Download or read book Statistical Foundations of Actuarial Learning and its Applications written by Mario V. Wüthrich and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-22 with total page 611 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book discusses the statistical modeling of insurance problems, a process which comprises data collection, data analysis and statistical model building to forecast insured events that may happen in the future. It presents the mathematical foundations behind these fundamental statistical concepts and how they can be applied in daily actuarial practice. Statistical modeling has a wide range of applications, and, depending on the application, the theoretical aspects may be weighted differently: here the main focus is on prediction rather than explanation. Starting with a presentation of state-of-the-art actuarial models, such as generalized linear models, the book then dives into modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and text recognition to improve predictive modeling with complex features. Providing practitioners with detailed guidance on how to apply machine learning methods to real-world data sets, and how to interpret the results without losing sight of the mathematical assumptions on which these methods are based, the book can serve as a modern basis for an actuarial education syllabus.
Download or read book Impacts of Generative AI on the Future of Research and Education written by Mutawa, Abdullah and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2024-10-09 with total page 622 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) models, has become one of the most influential and transformative technologies of the 21st century. They have shown immense potential to revolutionize research and education by enabling more efficient data analysis, generating high-quality content, and facilitating personalized learning experiences. As AI continues to evolve, its integration into these fields promises to enhance productivity, foster innovation, and democratize access to knowledge on a global scale. Impacts of Generative AI on the Future of Research and Education provides an in-depth understanding of the implication of AI and GPT in the context of research and education. It comprehensively analyzes the potential, challenges, and ethical considerations of AI integration in these sectors. Covering topics such as academic integrity, ethics, and special education, this book is an excellent resource for educators, researchers, academicians, policymakers, administrators, and more.
Download or read book Non Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models written by Esbjörn Ohlsson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-03-18 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Non-life insurance pricing is the art of setting the price of an insurance policy, taking into consideration varoius properties of the insured object and the policy holder. Introduced by British actuaries generalized linear models (GLMs) have become today a the standard aproach for tariff analysis. The book focuses on methods based on GLMs that have been found useful in actuarial practice and provides a set of tools for a tariff analysis. Basic theory of GLMs in a tariff analysis setting is presented with useful extensions of standarde GLM theory that are not in common use. The book meets the European Core Syllabus for actuarial education and is written for actuarial students as well as practicing actuaries. To support reader real data of some complexity are provided at www.math.su.se/GLMbook.
Download or read book Index to IEEE Publications written by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 1316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues for 1973- cover the entire IEEE technical literature.
Download or read book Interpretable Machine Learning written by Christoph Molnar and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2020 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about making machine learning models and their decisions interpretable. After exploring the concepts of interpretability, you will learn about simple, interpretable models such as decision trees, decision rules and linear regression. Later chapters focus on general model-agnostic methods for interpreting black box models like feature importance and accumulated local effects and explaining individual predictions with Shapley values and LIME. All interpretation methods are explained in depth and discussed critically. How do they work under the hood? What are their strengths and weaknesses? How can their outputs be interpreted? This book will enable you to select and correctly apply the interpretation method that is most suitable for your machine learning project.
Download or read book Applied Predictive Modeling written by Max Kuhn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-05-17 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.
Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.
Download or read book Handbook of Statistical Methods for Precision Medicine written by Eric Laber and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-10-23 with total page 482 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The statistical study and development of analytic methodology for individualization of treatments is no longer in its infancy. Many methods of study design, estimation, and inference exist, and the tools available to the analyst are ever growing. This handbook introduces the foundations of modern statistical approaches to precision medicine, bridging key ideas to active lines of current research in precision medicine. The contributions in this handbook vary in their level of assumed statistical knowledge; all contributions are accessible to a wide readership of statisticians and computer scientists including graduate students and new researchers in the area. Many contributions, particularly those that are more comprehensive reviews, are suitable for epidemiologists and clinical researchers with some statistical training. The handbook is split into three sections: Study Design for Precision Medicine, Estimation of Optimal Treatment Strategies, and Precision Medicine in High Dimensions. The first focuses on designed experiments, in many instances, building and extending on the notion of sequential multiple assignment randomized trials. Dose finding and simulation-based designs using agent-based modelling are also featured. The second section contains both introductory contributions and more advanced methods, suitable for estimating optimal adaptive treatment strategies from a variety of data sources including non-experimental (observational) studies. The final section turns to estimation in the many-covariate setting, providing approaches suitable to the challenges posed by electronic health records, wearable devices, or any other settings where the number of possible variables (whether confounders, tailoring variables, or other) is high. Together, these three sections bring together some of the foremost leaders in the field of precision medicine, offering new insights and ideas as this field moves towards its third decade.
Download or read book Health Insurance Handbook written by Hong Wang and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2012-01-18 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many countries that subscribe to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) have committed to ensuring access to basic health services for their citizens. Health insurance has been considered and promoted as the major financing mechanism to improve access to health services, as well to provide financial risk protection.
Download or read book Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning written by Christopher M. Bishop and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-08-23 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first textbook on pattern recognition to present the Bayesian viewpoint. The book presents approximate inference algorithms that permit fast approximate answers in situations where exact answers are not feasible. It uses graphical models to describe probability distributions when no other books apply graphical models to machine learning. No previous knowledge of pattern recognition or machine learning concepts is assumed. Familiarity with multivariate calculus and basic linear algebra is required, and some experience in the use of probabilities would be helpful though not essential as the book includes a self-contained introduction to basic probability theory.
Download or read book Intelligent and Other Computational Techniques in Insurance written by L. C. Jain and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2003 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents recent advances in the theory and implementation of intelligent and other computational techniques in the insurance industry. The paradigms covered encompass artificial neural networks and fuzzy systems, including clustering versions, optimization and resampling methods, algebraic and Bayesian models, decision trees and regression splines. Thus, the focus is not just on intelligent techniques, although these constitute a major component; the book also deals with other current computational paradigms that are likely to impact on the industry. The application areas include asset allocation, asset and liability management, cash-flow analysis, claim costs, classification, fraud detection, insolvency, investments, loss distributions, marketing, pricing and premiums, rate-making, retention, survival analysis, and underwriting. Contents: Insurance Applications of Neural Networks, Fuzzy Logic, and Genetic Algorithms; Practical Applications of Neural Networks in Property and Casualty Insurance; An Integrated Data Mining Approach to Premium Pricing for the Automobile Insurance Industry; Population Risk Management: Reducing Costs and Managing Risk in Health Insurance; Using Neural Networks to Predict in the Marketplace; Merging Soft Computing Technologies in Insurance-Related Applications; Robustness in Bayesian Models for BonusOCoMalus Systems; Using Data Mining for Modeling Insurance Risk and Comparison of Data Mining and Linear Modeling Approaches; System Intelligence and Active Stock Trading; The Algebra of Cash Flows: Theory and Application; and other papers. Readership: Graduate students, academics, researchers and practitioners involved with actuarial science, insurance, statistics and management science."
Download or read book Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries II written by Michel Denuit and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-16 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book summarizes the state of the art in tree-based methods for insurance: regression trees, random forests and boosting methods. It also exhibits the tools which make it possible to assess the predictive performance of tree-based models. Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and numerical illustrations or case studies. All numerical illustrations are performed with the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. In particular, master's students in actuarial sciences and actuaries wishing to update their skills in machine learning will find the book useful. This is the second of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance.
Download or read book Statistics of Extremes written by Jan Beirlant and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-03-17 with total page 522 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research in the statistical analysis of extreme values has flourished over the past decade: new probability models, inference and data analysis techniques have been introduced; and new application areas have been explored. Statistics of Extremes comprehensively covers a wide range of models and application areas, including risk and insurance: a major area of interest and relevance to extreme value theory. Case studies are introduced providing a good balance of theory and application of each model discussed, incorporating many illustrated examples and plots of data. The last part of the book covers some interesting advanced topics, including time series, regression, multivariate and Bayesian modelling of extremes, the use of which has huge potential.
Download or read book Mixture Models written by Bruce G. Lindsay and published by IMS. This book was released on 1995 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Machine Learning in Insurance written by Jens Perch Nielsen and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-02 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Machine learning is a relatively new field, without a unanimous definition. In many ways, actuaries have been machine learners. In both pricing and reserving, but also more recently in capital modelling, actuaries have combined statistical methodology with a deep understanding of the problem at hand and how any solution may affect the company and its customers. One aspect that has, perhaps, not been so well developed among actuaries is validation. Discussions among actuaries’ “preferred methods” were often without solid scientific arguments, including validation of the case at hand. Through this collection, we aim to promote a good practice of machine learning in insurance, considering the following three key issues: a) who is the client, or sponsor, or otherwise interested real-life target of the study? b) The reason for working with a particular data set and a clarification of the available extra knowledge, that we also call prior knowledge, besides the data set alone. c) A mathematical statistical argument for the validation procedure.
Download or read book Introduction to Machine Learning written by Ethem Alpaydin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2014-08-22 with total page 639 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction -- Supervised learning -- Bayesian decision theory -- Parametric methods -- Multivariate methods -- Dimensionality reduction -- Clustering -- Nonparametric methods -- Decision trees -- Linear discrimination -- Multilayer perceptrons -- Local models -- Kernel machines -- Graphical models -- Brief contents -- Hidden markov models -- Bayesian estimation -- Combining multiple learners -- Reinforcement learning -- Design and analysis of machine learning experiments.
Download or read book Introduction to Information Retrieval written by Christopher D. Manning and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-07-07 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Class-tested and coherent, this textbook teaches classical and web information retrieval, including web search and the related areas of text classification and text clustering from basic concepts. It gives an up-to-date treatment of all aspects of the design and implementation of systems for gathering, indexing, and searching documents; methods for evaluating systems; and an introduction to the use of machine learning methods on text collections. All the important ideas are explained using examples and figures, making it perfect for introductory courses in information retrieval for advanced undergraduates and graduate students in computer science. Based on feedback from extensive classroom experience, the book has been carefully structured in order to make teaching more natural and effective. Slides and additional exercises (with solutions for lecturers) are also available through the book's supporting website to help course instructors prepare their lectures.
