Download or read book An empirical study on the Granger Causality and relationship among foreign exchange rate stock market and real estate market written by Yixuan Li and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Empirical Relationship Between Exchange Rates Interest Rates and Stock Returns written by Sudharshan Reddy Paramati and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper study aims to investigate the relationship between call money rates, exchange rates and stock returns from the perspective of India. We use monthly data for the time span of April 1992 to March 2011. This provides sufficient data set for the empirical analysis. Result from Granger causality test evidences bidirectional relationship between call money rates and exchange rates. It is also identified that call money rates and exchange rates Granger cause stock returns and did not find reverse causality from stock returns to call money and exchange rates. To explore, lead-lag interaction among the variables studied we employed VAR models. Results suggest that there is substantial lead-lag relationship from call money rates to exchange rates and stock returns. Similar relationship also found from exchange rates to call money rates and stock returns. However, there is no evidence of lead-lag causation from stock returns to call money and exchange rates. Findings of this study are useful for the investors and policy makers. In investors' standpoint, they can utilize this historical information of call money rates and exchange rates for predicting the movements of stock returns. Similarly, policy makers can stabilize the stock market fluctuations by adopting appropriate policies towards interest rates and exchange rates for time to time.

Download or read book Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis MSEA 2022 written by Gaikar Vilas Bhau and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-12-22 with total page 1514 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis(MSEA 2022) will be held in Dalian, China from May 27 to 29, 2022. Based on probability theory, mathematical statistics studies the statistical regularity of a large number of random phenomena, and infers and forecasts the whole. Economic development is very important to people's life and the country. Through data statistics and analysis, we can quickly understand the law of economic development. This conference combines mathematical statistics and economic analysis for the first time to explore the relationship between them, so as to provide a platform for experts and scholars in the field of mathematical statistics and economic analysis to exchange and discuss.

Download or read book Non linear Causality Between the Stock and Real Estate Markets written by Chi Wei Su and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2013 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last few years, the relationship between real estate and stock markets has always been the hot topic not only in China, but also in western countries. The identification of such relationship is critical for both investors in these two markets and policymakers who need such information prior the designing of a national growth strategy. Traditional linear methods, such as Granger causality test and cointegration test, are already found not capable to catch the essence of the complex reality. Therefore, this book uses the asymmetrical threshold cointegration test and the non-parametric rank test to investigate whether any significant relationship and asymmetric adjustment exists between real estate and stock markets in China and Western European countries. This book should help shed light on the study of economic events, and also is useful to anyone who is interested in the application of econometric methods.

Download or read book Stock Market and Economic Growth written by Tan Zhongming and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study is aimed at determining the contributions of the Ghana stock market to the economic growth in Ghana from 1993 to 2015. This is necessitated by the concern as to whether a lean stock market like that of GSE with an average of 32 listed companies (within the period of study) with an average market capitalization of 7.66% of GDP can significantly exert the much-expected positive impact on total output. Four explanatory variables were specified in this study based on theoretical underpinning, market capitalization, stock turnover, number of listed companies and stock traded, these variables represent the depend variables whereas real gross domestic product (RGDP) was used as the independent variable. Stationarity test was conducted using Augmented Dickey Fuller unit root test, whiles Johansen Cointegration test was used to estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The Granger causality test was conducted in order to establish a causal relationship between the dependent and independent variables respectively. Empirical test results show that there is a bidirectional causality between economic growth (RGDP) and market capitalization of listed companies, whereas there is unidirectional causality between economic growth (RGDP) and stock turnover ratio, also, it was revealed that, there exist bidirectional causality between economic growth (RGDP) and the stock traded, there is a unidirectional causality between economic growth (RGDP) and number of listed companies on the exchange. From the analysis it was brought to light that there is a positive relationship between the variables identified and Real Gross Domestic Product but this effect will be evident in the long term in the economy of Ghana. The study recommends that, the government should re-establish confidence in the market through regulatory authorities by ensuring transparency, fair trading transactions and improve the market capitalization by encouraging more foreign investors to participate in the market and also to increase investment instruments such as derivatives, convertibles, swap and option in the market.

Download or read book On the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices written by Esin Cakan and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines dynamic linkages between the exchange rates and stock prices for twelve emerging market countries for the period from May 1994 to April 2010 by using linear and non-linear Granger causality tests. Our empirical results show that stock prices and exchange rates have linear and non-linear bi-directional causality in most cases. The exceptional countries are Brazil, Poland and Taiwan that there is no evidence for a nonlinear Granger causality from stock prices to exchange rates. The results support both the portfolio balance and the goods market theories for eight out of twelve countries.

Download or read book On the Causality Between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates written by Yaşar Köse and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this paper is to investigate the existence and direction of relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for Turkish financial market. Granger (1969) causality testing methodology was employed to reveal the nature of relationship between the two variables. This work contributes to the existing body of literature in the way that in Turkish financial market, there is a uni-directional causality running from stock prices to exchange rates using the daily observations for the sample period, which runs from February 23, 2001 to November 4, 2009. Also, the model used in this study extends the scope of exchange rate variables including a total of five currencies í US dollar, Euro, Japanese Yen, Pound Sterling, Swiss Franc and two baskets of currencies of Undersecretariat of Foreign Trade of Turkey. This evidence has implications for the policy makers and economic actors to perceive the movements in stock prices as a dynamic determinant, which may affect the success of their exchange rate policies.

Download or read book On the Causal Relationship Between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates written by Lokman Gunduz and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the causality between the exchange rates and stock prices in the Middle East and North Africa Region before and after Asian financial crisis. Applying a non-causality testing procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), we empirically find that there is a unidirectional Granger causality from exchange rates to stock prices for Israel and Morocco before and after the Asian financial crisis, and for Jordan only after the crisis. However the causality runs from stock prices to exchange rates for Turkey after the Asian financial crisis. Moreover, we do not find any support for causal relationship between these two variables for Egypt. These findings have implications regarding the influence of exchange rates on the development of stock markets and the effect of financial crises on the relation between stock prices and exchange rates.

Download or read book Price Volume Correlation in the Housing Market written by Jim Clayton and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Housing market cycles are featured by a positive correlation of prices and trading volume, which is conventionally attributed to a causal relationship between prices and volume. This paper analyzes the housing markets in 114 metropolitan statistical areas in the United States from 1990 to 2002, treats both prices and volume as endogenous variables, and studies whether and how exogenous shocks cause co-movements of prices and volume. At quarterly frequency, we find that, first, both home prices and trading volume are affected by conditions in labor markets, the mortgage market, and the stock market, and the effects differ between markets with low and high supply elasticity. Second, home prices Granger cause trading volume, but the effects are asymmetric - decreases in prices reduce trading volume, and increases in prices have no effect. Third, trading volume also Granger causes home prices, but only in markets with inelastic supply. Finally, we find a statistically significant positive price-volume correlation; which, however, is mainly explained by co-movements of prices and volume caused by exogenous shocks, instead of the Granger causality between prices and volume.

Download or read book Dynamics Between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices written by Van-Hop Nguyen and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the long- and short-run dynamics between exchange rates and stock prices by using cointegration methodology and multivariate Granger causality tests. We apply the analysis to six countries, including: Japan, United Kingdom, Hong Kong, China, India and Brazil over the period December 2007 to May 2013. The evidence suggests that the global financial crisis 2007-2009 is an important determinant of the link between the domestic stock and foreign exchange markets. The exchange rate is negatively related to the domestic stock market for emerging countries but positively for developed countries for entire sample and during the crisis. However, this relationship became positive for all countries after the crisis, except United Kingdom. The finding also indicates that the exchange rate movements contain some significant information to forecast the stock returns of these markets.

Download or read book An Asian Direct and Indirect Real Estate Investment Analysis written by Kim Hin David HO and published by Partridge Publishing Singapore. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 858 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is dedicated to real estate scholastic work, in advancing the greater understanding of real estate investment analysis. This is because there has been limited research in bringing out clearly the uncertainty or risk, which is quantifiable uncertainty in real estate market analysis. Even real estate market research, which is carried out as an industry practice among private real estate researches, is no exception. Another reason is that it has been widely accepted that while the financial revolution has substantially changed many sectors of the financial industry, it has made little impact on real estate development and investment practice as Ill as scholastic work. Furthermore, while it is readily acknowledged that despite its huge share in the world Ialth, real estate investment discipline and research is on the whole still a poorly researched subject area. As a result, the industry tends to be dominated by traditional real estate analysts with little understanding of real estate market uncertainty and capital markets. These commentators are widely regarded to spend too much time worrying about local space supply and demand conditions, while totally losing sight of the everchanging real estate market and capital market conditions. The theme of this book is real estate investment analysis of direct and indirect real, which in turn can be appropriately managed under economic theory and the theoretical conceptions of real estate finance, provided the uncertainty is quantifiable. The book deploys case studies involving Singapore and Asia. This Black over White background viii framework enables real estate market analysis to attempt what defines the Asian direct and indirect real estate sectors; what is being measured; how it behaves (in terms of price and non-price factors); how it is structured and how it effectively achieves the objectives of sustainable total returns and manageable real estate market uncertainty. Managing real estate market uncertainty optimally is achieved at the portfolio level through real estate asset allocation. This is important because the real estate portfolio is able to virtually eliminate the unique (i.e. specific) uncertainties among the various Asian real estate sectors; thus retaining within the portfolio only the systemic (i.e. market-wide) uncertainty. Apart from real estate asset allocation, the alternative and modern approach to risk management at the portfolio level, is the value-at-risk (VaR) approach. Another modern and important alternative to coping with uncertainty is real option analysis and pricing that help to better define real estate market uncertainty in extent and time. Real option analysis and pricing also represent uncertainty via a decision tree and the risk-neutral probability conception, in order to comprehend how uncertainty impacts on the value of real estate investment decisions. The pricing of uncertainty is based on the risk-free hedge security conception. These are best examined at the micro level of the investment in a real estate development opportunity on vacant land. Nevertheless, the real estate sectors in Singapore and Asia offer promising prospects since the Asian currency crisis of 1997. It is now timely to take stock and make an assessment of how the sectors would pan out for the future, Ill into at least rest the next century. I are very pleased to present our thinking and research in international real estate with particular emphasis on Asia. The region’s vast potential for real estate is itself a large incentive for international real estate research and education that has inspired me to document the significant work I have done over the years. Black over White background ix I wish all readers a pleasurable reading of this book, and I thank you sincerely for your support without which the publication of this book would be made all the more difficult. Dr HO, Kim Hin / David Honorary Professor (University of Hertfordshire, UK) (International Real Estate & Public Policy) March 2021.

Download or read book Testing of Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Stock Price Volume Relation written by Paramsothy Silvapulle and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Testing for Correlation and Causality Relationships Between Stock Prices and Macroeconomic Variables the Case of Palestine Securities Exchange written by Haneen Abu-Libdeh and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study aims at investigating the correlation and causality relationships between stock prices in Palestine and some macroeconomic variables. Two methodologies were used in order to determine the relationships, first we used a regression analysis for ten years' worth of quarterly data (40 observations in total) for the studied variables, five macroeconomic variables were used as independent variables (GDP, inflation, exchange rate, Libor rate and balance of trade), and the quarterly stock market index returns were used as the dependent variable. Second, a unit root test was conducted on the studied variables in order to perform a Granger causality test to assess the causality relationship. The results of the regression analysis as a whole indicate a significant relationship between the macroeconomic variables used and stock prices. Nevertheless, some macroeconomic variables' coefficients (although having a significant relationship with stock prices) weren't consistent with the results of other researches. Moreover, the causality analysis negated any kind of causal relationships between each particular macroeconomic variable and stock prices.

Download or read book Stock Market Performance and Economic Growth A Causality Test Approach written by Danson Kimani and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012-07 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The investigation of the causal relationship between stock market performance and economic growth was conducted using the popular Granger causality test based on the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The statistical techniques used include the unit root Augmented Dickey Fuller test in order to fulfill the objective of stationarity for all the time series in their levels and first differences. The Johansen co-integration test was used to investigate whether the variables are cointegrated of the same order taking into account the trace statistics and the maximum eigen-value tests. The variables were found to be cointegrated with at least one co-integrating vectorThe findings imply that the causality between economic growth and stock market runs unilaterally or entirely in one direction from the NSE 20-share index to the GDP. From the results, it was inferred that the movement of stock prices in the Nairobi stock exchange reflect the macro-economic condition of the country and can therefore be used to predict the future path of economic growth. Therefore, policy makers should facilitate proper growth of the stock exchange market in order to foster a thriving economic climate.

Download or read book The Relationships Between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices written by Md. Mahmudul Alam and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study seeks evidence supporting the existence of market efficiency and exchange rate sensitivity on stock prices in the Johannesburg stock exchange (JSE). The sample includes the daily price indices of all securities listed on the JSE, and the exchange rate of the USD/Rand for the period since January 2000 to December 2004. The results from the unit root test, the ADF test and the causality test at the Granger sense provide evidence that the Johannesburg stock exchange (JSE) is informationally efficient. It has a long run comovement with exchange rate, and long run equilibrium or steady state. Hence, in JSE there is a strong possibility that foreign direct investors and forex market traders cannot influence and gain abnormal extra benefits by using exchange rate mechanism or by using exchange rate to forecast stock prices in the market. So, JSE is semi-strong form efficient. Through cointegration test, this paper gives more insight on the concept of market efficiency and the reliability of the results. These results are important to security analysts, investors, and security regulatory exchange bodies in policy making decision to improve the market conditions.

Download or read book Institutional Investors and Stock Market Development written by Alovsat Muslumov and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article examines causality relationships between institutional investors and stock market development based on the panel data compiled from 23 OECD countries for the years 1982 through 2000. In order to test causality relationship, Sims' causality test based on Granger definition of causality was used in our study. Our empirical results provide evidence that there are statistically significant positive relationship between institutional investors and stock market development. The development of institutional investors is the Granger cause of stock market capitalization, whereas there are bi-directional causality relationship between institutional investors' development and stock market liquidity. Research results support the idea that a country should promote the development of institutional investors for the establishment of well-developed securities market.

Download or read book The Causal Relationship between Real Estate and Stock Markets written by John Okunev and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the dynamic relationship that exists between the US real estate and Samp;P 500 stock markets between the years of 1972 to 1998. This is achieved by conducting both linear and nonlinear casuality tests. The results from these tests provide a number of interesting observations which primarily show linear relationships to be spuriously affected by structural shifts which are inherent within the data. Linear test results generally show a uni-directional relationship to exist from the real estate market to the stock market. However, these results are not consistent with financial theory and for all sub-samples of the data. In contrast, the nonlinear causality test shows a strong unidirectional relationship running from the stock market to the real estate market, and is consistent in the presence of any structural breaks.