Download or read book A Chance for Possibility written by Alexander Steinberg and published by Walter de Gruyter. This book was released on 2013-10-30 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Chance for Possibility defends the view that the objective modal realm is tripartite: truths about possible worlds supervene on modal truths, which in turn supervene on truths about objective chances. An understanding of supervenience in terms of grounding is developed which — unlike the standard modal characterization — allows the question of what modal truths supervene on to have a non-trivial answer. Relying on this understanding, a negative result is established: modal truths do not supervene on truths about possible worlds, whether possible worlds are conceived of as Lewisian concreta or as abstract objects of some kind. Instead, a conception of pleonastic possible worlds is developed that reverses the direction of supervenience. On the basis of linguistic considerations concerning our use of natural language ‘might’ and ‘might have’ sentences, Steinberg finally argues that truths about objective chances are able to provide a supervenience base for modal truths. A Chance for Possibility is an investigation in analytic metaphysics, drawing on related work in the philosophy of logic and language as well as linguistics. It provides a detailed case study for the fruitful use of a notion of grounding in the clarification and evaluation of longstanding philosophical issues.

Download or read book A Philosophical Guide to Chance written by Toby Handfield and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-04-05 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is a commonplace that scientific inquiry makes extensive use of probabilities, many of which seem to be objective chances, describing features of reality that are independent of our minds. Such chances appear to have a number of paradoxical or puzzling features: they appear to be mind-independent facts, but they are intimately connected with rational psychology; they display a temporal asymmetry, but they are supposed to be grounded in physical laws that are time-symmetric; and chances are used to explain and predict frequencies of events, although they cannot be reduced to those frequencies. This book offers an accessible and non-technical introduction to these and other puzzles. Toby Handfield engages with traditional metaphysics and philosophy of science, drawing upon recent work in the foundations of quantum mechanics and thermodynamics to provide a novel account of objective probability that is empirically informed without requiring specialist scientific knowledge.

Download or read book Taking Chances written by John Haigh and published by Winning with Probability. This book was released on 2003 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "What are the odds against winning the Lotto, The Weakest Link, or Who Wants to be a Millionaire? The answer lies in the science of probability, yet many of us are unaware of how this science works. Every day, people make judgements on a wide variety of situations where chance plays a role, including buying insurance, betting on horse-racing, following medical advice - even carrying an umbrella. In Taking Chances, John Haigh guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better-informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on top television shows, plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers."--BOOK JACKET.

Download or read book The Art of Possibility written by Rosamund Stone Zander and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In their playing you hear not only precision, color and balance, but thunder, lightning and the language of the heart. This is what the Boston Globe said about a performance by conductor Benjamin Zander with the Boston Philharmonic Orchestra, but it could apply equally to the Zanders' inspirational book, the product of a synthesis of the diverse worlds of the symphony orchestra and cutting-edge psychology. The Art of Possibility offers a set of breakthrough practices for creativity in all human enterprises. Infused with the energy of their dynamic partnership, the book joins together Ben's extraordinary talent as a mover and shaker, teacher, and communicator, with Rosamund Stone Zander's genius for creating innovative paradigms for personal and professional fulfillment. In lively counterpoint, the authors provide us with a deep sense of the powerful role that the notion of possibility can play in every aspect of our lives. The Zanders' deceptively simple practices are based on two premises: that life is composed as a story ("it's all invented") and that, with new definitions, much more is possible than people ordinarily think. The book shifts our perspective with uplifting stories, parables, and anecdotes from the authors' personal experiences as well as from famous and everyday heroes. From "Giving an A," to the mysterious "Rule Number 6," to "Leading from Any Chair"-the account of Ben's stunning realization that the conductor/leader's power is directly linked to how much greatness he is willing to grant to others-each practice offers an opportunity for personal and organizational transformation. The Art of Possibility provides a life-altering approach to fulfilling dreams large and small. The Zanders invite us all to become passionate communicators, leaders, and performers whose lives radiate possibility into the world. Rosamund Stone Zander is a family therapist and a landscape painter. Benjamin Zander is the conductor of the Boston Philharmonic Orchestra and a professor at the New England Conservatory of Music. Based on the principles developed through the authors' unique partnership, Mr. Zander gives presentations to managers and executives around the world and Ms. Zander conducts workshops for organizations on practicing the art of possibility.

Download or read book Chambers s Encyclopaedia written by and published by . This book was released on 1889 with total page 792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Stolen Chances written by Elisabeth Naughton and published by Elisabeth Naughton Publishing LLC. This book was released on 2012-01-19 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From New York Times and USA Today Bestselling Author Elisabeth Naughton, the fourth book in her sexy, heart pounding Stolen Series. Even second chances can be stolen… Archaeologist Maren Hudson lost everything when a member of her team was killed during a routine dive. Nine years later she’s rebuilt her life, but a secret from her past forces her back into the career she left behind. Salvage expert Thad Leighton has been in an emotional void since his brother’s murder, but when the opportunity for revenge arises, he can’t say no. Especially since it means being reunited with the one woman he’s never been able to forget. Passion sparks between Maren and Thad as they work the dig together in Mexico. But when Thad uncovers Maren’s secret, the second chance they both thought they’d found is suddenly in jeopardy. Because Thad will have to choose between the vengeance that’s driven him all these years, or a love that has the power to heal them both. "Loved. Loved. Loved. Best in the series!”—Love Affair with an EReader Books in the Stolen Series: STOLEN FURY - Book 1 STOLEN HEAT - Book 2 STOLEN SEDUCTION - Book 3 ​STOLEN CHANCES - Book 4

Download or read book English Synonyms Explained written by George Crabb and published by . This book was released on 1893 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Philosophical Foundations of Probability Theory written by Roy Weatherford and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-06-01 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1982, Philosophical Foundations of Probability Theory starts with the uses we make of the concept in everyday life and then examines the rival theories that seek to account for these applications. It offers a critical exposition of the major philosophical theories of probability, with special attention given to the metaphysical and epistemological assumptions and implications of each. The Classical Theory suggests probability is simply the ratio of favorable cases to all equi-possible cases: it is this theory that is relied on by gamblers and by most non-specialists. The A Priori Theory, on the other hand, describes probability as a logical relation between statements based on evidence. The Relative Frequency theories locate it not in logic but among empirical rates of occurrence in the real world, while the Subjectivist Theory identifies probability with the degree of a person’s belief in a proposition. Each of these types of theory is examined in turn, and the treatment is unified by the use of running examples and parallel analyses of each theory. The final chapter includes a summary and the author’s conclusions. This book is an essential read for scholars and researchers of Philosophy.

Download or read book A History of Inverse Probability written by Andrew I. Dale and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-09-08 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a history of the use of Bayes theoremfrom its discovery by Thomas Bayes to the rise of the statistical competitors in the first part of the twentieth century. The book focuses particularly on the development of one of the fundamental aspects of Bayesian statistics, and in this new edition readers will find new sections on contributors to the theory. In addition, this edition includes amplified discussion of relevant work.

Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Modeling written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.

Download or read book Serendipitous Turning Chance into Possibilities written by R.C. Bhattacharya and published by Allied Publishers. This book was released on 2022-12-20 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Taking the reader on a journey of life and self-discovery, beginning from a pre-independence India across the world to the England of the ‘70s and back as India began its liberalization and growth path, the story traverses the ups and downs of an ordinary but extraordinary life. Giving us glimpses into village life in Bangladesh, India post-independence, the challenges and intricacies of industrial marketing and finally the building of an education brand that has become famous today. The author shares his story with honesty and sincerity, bringing each character to life, from uncles, aunts, bosses to friends and family. Hoping that readers, enjoy the book as much as Prof RCB, as he is fondly known, loved writing it.

Download or read book The London Edinburgh and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science written by and published by . This book was released on 1922 with total page 1216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by David F. Anderson and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 447 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classroom-tested textbook is an introduction to probability theory, with the right balance between mathematical precision, probabilistic intuition, and concrete applications. Introduction to Probability covers the material precisely, while avoiding excessive technical details. After introducing the basic vocabulary of randomness, including events, probabilities, and random variables, the text offers the reader a first glimpse of the major theorems of the subject: the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. The important probability distributions are introduced organically as they arise from applications. The discrete and continuous sides of probability are treated together to emphasize their similarities. Intended for students with a calculus background, the text teaches not only the nuts and bolts of probability theory and how to solve specific problems, but also why the methods of solution work.

Download or read book A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction written by Franz Huber and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-11-21 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction is a textbook on the mathematics of the probability calculus and its applications in philosophy. On the mathematical side, the textbook introduces these parts of logic and set theory that are needed for a precise formulation of the probability calculus. On the philosophical side, the main focus is on the problem of induction and its reception in epistemology and the philosophy of science. Particular emphasis is placed on the means-end approach to the justification of inductive inference rules. In addition, the book discusses the major interpretations of probability. These are philosophical accounts of the nature of probability that interpret the mathematical structure of the probability calculus. Besides the classical and logical interpretation, they include the interpretation of probability as chance, degree of belief, and relative frequency. The Bayesian interpretation of probability as degree of belief locates probability in a subject's mind. It raises the question why her degrees of belief ought to obey the probability calculus. In contrast to this, chance and relative frequency belong to the external world. While chance is postulated by theory, relative frequencies can be observed empirically. A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction aims to equip students with the ability to successfully carry out arguments. It begins with elementary deductive logic and uses it as basis for the material on probability and induction. Throughout the textbook results are carefully proved using the inference rules introduced at the beginning, and students are asked to solve problems in the form of 50 exercises. An instructor's manual contains the solutions to these exercises as well as suggested exam questions. The book does not presuppose any background in mathematics, although sections 10.3-10.9 on statistics are technically sophisticated and optional. The textbook is suitable for lower level undergraduate courses in philosophy and logic.

Download or read book What Do You Do with an Idea written by Kobi Yamada and published by . This book was released on 2014-02-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A young boy comes up with an idea and he keeps it safe until one day he realizes the amazing power it can have.

Download or read book Proceedings of the American Society for Psychical Research written by American Society for Psychical Research and published by . This book was released on 1889 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The American and English Encyclopaedia of Law written by David Shephard Garland and published by . This book was released on 1897 with total page 1234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: