Download or read book A Model for Pricing Stocks and Bonds with Default Risk written by Harry Mamaysky and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a tractable, dynamic, no-arbitrage model for the pricing of bonds and stocks that are subject to default risk. The model produces the bond pricing equations of the Duffie and Singleton (1999) framework. It is then shown that a particular choice of dividend process, characterized by affine dividend yields, along with the Duffie and Singleton (1999) default specification, produces stock prices that are exponential affine in the model's state variables. Importantly, the model allows for quite general interdependence between the prices of risky debt and equity. This, along with the model's tractability, makes it a natural platform for empirical investigations into the pricing of a firm's capital structure.

Download or read book A Simple Model for Pricing Securities with Equity Interest Rate and Default Risk written by Sanjiv Ranjan Das and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a model for pricing derivative and hybrid securities whose value may depend on different sources of risk, namely, equity, interest-rate, and default risks. In addition to valuing such securities the framework is also useful for extracting probabilities of default (PD) functions from market data. Our model is not based on the stochastic process for the value of the firm [which is unobservable], but on the stochastic process for interest rates and the equity price, which are observable. The model comprises a risk-neutral setting in which the joint process of interest rates and equity are modeled together with the default conditions for security payoffs. The model is embedded on a recombining lattice which makes implementation of the pricing scheme feasible with polynomial complexity. We present a simple approach to calibration of the model to market observable data. The framework is shown to nest many familiar models as special cases. The model is extensible to handling correlated default risk and may be used to value distressed convertible bonds, debt-equity swaps, and credit portfolio products such as CDOs. We present several numerical and calibration examples to demonstrate the applicability and implementation of our approach.

Download or read book Credit Risk Pricing Models written by Bernd Schmid and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-07 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Risk Pricing Models - now in its second edition - gives a deep insight into the latest basic and advanced credit risk modelling techniques covering not only the standard structural, reduced form and hybrid approaches but also showing how these methods can be applied to practice. The text covers a broad range of financial instruments, including all kinds of defaultable fixed and floating rate debt, credit derivatives and collateralised debt obligations.This volume will be a valuable source for the financial community involved in pricing credit linked financial instruments. In addition, the book can be used by students and academics for a comprehensive overview of the most important credit risk modelling issues.

Download or read book The Handbook of Convertible Bonds written by Jan De Spiegeleer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-07 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a complete guide to the pricing and risk management of convertible bond portfolios. Convertible bonds can be complex because they have both equity and debt like features and new market entrants will usually find that they have either a knowledge of fixed income mathematics or of equity derivatives and therefore have no idea how to incorporate credit and equity together into their existing pricing tools. Part I of the book covers the impact that the 2008 credit crunch has had on the markets, it then shows how to build up a convertible bond and introduces the reader to the traditional convertible vocabulary of yield to put, premium, conversion ratio, delta, gamma, vega and parity. The market of stock borrowing and lending will also be covered in detail. Using an intuitive approach based on the Jensen inequality, the authors will also show the advantages of using a hybrid to add value - pre 2008, many investors labelled convertible bonds as 'investing with no downside', there are of course plenty of 2008 examples to prove that they were wrong. The authors then go onto give a complete explanation of the different features that can be embedded in convertible bond. Part II shows readers how to price convertibles. It covers the different parameters used in valuation models: credit spreads, volatility, interest rates and borrow fees and Maturity. Part III covers investment strategies for equity, fixed income and hedge fund investors and includes dynamic hedging and convertible arbitrage. Part IV explains the all important risk management part of the process in detail. This is a highly practical book, all products priced are real world examples and numerical examples are not limited to hypothetical convertibles. It is a must read for anyone wanting to safely get into this highly liquid, high return market.

Download or read book A Simple Unified Model for Pricing Derivative Securities With Equity Interest Rate and Default Risk written by Sanjiv Ranjan Das and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a model for pricing derivative and hybrid securities whose value may depend on different sources of risk, namely, equity, interest-rate, and default risks. In addition to valuing such securities the framework is also useful for extracting probabilities of default (PD) functions from market data. Our model is not based on the stochastic process for the value of the firm [which is unobservable], but on the stochastic process for interest rates and the equity price, which are observable. The model comprises a risk-neutral setting in which the joint process of interest rates and equity are modeled together with the default conditions for security payoffs. The model is embedded on a recombining lattice which makes implementation of the pricing scheme feasible with polynomial complexity. We present a simple approach for calibration of the model to market observable data. The framework is shown to nest many familiar models as special cases. The model is extensible to handling correlated default risk and may be used to value distressed convertible bonds, debt-equity swaps, and credit portfolio products such as CDOs. We present several numerical and calibration examples to demonstrate the applicability and implementation of our approach.

Download or read book Bond Pricing with Default Risk written by Jason C. Hsu and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We price corporate debt from a structural model of firm default. We assume that the capital market brings about efficient firm default when the continuation value of the firm falls below the value it would have after bankruptcy restructuring. This characterization of default makes the model more tractable and parsimonious than the existing structural models. The model can be applied in conjunction with a broad range of default-free interest rate models to price corporate bonds. Closed-form corporate bond prices are derived for various parametric examples. The term structures of yield spreads and durations predicted by our model are consistent with the empirical literature. We illustrate the empirical performance of the model by pricing selected corporate bonds with varied credit ratings.

Download or read book Popularity A Bridge between Classical and Behavioral Finance written by Roger G. Ibbotson and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2018 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Classical and behavioral finance are often seen as being at odds, but the idea of “popularity” has been introduced as a way of reconciling the two approaches. Investors like or dislike various characteristics of securities for rational reasons (as in classical finance) or irrational reasons (as in behavioral finance), which makes the assets popular or unpopular. In the capital markets, popular (unpopular) securities trade at prices that are higher (lower) than they would be otherwise; hence, the shares may provide lower (higher) expected returns.This book builds on this idea and expands it in two major ways. First, it introduces a rigorous asset pricing model, the popularity asset pricing model (PAPM), which adds investor preferences for security characteristics other than the risk and expected return that are part of the capital asset pricing model. A major conclusion of the PAPM is that the expected return of any security is a linear function of not only its systematic risk (beta) but also of all security characteristics that investors care about. The other major contribution of the book is new empirical work that, while confirming the well-known premiums (such as size, value, and liquidity) in a popularity context, supports the popularity hypothesis on the basis of portfolios of stocks based on such characteristics as brand value, sustainable competitive advantage, and reputation. Popularity unifies the factors that affect price in classical finance with those that drive price in behavioral finance, thus creating a unifying theory or bridge between classical and behavioral finance.

Download or read book A Simple Model for Pricing Derivative Securities with Equity Interest Rate Default and Liquidity Risk written by Sanjiv Ranjan Das and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a model for pricing securities that may be a function of several different sources of risk, namely, equity, interest-rate, default and liquidity risks. The model is also useful for extracting probabilities of default (PDs) in a model with equity, interest rate and credit risk. The model is not based on the stochastic process for the value of the firm, but on the stochastic process for interest rates and the equity price, which are observable. The model comprises two components. First, a risk-neutral setting in which the joint process of interest rates and equity are modelled together with the boundary conditions for security payoffs. Second, the model is embedded on a recombining lattice generated using an approximation technique. This makes implementation of the pricing scheme feasible with polynomial complexity. We present a simple approach to calibration of the model to market observable data. The model is extensible to handling correlated default risk and may be used to value distressed convertible bonds, debt-equity swaps, and credit portfolio products such as CDOs.

Download or read book Pricing Bonds and Bond Options Under Default Risk written by Emilio Barone and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pricing of bonds and bond options with default risk is analyzed in the general equilibrium model of Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (1985). This model is extended by means of an additional parameter in order to deal with financial and credit risk simultaneously. The estimation of such a parameter, which can be considered as the market equivalent of an agencies' bond rating, allows to extract from current quotes the market perceptions of firm's credit risk. The general pricing model for defaultable zero-coupon bond is first derived in a simple discrete-time setting and then in continuous-time. The availability of an integrated model allows for the pricing of default-free options written on defaultable bonds and of vulnerable options written either on default-free bonds or defaultable bonds. A comparison between our results and those given by Jarrow and Turnbull (1995) is also presented.

Download or read book On the Pricing of Risky Corporate Debt written by Jerome Switzer Fons and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio

Download or read book Stock Market Anomalies written by Elroy Dimson and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1988-03-17 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling written by Thomas S. Y. Ho and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2004-01-15 with total page 762 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essential premise of this book is that theory and practice are equally important in describing financial modeling. In it the authors try to strike a balance in their discussions between theories that provide foundations for financial models and the institutional details that provide the context for applications of the models. The book presents the financial models of stock and bond options, exotic options, investment grade and high-yield bonds, convertible bonds, mortgage-backed securities, liabilities of financial institutions--the business model and the corporate model. It also describes the applications of the models to corporate finance. Furthermore, it relates the models to financial statements, risk management for an enterprise, and asset/liability management with illiquid instruments. The financial models are progressively presented from option pricing in the securities markets to firm valuation in corporate finance, following a format to emphasize the three aspects of a model: the set of assumptions, the model specification, and the model applications. Generally, financial modeling books segment the world of finance as "investments," "financial institutions," "corporate finance," and "securities analysis," and in so doing they rarely emphasize the relationships between the subjects. This unique book successfully ties the thought processes and applications of the financial models together and describes them as one process that provides business solutions. Created as a companion website to the book readers can visit www.thomasho.com to gain deeper understanding of the book's financial models. Interested readers can build and test the models described in the book using Excel, and they can submit their models to the site. Readers can also use the site's forum to discuss the models and can browse server based models to gain insights into the applications of the models. For those using the book in meetings or class settings the site provides Power Point descriptions of the chapters. Students can use available question banks on the chapters for studying.

Download or read book Default Risk and the Pricing of U S Sovereign Bonds written by Robert F. Dittmar and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States Treasury securities are traditionally viewed in academics and practice as being free of default risk. In principle, nominal outstanding Treasury debt can always be repaid by issuing fiat currency. The same does not hold true, however, for inflation-indexed debt. This leads the latter to embed lower rate of recovery in case of default. We examine the relative pricing of nominal and inflation-indexed debt in the presence of risk of default. We show empirically that the breakeven inflation between nominal Treasury securities and TIPS is significantly related to the premium paid on U.S. credit default swaps (CDS), controlling for measures of liquidity and slow-moving capital. This evidence motivates us to model the prices of nominal and inflation-protected securities in a no-arbitrage setting. Our model shows that breakeven inflation is related to perceptions of differing rates of recovery in the two markets. The estimated model provides evidence that most of the TIPS mispricing after the crisis can be attributed to the exposure to default risk.

Download or read book Takeover Risk and the Correlation Between Stocks and Bonds written by Karan Bhanot and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Existing research suggests that, for a given firm, stock returns and changes in bond spreads are negatively related. In this paper, we show how takeover risk influences this relation. Based on a large sample of data covering the period from 1980 to 2000, we find that high-rated firms which are likely to be taken over have a more positive correlation between stock returns and bond spread changes, while target firms with a poison put or an indebtedness covenant have a more negative correlation. Overall, our findings have implications for the pricing and hedging of bonds and default risk based financial products such as credit default swaps.

Download or read book Valuing Convertible Bonds with Stock Price Volatility Interest Rate and Default Risk written by Pavlo Kovalov and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a computational framework to value convertible bonds in general multi-factor Markovian models with credit risk. We show that the convertible bond value function satisfies a variational inequality formulation of the stochastic game between the bondholder and the issuer. We approximate the variational inequality by a penalized nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE). We solve the penalized PDE formulation numerically by applying a finite element spatial discretization and an adaptive time integrator. To provide specific examples, we value and study convertible bonds in affine, as well as nonaffine, models with four risk factors, including stochastic interest rate, stock price, volatility, and default intensity.

Download or read book Two Essays in Asset pricing written by Alexey Petkevich and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Past research documents a positive link between momentum and firm-level default risk, yet this anomaly is not connected to default risk at the macro level. Namely, there is no documented momentum during recessions, when default is higher on average. In the first essay, "Momentum and Aggregate Default Risk," we attempt to resolve this puzzle by analyzing momentum pro ts over time, conditional on both business cycles and unexpected changes in aggregate default risk. First, we show that momentum is driven by shocks to aggregate default, rather than general economic conditions such as expansions and recessions. Using the Fama and MacBeth procedure, we find that a conditional default shock factor is priced and can explain a large portion of the total momentum returns. Second, we provide a risk-based explanation for this anomaly by linking the returns of momentum portfolios to shareholder recovery during financial distress. We find that losers have higher recovery (i.e., shareholders have high bargaining power) on average, and, as a result, have relatively lower risk in high default states of the world. Therefore, loser stocks have a lower risk premium and lower expected returns in worsening aggregate default conditions, leading to the observed momentum. This effect is more pronounced among stocks of firms with low credit ratings. Our results help to reconcile the seemingly contradictory evidence documented by previous studies and o er a rational explanation for the momentum anomaly. In the second essay, "Sources of Momentum in Bonds," we study the relationship between momentum in bond returns and aggregate default. We document that momentum in corporate bonds occurs mainly during periods of high default shocks and is driven by losers. Supporting this result, we find that conditional default risk is priced in the cross-section of corporate bond portfolios. Motivated by these findings, we develop a theoretical model connecting bond momentum returns to the ability of bondholders to recover value in financial distress. Specifically, we find that losers have relatively higher recovery potential and, therefore, become less risky when high default shocks occur. Thus, losers have lower expected returns in high default shocks, leading to the observed conditional momentum. Further, US government bonds, with default risk approaching zero, feature no momentum, however this anomaly prevails in sovereign bonds with positive default risk, consistent with our main results.