Download or read book Applications of Time Series Forecasting Models Decomposition Methods Non parametric Regression Methods and Artificial Neural Networks written by Fatlinda Shaqiri and published by . This book was released on 2024 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis offers a thorough review of time series forecasting models, starting with simple forecasting methods such as linear models and ending up combining this method with dynamic models to represent interdependencies of the time series dynamics. Decomposition methods such as those from X-11 method to Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess (STL) method are applied to increase the prediction accuracy. As a new contribution to the literature, Artificial Neural Networks are applied to increase the chance to capture different patterns in the data and improve the forecast performance. The main parts of this thesis include the practical application of the time series forecasting models on the health insurance sector and electricity consumption, as well as on simulated data sets where different model adjustments are compared and practical recommendations regarding model choice and calibration derived.
Download or read book Forecasting principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Download or read book Advanced Data Mining and Applications written by Guojun Gan and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-28 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Advanced Data Mining and Applications, ADMA 2018, held in Nanjing, China in November 2018. The 23 full and 22 short papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 104 submissions. The papers were organized in topical sections named: Data Mining Foundations; Big Data; Text and Multimedia Mining; Miscellaneous Topics.
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence Algorithms and Applications written by Kangshun Li and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-05-25 with total page 811 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed proceedings of the 11th International Symposium on Intelligence Computation and Applications, ISICA 2019, held in Guangzhou, China, in November 2019. The 65 papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from the total of 112 submissions. This volume features the most up-to-date research in evolutionary algorithms, parallel computing and quantum computing, evolutionary multi-objective and dynamic optimization, intelligent multimedia systems, virtualization and AI applications, smart scheduling, intelligent control, big data and cloud computing, deep learning, and hybrid machine learning systems.The papers are organized according to the following topical sections: new frontier in evolutionary algorithms; evolutionary multi-objective and dynamic optimization; intelligent multimedia systems; virtualization and AI applications; smart scheduling; intelligent control; big data and cloud computing; statistical learning.
Download or read book Time Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-10-25 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Download or read book Handbook of Natural Computing written by Grzegorz Rozenberg and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-07-09 with total page 2052 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Natural Computing is the field of research that investigates both human-designed computing inspired by nature and computing taking place in nature, i.e., it investigates models and computational techniques inspired by nature and also it investigates phenomena taking place in nature in terms of information processing. Examples of the first strand of research covered by the handbook include neural computation inspired by the functioning of the brain; evolutionary computation inspired by Darwinian evolution of species; cellular automata inspired by intercellular communication; swarm intelligence inspired by the behavior of groups of organisms; artificial immune systems inspired by the natural immune system; artificial life systems inspired by the properties of natural life in general; membrane computing inspired by the compartmentalized ways in which cells process information; and amorphous computing inspired by morphogenesis. Other examples of natural-computing paradigms are molecular computing and quantum computing, where the goal is to replace traditional electronic hardware, e.g., by bioware in molecular computing. In molecular computing, data are encoded as biomolecules and then molecular biology tools are used to transform the data, thus performing computations. In quantum computing, one exploits quantum-mechanical phenomena to perform computations and secure communications more efficiently than classical physics and, hence, traditional hardware allows. The second strand of research covered by the handbook, computation taking place in nature, is represented by investigations into, among others, the computational nature of self-assembly, which lies at the core of nanoscience, the computational nature of developmental processes, the computational nature of biochemical reactions, the computational nature of bacterial communication, the computational nature of brain processes, and the systems biology approach to bionetworks where cellular processes are treated in terms of communication and interaction, and, hence, in terms of computation. We are now witnessing exciting interaction between computer science and the natural sciences. While the natural sciences are rapidly absorbing notions, techniques and methodologies intrinsic to information processing, computer science is adapting and extending its traditional notion of computation, and computational techniques, to account for computation taking place in nature around us. Natural Computing is an important catalyst for this two-way interaction, and this handbook is a major record of this important development.
Download or read book Intelligent Systems and Applications written by Kohei Arai and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-08-02 with total page 858 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents Proceedings of the 2021 Intelligent Systems Conference which is a remarkable collection of chapters covering a wider range of topics in areas of intelligent systems and artificial intelligence and their applications to the real world. The conference attracted a total of 496 submissions from many academic pioneering researchers, scientists, industrial engineers, and students from all around the world. These submissions underwent a double-blind peer-review process. Of the total submissions, 180 submissions have been selected to be included in these proceedings. As we witness exponential growth of computational intelligence in several directions and use of intelligent systems in everyday applications, this book is an ideal resource for reporting latest innovations and future of AI. The chapters include theory and application on all aspects of artificial intelligence, from classical to intelligent scope. We hope that readers find the book interesting and valuable; it provides the state-of-the-art intelligent methods and techniques for solving real-world problems along with a vision of the future research.
Download or read book Conference Proceedings of the 2023 3rd International Joint Conference on Energy Electrical and Power Engineering written by Cungang Hu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 822 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Smart Cities Big Data Prediction Methods and Applications written by Hui Liu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-03-25 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Smart Cities: Big Data Prediction Methods and Applications is the first reference to provide a comprehensive overview of smart cities with the latest big data predicting techniques. This timely book discusses big data forecasting for smart cities. It introduces big data forecasting techniques for the key aspects (e.g., traffic, environment, building energy, green grid, etc.) of smart cities, and explores three key areas that can be improved using big data prediction: grid energy, road traffic networks and environmental health in smart cities. The big data prediction methods proposed in this book are highly significant in terms of the planning, construction, management, control and development of green and smart cities. Including numerous case studies to explain each method and model, this easy-to-understand book appeals to scientists, engineers, college students, postgraduates, teachers and managers from various fields of artificial intelligence, smart cities, smart grid, intelligent traffic systems, intelligent environments and big data computing.
Download or read book Applied Mathematics Modeling and Computer Simulation written by C.-H. Chen and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2022-02-25 with total page 1154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pervasiveness of computers in every field of science, industry and everyday life has meant that applied mathematics, particularly in relation to modeling and simulation, has become ever more important in recent years. This book presents the proceedings of the 2021 International Conference on Applied Mathematics, Modeling and Computer Simulation (AMMCS 2021), hosted in Wuhan, China, and held as a virtual event from 13 to 14 November 2021. The aim of the conference is to foster the knowledge and understanding of recent advances across the broad fields of applied mathematics, modeling and computer simulation, and it provides an annual platform for scholars and researchers to communicate important recent developments in their areas of specialization to colleagues and other scientists in related disciplines. This year more than 150 participants were able to exchange knowledge and discuss recent developments via the conference. The book contains 115 peer-reviewed papers, selected from more than 250 submissions and ranging from the theoretical and conceptual to the strongly pragmatic and all addressing industrial best practice. Topics covered include mathematical modeling and applications, engineering applications and scientific computations, and the simulation of intelligent systems. Providing an overview of recent development and with a mix of practical experiences and enlightening ideas, the book will be of interest to researchers and practitioners everywhere.
Download or read book Computational Science and Its Applications ICCSA 2021 written by Osvaldo Gervasi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-10 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ten-volume set LNCS 12949 – 12958 constitutes the proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, ICCSA 2021, which was held in Cagliari, Italy, during September 13 – 16, 2021. The event was organized in a hybrid mode due to the Covid-19 pandemic.The 466 full and 18 short papers presented in these proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from 1588 submissions. The books cover such topics as multicore architectures, blockchain, mobile and wireless security, sensor networks, open source software, collaborative and social computing systems and tools, cryptography, applied mathematics human computer interaction, software design engineering, and others. Part IV of the set includes the papers on Urban and Regional Planning and the proceedings of the following workshops: International Workshop on Blockchain and Distributed Ledgers: Technologies and Applications (BDLTA 2021); International Workshop on Computational and Applied Mathematics (CAM 2021); International Workshop on Computational and Applied Statistics (CAS 2021); International Workshop on Computerized Evaluation of Economic Activities: Urban Spaces (CEEA 2021).The chapters "Automated Housing Price Valuation and Spatial Data", "Spatial Automated Valuation Model (sAVM) – From the Notion of Space to the Design of an Evaluation Tool", and "A MCDA/GIS-Based Approach for Evaluating Accessibility to Health Facilities" are published open access under a CC BY license (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License).
Download or read book Recent Advances of Neural Network Models and Applications written by Simone Bassis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-19 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume collects a selection of contributions which has been presented at the 23rd Italian Workshop on Neural Networks, the yearly meeting of the Italian Society for Neural Networks (SIREN). The conference was held in Vietri sul Mare, Salerno, Italy during May 23-24, 2013. The annual meeting of SIREN is sponsored by International Neural Network Society (INNS), European Neural Network Society (ENNS) and IEEE Computational Intelligence Society (CIS). The book – as well as the workshop- is organized in two main components, a special session and a group of regular sessions featuring different aspects and point of views of artificial neural networks, artificial and natural intelligence, as well as psychological and cognitive theories for modeling human behaviors and human machine interactions, including Information Communication applications of compelling interest.
Download or read book Identification of Nonlinear Systems Using Neural Networks and Polynomial Models written by Andrzej Janczak and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-11-18 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph systematically presents the existing identification methods of nonlinear systems using the block-oriented approach It surveys various known approaches to the identification of Wiener and Hammerstein systems which are applicable to both neural network and polynomial models. The book gives a comparative study of their gradient approximation accuracy, computational complexity, and convergence rates and furthermore presents some new and original methods concerning the model parameter adjusting with gradient-based techniques. "Identification of Nonlinear Systems Using Neural Networks and Polynomal Models" is useful for researchers, engineers and graduate students in nonlinear systems and neural network theory.
Download or read book Informatics Engineering and Information Science Part III written by Azizah Abd Manaf and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-10-28 with total page 740 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 4-Volume-Set, CCIS 0251 - CCIS 0254, constitutes the refereed proceedings of the International Conference on Informatics Engineering and Information Science, ICIEIS 2011, held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in November 2011. The 210 revised full papers presented together with invited papers in the 4 volumes were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on e-learning, information security, software engineering, image processing, algorithms, artificial intelligence and soft computing, e-commerce, data mining, neural networks, social networks, grid computing, biometric technologies, networks, distributed and parallel computing, wireless networks, information and data management, web applications and software systems, multimedia, ad hoc networks, mobile computing, as well as miscellaneous topics in digital information and communications.
Download or read book Towards Digital Intelligence Society written by Ján Paralič and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-21 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to provide readers with up-to-date knowledge on how to make these technologies smarter. Humanity is now going through difficult times to fight the Covid-19 pandemic. Simultaneously, in these difficult times of physical separation, we can also realize how much digital society technology helps us cope with many difficulties that bring us this time. The authors focus on selected research challenges for intelligent digital society and state-of-the-art methods of how to face them. The book’s subtitle suggests that a core concept that the reader can study from various points of view in particular book chapters is the knowledge. The knowledge that can help us intelligently face different digital society challenges (Part I of this book); the knowledge extracted from available big data employing intelligent analysis techniques (Part II). For efficient processing and analysis of data, there is a strong need for smart data and information modeling techniques (Part III).
Download or read book Seasonal Decomposition for Geographical Time Series Using Nonparametric Regression written by Hyukjun Gweon and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A time series often contains various systematic effects such as trends and seasonality. These different components can be determined and separated by decomposition methods. In this thesis, we discuss time series decomposition process using nonparametric regression. A method based on both loess and harmonic regression is suggested and an optimal model selection method is discussed. We then compare the process with seasonal-trend decomposition by loess STL (Cleveland, 1979). While STL works well when that proper parameters are used, the method we introduce is also competitive: it makes parameter choice more automatic and less complex. The decomposition process often requires that time series be evenly spaced; any missing value is therefore necessarily estimated. For time series with seasonality, it is preferable to use the seasonal information to estimate missing observations. The seasonal adjustment algorithm (McLeod et al., 1983) can be used for monthly time series. In this thesis, we examine the algorithm and revise it to cover daily data cases.
Download or read book A Combined Parametric and Nonparametric Approach to Time Series Analysis written by Stefan Kriebol and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis and prediction of natural phenomena is an interesting and challenging task. Time series obtained from the observation of one or more features of a phenomenon are often the only access to the data generating system. Unfortunately, time series analysis is usually done by specialists in the field of the phenomenon with traditional analysis techniques. The application of modern analysis and prediction tools is often avoided due to their complexity or the risk of failure. This issue can be surmounted by an interdisciplinary approach. This work is an example for the possible synergetic effect of interdisciplinary research. In the field of oceanography the coastal upwelling phenomenon is analysed in experimental studies with a numerical model in order to develop a parametric prediction model. Artificial neural networks seem to be a suitable parametric model. However, in the field of computer science traditional artificial neural techniques showed limitations in the analysis and prediction of time series obtained from natural phenomena, particularly with nonlinear and nonstationary time series. Motivated by this limitations a new approach to time series analysis and prediction is presented in this work, the mixture of nonparametric segmented experts (MONSE). The MONSE approach is exploiting the synergetic effect of a combined nonparametric and parametric analysis. It is supposed to be applied to explorative time series analysis and prediction in various fields, i.e. in a context where hardly any kowledge about the time series of concern is available.
