Download or read book A Useful Tool to Identify Recessions in the Euro area written by Pilar Bengoechea and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Useful Tool to Identify Recessions in the Euro area written by Pilar Bengoechea and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the identification and dating of the European business cycle, using different methods. We concentrate on methods and statistical series that provides timely and accurate information about the contemporaneous state of the economy in order to provide the reader with a useful tool that allows him or her to analyze current business conditions and make predictions about the future state of the economy. In this spirit, we find that the European Commission industrial confidence indicator (ICI) is useful in providing that infor.
Download or read book The Euro Area Business Cycle written by Lucrezia Reichlin and published by Centre for Economic Policy Research. This book was released on 2004 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Housing Markets in Europe written by Olivier de Bandt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-10-14 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the recession in the years 2008-2009, the most severe for mature economies in the post-war period, housing markets were often mentioned as having a special responsibility. The objective of this book is to shed light on the cyclical behaviour of the housing markets, its fundamental determinants in terms of supply and demand characteristics, and its relationship with the overall business cycle. The co-movements of house prices across countries are also considered, as well as the channel of transmission of house price changes to the rest of the economy. Particular attention is paid to the effects on private consumption, through possible wealth effects. The book is a compilation of original papers produced by economists and researchers from the four main national central banks in the euro area, also with the participation of leading academics.
Download or read book The Econometric Analysis of Recurrent Events in Macroeconomics and Finance written by Don Harding and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-07-26 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis highlighted the impact on macroeconomic outcomes of recurrent events like business and financial cycles, highs and lows in volatility, and crashes and recessions. At the most basic level, such recurrent events can be summarized using binary indicators showing if the event will occur or not. These indicators are constructed either directly from data or indirectly through models. Because they are constructed, they have different properties than those arising in microeconometrics, and how one is to use them depends a lot on the method of construction. This book presents the econometric methods necessary for the successful modeling of recurrent events, providing valuable insights for policymakers, empirical researchers, and theorists. It explains why it is inherently difficult to forecast the onset of a recession in a way that provides useful guidance for active stabilization policy, with the consequence that policymakers should place more emphasis on making the economy robust to recessions. The book offers a range of econometric tools and techniques that researchers can use to measure recurrent events, summarize their properties, and evaluate how effectively economic and statistical models capture them. These methods also offer insights for developing models that are consistent with observed financial and real cycles. This book is an essential resource for students, academics, and researchers at central banks and institutions such as the International Monetary Fund.
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles written by C. Milas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2006-02-08 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of Contributions to Economic Analysis addresses a number of important questions in the field of business cycles including: How should business cycles be dated and measured? What is the response of output and employment to oil-price and monetary shocks? And, is the business cycle asymmetric, and does it matter?
Download or read book Economic Papers written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 682 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Economic Spillover and Policy Coordination in the Euro Area written by Klaus Weyerstrass and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoge: Executive symmary. 1. A working definition of spillover. - Part 1: Theory. - 2. A working definition of spillover. - Part 2: Empirical findings. - 3. Budgetary spillover and short-term interest rates. - 4. Budgetary spillover and long-term interest rates. - 5. Budgetary stabilisation and the level of public debt. - 6. Spillover form economic reform. - 7. Macroeconomic and welfare effects of structural and budgetary policies: spillover in the MSG3 model. - Part 3: conclusions. - 8. Summary, recommendations and future research. - Appendix. - References.
Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-07-11 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After a sharp slowdown starting in 2018, euro area growth is expected to recover over the course of 2019. However, mounting downside risks from global trade tensions, a no-deal Brexit, and market concerns about countries with high public debt emphasize the precarious nature of the forecast. Even in the absence of a major shock, there is a danger that the area could enter a prolonged period of anemic growth and inflation. Policies should focus on supporting growth while also reducing vulnerabilities.
Download or read book Testing the EU Fiscal Surveillance written by Sven Langedijk and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Lisbon Strategy and the EU s Structural Productivity Problem written by Cécile Denis and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoge: 1. Introduction - 2. EU productivity trends at the economy wide level: a comparison with the US - 3. The structural nature of the EUś productivity problem - A sectoral /Industry level breakdown - 4. Enhancing the EUś productivity performance : focussing on the production and absorption of new technologies is the key to any effective long run productivity strategy - 5. Summary of key findings and policy conclusions.
Download or read book Labour Migration Patterns in Europe written by N. Diez Guardia and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoge: 1. Introduction - 2. Characterising migration in the EU - 3. Policy approaches - 4. Conclusions - 5. Annex - 6. References.
Download or read book An Estimated New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area written by Marco Ratto and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Sorted Leading Indicators Dynamic SLID Factor Model for Short run Euro area GDP Forecasting written by Daniel Grenouilleau and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoge: 1.The model - 2.Data selection and processing - 3.Forecast performances - 4.A few remarks about model robustness - 5.Conclusion - 6.References - 7.Annex.
Download or read book A Non stationary Perspective on the European and Swedish Business Cycle written by Louise Holm and published by Goteborg University. This book was released on 2007 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Tax Revenues in the European Union written by Giuseppe Carone and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoge: 1. Introduction - 2. Structure and taxation in the European Union - 3. Recent trends and reforms - 4. The challenges ahead - 5. Conclusions.
Download or read book Progressive Taxation Macroeconomic Stabilization and Efficiency in Europe written by Carlos Martinez-Mongay and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Debates the stability/efficiency tradeoff of automatic stabilizers. A simple AD-AS two-country model is presented and illustrates circumstances where a reduction in taxes can foster stabization. The testable implication from the model is that tax cuts can either increase or decrease volatility depending on the structure of the taxation system. Hence, lowering taxes for efficiency purposes may have not cost in terms of stabilization. This implication is tested for OECD countries over the period 1960-2000 taking account of the endogeneity and omitted variables issues identified in the literature. We found acceptably robust evidence that the size of governments in OECD countries has played a stabilizing role for both output and inflation. However, the relationship between government size and macroeconomic stability is not linear. The compostiion of public finances, in particular the tax mix, matters for output and price volatility. Distorting taxes, namely taxes on labor, might have negative effects on macroeconomic stability. Consequently, the potential trade off between stability and flexibility might not exist.
