Download or read book A Survey of Census Bureau Population Projection Methods written by John F. Long and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Practitioner s Guide to State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Download or read book Accuracy of Population Projection Methods at the U S Census Bureau written by and published by . This book was released on 1987* with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-21 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
Download or read book Subnational Population Estimates written by David A. Swanson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-05-23 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a unified and comprehensive treatment of the theory and techniques of sub-national population estimation, this much-needed publication does more than collate disparate source material. It examines hitherto unexplored methodological links between differing types of estimation from both the demographic and sample-survey traditions and is a self-contained primer that combines academic rigor with a wealth of real-world examples that are useful models for demographers. Between censuses, which are expensive, administratively complex, and thus infrequent, demographers and government officials must estimate population using either demographic modeling techniques or statistical surveys that sample a fraction of residents. These estimates play a central role in vital decisions that range from funding allocations and rate-setting to education, health and housing provision. They also provide important data to companies undertaking market research. However, mastering small-area and sub-national population estimation is complicated by scattered, incomplete and outdated academic sources—an issue this volume tackles head-on. Rapidly increasing population mobility is making inter-census estimation ever more important to strategic planners. This book will make the theory and techniques involved more accessible to anyone with an interest in developing or using population estimates.
Download or read book The American Community Survey written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Local Area Population Research and Federal Programs written by Richard A. Engels and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Population estimates are observed to play a central part in both the qualification of local areas for Federal programs and in the distribution of fiscal assistance funds. General Revenue Sharing is singled out as perhaps the most familiar and well supported program relying, at least in part, upon total population as a distribution mechanism. Local research resulting in population estimates is noted to have been adopted for use in such allocation systems for selected States. The Federal-State Cooperative Program for Local Population Estimates (FSCP) has strengthened these programs through joint State-Census Bureau efforts. It is speculated that similar arrangements may be possible for other currently active legislative programs based upon population characteristics. Contact with a newly formed FSCP subcommittee, a Census Bureau estimating methods research unit, or State-local cooperative groups emerging in some States are suggested potential avenues for local research to impact as many as 103 separate pieces of legislation depending upon some item of population information for operation of the program. Similar opportunities are identified for population projections. Although no legislation contains formal provisions for the use of projections to the degree now specified for current population estimates, projections are relied upon for the administration of programs in the Environmental Protection Agency and in the Department of Transportation. Other instances of projections used in planning applications are identified, as are the likely points of entry for local research work.
Download or read book Current Population Survey written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Methods and Materials of Demography written by Henry S. Shryock and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Textbook on the research methods (incl. Data collecting and data processing) used in dealing with demographic statistical data - outlines methodology used in determining population size, distribution and composition (incl. In respect of age group, sex, marital status, education, etc.), and describes measures used in calculating population growth and decrease, mortality, birth rate, fertility, marriage and divorce, migration, population projections, etc. Bibliographys at the end of chapters, graphs, references and statistical tables.
Download or read book Using Cumulated Rolling Samples to Integrated Census and Survey Operations of the Census Bureau written by Leslie Kish and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Small area Population Estimates methods and Their Accuracy and New Metropolitan Area Definitions and Their Impact on the Private and Public Sector written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Projecting State and Local Populations written by Donald B. Pittenger and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book presents a comprehensive, detailed study of population forecasting techniques for subnational areas. It includes an analysis and projection of migration as well as numerous examples of analytical and forecasting techniques based on real data for actual localities. Fictitious data and simplified examples have been avoided. While Dr. Pittenger's study covers that range of methods used in the United States over the past 50 years, methods actually used during the 1970's are stressed"--Book jacket.
Download or read book The Current Population Survey written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Census Bureau Methodological Research written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The methods and materials of demography written by Henry S. Shryock and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 588 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Measuring the Group Quarters Population in the American Community Survey written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-01-29 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following several years of testing and evaluation, the American Community Survey (ACS) was launched in 2005 as a replacement for the census "long form," used to collect detailed social, economic, and housing data from a sample of the U.S. population as part of the decennial census. During the first year of the ACS implementation, the Census Bureau collected data only from households. In 2006 a sample of group quarters (GQs)-such as correctional facilities, nursing homes, and college dorms-was added to more closely mirror the design of the census long-form sample. The design of the ACS relies on monthly samples that are cumulated to produce multiyear estimates based on 1, 3, and 5 years of data. The data published by the Census Bureau for a geographic area depend on the area's size. The multiyear averaging approach enables the Census Bureau to produce estimates that are intended to be robust enough to release for small areas, such as the smallest governmental units and census block groups. However, the sparseness of the GQ representation in the monthly samples affects the quality of the estimates in many small areas that have large GQ populations relative to the total population. The Census Bureau asked the National Research Council to review and evaluate the statistical methods used for measuring the GQ population. This book presents recommendations addressing improvements in the sample design, sample allocation, weighting, and estimation procedures to assist the Census Bureau's work in the very near term, while further research is conducted to address the underlying question of the relative importance and costs of the GQ data collection in the context of the overall ACS design.
Download or read book Current Population Reports written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
