Download or read book Assessing the Impact of Emerging Market Financial Crises on Equity Risk Premium Using Event Study Methodology written by Ahmad Rizal Mazlan and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Emerging Financial Markets written by Jonathan Batten and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2011-03-02 with total page 745 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 has highlighted the resilience of the financial markets and economies from the developing world. This title investigates and assesses the impact and response to the crisis from an emerging markets perspective including asset pricing, contagion, financial intermediation, market structure and regulation.

Download or read book Equity Risk Premium written by Ahmad Rizal Mazlan and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The flow of foreign portfolio investment in emerging markets is growing but is lower than market capitalization growth due to the relatively higher investment risk inherent in those markets. This is exacerbated by the fact that most emerging markets have been adversely affected, albeit with varying degree, by financial crises. As a central component in the risk and return concept, research in equity risk premium (ERP) is imperative, particularly if financial crisis dimension is coalesced into the study. Hence, this study is conducted to examine the characteristics and determinants of the equity risk premium in the emerging markets inflicted by various financial crises. In the first part, panel regressions are utilized to examine the determinants of ERP, while in the second part, event study methodology is used to investigate the immediate impact that financial crises had on the levels of ERP in the emerging markets. The findings in the overall panel regression are different from the findings in the group regressions that take into account the various crises and different time periods. Although GDP per capita growth rate and inflation rate are consistently positively significant in the overall regressions, the results do not persist in the crises-grouped regressions. These findings extend the current literature on the determinants of ERP as well as the characteristics of emerging market crises. In the event study analysis, the mixed results indicate that each emerging market is uniquely different in terms of how the ERP was affected at the onset of the crises. Furthermore, the grouped cumulative abnormal equity risk premium (CAERP) findings indicate that the crises also are distinctly different from each other. The Tequila crisis is the worst hit crisis, followed by the Russian crisis and the Asian crisis, as far as the CAERP findings are concerned. Furthermore, there are also differences in the results calculated using estimates from different regressions, namely, the OLS, ARCH and GMM regressions. Thus, the findings of this study have contributed to the current literature, as well as having practical implications to the practitioners such as fund managers and corporate managers who rely heavily on the equity risk premium as a key input in their decision-making processes.

Download or read book Financial Crises in Emerging Markets written by Reuven Glick and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-04-23 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays in this volume analyze causes of financial crises in emerging markets and different policy responses.

Download or read book Assessing Financial Vulnerability written by Morris Goldstein and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2000-06-01 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European currency crises of 1992-93, the Mexican crisis of 1994-95, and especially the Asian/global crisis of 1997-98, have all contributed to a heightened interest in the early warning signals of financial crises. This pathbreaking study presents a comprehensive battery of empirical tests on the performance of alternative early warning indicators for emerging-market economies that should prove useful in the construction of a more effective global warning system. Not only are the authors able to draw conclusions about which specific indicators have sent the most reliable early warning signals of currency and banking crises in emerging economies, they also test the out-of-sample performance of the model during the Asian crisis and find that it does a good job of identifying the most vulnerable economies. In addition, they show how the early warning system can be used to construct a "composite" crisis indicator to weigh the importance of alternative channels of cross-country "contagion" of crises, and to generate information about the recovery path from crises. This timely study comes on the eve of impending changes at the International Monetary Fund as that institution reexamines how it reacts to financial crises. Moreover, the study provides "... a wealth of valuable elements for anyone investigating and forecasting adverse developments in emerging markets as well as industrial countries," according to Ewoud Schuitemaker, vice president of the economics department at ABN AMRO Bank.

Download or read book The Dynamics of Emerging Stock Markets written by Mohamed El Hedi Arouri and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-24 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging markets have received a particular attention of academic researchers and practitioners since they decided to open their domestic capital markets to foreign participants about three decades ago. At the same time, we remark that theoretical and empirical research in emerging stock markets has been particularly challenged by their fast changes in nature and size under the effects of financial liberalization and reforms. This evolving feature has particularly led to a commensurate increase in sophistication of modeling techniques used for understanding financial markets. In this spirit, the book aims at providing the audience a comprehensive understanding of emerging stock markets in various aspects using modern financial econometric methods. It addresses the empirical techniques needed by economic agents to analyze the dynamics of these markets and illustrates how they can be applied to the actual data. On the other hand, it presents and discusses new research findings and their implications.

Download or read book Emerging Market Portfolio Flows written by Mr.Serkan Arslanalp and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-17 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portfolio flows to emerging markets (EMs) tend to be correlated. A possible explanation is the role global benchmarks play in allocating capital internationally, the so-called “benchmark effect.” This paper finds that benchmark-driven investors indeed play a large role in a key segment of the market—the EM local currency government bond market—, accounting for more than one third of total foreign holdings as of end-2014. We find that the prominence of these investors declined somewhat after the May 2013 taper tantrum, but remain high. This distinction is important in understanding the drivers of EM capital flows and their sensitivity to different types of shocks. In particular, a high share of benchmark-driven investors may result in capital flows that are more sensitive to global shocks and less sensitive to country factors.

Download or read book A Model to Assess the Probabilities of Growth Fiscal and Financial Crises written by Mr.Suman S Basu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-15 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the probabilities of growth, fiscal, and financial crises in advanced economies and emerging markets. We estimate separate signal-extraction models for each type of crisis and sample of countries, and we use our results to generate “histories of vulnerabilities” for countries, regions, and the world. For the global financial crisis, our models report that vulnerabilities in advanced economies were rooted in the bursting of leveraged bubbles, while vulnerabilities in emerging markets stemmed from lengthy booms in credit and asset prices combined with growing weaknesses in the corporate and external sectors.

Download or read book Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion written by Mardi Dungey and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-01-07 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modeling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries, and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.

Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2006-11-16 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

Download or read book Investing in Emerging Fixed Income Markets written by Frank J. Fabozzi, CFA and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2002-03-22 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An investor's guide to capitalizing on opportunities in the fixed income markets of emerging economies The fixed income market in emerging countries represents a new and potentially lucrative area of investment for professionals, but with great risk. Investing in Emerging Fixed Income Markets shows investors how to identify solid investment opportunities, assess the risk potential, and develop an investment approach to enhance long-term returns. Contributors to this book, among the leading experts from around the world, share their insights, advice, and knowledge on a range of topics that will help investors make the right decisions and choices when dealing with emerging fixed income markets. This fully updated and revised edition of the Handbook of Emerging Fixed Income and Currency Markets is the best guide for navigating the complicated world of emerging fixed income markets. Efstathia Pilarinu (Strasbourg, France) is a consultant specializing in the derivatives and emerging market fixed income areas. She has worked for several major Wall Street firms, including Salomon Brothers, Bankers Trust, Societe General. She has a doctorate degree and an MBA in finance from the University of Tennessee and an undergraduate degree in mathematics from the University of Patras, Greece. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. is proud to be the publisher of the esteemed Frank J. Fabozzi Series. Comprising nearly 100 titles--which include numerous bestsellers--The Frank J. Fabozzi Series is a key resource for finance professionals and academics, strategists and students, and investors. The series is overseen by its eponymous editor, whose expert instruction and presentation of new ideas have been at the forefront of financial publishing for over twenty years. His successful career has provided him with the knowledge, insight, and advice that has led to this comprehensive series. Frank J. Fabozzi, PhD, CFA, CPA, is Editor of the Journal of Portfolio Management, which is read by thousands of institutional investors, as well as editor or author of over 100 books on finance for the professional and academic markets. Currently, Dr. Fabozzi is an adjunct Professor of Finance at Yale University's School of Management and on the board of directors of the Guardian Life family of funds and the Black Rock complex of funds.

Download or read book Report of the Working Group on Financial Crises in Emerging Markets written by Institute of International Finance. Working Group on Financial Crisis in Emerging Markets and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Investigation Into the Determinants of Equity Risk Premium During Emerging Market Financial Crises written by Ahmad Rizal Mazlan and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Impact of the Great Recession on Emerging Markets written by Mali Chivakul and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of the recent global crisis on emerging market economies (EMs). Our cross-country analysis shows that the impact of the crisis was more pronounced in those EMs that had initial weaker fundamentals and greater financial and trade linkages. This effect is observed along a number of dimensions, such as growth, stock market performance, sovereign spreads, and credit growth. This paper also shows that during this crisis, pre-crisis reserve holdings helped to mitigate the initial growth collapse. This finding contrasts with other studies that fail to find a significant relationship between reserves and the growth decline. This paper argues that our preferred measure of impact is a more accurate reflection of the true impact of the crisis on EMs.

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations Types and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Download or read book Financial Crises and Stock Market Behaviors in Emerging Markets written by Taner Sekmen and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the effects of the US subprime crisis and the Eurozone debt crisis on stock market behaviors in terms of the volatility of return or risk and asymmetry issues by using GARCH, E-GARCH and GARCH-M methodologies and the daily stock return series, which consists of 2,609 observations from the period June 3, 2004 to June 3, 2014 for selected emerging markets. The findings indicate that the emerging markets exhibit some common patterns in different boom and bust periods. Regardless of the region, economic size, period and the source of the crisis, the study concludes that nearly all markets have strong and significant volatility clustering in the stock return and asymmetric behaviors, which indicates that negative shocks have a greater impact on volatility than positive shocks.

Download or read book Information Environment and Equity Risk Premium Volatility Around the World written by Sie Ting Lau and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines whether and how differences in investors' information environment are related to cross-country differences in the market risk premium volatility. We use the vector-autoregressive and implied cost of capital methods to extract time variation in risk premiums for 41 developed and emerging markets worldwide. Consistent with theoretical predictions, countries with better information environments tend to experience a lower risk premium volatility, even after controlling for various country variables that are potentially associated with variation in risk premiums. Our analysis of two exogenous events, specifically the 1997 Asian financial crisis and 2008 global financial crisis, further corroborates our key finding that the information environment plays an important role in explaining the market risk premium volatility.