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Book Extratropical Transition of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones

Download or read book Extratropical Transition of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones written by Peter M. Klein and published by . This book was released on 1997-09-01 with total page 101 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extratropical transition (ET) of a tropical cyclone (TC) often results in a mid-latitude storm that threatens maritime and coastal interests. Cases of ET between 1 July through 31 October during 1994-1996 are reviewed using Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) analyses and hourly geostationary satellite imagery. Current conceptual models are found to be inadequate to explain the physical processes in ET. ET is redefined to have two stages: transformation, where the TC is transformed from a warm-core vortex into a baroclinic, cold-core extratropical cyclone, and re- intensification, where the transformed TC either deepens or dissipates, depending on the existence of upper4ropospheric support for extratropical cyclogenesis. ET is further defined in terms of two characteristic mid-latitude synoptic patterns: meridional, in which the cyclones have meridional tracks and tend to re-intensify less vigorously than zonal, which have zonal tracks and may deepen explosively. Review of NOGAPS 5OO-mb anomaly correlation scores in 1996 demonstrated that ET may be associated with significant NOGAPS errors. Sea-level pressure forecasts during ET events involving a merger tend to be too deep. In ET cases of rapidly deepening storms, NOGAPS tends to overforecast their intensity during transformation, and then underforecast during re- intensification. Rules of thumb are provided to assist forecasters in improving predictions of the track and intensity of storms undergoing ET.

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean written by George W. Cry and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Download or read book 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 880 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Tropical Cyclone and Mid Latitude Characteristics and Physical Mechanisms Contributing to Extratropical Transition in the Western North Pacific

Download or read book Tropical Cyclone and Mid Latitude Characteristics and Physical Mechanisms Contributing to Extratropical Transition in the Western North Pacific written by Peter M. Klein and published by . This book was released on 2000-12-01 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study of extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific examines 30 cases during 1 June through 31 October 1994-98 using Navy analyses, plus geostationary satellite visible, infrared, water vapor, and microwave imagery. Based on the similarity of all 30 ET cases in satellite imagery, a three-dimensional conceptual model of the transformation stage of ET is proposed to describe how these ET cases evolve into an incipient, baroclinic cyclone. A climatology of ET during the period studied is presented, and three levels of re-intensification (little, moderate, and deep) are defined based on storm intensity at the end of ET. The re- intensification stage in nine cases is studied via Navy Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) control forecasts, simulations with the initial TC vortex removed, and simulations in which the initial TC vortex is displaced. These COAMPS simulations demonstrate that deep or moderate re- intensification depends on phasing of the poleward translating TC remnants with a critical region in which cyclogenesis is favored in the mid-latitude circulation. The mid-latitude circulation and TC contributions to the re- intensification stage are identified via superposition with the critical region and modification of its location and diagnostic values, respectively, and the combination of these contributions determines the final storm intensity at the end of ET.

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1851 2006

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1851 2006 written by Colin McAdie and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Extratropical Transition of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate

Download or read book The Extratropical Transition of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate written by Chunyong Jung and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones

Download or read book The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones written by Melanie Bieli and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The model, a logistic regression with elastic net regularization, was developed with a focus on predictive performance as well as physical interpretability and thus resides at the interface between machine learning and traditional statistics. It uses eight predictors that characterize the storm and its environment, the most important ones being latitude and sea surface temperature. The model is shown to have skill in forecasting ET at lead times up to two days, and it can predict the phase evolution of storms that undergo ET as well as of storms that remain tropical throughout their lifetimes. When used as an instantaneous diagnostic of a storm's tropical/extratropical status, the model performs about as well as the CPS in the western North Pacific and better than the CPS in the North Atlantic, and it predicts the timings of the transitions better than the CPS in both basins. The model can be integrated into statistical tropical cyclone risk models, or may be applied to provide baseline guidance for operational forecasts.

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1871 1980

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1871 1980 written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Analysis of Extratropical Transition of Cyclones in the North Atlantic Ocean Using Geostationary Satellite Imagery

Download or read book Analysis of Extratropical Transition of Cyclones in the North Atlantic Ocean Using Geostationary Satellite Imagery written by Amy Rebecca Wood and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin often undergo a process called extratropical transition (ET) and transform from warm-core to cold-core systems while retaining strong winds, heavy rainfall, and large ocean waves. Infrared satellite imagery from channels 2 and 4 of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) were used to examine key structural changes, synoptic interactions, and loss of deep centered convection in order to determine onset and completion of ET. The primary indicator for ET onset in 75% of cases was found to be a persistent increase in storm asymmetry along with the appearance of warm frontogenesis in its northern region. Cold frontogenesis in the southern portion of the storm was the secondary indicator for declaring onset of ET. Completion of ET was marked by the loss of centered deep convection for all cases. The average ET transition time was 18 hours for 60% of the cases.

Book Quantification of the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition for Typhoon Jangmi and Other Case Studies

Download or read book Quantification of the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition for Typhoon Jangmi and Other Case Studies written by Grams, Christian Michael Warnfrid and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2015-03-30 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The impact of extratropical transition on the midlatitude flow is quantified based on potential vorticity inversion. The detailed study of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) reveals the diabatically enhanced net transport of low-PV air to the tropopause as the key physical process determining the direct impact of ET. Relocation experiments and further case studies show the crucial role of the relative position of the TC and the midlatitude flow for the downstream impact of ET and the reduced predictability.

Book A Half Century of Progress in Meteorology

Download or read book A Half Century of Progress in Meteorology written by Richard Johnson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-03-30 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through a series of reviews by invited experts, this monograph pays tribute to Richard Reed's remarkable contributions to meteorology and his leadership in the science community over the past 50 years. It is a recollection of Reed’s life and his observations of the world of international science.

Book The Life Cycles of Extratropical Cyclones

Download or read book The Life Cycles of Extratropical Cyclones written by Melyvn Shapiro and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-01 with total page 427 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the expanded versions of invited papers presented at the International Symposium on the Life Cycles of Extratropical Cyclones, held in Bergen, Norway, 27 June–1 July 1994. It is of particular interest to historians of meteorology, researchers and forecasters. The material can be used for advanced undergraduate and undergraduate meteorology courses, and it represents a useful source of references to extratropical cyclones. The book provides the historical background of extratropical cyclone research and forecasting from the eighteenth to the mid-twentieth century. It also presents extratropical cyclone theory, observations, analysis, diagnosis and prediction.

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1871 1992

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1871 1992 written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Extratropical Transition of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Download or read book The Extratropical Transition of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones written by Robert Edward Hart and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: