Download or read book Belief State Planning for Autonomous Driving Planning with Interaction Uncertain Prediction and Uncertain Perception written by Hubmann, Constantin and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2021-09-13 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work presents a behavior planning algorithm for automated driving in urban environments with an uncertain and dynamic nature. The algorithm allows to consider the prediction uncertainty (e.g. different intentions), perception uncertainty (e.g. occlusions) as well as the uncertain interactive behavior of the other agents explicitly. Simulating the most likely future scenarios allows to find an optimal policy online that enables non-conservative planning under uncertainty.
Download or read book Motion Planning for Autonomous Vehicles in Partially Observable Environments written by Taş, Ömer Şahin and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2023-10-23 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work develops a motion planner that compensates the deficiencies from perception modules by exploiting the reaction capabilities of a vehicle. The work analyzes present uncertainties and defines driving objectives together with constraints that ensure safety. The resulting problem is solved in real-time, in two distinct ways: first, with nonlinear optimization, and secondly, by framing it as a partially observable Markov decision process and approximating the solution with sampling.
Download or read book Probabilistic Motion Planning for Automated Vehicles written by Naumann, Maximilian and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2021-02-25 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In motion planning for automated vehicles, a thorough uncertainty consideration is crucial to facilitate safe and convenient driving behavior. This work presents three motion planning approaches which are targeted towards the predominant uncertainties in different scenarios, along with an extended safety verification framework. The approaches consider uncertainties from imperfect perception, occlusions and limited sensor range, and also those in the behavior of other traffic participants.
Download or read book Safe and Scalable Planning Under Uncertainty for Autonomous Driving written by Maxime Thomas Marcel Bouton and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Autonomous driving has the potential to significantly improve safety. Although progress has been made in recent years to deploy automated driving technologies, many situations handled on a daily basis by human drivers remain challenging for autonomous vehicles, such as navigating urban environments. They must reach their goal safely and efficiently while considering a multitude of traffic participants with rapidly changing behavior. Hand-engineering strategies to navigate such environments requires anticipating many possible situations and finding a suitable behavior for each, which places a large burden on the designer and is unlikely to scale to complicated situations. In addition, autonomous vehicles rely on on-board perception systems that give noisy estimates of the location and velocity of others on the road and are sensitive to occlusions. Autonomously navigating urban environments requires algorithms that reason about interactions with and between traffic participants with limited information. This thesis addresses the problem of automatically generating decision making strategies for autonomous vehicles in urban environments. Previous approaches relied on planning with respect to a mathematical model of the environment but have many limitations. A partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) is a standard model for sequential decision making problems in dynamic, uncertain environments with imperfect sensor measurements. This thesis demonstrates a generic representation of driving scenarios as POMDPs, considering sensor occlusions and interactions between road users. A key contribution of this thesis is a methodology to scale POMDP approaches to complex environments involving a large number of traffic participants. To reduce the computational cost of considering multiple traffic participants, a decomposition method leveraging the strategies of interacting with a subset of road users is introduced. Decomposition methods can approximate the solutions to large sequential decision making problems at the expense of sacrificing optimality. This thesis introduces a new algorithm that uses deep reinforcement learning to bridge the gap with the optimal solution. Establishing trust in the generated decision strategies is also necessary for the deployment of autonomous vehicles. Methods to constrain a policy trained using reinforcement learning are introduced and combined with the proposed decomposition techniques. This method allows to learn policies with safety constraints. To address state uncertainty, a new methodology for computing probabilistic safety guarantees in partially observable domains is introduced. It is shown that the new method is more flexible and more scalable than previous work. The algorithmic contributions present in this thesis are applied to a variety of driving scenarios. Each algorithm is evaluated in simulation and compared to previous work. It is shown that the POMDP formulation in combination with scalable solving methods provide a flexible framework for planning under uncertainty for autonomous driving.
- Author : Weiqiao Han
- Publisher :
- Release : 2023
- ISBN :
- Pages : 0 pages
Risk Aware Planning and Probabilistic Prediction for Autonomous Systems Under Uncertain Environments
Download or read book Risk Aware Planning and Probabilistic Prediction for Autonomous Systems Under Uncertain Environments written by Weiqiao Han and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis considers risk aware planning and probabilistic prediction for autonomous systems under uncertain environments. Motion planning under uncertainty looks for trajectories with bounded probability of collision with uncertain obstacles. Existing methods to address motion planning problems under uncertainty are either limited to Gaussian uncertainties and convex linear obstacles, or rely on sampling based methods that need uncertainty samples. In this thesis, we consider non-convex uncertain obstacles, stochastic nonlinear systems, and non-Gaussian uncertainty. We utilize concentration inequalities, higher order moments, and risk contours to handle non-Gaussian uncertainties. Without considering dynamics, we use RRT to plan trajectories together with SOS programming to verify the safety of the trajectory. Considering stochastic nonlinear dynamics, we solve nonlinear programming problems in terms of moments of random variables and controls using off-the-self solvers to generate trajectories with guaranteed bounded risk. Then we consider trajectory prediction for autonomous vehicles. We propose a hierarchical end-to-end deep learning framework for autonomous driving trajectory prediction: Keyframe MultiPath (KEMP). Our model is not only more general but also simpler than previous methods. Our model achieves state-of-the-art performance in autonomous driving trajectory prediction tasks.
Download or read book Interaction aware Planning Under Uncertainty for Autonomous Driving written by Salar Arbabi and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note is part of Quality testing.
Download or read book Planning Universal On Road Driving Strategies for Automated Vehicles written by Steffen Heinrich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-04-19 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Steffen Heinrich describes a motion planning system for automated vehicles. The planning method is universally applicable to on-road scenarios and does not depend on a high-level maneuver selection automation for driving strategy guidance. The author presents a planning framework using graphics processing units (GPUs) for task parallelization. A method is introduced that solely uses a small set of rules and heuristics to generate driving strategies. It was possible to show that GPUs serve as an excellent enabler for real-time applications of trajectory planning methods. Like humans, computer-controlled vehicles have to be fully aware of their surroundings. Therefore, a contribution that maximizes scene knowledge through smart vehicle positioning is evaluated. A post-processing method for stochastic trajectory validation supports the search for longer-term trajectories which take ego-motion uncertainty into account. About the Author Steffen Heinrich has a strong background in robotics and artificial intelligence. Since 2009 he has been developing algorithms and software components for self-driving systems in research facilities and for automakers in Germany and the US.
Download or read book Conception and Development of an Interaction Framework for a Collaborative Assistance Vehicle written by Mohsen Sefati and published by Apprimus Wissenschaftsverlag. This book was released on 2021-04-23 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work presents a new concept of a Collaborative Assistance Vehicle with high interaction capabilities for collaboration with external users outside the vehicle. This work proposes a functional architecture for level 4 automated driving that focuses on an interaction framework, along with algorithmic solutions for implementing core function modules. Perception, command extraction, and behavior planning are part of the core function modules. All of these modules will be implemented and evaluated.
Download or read book Automated Planning and Acting written by Malik Ghallab and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-08-09 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Autonomous AI systems need complex computational techniques for planning and performing actions. Planning and acting require significant deliberation because an intelligent system must coordinate and integrate these activities in order to act effectively in the real world. This book presents a comprehensive paradigm of planning and acting using the most recent and advanced automated-planning techniques. It explains the computational deliberation capabilities that allow an actor, whether physical or virtual, to reason about its actions, choose them, organize them purposefully, and act deliberately to achieve an objective. Useful for students, practitioners, and researchers, this book covers state-of-the-art planning techniques, acting techniques, and their integration which will allow readers to design intelligent systems that are able to act effectively in the real world.
Download or read book Surfing Uncertainty written by Andy Clark and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2016 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title brings together work on embodiment, action, and the predictive mind. At the core is the vision of human minds as prediction machines - devices that constantly try to stay one step ahead of the breaking waves of sensory stimulation, by actively predicting the incoming flow. In every situation we encounter, that complex prediction machinery is already buzzing, proactively trying to anticipate the sensory barrage. The book shows in detail how this strange but potent strategy of self-anticipation ushers perception, understanding, and imagination simultaneously onto the cognitive stage.
Download or read book Interaction and Uncertainty Aware Motion Planning for Autonomous Vehicles Using Model Predictive Control written by Jian Zhou and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Moment based Risk bounded Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Vehicles written by Allen Mengyu Wang and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty in the behavior of agents on the road is arguably one of the greatest challenges preventing the large scale deployment of fully autonomous vehicles on public roads. This uncertainty is complex and challenging to characterize: empirical data shows multi-modal and non-Gaussian distributions of future positions of human driven vehicles. To drive safely, autonomous driving systems should generate prediction distributions of agent future positions that are representative of the uncertainty and use these distributions to plan trajectories with risk bounds (i.e. certificates on risk). Risk-bounded trajectory planning is a challenging problem, especially given the stringent run-time constraints imposed by autonomous driving. Thus, current approaches that are fast enough for autonomous driving are largely restricted to assuming Gaussian sources of uncertainty with linear constraints and model the ego vehicle as a point mass. To address these limitations, this thesis aims to develop a risk-bounded trajectory planner that can: 1) use multi-modal non-Gaussian predictions of agent positions, 2) account for ego vehicle and agent geometries, and 3) run in real time. To achieve generality, we dene a prediction representation, AMM-PFT, that represents uncertainty in terms of statistical moments of the prediction distribution. This approach provides generality as statistical moments are universal properties of distributions, and we provide methods for computing them from agent predictions. We then develop methods for bounding risk, given an AMM-PFT, by using statistical moments in deterministic inequalities known as concentration inequalities. These concentration inequalities are then encoded in a fixed risk allocation optimization problem, which we show can plan trajectories with 50 time step horizons in 12.9ms on average. In some scenarios, these concentration inequalities can be excessively conservative, so we develop non-differentiable methods for risk assessment that are tighter, but cannot be directly encoded in a gradient based optimization routine. Instead, these risk assessment methods are used to inform the outer loop that sets the risk allocation for optimizations; we call this algorithm SRAR and show that it can significantly reduce the average cost of trajectories while remaining safe. We provide controlled experiments demonstrating the advantages and stability of our approach, and we also provide demonstrations of our trajectory planning system in a simulation environment where it can safely drive through a neighborhood with multiple uncertain agents to get to its goal destination. We also consider the problem of using prediction distributions of agent actions, such as accelerating and turning. To use such predictions, we need to compute AMM-PFTs from these action distributions by propagating the uncertainty in actions into uncertainty in positions using nonlinear dynamics models such as the Dubin's Car. While the particle filter and variants of the Kalman filter can perform this propagation approximately, we develop an algorithm, TreeRing, that can search for closed form systems of equations to perform this propagation exactly for discrete time polynomial systems. We show that the Dubin's car can be transformed into a polynomial system, thus allowing us to apply TreeRing to develop a method for exactly computing AMM-PFTs given distributions of agent acceleration and turning. In numerical experiments, we show that it is more accurate than linearized propagation with the Kalman filter and, with a run-time of less than a microsecond per time step, it is much faster than Monte Carlo methods. While we only explore this particular application of TreeRing, it has the potential to improve performance in other filtering applications.
Download or read book Safety and Efficiency in Autonomous Vehicles Through Planning with Uncertainty written by Zachary Nolan Sunberg and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Safety is the highest priority for autonomous vehicles, but if they are not also efficient in terms of time and other resources, they will have a significant competitive disadvantage and may not be adopted widely. Though safety and efficiency are opposing goals, better models and planning algorithms can result in simultaneous improvements to both. The partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) provides a systematic framework for representing the chain of decisions that an autonomous vehicle makes when driving or flying. However, it is challenging to find optimal policies for POMDPs that represent continuous physical domains. This dissertation analyzes and demonstrates improvements related to several aspects of making safe and efficient decisions. First, it considers how pseudo-random approximate algorithms can be combined with trusted deterministic algorithms to make certification easier and increase reliability in an unmanned aerial vehicle domain. Second, simulation results demonstrate that modeling uncertainty in the internal states of other road users using POMDP planning can lead to significant improvement over a formulation that models only outcome uncertainty. Third, the research shows that current leading online POMDP algorithms are unable to solve some problems with continuous observation spaces and overcomes this weakness using double progressive widening and weighted particle filtering resulting in a new algorithm called POMCPOW. Finally, a description of the POMDPs.jl software framework is given.
Download or read book Creating Autonomous Vehicle Systems written by Shaoshan Liu and published by Morgan & Claypool Publishers. This book was released on 2017-10-25 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first technical overview of autonomous vehicles written for a general computing and engineering audience. The authors share their practical experiences of creating autonomous vehicle systems. These systems are complex, consisting of three major subsystems: (1) algorithms for localization, perception, and planning and control; (2) client systems, such as the robotics operating system and hardware platform; and (3) the cloud platform, which includes data storage, simulation, high-definition (HD) mapping, and deep learning model training. The algorithm subsystem extracts meaningful information from sensor raw data to understand its environment and make decisions about its actions. The client subsystem integrates these algorithms to meet real-time and reliability requirements. The cloud platform provides offline computing and storage capabilities for autonomous vehicles. Using the cloud platform, we are able to test new algorithms and update the HD map—plus, train better recognition, tracking, and decision models. This book consists of nine chapters. Chapter 1 provides an overview of autonomous vehicle systems; Chapter 2 focuses on localization technologies; Chapter 3 discusses traditional techniques used for perception; Chapter 4 discusses deep learning based techniques for perception; Chapter 5 introduces the planning and control sub-system, especially prediction and routing technologies; Chapter 6 focuses on motion planning and feedback control of the planning and control subsystem; Chapter 7 introduces reinforcement learning-based planning and control; Chapter 8 delves into the details of client systems design; and Chapter 9 provides the details of cloud platforms for autonomous driving. This book should be useful to students, researchers, and practitioners alike. Whether you are an undergraduate or a graduate student interested in autonomous driving, you will find herein a comprehensive overview of the whole autonomous vehicle technology stack. If you are an autonomous driving practitioner, the many practical techniques introduced in this book will be of interest to you. Researchers will also find plenty of references for an effective, deeper exploration of the various technologies.
Download or read book Trajectory Bundle Estimation For Perception driven Planning written by Abraham Galton Bachrach and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When operating in unknown environments, autonomous vehicles must perceive and understand the environment ahead in order to make effective navigation decisions. Long range perception can enable a vehicle to choose actions that take it directly toward its goal, avoiding dead ends. In addition, the perception range is critically important for ensuring the safety of vehicles with constrained dynamics. In general, the faster a vehicle moves, the more constrained its dynamics become due to acceleration limits imposed by its actuators. This means that the speed at which an autonomous agent can safely travel is often governed by its ability to perceive and understand the environment ahead. Overall, perception range is one of the most important factors that determines the performance of an autonomous vehicle. Today, autonomous vehicles tend to rely exclusively on metric representations built using range sensors to plan paths. However, such sensors are limited by their maximum range, field of view, and occluding obstacles in the foreground. Together, these limitations make up what we call the metric sensing horizon of the vehicle. The first two limitations are generally determined by the weight, size, power, and cost budget allocated to sensing. However, range sensors will always be limited by occlusions. If we wish to develop autonomous vehicles that are able to navigate directly toward a goal at high speeds through unknown environments, then we must move beyond the simple range-sensor based techniques. We must develop algorithms that enable autonomous agents to harness knowledge about the structure of the world to interpret additional sensor information (such as appearance information provided by cameras), and make inferences about parts of the world that cannot be directly observed. We develop a new representation based around trajectory bundles, that makes this challenging task more tractable. Rather than attempt to explicitly model the geometry of the world in front of the vehicle (which can be incredibly complex), we reason about the world in terms of what the vehicle can and cannot do. Trajectory bundles are designed to capture an abstract concept such as the command "go straight and then turn towards the right" in a concrete and actionable manner. We employ a library of trajectory bundles to reason about the layout of obstacles in the environment based on which bundles in the library are predicted to be feasible. Trajectory bundles provide a lens through which we can look at perception tasks, allowing us to leverage machine learning tools in much more effective ways for navigation. In this thesis we introduce trajectory bundles, and develop algorithms that use them to enable perception-driven planning. We develop a trajectory clustering algorithm that enables us to construct a set of trajectory bundles. We then develop a Bayesian filtering framework that enables us to estimate a belief over which trajectory bundles are feasible based on the history of actions and observations of the vehicle. We test our algorithms by using them to navigate a simulated fixed wing air vehicle at high speeds through an unknown environment using a monocular camera sensor.
Download or read book Algorithms for Decision Making written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2022-08-16 with total page 701 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A broad introduction to algorithms for decision making under uncertainty, introducing the underlying mathematical problem formulations and the algorithms for solving them. Automated decision-making systems or decision-support systems—used in applications that range from aircraft collision avoidance to breast cancer screening—must be designed to account for various sources of uncertainty while carefully balancing multiple objectives. This textbook provides a broad introduction to algorithms for decision making under uncertainty, covering the underlying mathematical problem formulations and the algorithms for solving them. The book first addresses the problem of reasoning about uncertainty and objectives in simple decisions at a single point in time, and then turns to sequential decision problems in stochastic environments where the outcomes of our actions are uncertain. It goes on to address model uncertainty, when we do not start with a known model and must learn how to act through interaction with the environment; state uncertainty, in which we do not know the current state of the environment due to imperfect perceptual information; and decision contexts involving multiple agents. The book focuses primarily on planning and reinforcement learning, although some of the techniques presented draw on elements of supervised learning and optimization. Algorithms are implemented in the Julia programming language. Figures, examples, and exercises convey the intuition behind the various approaches presented.
Download or read book Probabilistic Robotics written by Sebastian Thrun and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the techniques and algorithms of the newest field in robotics. Probabilistic robotics is a new and growing area in robotics, concerned with perception and control in the face of uncertainty. Building on the field of mathematical statistics, probabilistic robotics endows robots with a new level of robustness in real-world situations. This book introduces the reader to a wealth of techniques and algorithms in the field. All algorithms are based on a single overarching mathematical foundation. Each chapter provides example implementations in pseudo code, detailed mathematical derivations, discussions from a practitioner's perspective, and extensive lists of exercises and class projects. The book's Web site, www.probabilistic-robotics.org, has additional material. The book is relevant for anyone involved in robotic software development and scientific research. It will also be of interest to applied statisticians and engineers dealing with real-world sensor data.