Download or read book An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-05-13 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.

Download or read book An Elementary Approach to Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1985 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'With admirable clarity, Mrs Peters sums up what determines competence in spelling and the traditional and new approaches to its teaching.' -Times Literary Supplement

Download or read book An Elementary Approach to Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This technical report is a prototype elementary textbook for teaching reasoning processes and decision making under conditions of uncertainty. It is written at an introductory level and designed to be usable for nontechnical personnel. The text is based on a translation of a Hebrew book and adapted for the American student audience. The original material is based on the study of intuitive thought processes and capitalizes on information about cognitive biases that typically lead to faulty decisions and judgments. Methods are outlined for processing partial unreliable information in the following categories: when choosing the most likely among a set of possible solutions; when estimating a numerical value as the solution in a quantitative problem; when assessing the probability of occurrence of an event; and when estimating the chances of an event in exceptional problems. Practice problems are provided at the end of most chapters. In addition, a list of technical references and an outline of related topics for further study are presented at the conclusion of the text. Military command, control, and intelligence personnel should find this text applicable and easily adapted for the training of human information processing and decision making. (Author).

Download or read book An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-05-13 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.

Download or read book Assessing Uncertainty in Expert Judgments about Natural Resources written by David A. Cleaves and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Improving Statistical Reasoning written by Peter Sedlmeier and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1999-06 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes an approach to understanding, modeling, and improving the probabilistic reasoning of ordinary adults, comparing their reasoning to that of "experts." For specialists in judgment and decision making and all cognitive scientists.

Download or read book Ignorance and Uncertainty written by Michael Smithson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ignorance and Uncertainty overviews a variety of approaches to the problem of indeterminacies in human thought and behavior. This book examines, in depth, trends in the psychology of judgment and decision-making under uncertainty or ignorance. Research from the fields of cognitive psychology, social psychology, organizational studies, sociology, and social anthroplogy are reviewed here in anticipation of what Dr. Smithson characterizes as the beginning of a "creative dialogue between these researchers". Ignorance and Uncertainty offers the conceptual framework for understanding the paradigms associated with current research. It discusses the ways in which attitudes toward ignorance and uncertainty are changing, and addresses issues previously ignored.

Download or read book Cognitive Strategies in Stochastic Thinking written by Roland W. Scholz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Current Trends in Knowledge Acquisition written by Bob Wielinga and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Knowledge acquisition has become a major area of artificial intelligence and cognitive science research. The papers in this book show that the area of knowledge acquisition for knowledge-based systems is still a diverse field in which a large number of research topics are being addressed. However, several main themes run through the papers. First, the issues of integrating knowledge from different sources and K.A. tools is a salient topic in many papers. A second major topic in the papers is that of knowledge modelling. Research in knowledge-based systems emphasises the use of generic models of reasoning and its underlying knowledge. An important trend in the area of knowledge modelling aims at the formalisation of knowledge models. Where the field of knowledge acquisition was without tools and techniques years ago, now there is a rapidly growing body of techniques and tools. Apart from the integrated workbenches already mentioned above, several papers in this book present new tools. Although knowledge acquisition and machine learning have been considered as separate subfields of AI, there is a tendency for the two fields to come together. This publication combines machine learning techniques with more conventional knowledge elicitation techniques. A framework is presented in which reasoning, problem solving and learning together form a knowledge intensive system that can acquire knowledge from its own experience.

Download or read book Exploring Probability in School written by Graham A. Jones and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-30 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploring Probability in School provides a new perspective into research on the teaching and learning of probability. It creates this perspective by recognizing and analysing the special challenges faced by teachers and learners in contemporary classrooms where probability has recently become a mainstream part of the curriculum from early childhood through high school. The authors of the book discuss the nature of probability, look at the meaning of probabilistic literacy, and examine student access to powerful ideas in probability during the elementary, middle, and high school years. Moreover, they assemble and analyse research-based pedagogical knowledge for teachers that can enhance the learning of probability throughout these school years. With the book’s rich application of probability research to classroom practice, it will not only be essential reading for researchers and graduate students involved in probability education; it will also capture the interest of educational policy makers, curriculum personnel, teacher educators, and teachers.

Download or read book Teaching Decision Making To Adolescents written by Jonathan Baron and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-11-12 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes a variety of programs -- firmly based in psychological theory and modern decision analysis -- that are suitable for teaching adolescents how to improve both their own decision making skills and their understanding of the decision making of others. Providing practical advice as well as theoretical analysis, this volume addresses general questions such as the nature and rationale of the enterprise, its implementation, and its evaluation. Relevant to several current adolescent problems including drug abuse, this is an excellent source, either as research, new curriculum, or enrichment of old curriculum.

Download or read book Clinical Supervision written by Robert Henry Anderson and published by Jason Aronson. This book was released on 1993 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The comprehensiveness and breadth of the textbook is unmatched in the field...makes a unique contribution to our understanding. - James F. Nolan, Penn State University

Download or read book Thought and Knowledge written by and published by Routledge. This book was released on with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Basic Research in Behavioral and Social Sciences written by U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Trusting Judgements written by Mark A. Burgman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice.

Download or read book Annual Report written by U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Resources in education written by and published by . This book was released on 1984-08 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: