Download or read book Are Housing Prices Household Debt and Growth Sustainable written by Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Housing Price and Household Debt Interactions in Sweden written by Rima Turk and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-28 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sweden is experiencing double-digit housing price gains alongside rising household debt. A common interpretation is that mortgage lending boosted by expansionary monetary policy is driving up house prices. But theory suggests the value of housing collateral is also important for household’s capacity to borrow. This paper examines the interactions between housing prices and household debt using a three-equation model, finding that household borrowing impacts housing prices in the short-run, but the price of housing is the main driver of the secular trend in household debt over the long-run. Both housing prices and household debt are estimated to be moderately above their long-run equilibrium levels, but the adjustment toward equilibrium is not found to be rapid. Whereas low interest rates have contributed to the recent surge in housing prices, growth in incomes and financial assets play a larger role. Policy experiments suggest that a gradual phasing out of mortgage interest deductibility is likely to have a manageable effect on housing prices and household debt.

Download or read book Household Debt and House Prices at risk A Tale of Two Countries written by Mr.Adrian Alter and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-28 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018. This paper finds that downside risks to housing markets in the United States have seemingly fallen over the past decade, while having increased in Canada. Supply-side drivers, valuation, household debt, and financial conditions jointly play a key role in forecasting house price risks. In addition, capital flows are found to be significantly associated with future downside risks to major housing markets, but the net effect depends on the type of flows and varies across cities and forecast horizons. Using micro-level data, we identify households vulnerable to potential housing shocks and assess the riskiness of household debt.

Download or read book Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies written by Ms.Nan Geng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-13 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.

Download or read book Sweden written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-09-16 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As in other advanced economies, there has been a significant run-up of household debt in Sweden during the last two decades accompanied by rising housing prices, prompting concerns about sustainability and the implications for financial stability. The rise in household debt and the banking system’s increased exposure to mortgage debt resulted with the changes in the macroeconomic environment. The note explores implications for financial stability of household indebtedness as well as Sweden's specific institutional features to ensure resilience of the financial system.

Download or read book Housing Prices Household Debt and Household Consumption written by Kadir Atalay and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research investigated the relationship between increasing housing prices (or housing wealth) and the increased consumption expenditure of households from before the GFC and afterwards. The analysis revealed that following the GFC, old and middle-aged households showing slightly lower consumption levels despite their houses increasing in price.

Download or read book Fixing the Housing Market written by Franklin Allen and published by Pearson Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2012 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains the financial history leading to the mortgage meltdown and assesses today's housing finance systems in the United States and abroad.

Download or read book Housing Household Debt and the Business Cycle written by Amir Sufi and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China and South Korea both experienced substantial increases in household debt through 2021, and now both countries face a weakening economy. This essay gleans lessons from the "credit-driven household demand channel" (e.g., Mian and Sufi 2018) to explore how the two economies will fare in the years ahead. On the positive side, neither country is at risk of a severe financial crisis, and both countries have a strong current account position. On the negative side, consumer spending in both countries could be quite weak in the years ahead. For China, the biggest risk is that distortions in the production sector aimed at boosting the property market were a major driver of growth during the boom, and it is unclear how growth can continue to be sustained with the property market stumbling.

Download or read book Housing and the Financial Crisis written by Edward L. Glaeser and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-08-19 with total page 443 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Conventional wisdom held that housing prices couldn’t fall. But the spectacular boom and bust of the housing market during the first decade of the twenty-first century and millions of foreclosed homeowners have made it clear that housing is no different from any other asset in its ability to climb and crash. Housing and the Financial Crisis looks at what happened to prices and construction both during and after the housing boom in different parts of the American housing market, accounting for why certain areas experienced less volatility than others. It then examines the causes of the boom and bust, including the availability of credit, the perceived risk reduction due to the securitization of mortgages, and the increase in lending from foreign sources. Finally, it examines a range of policies that might address some of the sources of recent instability.

Download or read book Household Debt House Prices and Consumption Growth written by Stephen Nickell and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this speech, Stephen Nickell, member of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, considers two questions. First, what, if any, are the connections between household debt accumulation and consumption growth in the United Kingdom? The answer is that there seems to be no significant relationship. Second, given that the ratio of house prices to earnings is at a record level in the United Kingdom, what can we say about the equilibrium level of this ratio today and what are the implications for prospects in the housing market? For a variety of reasons, in particular the sharp fall in long-term real interest rates since the late 1990s, the current equilibrium ratio of house prices to earnings is well above its average level over the past 20 years. However, the precise level of this equilibrium ratio is difficult to pinpoint as is the speed with which house prices will return to it. As a consequence, while we know that house price inflation will slow, precisely how fast and how far is highly uncertain.

Download or read book Money and Households in a Capitalist Economy written by Zdravka K. Todorova and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Zdravka Todorova s book breaks new ground in three heterodox traditions. Todorova combines post Keynesian monetary theory of production (specifically a neo-Chartalist approach) with original institutional economics (specifically the Veblen-Ayres framework) with a feminist analysis of the role of gender that includes households, production and finance in capitalist economies in an integrated framework. Her success in developing this analysis involves both substantive theoretical and methodological advances in all three approaches to understanding the economy. Her project is simply astonishing in scope. . . Money and Households in a Capitalist Economy is a very important book. It is well written and well argued. Every post Keynesian, institutionalist and feminist economist should read it. The European Association for Political Economy and the Association for Evolutionary Economics awarded the International Prize commemorating the 150th anniversary of Thorstein Veblen s birth to Zdravka Todorova for this book. William Waller, Heterodox Economics Newsletter Todorova bridges the gap between feminist economics and macroeconomics in this pathbreaking work. Presenting an in-depth analysis of the relationship between monetarist theory and gender issues, Todorova traces the earliest history of monetary theory and its lack of gender analysis, and presents a lucid theory of the importance and consequence of embedding feminist economics in a macroeconomic framework. Informative and enthusiastic, the book is written in a clear, easy-to-read style. Apart from being a significant contribution toward discovering previously unexplored synergies between two branches of economics, the book also offers a major boost to feminist economics. More specifically, the contention that monetary theory is not separate from, but linked with, feminist studies is powerful. Essential. S. Chaudhuri, Choice Dr Todorova is part of a new vanguard of multi-hats heterodox economists and it is this vanguard that will determine the future developments in heterodox economics. Money and Households in a Capitalist Economy breaks new ground integrating microeconomic and macroeconomic approaches to household consumption and finance, while providing a gendered analysis. Frederic S. Lee, University of Missouri, Kansas City, US Dr Todorova successfully extends what is widely known as the UMKC approach to monetary theory into entirely new areas, namely, feminist economics and the study of the household. She provides perhaps the clearest and most concise explication of the chartal money view, and shows how it helps us to understand the role played by the household in the modern capitalist economy. She sheds new light on our current situation. L. Randall Wray, University of Missouri Kansas City, US Post Keynesian analyses of monetary production have not given much attention to households as institutions, while a good deal of the literature in feminist economics discusses households in a strictly microeconomic context, with little consideration of monetary phenomena. This book, a unique study of the capitalist economy, utilizes a distinctive combination of Post Keynesian, institutional, and gender analysis to examine household economics in capitalist society in order to flesh out the gaps in each. The author poses questions that cut across rigidly determined areas of inquiry, such as gender and money, and micro- and macroeconomic analysis. She grounds the discussion of households and their social and financial relations within a monetary theory of production, and provides many methodological, theoretical, and policy formulation insights to establish a framework that illuminates current problems of household debt.

Download or read book The Coming First World Debt Crisis written by A. Pettifor and published by Springer. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, Ann Pettifor examines the issues of debt affecting the 'first world' or OECD countries, looking at the history, politics and ethics of the coming debt crisis and exploring the implications of high international indebtedness for governments, corporations, households, individuals and the ecosystem.

Download or read book Essays on the Effect of Household Debt and Housing Wealth on the U S Economy written by Kyoungsoo Yoon and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: The two essays in my dissertation clarify the role of household debt and housing wealth in the U.S. economy because the effect of household debt and house prices on economic activity is conflicting based on existing empirical literature. In my first essay, Three Competing Effects of Expansion in Housing Finance on Consumption, I explicitly consider both debt service burden and wealth risk by adjusting income data with debt service and wealth data with its risk. Based on split-sample estimates of various consumption functions with different time horizons together with the data adjustment, I find that expansion in housing finance since the mid 1980s has three competing effects on consumption. First, housing finance expansion decreases the sensitivity of a household's consumption response to short-run and medium-run movements in income via a relaxed credit constraint. Second, an increase in the liquidity of housing wealth leads to a bigger response of consumption to changes in house prices. However, this increased housing wealth effect can be mitigated or magnified from the last competing effect of increased debt service, depending on the directions of movements in house prices and interest rates. Thus, the net effect of expanded housing finance on consumption depends on the relative magnitudes of the three competing effects in the face of movements in income, house prices, and interest rates. The second essay, The Role of Household Debt and Housing Wealth in the Recent Downturn of the U.S. Economy, uses state-level household debt and housing wealth data built from the Consumer Finance Monthly survey together with measures of economic activity at the state level during the business cycle of 2002-2009 in the U.S. to overcome limitations associated with national-level aggregate data. I find that increased household debt combined with large positive and negative fluctuations in housing wealth led to the recent severe downturn of the U.S. economy. While the increased debt service burden itself negatively affects consumption, households' attitudes toward debt surveyed as debt stress also seem to suppress economic activity such as consumption spending and residential investment.

Download or read book The Rise and Fall of Money Manager Capitalism written by Eric Tymoigne and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-24 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book studies the trends that led to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, as well as the unfolding of the crisis, in order to provide policy recommendations to improve financial stability. The book starts with changes in monetary policy and income distribution from the 1970s. These changes profoundly modified the foundations of economic growth in the US by destroying the commitment banking model and by decreasing the earning power of households whose consumption has been at the core of the growth process. The main themes of the book are the changes in the financial structure and income distribution, the collapse of the Ponzi process in 2007, and actual and prospective policy responses. The objective is to show that Minsky’s approach can be used to understand the making and unfolding of the crisis and to draw some policy implications to improve financial stability.

Download or read book The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy written by Bruno Albuquerque and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-02-02 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the role of regional housing markets in the transmission of US monetary policy. Using a FAVAR model over 1999q1–2019q4, we find sizeable heterogeneity in the responses of US states to a contractionary monetary policy shock. Part of this regional variation is due to differences in housing supply elasticities, household debt overhang, and housing wealth (volatility). Our analysis indicates that house prices and consumption respond more in supply-inelastic states and in states with large household debt imbalances, where negative housing wealth effects bite more strongly and borrowing constraints become more binding. Moreover, financial stability risks increase sharply in these areas as mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures surge, worsening banks’ balance sheets. Finally, monetary policy may have a stronger effect on housing tenure decisions in supply-inelastic states, where the homeownership rate and price-to-rent ratios decline by more. Our findings stress the importance of regional housing supply conditions in assessing the macrofinancial effects of rising interest rates.

Download or read book After the Great Recession written by Barry Z. Cynamon and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-11-30 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The severity of the Great Recession and the subsequent stagnation caught many economists by surprise. But a group of Keynesian scholars warned for some years that strong forces were leading the US toward a deep, persistent downturn. This book collects essays about these events from prominent macroeconomists who developed a perspective that predicted the broad outline and many specific aspects of the crisis. From this point of view, the recovery of employment and revival of strong growth requires more than short-term monetary easing and temporary fiscal stimulus. Economists and policy makers need to explore how the process of demand formation failed after 2007 and where demand will come from going forward. Successive chapters address the sources and dynamics of demand, the distribution and growth of wages, the structure of finance and challenges from globalization, and inform recommendations for monetary and fiscal policies to achieve a more efficient and equitable society.

Download or read book The Rise in Us Household Debt written by Sebastian Barnes and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper considers the causes of the rise in US household debt since the early 1970s using a calibrated partial equilibrium overlapping generations model. The model explains indebtedness in terms of a consumption-income motive, associated with consumption smoothing, and a housing-finance motive. A credit constraint on borrowing by the old is also introduced to explain why they do not borrow to finance homeownership late in life. Shocks to real interest rates and income growth expectations, combined with demographic changes, are considered to explain the rise in US household debt. The calibrated model is found to be able to explain many features of US household borrowing, both in aggregate and cross-section. In particular, it predicts that the debt to income ratio would have increased substantially during the 1990s and would be expected to continue to grow in coming years. However, the model is unable to account for rising indebtedness during the 1980s when high interest rates, lower income growth and an ageing population would have tended to reduce aggregate borrowing. Alternative explanations, possibly associated with financial liberalisation, may account for borrowing growth during that period.