Download or read book A Structural Model of Default Risk written by Jason C. Hsu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors price corporate debt from a structural model of firm default. They assume that the capital market brings about efficient firm default when the continuation value of the firm falls below the value it would have after bankruptcy restructuring. This characterization of default makes the model more tractable and parsimonious than the existing structural models. The model can be applied in conjunction with a broad range of default-free interest rate models to price corporate bonds. Closed-form corporate bond prices are derived for various parametric examples. The term structures of yield spreads and durations predicted by this model are consistent with the empirical literature. The authors illustrate the empirical performance of the model by pricing selected corporate bonds with varied credit ratings.
Download or read book Credit Risk Modeling Valuation and Hedging written by Tomasz R. Bielecki and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-01-22 with total page 524 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The motivation for the mathematical modeling studied in this text on developments in credit risk research is the bridging of the gap between mathematical theory of credit risk and the financial practice. Mathematical developments are covered thoroughly and give the structural and reduced-form approaches to credit risk modeling. Included is a detailed study of various arbitrage-free models of default term structures with several rating grades.
Download or read book Credit Risk Pricing Models written by Bernd Schmid and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-07 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Risk Pricing Models - now in its second edition - gives a deep insight into the latest basic and advanced credit risk modelling techniques covering not only the standard structural, reduced form and hybrid approaches but also showing how these methods can be applied to practice. The text covers a broad range of financial instruments, including all kinds of defaultable fixed and floating rate debt, credit derivatives and collateralised debt obligations.This volume will be a valuable source for the financial community involved in pricing credit linked financial instruments. In addition, the book can be used by students and academics for a comprehensive overview of the most important credit risk modelling issues.
Download or read book The Credit Market Handbook written by H. Gifford Fong and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-02-02 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The Credit Market Handbook, financial expert and Editor H. Gifford Fong has assembled a group of prominent professionals and academics familiar with the credit arena. In each chapter, a different expert analyzes a different issue related to today's dynamic credit market, including portfolio credit risk, valuation models, and the importance of modeling credit default. In bringing together these noted authors and their work, Fong provides you with a rich framework of research in the area of credit analysis. Some of the topics discussed within this comprehensive guide include: * Estimating default probabilities implicit in equity prices * Structural versus reduced form models: a new information-based perspective * Valuing high-yield bonds * Predictions of default probabilities in structural models of debt * And much more Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, this invaluable resource offers you the critical information you need to succeed within today's credit market.
Download or read book A Structural Model for Credit Risk with Markov Modulated L vy Processes and Synchronous Jumps written by Donatien Hainaut and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a switching regime version of the Merton's structural model for the pricing of default risk. The default event depends on the total value of the firm's asset modeled by a Markov modulated Lévy process. The novelty of our approach is to consider that firm's asset jumps synchronously with a change in the regime. After a discussion of dynamics under the risk neutral measure, we present two models. In the first one, the default occurs at bond maturity if the firm's value falls below a predetermined barrier. In the second version, the company can bankrupt at multiple predetermined discrete times. The use of a Markov chain to model switches in hidden external factors makes it possible to capture the effects of changes in trends and volatilities exhibited by default probabilities. Finally, with synchronous jumps, the firm's asset and state processes are no longer uncorrelated.
Download or read book Modeling Credit Risk and Pricing Credit Derivatives written by Martin P. Wolf and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2002-02-17 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The thesis starts with a short description of the credit derivatives' place in the credit risk management. Then it proceeds by outlining the basic forms of credit derivatives, their applications, and their contract elements. A short description of the two common pricing frameworks for credit derivatives, the Firm's Value Models and the Credit Rating Transition Models is given. The major approach reviewed in this thesis is the one of Duffie-Singleton for valuing credit derivatives with term structure models. This framework is also applied in a simulation and examines the importance of the different parameters on the outcome. Also examples for the valuation of Default Digital Swaps and Puts as well as Credit Default Swaps and Puts are given.
Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio
Download or read book Econometrics and Risk Management written by Thomas B. Fomby and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2008-12-01 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covers credit risk and credit derivatives. This book offers several points of view on credit risk when looked at from the perspective of Econometrics and Financial Mathematics. It addresses the challenge of modeling defaults and their correlations, and results on copula, reduced form and structural models, and the top-down approach.
Download or read book Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk written by Mr.Leonardo Martinez and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a modification to a baseline sovereign default framework that allows us to quantify the importance of debt dilution in accounting for the level and volatility of the interest rate spread paid by sovereigns. We measure the effects of debt dilution by comparing the simulations of the baseline model (with debt dilution) with the ones of the modified model without dilution. We calibrate the baseline model to mimic the mean and standard deviation of the spread, as well as the external debt level, the mean debt duration and a measure of default frequency in the data. We find that, even without commitment to future repayment policies and withoutcontingency of sovereign debt, if the sovereign could eliminate debt dilution, the number of default per 100 years decreases from 3.10 to 0.42. The mean spread decreases from 7.38% to 0.57%. The standard deviation of the spread decreases from 2.45 to 0.72. Default risk falls in part because of a reduction of the level of sovereign debt (36% of the face value and of 11% of the market value). But we show that the most important effect of dilution on default risk results from a shift in the set of government's borrowing opportunities. Our analysis is also relevant for the study of other credit markets where the debt dilution problem could be present.
Download or read book Credit Rating Migration Risks in Structure Models written by Jin Liang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Investigating the Sources of Default Risk written by Gurdip Bakshi and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models written by Jing-zhi Huang and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Using Structural Models for Default Prediction written by Gunnar Grass and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I propose a new procedure for extracting probabilities of default from structural credit risk models based on virtual credit spreads (VCS) and implement this approach assuming a simple Merton (1974) model of capital structure. VCS are derived from the increase in the payout to debtholders necessary to offset the impact of an increase in asset variance on the option value of debt and equity. In contrast to real-world credit spreads, VCS do not contain risk premia for default timing and recovery uncertainty, thus yielding a purer estimate of physical default probabilities. Relative to the Merton distance to default (DD) measure, my measure (i) predicts higher credit risk for safe firms and lower credit risk for firms with high volatility and leverage (ii) requires fewer parameter assumptions (iii) clearly outperforms the DD measure when used to predict corporate default.
Download or read book Credit Derivatives Revised Edition written by George Chacko and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2015-12-18 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every company faces credit risk. Credit derivatives are among the most powerful tools available for managing it. Once restricted to the financial industry, they are now widely used by businesses of all kinds—and all financial professionals need to understand them. Credit Derivatives, Revised Edition, explains these tools simply, clearly, and rigorously: what they do, how they work, and how to use them in today’s applications. The authors first show how credit risk can be measured and valued. They explain key ideas, such as recovery rates and credit spreads, and show how derivatives transfer credit risk to external investors. Next, they systematically demonstrate how credit risk models can describe and predict credit risk events. They cover structural models, including Merton and Black and Cox; empirical models, such as the Z-score model; and reduced-form models, such as Jarrow-Turnbull. The authors also present detailed explanations of two widely used instruments: credit default swaps (CDSs) and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). Finally, building on what you’ve learned, the authors offer a brand-new primer on today’s applications for financial instruments with embedded credit risk. FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Perform preliminary financial analysis on any potential project UNDERSTAND, MEASURE, AND ASSESS CREDIT RISK Master core concepts, from credit spreads to default probabilities MASTER POWERFUL CREDIT RISK MODELING APPROACHES Learn structural, empirical, and reduced-form credit risk modeling GAIN DEEP INSIGHT INTO TODAY’S INSTRUMENTS AND APPLICATIONS Understand CDSs, CDOs, and how credit-sensitive products are now used FOR EVERY FINANCIAL PRACTITIONER: BUY-SIDE AND SELL-SIDE For CFOs, treasurers, and other practitioners—everywhere from pension funds to commercial corporations
Download or read book Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis written by Anthony Saunders and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-04-16 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A classic book on credit risk management is updated to reflect the current economic crisis Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis dissects the 2007-2008 credit crisis and provides solutions for professionals looking to better manage risk through modeling and new technology. This book is a complete update to Credit Risk Measurement: New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, reflecting events stemming from the recent credit crisis. Authors Anthony Saunders and Linda Allen address everything from the implications of new regulations to how the new rules will change everyday activity in the finance industry. They also provide techniques for modeling-credit scoring, structural, and reduced form models-while offering sound advice for stress testing credit risk models and when to accept or reject loans. Breaks down the latest credit risk measurement and modeling techniques and simplifies many of the technical and analytical details surrounding them Concentrates on the underlying economics to objectively evaluate new models Includes new chapters on how to prevent another crisis from occurring Understanding credit risk measurement is now more important than ever. Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis will solidify your knowledge of this dynamic discipline.
Download or read book Forecasting Sovereign Default Risk with Merton s Model written by Johan G. Duyvesteyn and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Merton's structural model for sovereigns is proven to be useful to analyze the default risk of a country. We are the first to investigate how fast CDS spreads react to changes in model inputs and outputs. CDS spread changes strongly correlate with exchange rate returns, which are an input to the model. But CDS spread changes on average react with a delay to changes in model outputs such as the distance to default, the default probability and model spreads. Hence contingency claim analysis for sovereigns provides useful predictions for CDS spreads.
Download or read book An Empirical Evaluation of Structural Credit Risk Models written by Nikola A. Tarashev and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates empirically the performance of six structural credit risk models by comparing the probabilities of default (PDs) they deliver to ex post default rates. In contrast to previous studies pursuing similar objectives, the paper employs firm-level data and finds that theory-based PDs tend to match closely the actual level of credit risk and to account for its time path. At the same time, nonmodelled macro variables from the financial and real sides of the economy help to substantially improve the forecasts of default rates. The finding suggests that theory-based PDs fail to fully reflect the dependence of credit risk on the business and credit cycles. Most of the upbeat conclusions regarding the performance of the PDs are due to models with endogenous default. For their part, frameworks that assume exogenous default tend to underpredict credit risk. Three borrower characteristics influence materially the predictions of the models: the leverage ratio; the default recovery rate; and the risk-free rate of return.
