Download or read book A Bayesian Non Parametric Dynamic AR Model for Multiple Time Series Analysis written by Luis E. Nieto-Barajas and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this article, we propose a Bayesian non-parametric model for the analysis of multiple time series. We consider an autoregressive structure of order p for each of the series and borrow strength across the series by considering a common error population that is also evolving in time. The error populations (distributions) are assumed non-parametric whose law is based on a series of dependent Polya trees with zero median. This dependence is of order q and is achieved via a dependent beta process that links the branching probabilities of the trees. We study the prior properties and show how to obtain posterior inference. The model is tested under a simulation study and is illustrated with the analysis of the economic activity index of the 32 states of Mexico.
Download or read book Dynamic Linear Models with R written by Giovanni Petris and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-12 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology. After a detailed introduction to general state space models, this book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is available online. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics or time series analysis is required, although familiarity with basic statistics and R is assumed.
Download or read book Bayesian Nonparametrics written by Nils Lid Hjort and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-04-12 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian nonparametrics works - theoretically, computationally. The theory provides highly flexible models whose complexity grows appropriately with the amount of data. Computational issues, though challenging, are no longer intractable. All that is needed is an entry point: this intelligent book is the perfect guide to what can seem a forbidding landscape. Tutorial chapters by Ghosal, Lijoi and Prünster, Teh and Jordan, and Dunson advance from theory, to basic models and hierarchical modeling, to applications and implementation, particularly in computer science and biostatistics. These are complemented by companion chapters by the editors and Griffin and Quintana, providing additional models, examining computational issues, identifying future growth areas, and giving links to related topics. This coherent text gives ready access both to underlying principles and to state-of-the-art practice. Specific examples are drawn from information retrieval, NLP, machine vision, computational biology, biostatistics, and bioinformatics.
Download or read book Advanced State Space Methods for Neural and Clinical Data written by Zhe Chen and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-10-15 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative and in-depth treatment of state space methods, with a range of applications in neural and clinical data.
Download or read book Time Series written by Raquel Prado and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-05-21 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using simulation-based methods for inference, Time Series: Modeling, Computation, and Inference integrates mainstream approaches for time series modeling with significant recent developments in methodology and applications of time series analysis. It encompasses a graduate-level account of Bayesian time series modeling and analysis, a broad range of references to state-of-the-art approaches to univariate and multivariate time series analysis, and emerging topics at research frontiers. The book presents overviews of several classes of models and related methodology for inference, statistical computation for model fitting and assessment, and forecasting. The authors also explore the connections between time- and frequency-domain approaches and develop various models and analyses using Bayesian tools, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. They illustrate the models and methods with examples and case studies from a variety of fields, including signal processing, biomedicine, and finance. Data sets, R and MATLAB® code, and other material are available on the authors’ websites. Along with core models and methods, this text offers sophisticated tools for analyzing challenging time series problems. It also demonstrates the growth of time series analysis into new application areas.
Download or read book Bayesian Time Series Models written by David Barber and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-11 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first unified treatment of time series modelling techniques spanning machine learning, statistics, engineering and computer science.
Download or read book Alternative Approaches to Time Series Analysis written by J. P. Florens and published by Facultes Universitaires Saint-Louis. This book was released on 1984 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a selection of papers presented at the third Franco-Belgian Meeting of Statisticians held in Rouen (France) on November 25-26, 1982. They reflect the diversity of approaches presently developed in the statistical analysis of Time Series. Some papers present the actual state of research on fundamental problems; others propose new approaches. The first two contributions are devoted to the analysis of time series and to prediction without strong assumptions on the distributions (qualitative harmonic analysis and non-parametric Bayesian prediction). Then various papers are concerned with problems of model selection (choice among linear models, among non-linear models, non-parametric tests, autocorrelation function...). A third group of papers investigates the statistical properties of completely specified parametric models (asymptotic Bayesian analysis, properties of ARMA models, dynamic models with limited dependent variables). The last paper is devoted to a problem in economic analysis relies on the theory of stochastic processes.
Download or read book Handbook of Mixed Membership Models and Their Applications written by Edoardo M. Airoldi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-11-06 with total page 622 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In response to scientific needs for more diverse and structured explanations of statistical data, researchers have discovered how to model individual data points as belonging to multiple groups. Handbook of Mixed Membership Models and Their Applications shows you how to use these flexible modeling tools to uncover hidden patterns in modern high-dimensional multivariate data. It explores the use of the models in various application settings, including survey data, population genetics, text analysis, image processing and annotation, and molecular biology. Through examples using real data sets, you’ll discover how to characterize complex multivariate data in: Studies involving genetic databases Patterns in the progression of diseases and disabilities Combinations of topics covered by text documents Political ideology or electorate voting patterns Heterogeneous relationships in networks, and much more The handbook spans more than 20 years of the editors’ and contributors’ statistical work in the field. Top researchers compare partial and mixed membership models, explain how to interpret mixed membership, delve into factor analysis, and describe nonparametric mixed membership models. They also present extensions of the mixed membership model for text analysis, sequence and rank data, and network data as well as semi-supervised mixed membership models.
Download or read book Time Series written by Raquel Prado and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-07-27 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: • Expanded on aspects of core model theory and methodology. • Multiple new examples and exercises. • Detailed development of dynamic factor models. • Updated discussion and connections with recent and current research frontiers.
Download or read book Bayesian Nonparametric Vector Autoregressive Models written by Maria Kalli and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are the main work-horse model for macroeconomic forecasting, and provide a framework for the analysis of complex dynamics that are present between macroeconomic variables. Whether a classical or a Bayesian approach is adopted, most VAR models are linear with Gaussian innovations. This can limit the model's ability to explain the relationships in macroeconomic series. We propose a nonparametric VAR model that allows for nonlinearity in the conditional mean, heteroscedasticity in the conditional variance, and non-Gaussian innovations. Our approach differs to that of previous studies by modelling the stationary and transition densities using Bayesian nonparametric methods. Our Bayesian nonparametric VAR (BayesNP-VAR) model is applied to US and UK macroeconomic time series, and compared to other Bayesian VAR models. We show that BayesNP-VAR is a flexible model that is able to account for nonlinear relationships as well as heteroscedas- ticity in the data. In terms of short-run out-of-sample forecasts, we show that BayesNP-VAR predictively outperforms competing models.
Download or read book Threshold Models in Non linear Time Series Analysis written by H. Tong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last two years or so, I was most fortunate in being given opportunities of lecturing on a new methodology to a variety of audiences in Britain, China, Finland, France and Spain. Despite my almost Confucian attitude of preferring talking (i.e. a transient record) to writing (i.e. a permanent record), the warm encouragement of friends has led to the ensuing notes. I am also only too conscious of the infancy of the methodology introduced in these notes. However, it is my sincere hope that exposure to a wider audience will accelerate its maturity. Readers are assumed to be familiar with the basic theory of time series analysis. The book by Professor M.B. Priestley (1981) may be used as a general reference. Chapter One is addressed to the general question: "why do we need non-linear time series models?" After describing some significant advantages of linear models, it singles out several major limitations of linearity. Of course, the selection reflects my personal view on the subject, which is only at its very beginning, although there does seem to be a general agreement in the literature that time irr'eversibility and limit cycles are among the most obvious.
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis written by Ruey S. Tsay and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-10-23 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive resource that draws a balance between theory and applications of nonlinear time series analysis Nonlinear Time Series Analysis offers an important guide to both parametric and nonparametric methods, nonlinear state-space models, and Bayesian as well as classical approaches to nonlinear time series analysis. The authors—noted experts in the field—explore the advantages and limitations of the nonlinear models and methods and review the improvements upon linear time series models. The need for this book is based on the recent developments in nonlinear time series analysis, statistical learning, dynamic systems and advanced computational methods. Parametric and nonparametric methods and nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space models provide a much wider range of tools for time series analysis. In addition, advances in computing and data collection have made available large data sets and high-frequency data. These new data make it not only feasible, but also necessary to take into consideration the nonlinearity embedded in most real-world time series. This vital guide: • Offers research developed by leading scholars of time series analysis • Presents R commands making it possible to reproduce all the analyses included in the text • Contains real-world examples throughout the book • Recommends exercises to test understanding of material presented • Includes an instructor solutions manual and companion website Written for students, researchers, and practitioners who are interested in exploring nonlinearity in time series, Nonlinear Time Series Analysis offers a comprehensive text that explores the advantages and limitations of the nonlinear models and methods and demonstrates the improvements upon linear time series models.
Download or read book Bayesian Nonparametric Learning of Complex Dynamical Phenomena written by Emily Beth Fox and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: (Cont.) In the latter part of this thesis, we consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach to this problem by harnessing the beta process to allow each time series to have infinitely many potential behaviors, while encouraging sharing of behaviors amongst the time series. For this model, we develop an efficient and exact Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference algorithm. In particular, we exploit the finite dynamical system induced by a fixed set of behaviors to efficiently compute acceptance probabilities, and reversible jump birth and death proposals to explore new behaviors. We present results on unsupervised segmentation of data from the CMU motion capture database.
Download or read book Case Studies in Bayesian Statistical Modelling and Analysis written by Clair L. Alston and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-10-10 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an accessible foundation to Bayesian analysis using real world models This book aims to present an introduction to Bayesian modelling and computation, by considering real case studies drawn from diverse fields spanning ecology, health, genetics and finance. Each chapter comprises a description of the problem, the corresponding model, the computational method, results and inferences as well as the issues that arise in the implementation of these approaches. Case Studies in Bayesian Statistical Modelling and Analysis: Illustrates how to do Bayesian analysis in a clear and concise manner using real-world problems. Each chapter focuses on a real-world problem and describes the way in which the problem may be analysed using Bayesian methods. Features approaches that can be used in a wide area of application, such as, health, the environment, genetics, information science, medicine, biology, industry and remote sensing. Case Studies in Bayesian Statistical Modelling and Analysis is aimed at statisticians, researchers and practitioners who have some expertise in statistical modelling and analysis, and some understanding of the basics of Bayesian statistics, but little experience in its application. Graduate students of statistics and biostatistics will also find this book beneficial.
Download or read book Statistical Analysis of Microbiome Data with R written by Yinglin Xia and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-10-06 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This unique book addresses the statistical modelling and analysis of microbiome data using cutting-edge R software. It includes real-world data from the authors’ research and from the public domain, and discusses the implementation of R for data analysis step by step. The data and R computer programs are publicly available, allowing readers to replicate the model development and data analysis presented in each chapter, so that these new methods can be readily applied in their own research. The book also discusses recent developments in statistical modelling and data analysis in microbiome research, as well as the latest advances in next-generation sequencing and big data in methodological development and applications. This timely book will greatly benefit all readers involved in microbiome, ecology and microarray data analyses, as well as other fields of research.
Download or read book Dynamic Data Driven Applications Systems written by Frederica Darema and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-02 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Third International Conference on Dynamic Data Driven Application Systems, DDDAS 2020, held in Boston, MA, USA, in October 2020. The 21 full papers and 14 short papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 40 submissions. They cover topics such as: digital twins; environment cognizant adaptive-planning systems; energy systems; materials systems; physics-based systems analysis; imaging methods and systems; and learning systems.
Download or read book Non Gaussian Autoregressive Type Time Series written by N. Balakrishna and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-27 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a variety of non-Gaussian autoregressive-type models to analyze time-series data. This book collects and collates most of the available models in the field and provide their probabilistic and inferential properties. This book classifies the stationary time-series models into different groups such as linear stationary models with non-Gaussian innovations, linear stationary models with non-Gaussian marginal distributions, product autoregressive models and minification models. Even though several non-Gaussian time-series models are available in the literature, most of them are focusing on the model structure and the probabilistic properties.
