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Book The Empirical Relationship Between the Spreads of Credit Default Swaps and Bonds

Download or read book The Empirical Relationship Between the Spreads of Credit Default Swaps and Bonds written by Ralf Koschmieder and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientific Essay from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, language: English, abstract: Warren Buffet, the world's richest man, once said that derivatives are financial "weapons of mass destruction." a term popularized by George W. Bush to describe nuclear arms. Indeed financial derivatives have a far greater impact on the market than their underlying due to their leverage effect. And the most popular and important credit derivatives nowadays are credit default swaps with a current notional value of over 60 trillion US dollars according to ISDA 1 (International Swaps and Derivatives Association) and 58 trillion US dollars according to BIS 2 (Bank for international settlement) respectively. That is more than the whole world's gross domestic product in the same year! 3 This paper examines the empirical relationship of CDS premium and credit spread by testing on their theoretical equivalence derived by Duffie (1999). It begins with an overview of CDS followed by the theoretical framework. The analysis starts with explanation of testing methods and description of data. After confirming the existence of the basis spread, this paper goes on to analyse the interactions of CDS spread and Bond spread using econometrics methods like Cointegration and Granger Causality tests. Also examined is the leadership of price discovery process between CDS market and traditional bond market.

Book Credit Default Swaps

Download or read book Credit Default Swaps written by Christopher L. Culp and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-12 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, unique in its composition, reviews the academic empirical literature on how CDSs actually work in practice, including during distressed times of market crises. It also discusses the mechanics of single-name and index CDSs, the theoretical costs and benefits of CDSs, as well as comprehensively summarizes the empirical evidence on important aspects of these instruments of risk transfer. Full-time academics, researchers at financial institutions, and students will benefit from the dispassionate and comprehensive summary of the academic literature; they can read this book instead of identifying, collecting, and reading the hundreds of academic articles on the important subject of credit risk transfer using derivatives and benefit from the synthesis of the literature provided.

Book Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps  with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises

Download or read book Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In reduced-form pricing models, it is usual to assume a fixed recovery rate to obtain the probability of default from credit default swap prices. An alternative credit risk measure is proposed here: the maximum recovery rate compatible with observed prices. The analysis of the recent debt crisis in Argentina using this methodology shows that the correlation between the maximum recovery rate and implied default probabilities turns negative in advance of the credit event realization. This empirical finding suggests that the maximum recovery rate can be used for constructing early warning indicators of financial distress.

Book Credit Default Swap Markets in the Global Economy

Download or read book Credit Default Swap Markets in the Global Economy written by Go Tamakoshi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-19 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive overview for various segments of the global credit default swap (CDS) markets, touching upon how they were affected by the recent financial turmoil. The book uses empirical analysis on credit default swap markets, applying advanced econometric methodologies to the time series data. It covers not only well-studied sovereign credit default swap markets but also sector credit default swap indices (i.e., CDS index for the banking sector) and corporate credit default swap indices (i.e., Markit iTraxx Japan CDS index), which have not been fully examined by the previous literature. The book also investigates causality and co-movement among several credit default swap markets, or between CDS and other financial markets.

Book Impact of Government Bonds Spreads on Credit Derivatives

Download or read book Impact of Government Bonds Spreads on Credit Derivatives written by Verena Anna Berger and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-30 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Verena Anna Berger investigates the question to what extent credit default swap spreads are impacted by an increase of government bond yields within the European area. In the first step, these spreads are computed with the help of the Hull-White model to demonstrate the theoretical calculation. The main findings which are calculated by using the Fontana-Scheicher model show that a negative impact on credit default swap spreads is observed based on the analysed data. However, there is high variation between the analysed countries so that a country-specific evaluation instead of a general review is recommended by the author.

Book Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia  VRP

Download or read book Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia VRP written by Hao Wang and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress

Download or read book The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress written by Jochen R. Andritzky and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-11 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit default swaps (CDS) provide the buyer with insurance against certain types of credit events by entitling him to exchange any of the bonds permitted as deliverable against their par value. Unlike bonds, whose risk spreads are assumed to be the product of default risk and loss rate, CDS are par instruments, and their spreads reflect the partial recovery of the delivered bond's face value. This paper addresses the implications of the difference between bond and CDS spreads and shows the extent to which the recovery assumption matters for determining CDS spreads. A no-arbitrage argument is applied to extract recovery rates from CDS and bond markets, using data from Brazil's distress in 2002-03. Results are related to the observation that preemptive restructurings are now more common than straight defaults in sovereign bond markets and that this leads to a decoupling of CDS and bond spreads.

Book The negative basis   Credit Default Swap contracts and credit risk during the financial crisis

Download or read book The negative basis Credit Default Swap contracts and credit risk during the financial crisis written by Matthias Schnare and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2011-10-19 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 5.0 (Schweiz), University of Zurich (Wirtschaftswissenschaften), language: English, abstract: The current developments in the credit or bond markets, influenced by the financial crisis and the economic downturn, revive a discussion about credit derivatives as an instrument of speculation and one cause or determinant of the financial crisis. Currently, CDS are used to speculate against the solvency of the different governments. Critics look at CDS contracts as Overthecounter (OTC) instruments that are not regulated and as bilateral contracts which can have a big influence on the financial position of market participants and on the real credit markets. CDS contracts are mainly instruments for investors to insure against a default of the debtor. For the seller of the CDS they are a possibility to participate in risks he perhaps could not have taken on the bond markets otherwise. These contracts separate the default risk of the debtor from the market conditions, e.g. the market interest rates. They make it possible to only trade the credit risk of a company or a country. Therefore, they can be instruments to proof the bond values and indicators for the real credit risk of the underlying. The discussion about CDS contracts is mostly a discussion including many prejudices and it deals with aspects from different topics which cannot be mixed. Therefore, a clear picture of advantages and disadvantages and especially values and risks of CDS is difficult to be found in the current public discussion and economic newspaper articles. A further phenomenon is that bond markets and CDS markets have lost their connection in the financial crisis. So the credit risk on both markets is valued differently: the prices on the two markets differed so much that market participants used these arbitrage possibilities to earn credit riskfree money for themselves and their customers It can be traded with a simple combination of the underlying bond and the fitting CDS contract. One of the causes of the basis can be the different liquidity level in the two separated markets. For the development of the basis during the crisis it is important to ask how big the changes are compared to the situation before the financial crisis and also how important the credit rating or the industry of the reference entity is.. The price difference, if the CDS price is lower than the credit risk priced by the bond of the same reference entity, is negative basiscalled

Book Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High in Emerging Markets

Download or read book Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Manmohan Singh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In times of distress when a country loses access to markets, there is evidence that credit default swap (CDS) spreads are a leading indicator for sovereign risk than the EMBI+ sub-index for the country. However, it is not easy to discern the variables that determine the level of CDS spreads in Emerging Markets (EM); traders only quote the CDS spreads and not the inputs that are required to calculate such spreads. This note provides some evidence from Argentina and Brazil that reveals inconsistency between theory and practice in pricing CDS spreads in EM. This note suggests an alternate methodology that links CTD (cheapest-to-deliver) bonds to recovery values assumed in CDS contracts. Furthermore, special features that pertain to CDS contracts (repo specialness, short squeezes by central banks) may also magnify the financial distress of a sovereign.

Book The Credit Default Swap Basis

Download or read book The Credit Default Swap Basis written by Moorad Choudhry and published by Bloomberg Press. This book was released on 2006-10-01 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The growth of the credit derivatives market has meant that credit default swaps (CDSs) have been playing a big part in the credit market situation. An understanding of how these instruments work and what they can, and cannot, offer is vital to knowing how to best use them. This book investigates the close relationship between the synthetic and cash markets in credit, which manifests in the credit default swap basis. Choudhry covers: factors that drive the basis implications for market participants the CDS index basis trading the basis Credit market investors and traders as well as anyone with an interest in the global debt markets will find The Credit Default Swap Basis insightful and rewarding.

Book An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship Between Investment grade Bonds and Credit Default Swaps

Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship Between Investment grade Bonds and Credit Default Swaps written by Roberto Blanco and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In this paper the behaviour of credit default swaps (CDS) are analysed for a sample of firms and support found for the theoretical equivalence of CDS prices and credit spreads. When this is violated, the CDS price can be viewed as an upper bound on the price of credit risk, while the spread provides a lower bound. It is shown that the CDS market is the main forum for credit risk price discovery and that CDS prices are better integrated with firm-specific variables in the short run. Both markets equally reflect these factors in the long run, and this is primarily brought about by bond market adjustment"--Bank of England web site

Book Credit Risk

Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio

Book The Term Structure of Credit Spreads and Credit Default Swaps   An Empirical Investigation

Download or read book The Term Structure of Credit Spreads and Credit Default Swaps An Empirical Investigation written by Stefan Trück and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the term structure of credit spreads and credit default swaps for different rating categories. It is well-known quite that for issuers with lower credit quality higher spreads can be observed in the market and vice versa. However, empirical results on spreads for bonds with the same rating but different maturities are rather controversial. We provide empirical results on the term structure of credit spreads based on a large sample of Eurobonds and domestic bonds from EWU-countries. Further we investigate maturity effects on credit default swaps and compare the results to those of corporate bonds. We find that for both instruments a positive relationship between maturity and spreads could be observed for investment grade debt. For speculative grade debt the results are rather ambiguous. We also find that spreads for the same rating class and same maturity exhibit very high variation.

Book Estimating the systematic component of credit spreads

Download or read book Estimating the systematic component of credit spreads written by Sebastian Wilde and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2022-08-31 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2022 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,7, University of Hagen (Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Lehrstuhl für Bank- und Finanzwirtschaft), language: English, abstract: Corporate bond credit spreads are much larger than historical default rates, which leads to an unexplained gap between the default premium component and total credit spread. This gap is referred to as the "credit spread puzzle" in the literature and has driven the discussion of the components of credit spreads in the past decades. The size of each component affects the decision of whether to purchase a particular class of bonds; this underlines its importance in risk management, portfolio management, and valuation. The first goal of the thesis is to provide a comprehensive review of the current state of research on how to decompose credit spreads and estimate their parts. Second, in an empirical study, the systematic risk in current EUR-denominated credit spreads is estimated and compared to the results of Elton et al. (2001). Furthermore, I analyze the regime-dependence of credit spreads for different cross-sections, as systematic risk has proven important in crisis periods. Finally, implications for the calculation of debt beta are derived as in business valuations it is possible to use a debt beta if the debt of the valuation object is subject to a systematic risk that leads to a signifcant risk premium demanded by debt providers. I show that the systematic part of the credit spread for observed EUR-denominated bond spreads from 2009 to 2021 can be assumed higher than in the US bond market, is regime-dependent and would have direct implications on the calculation and relevance of a debt beta for business valuations.