semantics and pragmatics; and (5) cognition and evolution. Having said this, I still think that there is a common theme to my work over the years: The dynamics of thought. My academic interests have all the time dealt with aspects of how different kinds of knowledge should be represented, and, in particular, how changes in knowledge will affect thinking. Hence the title of the book.
