Download or read book Statistical Rethinking written by Richard McElreath and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-01-03 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan builds readers’ knowledge of and confidence in statistical modeling. Reflecting the need for even minor programming in today’s model-based statistics, the book pushes readers to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that readers understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in their own modeling work. The text presents generalized linear multilevel models from a Bayesian perspective, relying on a simple logical interpretation of Bayesian probability and maximum entropy. It covers from the basics of regression to multilevel models. The author also discusses measurement error, missing data, and Gaussian process models for spatial and network autocorrelation. By using complete R code examples throughout, this book provides a practical foundation for performing statistical inference. Designed for both PhD students and seasoned professionals in the natural and social sciences, it prepares them for more advanced or specialized statistical modeling. Web Resource The book is accompanied by an R package (rethinking) that is available on the author’s website and GitHub. The two core functions (map and map2stan) of this package allow a variety of statistical models to be constructed from standard model formulas.

Download or read book Tiny Habits written by B. J. Fogg and published by Harvest. This book was released on 2020 with total page 317 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world's leading expert on habit formation shows how you can have a happier, healthier life: by starting small. Myth: Change is hard. Reality: Change can be easy if you know the simple steps of Behavior Design. Myth: It's all about willpower. Reality: Willpower is fickle and finite, and exactly the wrong way to create habits. Myth: You have to make a plan and stick to it. Reality: You transform your life by starting small and being flexible. BJ FOGG is here to change your life--and revolutionize how we think about human behavior. Based on twenty years of research and Fogg's experience coaching more than 40,000 people, Tiny Habits cracks the code of habit formation. With breakthrough discoveries in every chapter, you'll learn the simplest proven ways to transform your life. Fogg shows you how to feel good about your successes instead of bad about your failures. Whether you want to lose weight, de-stress, sleep better, or be more productive each day, Tiny Habits makes it easy to achieve. Already the habit guru to companies around the world, Fogg brings his proven method to a global audience for the first time. Whether you want to lose weight, de-stress, sleep better, or exercise more, Tiny Habits makes it easy to achieve.

Download or read book Start with Why written by Simon Sinek and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2011-12-27 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The inspirational bestseller that ignited a movement and asked us to find our WHY Discover the book that is captivating millions on TikTok and that served as the basis for one of the most popular TED Talks of all time—with more than 56 million views and counting. Over a decade ago, Simon Sinek started a movement that inspired millions to demand purpose at work, to ask what was the WHY of their organization. Since then, millions have been touched by the power of his ideas, and these ideas remain as relevant and timely as ever. START WITH WHY asks (and answers) the questions: why are some people and organizations more innovative, more influential, and more profitable than others? Why do some command greater loyalty from customers and employees alike? Even among the successful, why are so few able to repeat their success over and over? People like Martin Luther King Jr., Steve Jobs, and the Wright Brothers had little in common, but they all started with WHY. They realized that people won't truly buy into a product, service, movement, or idea until they understand the WHY behind it. START WITH WHY shows that the leaders who have had the greatest influence in the world all think, act and communicate the same way—and it's the opposite of what everyone else does. Sinek calls this powerful idea The Golden Circle, and it provides a framework upon which organizations can be built, movements can be led, and people can be inspired. And it all starts with WHY.

Download or read book The Man in the High Castle written by Philip K. Dick and published by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. This book was released on 2011 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Slavery is back. America, 1962. Having lost a war, America finds itself under Nazi Germany and Japan occupation. A few Jews still live under assumed names. The 'I Ching' is prevalent in San Francisco. Science fiction meets serious ideas in this take on a possible alternate history.

Download or read book The Gluten Free Grains Cookbook written by Quelcy Kogel and published by Page Street Publishing. This book was released on 2019-04-09 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Elevate Your Dishes with Flavorful Grains Whether you’re a strict gluten-free eater, or just looking for more variety, The Gluten-Free Grains Cookbook shares dishes that can appease everyone at the table. Quelcy’s tried and true recipes ensure that you cook with the right ingredients for the perfect meal every time. Discover grains from ancient Aztec amaranth and Ethiopian teff to buckwheat and sorghum and a myriad of ways to make them into memorable meals. Both omnivores and vegans can get behind recipes such as Friday Night Nachos or Quinoa “Fish” Fritter Tacos. Amaranth introduces nutty undertones to Smoky Tomato Cream Soup and Kimchi Pancakes. These grains, and others featured in this book, bring dimension to your cooking and help you pack more essential minerals into every delicious meal.

Download or read book Stolen written by Lucy Christopher and published by Scholastic Inc.. This book was released on 2014-01-07 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A stunning debut novel with an intriguing literary hook: written in part as a letter from a victim to her abductor. Sensitive, sharp, captivating!Gemma, 16, is on layover at Bangkok Airport, en route with her parents to a vacation in Vietnam. She steps away for just a second, to get a cup of coffee. Ty--rugged, tan, too old, oddly familiar--pays for Gemma's drink. And drugs it. They talk. Their hands touch. And before Gemma knows what's happening, Ty takes her. Steals her away. The unknowing object of a long obsession, Gemma has been kidnapped by her stalker and brought to the desolate Australian Outback. STOLEN is her gripping story of survival, of how she has to come to terms with her living nightmare--or die trying to fight it.

Download or read book The Seven Seasons of a Man s Life written by Patrick M. Morley and published by Zondervan Publishing Company. This book was released on 1997 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing on the lessons of his own life and wisdom from the Bible, Morley presents hard-won perspectives on the seven seasons of Reflection, Building, Crisis, Renewal, Rebuilding, Suffering, and Success--and in so doing, addresses men's deep longing for direction and purpose.

Download or read book Neue Cuisine The Elegant Tastes of Vienna written by Kurt Gutenbrunner and published by Rizzoli Publications. This book was released on 2011-10-11 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Known for his modern take on classic Austrian cuisine, Chef Kurt Gutenbrunner shares his favorite contemporary and traditional recipes, and the cultural heritage that has inspired him. Internationally acclaimed Austrian chef Kurt Gutenbrunner, whose New York City restaurants include Cafe Sabarsky, Wallse, and Blaue Gans, brings to the home kitchen the fascinating Viennese cafe and restaurant traditions from the fin de siecle to today. Neue Cuisine is one of the first publications to feature not only Austrian cooking but also art and design. More than 100 recipes cover Viennese specialties, such as apple strudel and Wiener Schnitzel, as well as modern dishes using fresh-from-the-market ingredients, such as pea soup with pineapple mint; spatzle with white corn, Brussels sprouts, mushrooms, and tarragon; and lobster with cherries, fava beans, and Bearnaise sauce. Photographed with period tabletop accessories and art from the Neue Galerie to capture the elegance of Vienna in 1900, these easy-to-prepare dishes are perfect for a variety of occasions.

Download or read book Motivation written by Brian Tracy and published by AMACOM Div American Mgmt Assn. This book was released on 2013 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most of your employees have all the ingredients for greatness inside them already. They simply need you to motivate them. Learn how today!

Download or read book One God One Plan One Life written by Max Lucado and published by Thomas Nelson. This book was released on 2014-01-12 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One God, One Plan, One Life by bestselling author Max Lucado is a 365-day devotional for students that focuses on teen issues, such as bullying, self-esteem, and purity, delivered in short daily devotions. One God, One Plan, One Life is an ECPA 2015 Christian Book Award finalist. Over 100,000 copies sold! With a focus on Christian faith, this devotional for teens helps them cut through life's distractions and rely on the one thing that is truly important--a relationship with God. Each devotion includes the following: An inspiring Bible verse A simple but thought-provoking devotion An application to help students put their trust in God and His plans Including a devotion for every day of the year, this guide for teens: Is for ages 13 to 18 Has a presentation page to make gift-giving easy Is a great gift for graduations, baptisms, birthdays, and coming-of-age celebrations

Download or read book Summer Hours written by Amy Mason Doan and published by Harlequin. This book was released on 2019-06-04 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Fantastic. Wistful, mysterious, sparkling with secrets. I raced through Summer Hours in a day!” —Meg Donohue, USA Today–bestselling author “A dreamy, nostalgic tale full of wisdom and heart. I love this book.” —Andrea Dunlop, author of Women are the Fiercest Creatures Five summers. A secret love. One sparkling reunion. Thirty-three-year-old Becc Reardon has tried hard to forget the all-consuming relationship that upended her life one summer in college. But when a mutual friend’s wedding means road-tripping up the California coast with a man from the past, she can’t resist one last chance at a reunion. From gorgeous beaches to quaint hotels, each stop along the way is a reminder of their memories together—the infinite nights at bonfires, the sneaky midday movie sessions. And soon enough, Becc is happily speeding beside the ocean waves with the funny, adventurous person she used to love and wondering what the future holds beyond the weekend. But when the pair unexpectedly arrive at the location of their long-ago flameout, old heartbreaks flood back, and Becc will have to decide if those dazzling hours they once shared are worth fighting for before the trip ends and they’re lost forever. This novel that spans from the mid-’90s to 2008 is about love, female coming of age, the power of nostalgia, and what happens when you realize you haven’t become the person you’d always promised to be. *Don't miss Lady Sunshine, Amy Mason Doan’s next novel that Elin Hilderbrand calls “a delicious daydream” and Laura Dave calls “a fantastic summer read.” Available now.

Download or read book Tiny Hot Dogs written by Mary Giuliani and published by Running Press Adult. This book was released on 2019-04-09 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From awkward schoolgirl to Caterer to the Stars, Mary Giuliani weaves together a collection of hilarious memories, from professional growing pains to her long journey to motherhood, never losing her sense of humor and her love for everyone's favorite party food, pigs in a blanket. Mary's utterly unremarkable childhood was everything she didn't want: hailing from a deeply loving yet overprotective Italian family in an all-Jewish enclave on Long Island. All she wanted was to fit in (be Jewish) and become famous (specifically a cast member on Saturday Night Live). With an easy, natural storytelling sensibility, Mary shares her journey from a cosseted childhood home to the stage and finally to the party, accidentally landing what she now refers to as "the breakthrough role of a lifetime" catering to a glittery list of stars she once hoped to be part of herself. Fresh, personal, and full of Mary's humorous, self-deprecating, and can-do attitude against all odds, you'll want to see where each shiny silver tray of hors d'oeuvres takes her next. You never know when the humble hot dog will be a crucial ingredient in the recipe for success, in building a business or simply making life more delicious.

Download or read book Flip Your Classroom written by Jonathan Bergmann and published by International Society for Technology in Education. This book was released on 2012-06-21 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn what a flipped classroom is and why it works, and get the information you need to flip a classroom. You’ll also learn the flipped mastery model, where students learn at their own pace, furthering opportunities for personalized education. This simple concept is easily replicable in any classroom, doesn’t cost much to implement, and helps foster self-directed learning. Once you flip, you won’t want to go back!

Download or read book Debating in the World Schools Style written by Simon Quinn and published by IDEA. This book was released on 2009 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offers students an overview of the world schools style of debating, with expert advice for every stage of the process, including preparation, rebuttal, style, reply speeches, and points of information.

Download or read book The Uninhabitable Earth written by David Wallace-Wells and published by Crown. This book was released on 2019-02-19 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: #1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • “The Uninhabitable Earth hits you like a comet, with an overflow of insanely lyrical prose about our pending Armageddon.”—Andrew Solomon, author of The Noonday Demon NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY The New Yorker • The New York Times Book Review • Time • NPR • The Economist • The Paris Review • Toronto Star • GQ • The Times Literary Supplement • The New York Public Library • Kirkus Reviews It is worse, much worse, than you think. If your anxiety about global warming is dominated by fears of sea-level rise, you are barely scratching the surface of what terrors are possible—food shortages, refugee emergencies, climate wars and economic devastation. An “epoch-defining book” (The Guardian) and “this generation’s Silent Spring” (The Washington Post), The Uninhabitable Earth is both a travelogue of the near future and a meditation on how that future will look to those living through it—the ways that warming promises to transform global politics, the meaning of technology and nature in the modern world, the sustainability of capitalism and the trajectory of human progress. The Uninhabitable Earth is also an impassioned call to action. For just as the world was brought to the brink of catastrophe within the span of a lifetime, the responsibility to avoid it now belongs to a single generation—today’s. LONGLISTED FOR THE PEN/E.O. WILSON LITERARY SCIENCE WRITING AWARD “The Uninhabitable Earth is the most terrifying book I have ever read. Its subject is climate change, and its method is scientific, but its mode is Old Testament. The book is a meticulously documented, white-knuckled tour through the cascading catastrophes that will soon engulf our warming planet.”—Farhad Manjoo, The New York Times “Riveting. . . . Some readers will find Mr. Wallace-Wells’s outline of possible futures alarmist. He is indeed alarmed. You should be, too.”—The Economist “Potent and evocative. . . . Wallace-Wells has resolved to offer something other than the standard narrative of climate change. . . . He avoids the ‘eerily banal language of climatology’ in favor of lush, rolling prose.”—Jennifer Szalai, The New York Times “The book has potential to be this generation’s Silent Spring.”—The Washington Post “The Uninhabitable Earth, which has become a best seller, taps into the underlying emotion of the day: fear. . . . I encourage people to read this book.”—Alan Weisman, The New York Review of Books

Download or read book The 5AM Club written by Robin Sharma and published by HarperCollins. This book was released on 2018-12-04 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Legendary leadership and elite performance expert Robin Sharma introduced The 5am Club concept over twenty years ago, based on a revolutionary morning routine that has helped his clients maximize their productivity, activate their best health and bulletproof their serenity in this age of overwhelming complexity. Now, in this life-changing book, handcrafted by the author over a rigorous four-year period, you will discover the early-rising habit that has helped so many accomplish epic results while upgrading their happiness, helpfulness and feelings of aliveness. Through an enchanting—and often amusing—story about two struggling strangers who meet an eccentric tycoon who becomes their secret mentor, The 5am Club will walk you through: How great geniuses, business titans and the world’s wisest people start their mornings to produce astonishing achievements A little-known formula you can use instantly to wake up early feeling inspired, focused and flooded with a fiery drive to get the most out of each day A step-by-step method to protect the quietest hours of daybreak so you have time for exercise, self-renewal and personal growth A neuroscience-based practice proven to help make it easy to rise while most people are sleeping, giving you precious time for yourself to think, express your creativity and begin the day peacefully instead of being rushed “Insider-only” tactics to defend your gifts, talents and dreams against digital distraction and trivial diversions so you enjoy fortune, influence and a magnificent impact on the world Part manifesto for mastery, part playbook for genius-grade productivity and part companion for a life lived beautifully, The 5am Club is a work that will transform your life. Forever.

Download or read book Robo Sauce written by Adam Rubin and published by National Geographic Books. This book was released on 2015-10-20 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fans of the best-selling Dragons Love Tacos will devour Adam Rubin and Daniel Salmieri’s newest story, a hilarious picture book about robots that magically transforms into a super shiny metal ROBO-BOOK. FACT: Robots are awesome. They have lasers for eyes, rockets for feet, and supercomputers for brains! Plus, robots never have to eat steamed beans or take baths, or go to bed. If only there were some sort of magical “Robo-Sauce” that turned squishy little humans into giant awesome robots… Well, now there is. Giggle at the irreverent humor, gasp at the ingenious fold-out surprise ending, and gather the whole family to enjoy a unique story about the power of imagination. It’s picture book technology the likes of which humanity has never seen!