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Book A Debt Overhang Model for Low Income Countries

Download or read book A Debt Overhang Model for Low Income Countries written by Junko Koeda and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-10 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper presents a theoretical model to explain how debt overhang is generated in low-income countries and discusses its implications for debt relief. The paper indicates that the extent of debt overhang, and the effectiveness of debt relief, would depend on a recipient country's initial economic conditions and level of total factor productivity.

Book IMF Working Papers

Download or read book IMF Working Papers written by Junko Koeda and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Can Debt Relief Boost Growth in Poor Countries

Download or read book Can Debt Relief Boost Growth in Poor Countries written by Benedict J. Clements and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative, launched in 1999 by the IMF and the World Bank, was the first coordinated effort by the international financial community to reduce the foreign debt of the world’s poorest countries. It was based on the theory that economic growth in heavily indebted poor countries was being stifled by heavy debt burdens, making it virtually impossible for these countries to escape poverty. However, most of the empirical research on the effects of debt on growth has lumped together a diverse group of countries, and the literature on the countries’ impact of debt on poor is scant. This pamphlet presents the findings of the authors’ empirical research into the subject, analyzing the channels through which debt affects growth in low-income countries.

Book An Analysis of External Debt and Capital Flight in the Severely Indebted Low Income Countries in Sub Saharan Africa

Download or read book An Analysis of External Debt and Capital Flight in the Severely Indebted Low Income Countries in Sub Saharan Africa written by Mr.Simeon Inidayo Ajayi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-06-01 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The general objective of this study is to analyze the external debt and debt burdens of the severely indebted sub-Saharan African countries, estimate the magnitude of capital flight from them, and relate the estimate of capital flight to some macroeconomic aggregates. The study also contains policy implications of international efforts to deal with the high levels of external debt in sub-Saharan Africa in conditions of extreme poverty, and stagnant and declining exports. It questions the theoretical foundation in which the external debt strategy has been based and offers solutions to the external debt problem.

Book Analytical Aspects of the Debt Problems of Heavily Indebted Poor Countries

Download or read book Analytical Aspects of the Debt Problems of Heavily Indebted Poor Countries written by Stijn Claessens and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1996 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book External Debt  Public Investment  and Growth in Low income Countries

Download or read book External Debt Public Investment and Growth in Low income Countries written by Benedict J. Clements and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Debt Overhang or Debt Irrelevance  Revisiting the Debt Growth Link

Download or read book Debt Overhang or Debt Irrelevance Revisiting the Debt Growth Link written by Marta Ruiz-Arranz and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2005-12-01 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs) suffer from a debt overhang? Is debt relief going to improve their growth rates? To answer these important questions, we look at how the debt-growth relationship varies with indebtedness levels and other country characteristics in a panel of developing countries. Our findings suggest that there is a negative marginal relationship between debt and growth at intermediate levels of debt, but not at very low debt levels, below the “debt overhang” threshold, or at very high levels, above the “debt irrelevance” threshold. Countries with good policies and institutions face overhang when debt rises above 15-30 percent of GDP, but the marginal effect of debt on growth becomes irrelevant above 70-80 percent. In countries with bad policies and institutions, overhang and irrelevance thresholds seem to be lower, but we cannot rule out the possibility that debt does not matter at all.

Book External Finance for Low income Countries

Download or read book External Finance for Low income Countries written by IMF Institute and published by Fonds Monetaire International. This book was released on 1997 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: La conferencia se enfoco en el impacto de la deuda externa en paises de bajo ingreso, particularmente los paises pobres, pasos que se toman para tratar los problemas de la deuda y los flujos de capital privado. Este volumen reune las ponencias de estudiosos de universidades y de organizaciones de investigacion internacional y los miembros del Fondo y el Banco Mundial.

Book The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low Income Countries

Download or read book The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low Income Countries written by Mr.Ales Bulir and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-07-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show that excessive debt accumulation is consistent with an anticipation of a future debt relief. Simulations of the calibrated model using 1982-2006 Ugandan data suggest that debt-relief episodes are likely to have only a temporary impact on the level of debt in low-income countries, while being associated with more consumption and less invesment. The long-run debt-to-GDP ratio is estimated to be about twice as high with debt relief than without it.

Book The overhang hangover

Download or read book The overhang hangover written by Jean Imbs and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The authors revisit the debt overhang question. They first use nonparametric techniques to isolate a panel of countries on the downward sloping section of a debt Laffer Curve. In particular, overhang countries are ones where a threshold level of debt is reached in sample, beyond which (initial) debt ends up lowering (subsequent) growth. On average, significantly negative coefficients appear when debt face value reaches 60 percent of GDP or 200 percent of exports, and when its present value reaches 40 percent of GDP or 140 percent of exports. Second, the authors depart from reduced form growth regressions and perform direct tests of the theory on the thus selected sample of overhang countries. In the spirit of event studies, they ask whether, as the overhang level of debt is reached: (1) investment falls precipitously as it should when it becomes optimal to default; (2) economic policy deteriorates observably, as it should when debt contracts become unable to elicit effort on the part of the debtor; and (3) the terms of borrowing worsen noticeably, as they should when it becomes optimal for creditors to preempt default and exact punitive interest rates. The authors find a systematic response of investment, particularly when property rights are weakly enforced, some worsening of the policy environment, and a fall in interest rates. This easing of borrowing conditions happens because lending by the private sector virtually disappears in overhang situations, and multilateral agencies step in with concessional rates. Thus, while debt relief is likely to improve economic policy (and especially investment) in overhang countries, it is doubtful that it would ease their terms of borrowing or the burden of debt. "--World Bank web site.

Book Dealing with the Debt Crisis

Download or read book Dealing with the Debt Crisis written by Ishrat Husain and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The debt crisis in perspective; Debt management in the late 1980s; Debt reduction and recontracting.

Book Estimating the Efficiency Gains of Debt Restructuring

Download or read book Estimating the Efficiency Gains of Debt Restructuring written by Jeremy Bulow and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1994 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The debt- overhang disincentive may not be as important as the broader problem of debtors' credit constraints in international capital markets. For severely indebted low- income countries, the best strategy is probably to replace nonconcessional debt with new concessional loans.

Book Debt Relief for Poor Countries

Download or read book Debt Relief for Poor Countries written by T. Addison and published by Springer. This book was released on 2004-06-11 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After a massive international campaign calling attention to the development impact of foreign debt, the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative is now underway. But will the HIPC Initiative meet its high expectations? Will debt relief substantially raise growth? How do we make sure that debt relief benefits poor people? And how can we ensure that poor countries do not become highly indebted again? These are some of the key policy issues covered in this rigorous and independent analysis of debt, development, and poverty.

Book Analytical Aspects of the Debt Problems of Heavily Indebted Poor Countries

Download or read book Analytical Aspects of the Debt Problems of Heavily Indebted Poor Countries written by Ravi Kanbur and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A group of heavily indebted low-income countries (HIPCs), most in Sub-Saharan Africa, has continued to experience external debt problems. Because the HIPCs' economic characteristics and external imbalances are very different from those of middle-income countries, the analysis of debt problems and debt-reduction must be modified and complemented in important ways. Therefore, the authors revisit the methodological issues underlying debt sustainability analysis, as well as theory and empirical evidence on how large debts affect economic performance. Their main question is: Should consideration be given to more upfront debt reduction for HIPCs, over and above that provided under current mechanisms, or should debts continue to be refinanced, subject to conditionality? Ongoing refinancing with conditionality reduces moral hazard and gives countries an incentive to maintain good policies. However, this approach entails transition costs, can create uncertainty, may lack credibility, and can impede local ownership of reform programs. Upfront debt reduction can create moral hazard problems and may weaken the incentives for maintaining sound policy. There are theoretical arguments about why a high level of debt can impede investment and policy reform. Although empirical evidence concerning the hypothesis that HIPCs suffer significant adverse effects from their large debt overhang is inconclusive, evidence from middle-income countries suggests that debt reduction can benefit an economy if the policy environment is right. Whether there should be further debt reduction for specific heavily indebted low-income countries depends on the facts for each case and requires quantitative analysis of data about different forces at play in the countries involved.

Book Can Debt Relief Boost Growth in Poor Countries

Download or read book Can Debt Relief Boost Growth in Poor Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-09-09 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative, launched in 1999 by the IMF and the World Bank, was the first coordinated effort by the international financial community to reduce the foreign debt of the world’s poorest countries. It was based on the theory that economic growth in heavily indebted poor countries was being stifled by heavy debt burdens, making it virtually impossible for these countries to escape poverty. However, most of the empirical research on the effects of debt on growth has lumped together a diverse group of countries, and the literature on the countries’ impact of debt on poor is scant. This pamphlet presents the findings of the authors’ empirical research into the subject, analyzing the channels through which debt affects growth in low-income countries.

Book Analytical Aspects of the Debt Problems of Heavily Indebted Poor Countries

Download or read book Analytical Aspects of the Debt Problems of Heavily Indebted Poor Countries written by S. M. Ravi Kanbur and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: June 1996 A group of heavily indebted low-income countries (HIPCs), most in Sub-Saharan Africa, has continued to experience external debt problems. Because the HIPCs' economic characteristics and external imbalances are very different from those of middle-income countries, the analysis of debt problems and debt-reduction must be modified and complemented in important ways. Therefore, the authors revisit the methodological issues underlying debt sustainability analysis, as well as theory and empirical evidence on how large debts affect economic performance. Their main question is: Should consideration be given to more upfront debt reduction for HIPCs, over and above that provided under current mechanisms, or should debts continue to be refinanced, subject to conditionality? Ongoing refinancing with conditionality reduces moral hazard and gives countries an incentive to maintain good policies. However, this approach entails transition costs, can create uncertainty, may lack credibility, and can impede local ownership of reform programs. Upfront debt reduction can create moral hazard problems and may weaken the incentives for maintaining sound policy. There are theoretical arguments about why a high level of debt can impede investment and policy reform. Although empirical evidence concerning the hypothesis that HIPCs suffer significant adverse effects from their large debt overhang is inconclusive, evidence from middle-income countries suggests that debt reduction can benefit an economy if the policy environment is right. Whether there should be further debt reduction for specific heavily indebted low-income countries depends on the facts for each case and requires quantitative analysis of data about different forces at play in the countries involved.

Book Debt Management for Development

Download or read book Debt Management for Development written by Kunibert Raffer and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book exposes intolerable global double standards in the treatment of debtors and argues that fairness, economic efficiency and principles common to all civilized legal systems, must and can be applied to so-called 'developing countries', or Southern sovereign debtors.