Download or read book A Test of the International CAPM Using Business Cycles Indicators as Instrumental Variables written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Previous work by Dumas and Solnik (1993) has shown that a CAPM which incorporates foreign-exchange risk premia (a so-called 'international CAPM') is better capable empirically of explaining the structure of worldwide rates of return than does the classic CAPM. In the specification of that test, moments of rates of return were allowed to vary over time in relation to a number of lagged 'instrumental variables'. Dumas and Solnik used instrumental variables which were endogenous or 'internal' to the financial market (lagged world market portfolio rate of return, dividend yield, bond yield, short-term rate of interest). In the present paper, I use as instruments economic variables which are 'external' to the financial market, such as leading indicators of the business cycles. This is an attempt to explain the behavior of the international stock market on the basis of economically meaningful variables which capture 'the state of the economy'. I find that the leading indicators put together by Stock and Watson (NBER working paper no. 4014, 1992) as predictors of the U.S. business cycle also predict stock returns in the U.S., Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom. These instruments lead again to a rejection of the classic CAPM and no rejection of the international CAPM.
Download or read book The Internationalization of Equity Markets written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume addresses three important recent trends in the internationalization of United States equity markets: extensive market integration through foreign investment and links among stock prices around the world; increasing securitization as countries such as Japan come to rely more than ever before on markets in equities and bonds at the expense of banks; and the opening of national financial systems of newly industrializing countries to international financial flows and institutions, as governments remove capital controls and other barriers. Eight essays examine such issues as the current extent of international market integration, gains to U.S. investors through international diversification, home-country bias in investing, the role of time and location around the world in stock trading, and the behavior of country funds. Other, long-standing questions about equity markets are also addressed, including market efficiency and the accuracy of models of expected returns, with a particular focus on variances, covariances, and the price of risk according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model.
Download or read book Contemporary Economic Issues written by H. Wolf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains chapters on a range of topics which include economic methodology in macroeconomics, central bank independence, policy signalling, public policy as second best analysis, the determinants of economic growth, a continuum approach to unemployment policy, and pensions. The volume dispels the notion that these are largely unrelated issues and illustrates the merger process which is taking place between hitherto rather separate economic sub-disciplines. They move the focus of attention and challenge received wisdom.
Download or read book Financial Markets and Monetary Policy written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this second collection of his writings on financial markets (the first, On Exchange Rates, covered international finance), Jeffrey Frankel turns his attention to domestic markets, with special attention to how national monetary policy is handled. The decade of the 1980s left many central bankers disillusioned with monetarism, so that the question of the optimal nominal anchor remains an open one. In this second collection of his writings on financial markets (the first, On Exchange Rates, covered international finance), Jeffrey Frankel turns his attention to domestic markets, with special attention to how national monetary policy is handled. The fifteen papers are divided into three sections, each introduced by the author. They cover, respectively, optimal portfolio diversification, indicators of expected inflation, and the determination of monetary policy in the face of uncertainty. In the first section, Frankel explores what information the theory of optimal portfolio diversification can give the macroeconomist. In the second section, he considers what economic variables central bankers might use to gauge whether monetary policy is too tight or too loose. And in the final section, he looks at the range of uncertainty over policy effects and how that complicates coordination of macroeconomic policymaking. The book concludes with a sympathetic analysis of nominal GDP targeting.
Download or read book The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns written by Judith Klähn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judith Klähn proves that some of the most important variables in predicting U.S. equity returns are not significant for the German stock market. She shows that the composition of Germany's investor base plays an important role, and she outlines the variables crucial for the German stock market.
Download or read book NBER Reporter written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Risk and Foreign Direct Investment written by C. White and published by Springer. This book was released on 2006-01-25 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Incorporating an accurate measure of risk is important to the appraisal of an international investment. This book examines and recommends how decisions on international investment projects are made. Critiquing and integrating existing theory, it shows how risk can be incorporated into the present value formula produce a clear decision rule.
Download or read book Global Stock Markets written by Wolfgang Drobetz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.
Download or read book Journal of International Money and Finance written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 1182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Earlier place of publication varies.
Download or read book JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BUSINESS written by KENNETH J. KOPECKY and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Reverse Engineering the Yield Curve written by David K. Backus and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prices of riskfree bonds in any arbitrage-free environment are governed by a pricing kernel: given a kernel, we can compute prices of bonds of any maturity we like. We use observed prices of multi-period bonds to estimate, in a log-linear theoretical setting, the pricing kernel that gave rise to them. The high-order dynamics of our estimated kernel help to explain why first-order, one-factor models of the term structure have had difficulty reconciling the shape of the yield curve with the persistence of the short rate. We use the estimated kernel to provide a new perspective on Hansen-Jagannathan bounds, the price of risk, and the pricing of bond options and futures.
Download or read book Issues in the Industrial Organization of the Market for Physician Services written by Martin Gaynor and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Why Do Wage Profiles Slope Upwards written by David Neumark and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests some empirical implications of the general human capital model's explanation of rising wage profiles. At the individual level, the model implies that there will be a negative relationship between the initial wage level and wage growth of young, inexperienced workers. At the market level, the model implies that the present value of the wage profile of an investor equals that of an otherwise identical non-investor, or that the ratio of the present values equals one. We test both of these hypotheses. Evidence on the wage level-wage growth tradeoff points to a negative relationship between initial wage levels and wage growth, even after correcting for negative biases that may have influenced existing estimates of this relationship. Evidence on present values of wage profiles suggests that the ratio of the present value of rising wage profiles to flat wage profiles is quite close to one. Alternative estimates of this ratio are tightly clustered around one, and more often than not are insignificantly different from one. Overall, then, the evidence is largely consistent with the general human capital model.
Download or read book Updated Notes on the Interindustry Wage Structure written by Steven G. Allen and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper documents and analyzes changes in the wage structure across manufacturing industries over the last one hundred years. Inter-industry differentials in wages are highly stable for production workers, but autocorrelation patterns for nonproduction workers are considerably weaker. Industry wage patterns are very similar for production and nonproduction workers today, but this has been true only since 1958. Dispersion of wages across industries has shown varying trends over the last one hundred years, but has never in this century been higher than it is today. The variables that are most strongly correlated with wage growth are productivity growth, rising union density, rising capital intensity, and profit growth.
Download or read book Contents of Recent Economics Journals written by and published by . This book was released on 1994-08-26 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The U shaped Female Labor Force Function in Economic Development and Economic History written by Claudia Dale Goldin and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The labor force participation rate of married women first declines and then rises as countries develop. Its þ-shape is revealed both across the process of economic development and through the histories of currently advanced countries. The initial decline in the participation rate is due to the movement of production from the household, family farm, and small business to the wider market, and to a strong income effect. But the income effect weakens and the substitution effect strengthens at some point. This paper explores why the change takes place and why the þ-shape is traced out. When women are poorly educated their only wage labor outside the home and family is in manual work, against which a strong social stigma exists. But when women are educated, particularly at the secondary level, they enter white-collar work, against which no social stigma exists. Data for more than one-hundred countries and for United States history are used to explore the hypothesis of the þ-shaped female labor force function.
