Download or read book A Scenario Dependent Dividend Discount Model written by Richard O. Michaud and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock value is dependent on the market environment. Yet many stock valuation models have fixed, hidden biases that implicitly represent a forecast market scenario and prevent the model from being responsive to top-down investment information. The popular dividend discount model (DDM) is a case in point: The DDM provides a framework for efficient management of bottom-up investment information, but it has inherent biases that cause it consistently to favor high-yield, low price-earnings ratio stocks.An approximate mathematical decomposition of the information coefficient of standard DDM valuations confirms the existence of the yield bias and reveals a second bias - a negative correlation between the model's forecast components - that represents an internal inconsistency and affects performance. The analysis shows, however, that the biases in the model are independent of the underlying discounted cash flow framework. This independence provides an opportunity to create a scenario-dependent dividend discount model, while maintaining reliance on near-term analysts' forecasts for relative valuation.A scenario-dependent generalization of the DDM - the "conditional valuation" or CV-DDM - controls the observed biases. CV-DDM valuations may be explicitly conditioned to reflect an institution's investment philosophy and available top-down investment information. The enhances technology thus eliminates self-defeating inconsistencies, providing a tool for bridging the gap between top-down investment information and bottom-up analysts' forecasts. A more realistic return structure may also lead to an increase in the level of information that can be derived from analysts' forecasts.
Download or read book Statistical Topics and Stochastic Models for Dependent Data with Applications written by Vlad Stefan Barbu and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-11-03 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collective volume authored by leading scientists in the field of stochastic modelling, associated statistical topics and corresponding applications. The main classes of stochastic processes for dependent data investigated throughout this book are Markov, semi-Markov, autoregressive and piecewise deterministic Markov models. The material is divided into three parts corresponding to: (i) Markov and semi-Markov processes, (ii) autoregressive processes and (iii) techniques based on divergence measures and entropies. A special attention is payed to applications in reliability, survival analysis and related fields.
Download or read book Finance s Wrong Turns written by Richard O. Michaud and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-12-16 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a foundational crisis in financial theory and professional investment practice: There is little, if any, credible evidence that active investment strategies and traditional institutional quantitative technologies are able to provide superior risk-adjusted, cost-adjusted return over investment relevant horizons. Economic and financial theory has been in error for more than fifty years and is the fundamental cause of the persistent ineffectiveness of professional asset management. Contemporary sociological and economic theory, agent-based modeling, and an appreciation of the social context for preference theory provides a rational and intuitive framework for understanding financial markets and economic behavior. The author narrates his long-term experience in the use and limitations of traditional tools of quantitative asset management as an institutional asset manager in practice and as a quantitative analyst and strategist on Wall Street. Monte Carlo simulation methods, modern statistical tools, and U.S. patented innovations are introduced to redefine portfolio optimality and procedures for enhanced professional asset management. A new social context for expected utility theory leads to a novel understanding of modern equity markets as a financial intermediary for purchasing power constant time-shift investing uniquely appropriate for meeting investor long-term investment objectives. This book addresses the limitations and indicated resolutions for more useful financial theory and more reliable asset management technology. In the process, it traces the major historical developments of theory and institutional asset management practice and their limitations over the course of the 20th century to the present, including Markowitz and the birth of modern finance, CAPM theory and emergence of institutional quantitative asset management, CAPM and VM theory limitations and ineffective iconic tools and strategies, and innovations in statistical methodologies and financial market theory.
Download or read book Business Periodicals Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 2550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Management of Investments written by Jack Clark Francis and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1993 with total page 840 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This successful investments title has been rewritten for ease and clarity, and is designed to serve as an undergraduate text for courses in investments and finance. This updated edition includes major new investment products and the recent behaviour of financial markets. Theory chapters are now grouped at the end of the book. The international nature of investing is discussed in a number of chapters, and the divergent nature of stock markets in 23 countries is compared and contrasted. The Portfolio Analysis and Capital Market Theory chapters remain comprehensive and there is a unique chapter on taxes and law.
Download or read book Improving Portfolio Performance with Quantitative Models New York April 13 1989 written by Robert D. Arnott and published by Cfa. This book was released on 1989 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Finance written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-05-13 with total page 832 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: FINANCE Financial managers and investment professionals need a solid foundation in finance principles and applications in order to make the best decisions in today's ever-changing financial world. Written by the experienced author team of Frank Fabozzi and Pamela Peterson Drake, Finance examines the essential elements of this discipline and makes them understandable to a wide array of individuals, from seasoned professionals looking to fine-tune their financial skills to newcomers seeking genuine guidance through the dynamic world of finance. Divided into four comprehensive parts, this reliable resource opens with an informative introduction to the basic tools of investing and financing decision-making financial mathematics and financial analysis (Part I). From here, you'll become familiar with the fundamentals of capital market theory, including financial markets, financial intermediaries, and regulators of financial activities (Part II). You'll also gain a better understanding of interest rates, bond and stock valuation, asset pricing theory, and derivative instruments in this section. Part III moves on to detail decision-making within a business enterprise. Topics touched upon here include capital budgeting that is, whether or not to invest in specific long-lived projects and capital structure. Management of current assets and risk management are also addressed. By covering the basics of investment decision-making, Part IV skillfully wraps up this accessible overview of finance. Beginning with the determination of an investment objective, this part proceeds to demonstrate portfolio theory and performance evaluation, and also takes the time to outline techniques for managing equity and bond portfolios as well as discuss the best ways to use derivatives in the portfolio management process. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, Finance puts this field in perspective. And while a lot of ground is covered in this book, this information will help you appreciate and understand the complex financial issues that today's companies and investors constantly face.
Download or read book Investments written by Frederick Amling and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 808 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Managing Investment Portfolios written by Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts and published by Warren Gorham & Lamont. This book was released on 1990 with total page 888 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Optimization written by Stanislav Uryasev and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic programming is the study of procedures for decision making under the presence of uncertainties and risks. Stochastic programming approaches have been successfully used in a number of areas such as energy and production planning, telecommunications, and transportation. Recently, the practical experience gained in stochastic programming has been expanded to a much larger spectrum of applications including financial modeling, risk management, and probabilistic risk analysis. Major topics in this volume include: (1) advances in theory and implementation of stochastic programming algorithms; (2) sensitivity analysis of stochastic systems; (3) stochastic programming applications and other related topics. Audience: Researchers and academies working in optimization, computer modeling, operations research and financial engineering. The book is appropriate as supplementary reading in courses on optimization and financial engineering.
Download or read book Investment Management written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 1999 with total page 874 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The job of planning, implementing, and overseeing the funds of an individual investor or an institution is referred to as investment management. The purpose of this book is to describe the process of investment management.
Download or read book Good Regulation Bad Regulation written by Imad A. Moosa and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-12 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the 2007 2008 global financial crisis, there has been much debate about the role of financial regulation and the causes of financial instability in the industry. Where studies commonly question the value of a regulated rather than free market , this book focuses on the differentiation of 'good regulation' and 'bad regulation'. This book highlights the need for financial regulation to combat corruption, and the integral link that exists between corruption and financial instability. The author evaluates the benefits and shortcomings of specific types of regulation, drawing on recent examples to illustrate each argument. The book presents compelling arguments for the regulation of leverage, liquidity, payday loans and securitisation; and debates the negative aspects of the regulation of short selling, and high-frequency trading, and of Basel-style banking regulation. The author argues that there is no free-market solution to financial instability, and rejects the idea of 'too big to fail'.
Download or read book Valuation Approaches and Metrics written by Aswath Damodaran and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation lies at the heart of much of what we do in finance, whether it is the study of market efficiency and questions about corporate governance or the comparison of different investment decision rules in capital budgeting. In this paper, we consider the theory and evidence on valuation approaches. We begin by surveying the literature on discounted cash flow valuation models, ranging from the first mentions of the dividend discount model to value stocks to the use of excess return models in more recent years. In the second part of the paper, we examine relative valuation models and, in particular, the use of multiples and comparables in valuation and evaluate whether relative valuation models yield more or less precise estimates of value than discounted cash flow models. In the final part of the paper, we set the stage for further research in valuation by noting the estimation challenges we face as companies globalize and become exposed to risk in multiple countries.
Download or read book Achieving the Demographic Dividend in the Arab Republic of Egypt written by Sameh El-Saharty and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2022-09-23 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Arab Republic of Egypt was well on the path to achieving its demographic dividend at the turn of this century but has gone off track due to a reversal in its earlier fertility decline. But what is the demographic dividend? It reflects the economic benefits when a country undergoes a rapid decline in mortality, then fertility, and the consequent demographic transition. Due to lower fertility and fewer children per household, a growing working-age population increases productivity and per capita income, leading to accumulated savings, investments, and economic growth, underscoring the strong link between demographics and economic growth. Fortunately, Egypt has the political will, resources, and capacity to achieve its demographic dividend in the next decade, as this report by a team of Egyptian and World Bank experts shows. It reviews the trends in determinants of the rising total fertility rate, the likely factors that contributed to Egypt’s fertility decline reversal, the government’s initial response, and the sectoral and social drivers that may have influenced this fertility decline reversal. It also assesses the economic impact of the demographic changes, including estimates of forgone savings due to the increased fertility and of potential future gains if the country were to regain and then accelerate its fertility decline. Drawing on global evidence, the report proposes six policy and strategic priorities, complemented by four policy imperatives. These priorities aim to increase the contraceptive prevalence rate (the most important of the six), reduce school dropouts, increase female labor force participation, delay early marriage, leverage social protection programs, and improve governance of the country's population program. The four imperatives aim to assure broad-based socioeconomic development and they include creating productive jobs; investing in and leveraging human capital; enhancing financial inclusion and entrepreneurship, especially for women; and sustaining macroeconomic stability. The president's "Decent Life Initiative" and the "National Project for the Development of the Egyptian Family" can be used as the platform to implement many of the proposed policies and strategies. In such a manner, Egypt will be back on track to achieve its demographic dividend.
Download or read book Corporate Valuation written by Mario Massari and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-08-08 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk consideration is central to more accurate post-crisis valuation Corporate Valuation presents the most up-to-date tools and techniques for more accurate valuation in a highly volatile, globalized, and risky business environment. This insightful guide takes a multidisciplinary approach, considering both accounting and financial principles, with a practical focus that uses case studies and numerical examples to illustrate major concepts. Readers are walked through a map of the valuation approaches proven most effective post-crisis, with explicit guidance toward implementation and enhancement using advanced tools, while exploring new models, techniques, and perspectives on the new meaning of value. Risk centrality and scenario analysis are major themes among the techniques covered, and the companion website provides relevant spreadsheets, models, and instructor materials. Business is now done in a faster, more diverse, more interconnected environment, making valuation an increasingly more complex endeavor. New types of risks and competition are shaping operations and finance, redefining the importance of managing uncertainty as the key to success. This book brings that perspective to bear in valuation, providing new insight, new models, and practical techniques for the modern finance industry. Gain a new understanding of the idea of "value," from both accounting and financial perspectives Learn new valuation models and techniques, including scenario-based valuation, the Monte Carlo analysis, and other advanced tools Understand valuation multiples as adjusted for risk and cycle, and the decomposition of deal multiples Examine the approach to valuation for rights issues and hybrid securities, and more Traditional valuation models are inaccurate in that they hinge on the idea of ensured success and only minor adjustments to forecasts. These rules no longer apply, and accurate valuation demands a shift in the paradigm. Corporate Valuation describes that shift, and how it translates to more accurate methods.
Download or read book The Dark Side of Valuation written by Aswath Damodaran and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2009-06-19 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renowned valuation expert Aswath Damodaran reviews the core tools of valuation, examines today’s most difficult estimation questions and issues, and then systematically addresses the valuation challenges that arise throughout a firm’s lifecycle in The Dark Side of Valuation: Valuing Young, Distressed and Complex Businesses. In this thoroughly revised edition, he broadens his perspective to consider all companies that resist easy valuation, highlighting specific types of hard-to-value firms, including commodity firms, cyclical companies, financial services firms, organizations dependent on intangible assets, and global firms operating diverse businesses. He covers the entire corporate lifecycle, from “idea” and “nascent growth” companies to those in decline and distress, and offers specific guidance for valuing technology, human capital, commodity, and cyclical firms. ·
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
