Download or read book Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices written by Philip K. Verleger and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 1994 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author traces the development of petroleum commodity markets, then examines the quest by producers and consumers for stability in world oil markets. He finds that modest producer and consumer gains can be realized through negotiations that achieve removal of barriers to trade, elimination of hurdles to foreign investment, and strengthening of financial institutions.

Download or read book Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices written by Philip K. Verleger and published by . This book was released on 1993-01 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Verleger examines this quest for stability in world oil markets. He finds that modest gains can be achieved through negotiations between producers and consumers if agreements emphasize the removal of barriers to trade, elimination of hurdles to foreign investment in the energy sector, and improvement of institutions that guarantee against contractual default. commodities and concludes that, given their failure and the structure of current oil markets, the probability for success of an agreement on oil is remote. Moreover, he shows that an oil price stabilization agreement would impose enormous costs on consumers and that such an agreement is unnecessary given the introduction of new financial instruments that reduce the risk of price fluctuations for both consumers and producers.

Download or read book Crude Awakenings written by Steve A. Yetiv and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2010-12-15 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The real story of global oil over the past twenty-five years is not about the spillover effects of Palestinians fighting Israelis, or terrorist attacks on U.S. forces in Saudi Arabia and Yemen, or Iraq's stormy relationship with Kuwait. It is not even about periodic small- and large-scale U.S. attacks on Iraq. Rather, the real story is about longer-term developments that have changed the international relations of the Middle East, politics at the global level, and world oil markets. These developments have increased oil stability."—from the Introduction Thirty years after OAPEC shattered world markets for oil, the Western world remains profoundly dependent on foreign, particularly Middle Eastern, sources of petroleum. U.S. political rhetoric is suffused with claims about the vulnerability caused by this dependence. Hence, many political analysts assume that a search for stability of petroleum supplies is an important element of contemporary American foreign policy. Steve A. Yetiv argues that common assumptions about oil markets are wrong. Although prices remain volatile, Yetiv's account portrays a world market in petroleum products far more benign and predictable than the one to which we are accustomed. In Crude Awakenings, he identifies and analyzes real and potential threats to the global energy supply, including wars, revolutions, coups, dangerous alliances, oil embargoes, Islamic radicalism, and transnational terrorism. However, he also shows how some of these threats have been mitigated and how global oil security has been reinforced.

Download or read book Dollar Adjustment How Far Against What written by and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dollar rose about 35 percent in real terms from 1995 to the end of 2001, supporting the US economy of the late 1990s but pushing the current account deficit to a record high. This book looks at the impact of this, examining intervention to achieve desired currency values and the impact of a major dollar realignment on worldwide economies.

Download or read book Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

Download or read book Soft Computing Applications in Business written by Bhanu Prasad and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-29 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Soft computing techniques are widely used in most businesses. This book consists of several important papers on the applications of soft computing techniques for the business field. The soft computing techniques used in this book include (or very closely related to): Bayesian networks, biclustering methods, case-based reasoning, data mining, Dempster-Shafer theory, ensemble learning, evolutionary programming, fuzzy decision trees, hidden Markov models, intelligent agents, k-means clustering, maximum likelihood Hebbian learning, neural networks, opportunistic scheduling, probability distributions combined with Monte Carlo methods, rough sets, self organizing maps, support vector machines, uncertain reasoning, other statistical and machine learning techniques, and combinations of these techniques. The businesses or business problems addressed in this book include (or very closely related to): analysis of correlations between currency exchange rates, analysis of USA banks and Moody’s bank financial strength rating, arrears management, business risk identification, company audit fee evaluation, dental treatments, business internal control, intelligent tutoring systems and educational assessment, modeling agent behavior, motor insurance industry, personal loan defaults, pricing strategies for increasing the market share, pricing strategies in supply chain management, probabilistic sales forecasting, user relevance feedback analysis for online text retrieval, and world crude oil spot price forecasting.

Download or read book Volatility of Oil Prices written by Mr.Peter Wickham and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-08-01 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the behavior of crude oil prices since 1980, and in particular the volatility of these prices. The empirical analysis covers “spot” prices for one of the key internationally traded crudes, namely Dated Brent Blend. A GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic) model, which allows the conditional variance to be time-variant, is estimated for the period which includes the oil price slump of 1986 and the surge in prices in 1990 as a result of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. The paper also discusses the growth of futures and derivative markets and the dynamic links between spot and futures markets.

Download or read book Departments of Commerce Justice and State the Judiciary and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1994 written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on the Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 1540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Energy Economics A Modern Introduction written by Ferdinand E. Banks and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Energy is the go of things", as James Clerk Maxwell pointed out. This th simple truth was largely overlooked during the first 70 years of the 20 century, because in the industrial world most politicians, civil servants, and opinion makers were inclined to believe that virtually an infinite supply of reasonably priced energy would always be available, and so things would continue to 'go' in the manner to which many of their constituents and admirers had become accustomed. Similar opinions were held about fresh air, and water for consumption and agricultural uses. As a result, it was not until the last two decades of the century that serious courses in energy and environmental economics began to be offered at institutions of higher learning around the world. This book is intended as a comprehensive introductory text and/or reference book for courses of this nature having to do with energy economics. (I have also attempted to make the book useful for self study. ) As far as I know, there are no energy economics text or reference books on the level of this book in the English language. Needless to say, if I am wrong then I apologise to their authors; but right or wrong, I would like to see more energy economics books of all descriptions now. We cannot afford to have the same kind of mistakes made with energy policy that (in much of the world) are being made with e. g. employment policy.

Download or read book The United States and the World Economy Foreign Economic Policy for the Next Decade written by C. Fred Bergsten and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2005 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Data Mining and Knowledge Management written by Yong Shi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2005-01-18 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: criteria linear and nonlinear programming has proven to be a very useful approach. • Knowledge management for enterprise: These papers address various issues related to the application of knowledge management in corporations using various techniques. A particular emphasis here is on coordination and cooperation. • Risk management: Better knowledge management also requires more advanced techniques for risk management, to identify, control, and minimize the impact of uncertain events, as shown in these papers, using fuzzy set theory and other approaches for better risk management. • Integration of data mining and knowledge management: As indicated earlier, the integration of these two research fields is still in the early stage. Nevertheless, as shown in the papers selected in this volume, researchers have endearored to integrate data mining methods such as neural networks with various aspects related to knowledge management, such as decision support systems and expert systems, for better knowledge management. September 2004 Yong Shi Weixuan Xu Zhengxin Chen CASDMKM 2004 Organization Hosted by Institute of Policy and Management at the Chinese Academy of Sciences Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences International Journal of Information Technology and Decision Making Sponsored by Chinese Academy of Sciences National Natural Science Foundation of China University of Nebraska at Omaha, USA Conference Chairs Weixuan Xu, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Yong Shi, University of Nebraska at Omaha, USA Advisory Committee

Download or read book Canadian Energy Policy and the Struggle for Sustainable Development written by G. Bruce Doern and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 2005-01-01 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, energy policy has been increasingly linked to concepts of sustainable development. In this timely collection, editor G. Bruce Doern presents an overview of Canadian energy policy, gathering together the top Canadian scholars in the field in an examination of the twenty-year period broadly benchmarked by energy liberalization and free trade in the mid-1980s, and by Canada's ratification of the Kyoto Protocol in 2002. The contributors examine issues including electricity restructuring in the wake of the August 2003 blackout, the implications of the Bush Administration's energy policies, energy security, northern pipelines and Aboriginal energy issues, provincial changes in energy policy, and overall federal-provincial changes in regulatory governance. They also demonstrate that, since per capita energy usage has actually increased in the past several years, sustainable development remains very much a struggle rather than an achievement. When the Kyoto Protocol and its requirements for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are factored in, the Canadian record is especially dubious in basic energy terms. Canadian Energy Policy and the Struggle for Sustainable Development is key to understanding many of the issues in Canada's endeavour to live up to its energy-related environmental responsibilities.

Download or read book Argument in the Greenhouse written by Sujata Gupta and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005-10-05 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can greenhouse gases be controlled and reduced? Will it be in time? This book adds a significant new contribution to the crucial climate change/global warming debate. Incorporating the key political and legal considerations into `real world' applied economic analysis, the authors provide a unique focus on the wider political economy of the problem. All the key issues of controlling climate change (costs, timing and degree of stabilisation, ecological taxt reform, developing countries, and evolution of international agreements), are placed firmly within the current legal and political context, with state-of-the-art economic techniques introduced to analyse different policy proposals. Covering both the developing and developed world, this book identifies important new policies to foster effective agreements on eissions and prevent global warming - realistic policies, likely to receive support at both international and domestic levels. be in time? This book adds a significant new contribution to the crucial climate change/global warming debate. Incorporating the key political and legal considerations into 'real world' applied economic analysis, the book's authors provide a unique focus on the wider political economy of the problem. All the key issues of controlling climate change (costs, timing and degree of stabilisation, ecological tax reform, developing countries and evolution of international agreements), are placed firmly within the current legal and political economy context, with state-of-the-art economic techniques introduced to analyse different policy proposals. Covering both the developing and developed world, this book identifies important new policies to foster effective agreements on emmissions and prevent global warming - realistic policies which are likely to receive support at both international and domestic levels.

Download or read book International Commodity Markets and the Role of Cartels written by Mark S. LeClair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-07-08 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The phenomenon of collusive international agreements (cartels) became widespread in the 1930s. At that time, attempts to control production and prices were mainly the prerogative of multinational firms operating in the developing (then colonized) world. The "modern era" of cartels began in the 1960s, when the governments of developing nations began to participate in commodity agreements to achieve increases and stability in the world price of their commodities. This book is principally concerned with the modern era of cartels. It goes beyond the singular example of petroleum and OPEC to examine the structure of international commodity markets for bauxite (aluminum ore), cocoa, coffee, rubber, sugar, and tin, and the conditions that led to the formation of cartels in those markets during the latter half of the twentieth century. Specifically, the work focuses on four major aspects of international commodity markets: patterns of production and consumption; economic dislocations to both importers and exporters due to price fluctuations; the formation of cartels as a solution to weak and variable commodity prices; and the likely effects arising from tightening raw material markets. The book concludes with a detailed examination of what the future holds for each of the cartels, and what role technology, 24-hour market trading, and decreasing foreign direct investment in producing countries will have on the management of commodity markets.

Download or read book Crude Volatility written by Robert McNally and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2017-01-17 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As OPEC has loosened its grip over the past ten years, the oil market has been rocked by wild price swings, the likes of which haven't been seen for eight decades. Crafting an engrossing journey from the gushing Pennsylvania oil fields of the 1860s to today's fraught and fractious Middle East, Crude Volatility explains how past periods of stability and volatility in oil prices help us understand the new boom-bust era. Oil's notorious volatility has always been considered a scourge afflicting not only the oil industry but also the broader economy and geopolitical landscape; Robert McNally makes sense of how oil became so central to our world and why it is subject to such extreme price fluctuations. Tracing a history marked by conflict, intrigue, and extreme uncertainty, McNally shows how—even from the oil industry's first years—wild and harmful price volatility prompted industry leaders and officials to undertake extraordinary efforts to stabilize oil prices by controlling production. Herculean market interventions—first, by Rockefeller's Standard Oil, then, by U.S. state regulators in partnership with major international oil companies, and, finally, by OPEC—succeeded to varying degrees in taming the beast. McNally, a veteran oil market and policy expert, explains the consequences of the ebbing of OPEC's power, debunking myths and offering recommendations—including mistakes to avoid—as we confront the unwelcome return of boom and bust oil prices.

Download or read book Climate Change and the World Bank Group written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Kenneth Chomitz was the evaluation manager and main author for this study"--P. xiii.

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.