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Book The Hedgehog and the Fox

    Book Details:
  • Author : Isaiah Berlin
  • Publisher : Princeton University Press
  • Release : 2013-06-02
  • ISBN : 1400846633
  • Pages : 143 pages

Download or read book The Hedgehog and the Fox written by Isaiah Berlin and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-06-02 with total page 143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing." This ancient Greek aphorism, preserved in a fragment from the poet Archilochus, describes the central thesis of Isaiah Berlin's masterly essay on Leo Tolstoy and the philosophy of history, the subject of the epilogue to War and Peace. Although there have been many interpretations of the adage, Berlin uses it to mark a fundamental distinction between human beings who are fascinated by the infinite variety of things and those who relate everything to a central, all-embracing system. Applied to Tolstoy, the saying illuminates a paradox that helps explain his philosophy of history: Tolstoy was a fox, but believed in being a hedgehog. One of Berlin's most celebrated works, this extraordinary essay offers profound insights about Tolstoy, historical understanding, and human psychology. This new edition features a revised text that supplants all previous versions, English translations of the many passages in foreign languages, a new foreword in which Berlin biographer Michael Ignatieff explains the enduring appeal of Berlin's essay, and a new appendix that provides rich context, including excerpts from reviews and Berlin's letters, as well as a startling new interpretation of Archilochus's epigram.

Book The Elegance of the Hedgehog

Download or read book The Elegance of the Hedgehog written by Muriel Barbery and published by Europa Editions. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The phenomenal New York Times bestseller that “explores the upstairs-downstairs goings-on of a posh Parisian apartment building” (Publishers Weekly). In an elegant hôtel particulier in Paris, Renée, the concierge, is all but invisible—short, plump, middle-aged, with bunions on her feet and an addiction to television soaps. Her only genuine attachment is to her cat, Leo. In short, she’s everything society expects from a concierge at a bourgeois building in an upscale neighborhood. But Renée has a secret: She furtively, ferociously devours art, philosophy, music, and Japanese culture. With biting humor, she scrutinizes the lives of the tenants—her inferiors in every way except that of material wealth. Paloma is a twelve-year-old who lives on the fifth floor. Talented and precocious, she’s come to terms with life’s seeming futility and decided to end her own on her thirteenth birthday. Until then, she will continue hiding her extraordinary intelligence behind a mask of mediocrity, acting the part of an average pre-teen high on pop culture, a good but not outstanding student, an obedient if obstinate daughter. Paloma and Renée hide their true talents and finest qualities from a world they believe cannot or will not appreciate them. But after a wealthy Japanese man named Ozu arrives in the building, they will begin to recognize each other as kindred souls, in a novel that exalts the quiet victories of the inconspicuous among us, and “teaches philosophical lessons by shrewdly exposing rich secret lives hidden beneath conventional exteriors” (Kirkus Reviews). “The narrators’ kinetic minds and engaging voices (in Alison Anderson’s fluent translation) propel us ahead.” —The New York Times Book Review “Barbery’s sly wit . . . bestows lightness on the most ponderous cogitations.” —The New Yorker

Book I Am Earth

    Book Details:
  • Author : James McDonald
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 2016-10-20
  • ISBN : 9780998294902
  • Pages : 44 pages

Download or read book I Am Earth written by James McDonald and published by . This book was released on 2016-10-20 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I Am Earth introduces kids to the basic concepts of earth science while also encouraging the importance of taking care of our special planet through environmental awareness and sustainability. Keeping Earth a happy healthy place to live is important for everyone big and small. In this Earth science book for beginners, kids learn what makes our planet so uniquely special and how people can work together to keep it a healthy home.

Book The Way of the Shadow Wolves

Download or read book The Way of the Shadow Wolves written by Steven Seagal and published by 5th Palace Publishing. This book was released on 2017-10 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Action adventure about a tribal police officer in Arizona who stumbles onto a crime involving international covert operations.

Book Sonic the Hedgehog  139

    Book Details:
  • Author : Karl Bollers, Ken Penders, Jon Gray, Steven Butler, Michael Higgins, Jim Amash, Patrick "SPAZ" Spaziante
  • Publisher : Archie Comic Publications
  • Release :
  • ISBN : 1619887029
  • Pages : 27 pages

Download or read book Sonic the Hedgehog 139 written by Karl Bollers, Ken Penders, Jon Gray, Steven Butler, Michael Higgins, Jim Amash, Patrick "SPAZ" Spaziante and published by Archie Comic Publications. This book was released on with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Return to Angel Island (Part 2 of 4): Avatar": Sonic, Knuckles, and The Chaotix not only go face-to-face with the deadly Dark legion, but must contend with a slew of old and new faces as well! The action never lets up in this frantic tale!

Book The Rockwell Legacy  Books 1 3

Download or read book The Rockwell Legacy Books 1 3 written by Jennifer Bernard and published by Jennifer Bernard. This book was released on 2020-02-15 with total page 840 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every family has its secrets. Some more than others. “I was certain my Kindle was going to melt! A really great series that I would highly recommend.” 5 Stars A remote mountain lodge. A family legacy at risk. Settle in for steamy romance and suspense deep in the Cascades mountains in Books 1-3 of the Rockwell series. The Rebel Only one thing could bring rescue paramedic Kai Rockwell home to Rocky Peak Lodge—a threat to his family. He knows his father’s new nurse aide Nicole Davidson is hiding something, but their crazy chemistry makes it hard to see straight. Equally determined, equally passionate about protecting their families, the two don’t know if they should be enemies or lovers. Yet they can’t resist each other...no matter the price. The Rogue Griffin Rockwell has returned to Rocky Peak Lodge with a secret. Locals still consider him a hero, but these days the best he can do is play bodyguard to the fascinating new waitress at his brother’s pub. But Serena Riggs has a secret of her own; she’s investigating the disappearance of her father. When another threat surfaces, the only place she feels safe is in Griffin’s arms...and in his bed. The Renegade Battling a takeover, billionaire Lyle Guero has been asked by his board of directors to lay low. What better place than Rocky Peak Lodge, his latest silent investment and home to Isabelle Rockwell? The beautiful trauma surgeon has haunted his thoughts ever since an unforgettable airport encounter; now he has a second chance at the one thing his billions can’t buy.

Book Hedgehogs  Killing  and Kindness

Download or read book Hedgehogs Killing and Kindness written by Laura McLauchlan and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2024-05-14 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How our understanding of and relationship to hedgehogs reveals the complex interactions between culture, technology, bodies, conservation, and care for other animals. Across the globe, the bumbling hedgehog has been framed in a variety of ways throughout history—as a symbol of both good and bad luck, of transformation, of vengeance, and of wit and reincarnation. In recent years, it has also, in different parts of the world, been viewed as a pest for its predation on ground-nesting birds and has thus become a target for culling. In Hedgehogs, Killing, and Kindness, Laura McLauchlan explores how human actors have interacted with hedgehogs and other species through time and attends to the questions these interactions raise when it comes to ending and preserving life in the name of species conservation and wildlife rehabilitation. Grounded in rich empirical material and careful critique, Hedgehogs, Killing, and Kindness traces the author’s own more-than-human transformative experience and elucidates how care is shaped by and shapes various cultural and material forces. McLauchlan urges us to rethink and reflect on how cares are normalized, and at what and whose expense; what it might mean to care in more responsive ways; and finally, whether it is possible to kill with kindness in this rapidly changing and conflicting world. A valuable addition to the understanding and practices of multispecies ethnography, environmental anthropology, and the broader environmental humanities, this book sheds a necessary light on the fraught space between caring for and killing to care for other-than-human animals on our one precious planet.

Book Manthropology

    Book Details:
  • Author : Peter McAllister
  • Publisher : Macmillan + ORM
  • Release : 2010-10-26
  • ISBN : 1429940840
  • Pages : 338 pages

Download or read book Manthropology written by Peter McAllister and published by Macmillan + ORM. This book was released on 2010-10-26 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Manthropology is the first of its kind. Spanning continents and centuries, it is an in-depth look into the history and science of manliness. From speed and strength, to beauty and sex appeal, to bravado and wit, it examines how man today compares to his masculine ancestors. Peter McAllister set out to rebut the claim that man today is suffering from feminization and emasculation. He planned to use his skills as a paleoanthropologist and journalist to write a book demonstrating unequivocally that man today is a triumph---the result of a hard-fought evolutionary struggle toward greatness. As you will see, he failed. In nearly every category of manliness, modern man turned out to be not just matched, but bested, by his ancestors. Stung, McAllister embarked on a new mission. If his book couldn't be a testament to modern male achievement, he decided, it would be a record of his failures. Manthropology, then, is a globe-spanning tour of the science of masculinity. It kicks off in Ice Age France, where a biomechanical analysis demonstrates that La Ferrassie 2, a Neanderthal woman discovered in the early 1900s, would cream 2004 World Arm Wrestling Federation champion Alexey Voyevoda in an arm wrestle. Then it moves on to medieval Serbia, showing how Slavic guslar poets (who were famously able to repeat a two thousand-line verse after just one hearing) would have destroyed Curtis Jackson, aka 50 Cent, in a battle rap. Finally, it takes the reader to the steaming jungles of modern equatorial Africa, where Aka Pygmy men are such super-dads, they even grow breasts to suckle their children. Now, that's commitment. For modern man, the results of these investigations aren't always pretty. But in its look at the history of men, Manthropology is unfailingly smart, informative, surprising, and entertaining.

Book Range

    Book Details:
  • Author : David Epstein
  • Publisher : Penguin
  • Release : 2021-04-27
  • ISBN : 0735214506
  • Pages : 369 pages

Download or read book Range written by David Epstein and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-04-27 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The #1 New York Times bestseller that has all America talking—with a new afterword on expanding your range—as seen on CNN's Fareed Zakaria GPS, Morning Joe, CBS This Morning, and more. “The most important business—and parenting—book of the year.” —Forbes “Urgent and important. . . an essential read for bosses, parents, coaches, and anyone who cares about improving performance.” —Daniel H. Pink Shortlisted for the Financial Times/McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award Plenty of experts argue that anyone who wants to develop a skill, play an instrument, or lead their field should start early, focus intensely, and rack up as many hours of deliberate practice as possible. If you dabble or delay, you’ll never catch up to the people who got a head start. But a closer look at research on the world’s top performers, from professional athletes to Nobel laureates, shows that early specialization is the exception, not the rule. David Epstein examined the world’s most successful athletes, artists, musicians, inventors, forecasters and scientists. He discovered that in most fields—especially those that are complex and unpredictable—generalists, not specialists, are primed to excel. Generalists often find their path late, and they juggle many interests rather than focusing on one. They’re also more creative, more agile, and able to make connections their more specialized peers can’t see. Provocative, rigorous, and engrossing, Range makes a compelling case for actively cultivating inefficiency. Failing a test is the best way to learn. Frequent quitters end up with the most fulfilling careers. The most impactful inventors cross domains rather than deepening their knowledge in a single area. As experts silo themselves further while computers master more of the skills once reserved for highly focused humans, people who think broadly and embrace diverse experiences and perspectives will increasingly thrive.

Book Dare to Lead

Download or read book Dare to Lead written by Brené Brown and published by Random House. This book was released on 2018-10-09 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: #1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • Brené Brown has taught us what it means to dare greatly, rise strong, and brave the wilderness. Now, based on new research conducted with leaders, change makers, and culture shifters, she’s showing us how to put those ideas into practice so we can step up and lead. Don’t miss the five-part HBO Max docuseries Brené Brown: Atlas of the Heart! NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY BLOOMBERG Leadership is not about titles, status, and wielding power. A leader is anyone who takes responsibility for recognizing the potential in people and ideas, and has the courage to develop that potential. When we dare to lead, we don’t pretend to have the right answers; we stay curious and ask the right questions. We don’t see power as finite and hoard it; we know that power becomes infinite when we share it with others. We don’t avoid difficult conversations and situations; we lean into vulnerability when it’s necessary to do good work. But daring leadership in a culture defined by scarcity, fear, and uncertainty requires skill-building around traits that are deeply and uniquely human. The irony is that we’re choosing not to invest in developing the hearts and minds of leaders at the exact same time as we’re scrambling to figure out what we have to offer that machines and AI can’t do better and faster. What can we do better? Empathy, connection, and courage, to start. Four-time #1 New York Times bestselling author Brené Brown has spent the past two decades studying the emotions and experiences that give meaning to our lives, and the past seven years working with transformative leaders and teams spanning the globe. She found that leaders in organizations ranging from small entrepreneurial startups and family-owned businesses to nonprofits, civic organizations, and Fortune 50 companies all ask the same question: How do you cultivate braver, more daring leaders, and how do you embed the value of courage in your culture? In this new book, Brown uses research, stories, and examples to answer these questions in the no-BS style that millions of readers have come to expect and love. Brown writes, “One of the most important findings of my career is that daring leadership is a collection of four skill sets that are 100 percent teachable, observable, and measurable. It’s learning and unlearning that requires brave work, tough conversations, and showing up with your whole heart. Easy? No. Because choosing courage over comfort is not always our default. Worth it? Always. We want to be brave with our lives and our work. It’s why we’re here.” Whether you’ve read Daring Greatly and Rising Strong or you’re new to Brené Brown’s work, this book is for anyone who wants to step up and into brave leadership.

Book Hedgehog Hollow Books 1 3

    Book Details:
  • Author : Jessica Redland
  • Publisher : Boldwood Books Ltd
  • Release : 2024-01-01
  • ISBN : 1804830208
  • Pages : 1339 pages

Download or read book Hedgehog Hollow Books 1 3 written by Jessica Redland and published by Boldwood Books Ltd. This book was released on 2024-01-01 with total page 1339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover The Hedgehog Hollow Series from million copy bestselling author Jessica Redland! 'I loved my trip to Hedgehog Hollow. An emotional read, full of twists and turns' Heidi Swain 'Hedgehog Hollow is a wonderful series that has found a special place all of its own deep in the hearts of readers, including mine.' Jennifer Bohnet This boxset contains the first 3 books in the uplifting Hedgehog Hollow series: Finding Love at Hedgehog Hollow New Arrivals at Hedgehog Hollow Family Secrets at Hedgehog Hollow Finding Love at Hedgehog Hollow As Samantha Wishaw watches the love of her life marry another woman, she’s ready to give up hope of finding her happy ever after. But when a chance encounter leads Sam to find friendship in Thomas - a lonely, grumpy elderly widower living at derelict Hedgehog Hollow - her life is about to change forever. New Arrivals at Hedgehog Hollow The sun is shining, wild flowers are blooming and Hedgehog Hollow is officially open for business. For Samantha and Josh life has never been busier, with an influx of new hogs and hoglets to take care of, not to mention full-time jobs and family issues that threaten to take over. For both Samantha and Josh it's a season of change and for figuring out whether the past can ever truly be forgotten. Family Secrets at Hedgehog Hollow When Samantha's self-absorbed cousin, Chloe, unexpectedly turns up at the farm - baby in hand – trouble is definitely brewing. Especially as Chloe won’t tell anyone why she’s left her husband ... For Samantha it soon becomes clear that she needs to start putting herself first for once. Little does she know that life-changing secrets from the past are about to unravel and turn their lives upside down...

Book Personality Disorder

    Book Details:
  • Author : Heather Castillo
  • Publisher : Jessica Kingsley Publishers
  • Release : 2003
  • ISBN : 9781843100539
  • Pages : 180 pages

Download or read book Personality Disorder written by Heather Castillo and published by Jessica Kingsley Publishers. This book was released on 2003 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Personality Disorder is one of the most difficult psychological conditions to classify and treat. Drawing on extensive research carried out in conjunction with service users, the author seeks to adjust this imbalance and looks at the classification and treatment of personality disorder from the service users' viewpoint.

Book Justice for Hedgehogs

    Book Details:
  • Author : Ronald Dworkin
  • Publisher : Harvard University Press
  • Release : 2011-05-03
  • ISBN : 0674071964
  • Pages : 521 pages

Download or read book Justice for Hedgehogs written by Ronald Dworkin and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2011-05-03 with total page 521 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The fox knows many things, the Greeks said, but the hedgehog knows one big thing. In his most comprehensive work, Ronald Dworkin argues that value in all its forms is one big thing: that what truth is, life means, morality requires, and justice demands are different aspects of the same large question. He develops original theories on a great variety of issues very rarely considered in the same book: moral skepticism, literary, artistic, and historical interpretation, free will, ancient moral theory, being good and living well, liberty, equality, and law among many other topics. What we think about any one of these must stand up, eventually, to any argument we find compelling about the rest. Skepticism in all its forms—philosophical, cynical, or post-modern—threatens that unity. The Galilean revolution once made the theological world of value safe for science. But the new republic gradually became a new empire: the modern philosophers inflated the methods of physics into a totalitarian theory of everything. They invaded and occupied all the honorifics—reality, truth, fact, ground, meaning, knowledge, and being—and dictated the terms on which other bodies of thought might aspire to them, and skepticism has been the inevitable result. We need a new revolution. We must make the world of science safe for value.

Book Hedge Hogs

    Book Details:
  • Author : Barbara T. Dreyfuss
  • Publisher : Random House
  • Release : 2013-05-21
  • ISBN : 0679605010
  • Pages : 322 pages

Download or read book Hedge Hogs written by Barbara T. Dreyfuss and published by Random House. This book was released on 2013-05-21 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For readers of The Smartest Guys in the Room and When Genius Failed, the definitive take on Brian Hunter, John Arnold, Amaranth Advisors, and the largest hedge fund collapse in history At its peak, hedge fund Amaranth Advisors LLC had more than $9 billion in assets. A few weeks later, it completely collapsed. The disaster was largely triggered by one man: thirty-two-year-old hotshot trader Brian Hunter. His high-risk bets on natural gas prices bankrupted his firm and destroyed his career, while John Arnold, his rival at competitor fund Centaurus, emerged as the highest-paid trader on Wall Street. Meticulously researched and character-driven, Hedge Hogs is a riveting fly-on-the-wall account of the largest hedge fund collapse in history: a blistering tale of the recent past that explains our precarious present . . . and may predict our future. Using emails, instant messages, court testimony, and exclusive interviews, securities analyst turned investigative reporter Barbara T. Dreyfuss charts the colliding paths of these two charismatic traders who dominated the speculative energy market. We follow Brian Hunter, the Canadian farm boy and elbows-out high school basketball star, as he achieves phenomenal early success, only to see his ambition, greed, and hubris precipitate his downfall. Set in relief is the journey of John Arnold, whose mild manner, sophisticated tastes, and low profile belied his own ferocious competitive streak. As the two clash, hundreds of millions of dollars in pension and endowment money is imperiled, with devastating public consequences. Hedge Hogs takes you behind closed doors into the shadowy world of hedge funds, the unregulated wild side of finance, where over-the-top parties and lavish perks abound and billions of dollars of other people’s money are in the hands of a tiny elite. Dreyfuss traces the rise of this freewheeling industry while detailing the decades of bank, hedge fund, and commodity deregulation that turned Wall Street into a speculative casino. A gripping saga peppered with fast money, vivid characters, and high drama, Hedge Hogs is also an important and timely cautionary tale—a vivisection of a financial system jeopardized by reckless practices, watered-down regulation, and loopholes in government oversight, just waiting for the next bust. Praise for Hedge Hogs “Regulators, legislators and judges inclined to sympathize with the industry ought to rush out and buy a copy of Barbara Dreyfuss’s Hedge Hogs, a wonderfully instructive tale about Amaranth Advisors. . . . Dreyfuss, a Wall Street analyst turned investigative journalist, not only plowed through what turned out to be a treasure trove of official records and transcripts, but supplemented it with plenty of her own reporting. She manages to organize it all into a tight, riveting and understandable yarn.”—The Washington Post “Clearly and entertainingly told . . . a salutary example of how traders who believe they are super-smart might be nothing more than lucky, and how there is nothing so intoxicating as the ability to speculate with other people’s money.”—The Economist “[Dreyfuss] does a great job of putting Amaranth’s out-of-control trader into historical context, explaining the blitz of deregulation that set the stage for someone like Hunter to do maximum damage.”—Bloomberg “The definitive take on the largest hedge fund collapse in history . . . You will not be able to put it down.”—Frank Partnoy, author of F.I.A.S.C.O. and Infectious Greed Named One of the Top 10 Business & Economics Books of the Season by Publishers Weekly

Book The Hedgehog s Dilemma

    Book Details:
  • Author : Hugh Warwick
  • Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
  • Release : 2010-08-21
  • ISBN : 1608192369
  • Pages : 305 pages

Download or read book The Hedgehog s Dilemma written by Hugh Warwick and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2010-08-21 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this wonderfully entertaining, adorable book, Hugh Warwick, an environmental writer and photographer, examines the relationship between the hedgehog and man, and how the hedgehog became so beloved. Traveling the globe in search of his quarry, Warwick eventually discovers a new breed called Hugh's Hedgehog.

Book The Young Bonhoeffer

    Book Details:
  • Author : Dietrich Bonhoeffer
  • Publisher : Fortress Press
  • Release : 2003
  • ISBN : 9781451406863
  • Pages : 734 pages

Download or read book The Young Bonhoeffer written by Dietrich Bonhoeffer and published by Fortress Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Volume 11 in the sixteen-volume Dietrich Bonhoeffer Works English Edition, Ecumenical, Academic, and Pastoral Work: 1931-1932, provides a comprehensive translation of Bonhoeffer's important writings from 1931 to 1932, with extensive commentary about their historical context and theological significance. This volume covers the significant period of Bonhoeffer's entry into the international ecumenical world and the final months before the beginning of the National Socialist dictatorship. It begins with Bonhoeffer's return to Berlin in June 1931 after his year of study in the United States. In the crucial period that followed, Bonhoeffer continued his preparations for the ministry, began teaching at Berlin University, and became active at international ecumenical meetings. His letters and lectures, however, also document the economic and political turbulence on the European and world stage, and Bonhoeffer directly addresses the growing threat of the Nazi movement and what it portends not only for Germany, but for the world. Several of the documents in this volume, particularly the student notes of his university lecture on "The Nature of the Church" and his lectures on Christian ethics, give important insights into his theology at this point. His ecumenical lectures and reports are significant documents for understanding the ecumenical debates of this period"--Publisher description.

Book Future Babble

    Book Details:
  • Author : Dan Gardner
  • Publisher : McClelland & Stewart
  • Release : 2010-10-12
  • ISBN : 0771035217
  • Pages : 319 pages

Download or read book Future Babble written by Dan Gardner and published by McClelland & Stewart. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future — everything from the weather to the likelihood of a catastrophic terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it’s so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, journalist Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by UC Berkeley professor Philip Tetlock proved that pundits who are more famous are less accurate — and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.