Download or read book An Empirical Test of the Random Walk Hypothesis in Varying Time Periods written by Kenneth J. Wengrenuk and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Random Walk Down Wall Street The Time Tested Strategy for Successful Investing Ninth Edition written by Burton G. Malkiel and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2007-12-17 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updated with a new chapter that draws on behavioral finance, the field that studies the psychology of investment decisions, the bestselling guide to investing evaluates the full range of financial opportunities.
Download or read book A Non Random Walk Down Wall Street written by Andrew W. Lo and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-11-14 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For over half a century, financial experts have regarded the movements of markets as a random walk--unpredictable meanderings akin to a drunkard's unsteady gait--and this hypothesis has become a cornerstone of modern financial economics and many investment strategies. Here Andrew W. Lo and A. Craig MacKinlay put the Random Walk Hypothesis to the test. In this volume, which elegantly integrates their most important articles, Lo and MacKinlay find that markets are not completely random after all, and that predictable components do exist in recent stock and bond returns. Their book provides a state-of-the-art account of the techniques for detecting predictabilities and evaluating their statistical and economic significance, and offers a tantalizing glimpse into the financial technologies of the future. The articles track the exciting course of Lo and MacKinlay's research on the predictability of stock prices from their early work on rejecting random walks in short-horizon returns to their analysis of long-term memory in stock market prices. A particular highlight is their now-famous inquiry into the pitfalls of "data-snooping biases" that have arisen from the widespread use of the same historical databases for discovering anomalies and developing seemingly profitable investment strategies. This book invites scholars to reconsider the Random Walk Hypothesis, and, by carefully documenting the presence of predictable components in the stock market, also directs investment professionals toward superior long-term investment returns through disciplined active investment management.
Download or read book The Capital Asset Pricing Model in the 21st Century written by Haim Levy and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-30 with total page 457 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the mean-variance (M-V) rule, which are based on classic expected utility theory, have been heavily criticized theoretically and empirically. The advent of behavioral economics, prospect theory and other psychology-minded approaches in finance challenges the rational investor model from which CAPM and M-V derive. Haim Levy argues that the tension between the classic financial models and behavioral economics approaches is more apparent than real. This book aims to relax the tension between the two paradigms. Specifically, Professor Levy shows that although behavioral economics contradicts aspects of expected utility theory, CAPM and M-V are intact in both expected utility theory and cumulative prospect theory frameworks. There is furthermore no evidence to reject CAPM empirically when ex-ante parameters are employed. Professionals may thus comfortably teach and use CAPM and behavioral economics or cumulative prospect theory as coexisting paradigms.
Download or read book Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice written by Robert E. Lucas and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.
Download or read book Tests of Random Walk Hypothesis Evidence from China written by Maximiliane Brecht and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2015-08-27 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2015 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1.0, , course: Research Methodology and Dissertation, language: English, abstract: Until the 1970s empirical studies generally supported the prediction following from weak-form efficiency: prices cannot be predicted using past prices, and returns are serially uncorrelated. However inter alia Shiller, Fischer, and Friedman (1984) refuted the conclusion of economic insignificance in the case of negligible autocorrelations by modeling return processes with irrational bubbles where short-horizon returns are not significantly autocorrelated. Empirically, studies such as Lo and MacKinlay (1988) reject the random walk hypothesis (RWH) for US stocks using the more powerful variance ratio (VR) test. Similarly, RWH has also been tested for other markets with varying results. This report aims to examine the Chinese stock market as it stands out insofar that it is segmented by investor type 3 that face identical conditions otherwise. It also allows to observe consequences of loosening capital controls in terms of return-predictability. Empirical evidence so far has produced mixed results: for instance Long, Payne, and Feng (1999) do not find significant autocorrelation using a 100-week sample. On the other hand, Su and Fleisher (1999) reject the RWH when using daily data and for the market for foreign investors when using weekly data. Similarly, Darrat and Zhong (2000) find positive autocorrelation in the composite index using weekly data. Using daily data until 2000, the RWH is rejected again only for the market for foreigners, but not for locals. This work will build on empirical studies such as Long, Payne, and Feng (1999), concentrate on the VR test, and include observations following a policy reform in 2011 to test inter alia the hypothesis whether the market for foreigners became more efficient.
Download or read book Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Eastern Finance Association written by Eastern Finance Association (U.S.). Meeting and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets Routledge Revivals written by Kathryn Dominguez and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-10-20 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 1992, examines the subject of foreign exchange market efficiency and, in particular, the effectiveness of central bank intervention in the market. This book is ideal for students of economics.
Download or read book The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence written by Andrew Ang and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2011 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) asserts that, at all times, the price of a security reflects all available information about its fundamental value. The implication of the EMH for investors is that, to the extent that speculative trading is costly, speculation must be a loser's game. Hence, under the EMH, a passive strategy is bound eventually to beat a strategy that uses active management, where active management is characterized as trading that seeks to exploit mispriced assets relative to a risk-adjusted benchmark. The EMH has been refined over the past several decades to reflect the realism of the marketplace, including costly information, transactions costs, financing, agency costs, and other real-world frictions. The most recent expressions of the EMH thus allow a role for arbitrageurs in the market who may profit from their comparative advantages. These advantages may include specialized knowledge, lower trading costs, low management fees or agency costs, and a financing structure that allows the arbitrageur to undertake trades with long verification periods. The actions of these arbitrageurs cause liquid securities markets to be generally fairly efficient with respect to information, despite some notable anomalies.
Download or read book Economic Policy Theory and Practice written by Agnes Benassy-Quere and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-11-07 with total page 705 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Policy provides a unique combination of facts-based analysis, state-of-the art economic theory, and insights from first-hand policy experience at the national and international levels to shed light on current domestic and international policy challenges. It is ideally suited for students, practitioners, and scholars seeking understanding both of the pragmatic constraints of real-world policy making and the analytical tools that enhance inquiry and inform debates. The authors draw on their experiences as academics and as policy makers in European and international institutions to offer a deep dive into the rationale, design, and implementation of economic policy across a range of policy domains: fiscal policy, monetary policy, international finance, financial stability, taxes, long-term growth and inequality. Highlighting the ways experience, theories, and institutions interact, each chapter starts with historical examples of dilemmas and shows how theoretical approaches can help policy makers understand what is at stake and identify solutions. The authors highlight the differences between the positive approach to economic policy (how do policies impact the economy), the normative approach (what should be policymakers' objectives and against which criteria should their action be judged), and the political-economy constraints (what are the limits and obstacles to public intervention). They rely on the most recent academic research, providing technical boxes while explaining the mechanisms in plain English in the text, with appropriate illustrations. This new edition is informed by such important recent developments as the Great Recession, the strains on the European Union and the Euro, the challenges of public and private debt, the successes and setbacks to emerging markets, changes to labor markets along with the increased attention to inequality, the debates on secular stagnation and its implications for conventional and unconventional monetary policy, the re-regulation of the financial sector, the debt overhang in both the public and the private sector.
Download or read book Risk Return Relationship and Portfolio Management written by Raj S. Dhankar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-24 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers all aspects of modern finance relating to portfolio theory and risk–return relationship, offering a comprehensive guide to the importance, measurement and application of the risk–return hypothesis in portfolio management. It is divided into five parts: Part I discusses the valuation of capital assets and presents various techniques and models used in this context. Part II then addresses market efficiency and capital market models, particularly focusing on measuring market efficiency, which is a crucial factor in making correct investment decisions. It also analyzes the major capital market models like CAPM and APT to determine to what extent they are suitable for use in developing economies. Part III highlights the significance of risk–return analysis as a prerequisite for investment decisions, while Part IV examines the selection and performance appraisals of portfolios against the backdrop of the risk–return relationship. It also examines new tools such as the value-at-risk application for mutual funds and the applications of the price-to-earnings ratio in portfolio performance measurement. Lastly, Part V explores contemporary issues in finance, including the relevance of Islamic finance in the increasingly volatile global financial system.
Download or read book Maritime Economics written by E. Karakitsos and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-06-24 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyses shipping markets and their interdependence. This ground-breaking text develops a new macroeconomic approach to maritime economics and provides the reader with a more comprehensive understanding of the way modern shipping markets function.
Download or read book The Role of the Current Account in Asset Market Models of Exchange Rate Determination written by Alexander Groß and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2019-07-08 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No detailed description available for "The Role of the Current Account in Asset Market Models of Exchange Rate Determination".
Download or read book Advances in Empirical Economic Research written by Nicholas Tsounis and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-07-19 with total page 996 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents new empirical methods and applications in economics with special interest in advances in empirical macroeconomics, microeconomics, financial economics, international economics, and agricultural economics. Featuring selected contributions from the 2022 International Conference of Applied Economics (ICOAE 2021), this book provides country specific studies with potential applications in economic policy. It is beneficial to researchers, scholars, academics and policy makers in quantitative economic research (in both methods and applications).
Download or read book Neural Networks and the Financial Markets written by Jimmy Shadbolt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume looks at financial prediction from a broad range of perspectives. It covers: - the economic arguments - the practicalities of the markets - how predictions are used - how predictions are made - how predictions are turned into something usable (asset locations) It combines a discussion of standard theory with state-of-the-art material on a wide range of information processing techniques as applied to cutting-edge financial problems. All the techniques are demonstrated with real examples using actual market data, and show that it is possible to extract information from very noisy, sparse data sets. Aimed primarily at researchers in financial prediction, time series analysis and information processing, this book will also be of interest to quantitative fund managers and other professionals involved in financial prediction.
Download or read book Empirical Finance written by Sardar M. N. Islam and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book makes two key contributions to empirical finance. First it provides a comprehensive analysis of the Thai stock market. Second it presents an excellent exposition ofhow modem econometric techniques can be utilised to understand a market. The increasing globalisation of the world's financial markets has made our un derstanding of the risk-return relationship in a broader range of markets critical. This is particularly so in emerging markets where market depth and liquidity are major issues. One such emerging market is Thailand. The Thai capital market isof particular interest given that it was the market in which the Asian financial crises commenced. As such an understanding ofthe Thai capital market via study of the pre and post-crisis periods enables one to shed light on one of the major financial markets events of recent times. This book provides a quantitative analysis of the Thai capital market using some very useful and recent econometric techniques. The book provides an over view of the Thai stock market in chapter 2. Descriptive statistics and time series models (moving average, exponential smoothing, ARIMA) are presented in chap ter 3 followed by market efficiency tests based on autocorrelations in chapter 4. A richer set of models is then considered in chapters 5 through 8. Chapter 5 finds a cointegrating relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock returns.
Download or read book Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics written by M. Hashem Pesaran and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015 with total page 1095 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book describes and illustrates many advances that have taken place in a number of areas in theoretical and applied econometrics over the past four decades.
