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Book Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Download or read book Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts written by Stéphane Vannitsem and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-05-17 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

Book Evaluation of High Density Surface Observations in Complex Terrain and Their Contribution to the MM5 Model

Download or read book Evaluation of High Density Surface Observations in Complex Terrain and Their Contribution to the MM5 Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study evaluates the data assimilation capabilities of Three Dimensional Multiquadric Interpolation (3DMQ) and the MM5 model when incorporating mesoscale observations from the United States Air Force Academy (USAFA) High Wind Alert system (HWAS). These mesoscale observations are incorporated into a triple nested (12, 4, and 1.33 km) high resolution model simulation and evaluated for their impact upon analyzed and forecasted wind values at USAFA during a severe downslope wind event that occurred on 6 March 2004. This evaluation is the first step in developing future forecasting and analysis tools for use by the military in various operations in complex terrain. The development of deployable automated tactical weather sensors in forward deployed locations requires an evaluation of the impact and usefulness these sensors would have on analysis forecast tools and mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. The juxtaposition of the HWAS network in complex terrain and the aviation training operations at USAFA provides an ideal set of data, mission and location for testing and evaluating a high resolution nested grid mesoscale NWP model. This study shows that incorporating HWAS observations into the 3DMQ data assimilation process has a significant impact upon verification of analyzed wind fields with the biggest impact occurring at the 1.33 km grid scale. Using these analyzed fields as initial conditions for MM5 model simulations, this study shows the ability of the 1.33 km model forecast wind fields to verify significantly better than either the 4 or 12 km through 18, 24, and 30 hour forecasts. Additionally, this study shows the limited, yet discernable impact HWAS observations have upon forecasted winds in the first several hours of MM5 model runs during a severe downslope wind event at USAFA.

Book Mountain Meteorology

    Book Details:
  • Author : C. David Whiteman
  • Publisher : Oxford University Press
  • Release : 2000-06-01
  • ISBN : 0199881065
  • Pages : 372 pages

Download or read book Mountain Meteorology written by C. David Whiteman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2000-06-01 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mountain Meteorology: Fundamentals and Applications offers first an introduction to the basic principles and concepts of mountain meteorology, then goes on to discuss their application in natural resources management. It includes over two hundred beautiful, full-color photographs, figures, and diagrams, as well as observable indicators of atmospheric processes--such as winds, temperature, and clouds--to facilitate the recognition of weather systems and events for a variety of readers. It is ideal for those who spend time in or near mountains and whose daily activities are affected by weather. As a comprehensive work filled with diverse examples and colorful illustrations, it is essential for professionals, scholars, and students of meteorology.

Book Dissertation Abstracts International

Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Forecast Verification

    Book Details:
  • Author : Ian T. Jolliffe
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 2003-08-01
  • ISBN : 0470864419
  • Pages : 257 pages

Download or read book Forecast Verification written by Ian T. Jolliffe and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-08-01 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handy reference introduces the subject of forecastverification and provides a review of the basic concepts,discussing different types of data that may be forecast. Each chapter covers a different type of predicted quantity(predictand), then looks at some of the relationships betweeneconomic value and skill scores, before moving on to review the keyconcepts and summarise aspects of forecast verification thatreceive the most attention in other disciplines. The book concludes with a discussion on the most importanttopics in the field that are the subject of current research orthat would benefit from future research. An easy to read guide of current techniques with real life casestudies An up-to-date and practical introduction to the differenttechniques and an examination of their strengths andweaknesses Practical advice given by some of the world?s leadingforecasting experts Case studies and illustrations of actual verification and itsinterpretation Comprehensive glossary and consistent statistical andmathematical definition of commonly used terms

Book Renewable Energy Resource Assessment and Forecasting

Download or read book Renewable Energy Resource Assessment and Forecasting written by George Galanis and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-11-27 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, several projects and studies have been launched towards the development and use of new methodologies, in order to assess, monitor, and support clean forms of energy. Accurate estimation of the available energy potential is of primary importance, but is not always easy to achieve. The present Special Issue on ‘Renewable Energy Resource Assessment and Forecasting’ aims to provide a holistic approach to the above issues, by presenting multidisciplinary methodologies and tools that are able to support research projects and meet today’s technical, socio-economic, and decision-making needs. In particular, research papers, reviews, and case studies on the following subjects are presented: wind, wave and solar energy; biofuels; resource assessment of combined renewable energy forms; numerical models for renewable energy forecasting; integrated forecasted systems; energy for buildings; sustainable development; resource analysis tools and statistical models; extreme value analysis and forecasting for renewable energy resources.

Book Selected Water Resources Abstracts

Download or read book Selected Water Resources Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 768 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Evaluation and Application of the Weather Research and Forecast Model

Download or read book Evaluation and Application of the Weather Research and Forecast Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-ARM) was studied by the U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL) to determine how accurate and robust the model is under a variety of meteorological conditions, with an emphasis on fine resolution, short-range forecasts in complex terrain. This model study was done in support of the short-range Army tactical analysis/nowcasting system called the Weather Running Estimate-Nowcast (WRE-N) as well as for longer-range forecasting support. While much of the study centered on basic model output such as temperature, moisture, wind direction, and wind speed, the WRF parameterizations and output were also examined.

Book Empirical statistical Downscaling

Download or read book Empirical statistical Downscaling written by Rasmus E. Benestad and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Empirical-statistical downscaling (ESD) is a method for estimating how local climatic variables are affected by large-scale climatic conditions. ESD has been applied to local climate/weather studies for years, but there are few ? if any ? textbooks on the subject. It is also anticipated that ESD will become more important and commonplace in the future, as anthropogenic global warming proceeds. Thus, a textbook on ESD will be important for next-generation climate scientists.

Book Geophysical  Climatological and Anthropogenic Hazards and Disaster  Vulnerability  Risk Assessment  and Sustainability

Download or read book Geophysical Climatological and Anthropogenic Hazards and Disaster Vulnerability Risk Assessment and Sustainability written by Shankar Karuppannan and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2024-02-12 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nowadays, the whole world faces frequent natural and anthropogenic hazards-from drought to flood to deforestation which impends a large number of people into catastrophic destruction and damage. Since natural hazards cannot be eliminated, quantifying these events and creating reliable forecasts can alleviate their detrimental effects which can help build a more resilient and safe society. This Research Topic will comply with the available knowledge of the multi-hazards in response to monitoring and management and intends to fulfil the gap between science, policy and the community concerned. It also focuses on the use of precision techniques, remote sensing, and GIS technologies for the quantification of various natural and environmental hazards along with the capacity and sustainable mitigation strategies for resilient societies.

Book Monthly Weather Review

Download or read book Monthly Weather Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 1652 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Download or read book Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences written by Daniel S. Wilks and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-06-09 with total page 840 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Fourth Edition, continues the tradition of trying to meet the needs of students, researchers and operational practitioners. This updated edition not only includes expanded sections built upon the strengths of the prior edition, but also provides new content where there have been advances in the field, including Bayesian analysis, forecast verification and a new chapter dedicated to ensemble forecasting. Provides a strong, yet concise, introduction to applied statistics that is specific to atmospheric science Contains revised and expanded sections on nonparametric tests, test multiplicity and quality uncertainty descriptors Includes new sections on ANOVA, quantile regression, the lasso and other regularization methods, regression trees, changepoint detection, ensemble forecasting and exponential smoothing

Book Flood Assessment

    Book Details:
  • Author : Eric W. Harmsen
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2017-12-22
  • ISBN : 1315341700
  • Pages : 338 pages

Download or read book Flood Assessment written by Eric W. Harmsen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-12-22 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: About 7,000 people lose their lives and nearly 100 million people are adversely affected by floods each year worldwide. Flooding occurs in almost every part of the world and is the result of extreme rainfall. Severe flooding also costs billions of dollars each year in damage and economic losses. This new volume focuses on two detailed studies that employ physically based hydrologic models to predict flooding in the particularly challenging environment of small watersheds with mountainous terrain and high intensity/high variability rainfall.

Book Handbook of Geospatial Approaches to Sustainable Cities

Download or read book Handbook of Geospatial Approaches to Sustainable Cities written by Qihao Weng and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-04-16 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive handbook presents the current state of knowledge on geospatial technologies, techniques, and methods that are imperative for providing solutions to sustainable cities. It addresses the role of geospatial big data and AI techniques and how they are applied when analyzing the sustainability of urban development, land use, urban planning, and resource management, as well as monitoring the impact urbanization has on the environment and the ecosystem. Taking an interdisciplinary approach to sustainable cities, and with contributions from renowned experts around the world, this holistic handbook is a toolbox for geospatial, urban, and sustainability professionals, the artificial intelligence community, and those who work in related fields. Features: Explores cutting-edge geospatial and AI techniques in support of efficient, resilient, digital, and smart cities Bridges urban science and sustainability science via geospatial methods Contributes to the efforts of GEO by addressing and exemplifying pertinent societal benefit areas and engagement priorities Includes 16 case studies with a broad geographic scope that integrate societal needs with technological advances Draws expertise in geospatial technology, big data, and artificial intelligence from leading experts in the world This book is intended for researchers and scientists interested in learning techniques in GeoAI, including the technologies for collecting, analyzing, managing, processing, and visualizing geospatial datasets.

Book Green Energy and Infrastructure

Download or read book Green Energy and Infrastructure written by Jacqueline A. Stagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-10-12 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: C. S. Lewis rightly instructed, "The task of the modern educator is not to cut down jungles, but to irrigate deserts." This book aims to achieve this task by pushing the frontiers of scholarship for securing a sustainable future through green energy and infrastructure. This encompasses the notion that what we create is in harmony and integration with both the spatial and temporal domains. Through numerous practical examples and illustrations, this book examines a comprehensive review of the latest science on indoor environmental health, energy requirements for buildings, and the "greening" of infrastructure. Also, it provides a discussion on the underlying properties of biomass and its influence on furthering energy conversion technologies. Energy storage is essential for driving the integration of renewable energy, and different storage approaches are discussed in terms of power balancing, grid stability, and reliability. Features: Focuses on the importance of coupling green energy with green infrastructure Provides an unbiased update of the state-of-the-art of sustainability science Discusses utilizing sustainable building materials for simultaneous improvement in energy, economic, and environmental bottom lines for industry Illuminates practical steps that need to be undertaken to achieve a greener infrastructure Green Energy and Infrastructure: Securing a Sustainable Future is appropriate for researchers, students, and decision-makers seeking the latest, practical information on environmental sustainability.