Download or read book 20 Chance of Rain written by Richard B. Jones and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-11 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are plenty of books on specialized risk topics but few that deal with the broad diversity and daily applicability of this subject. Risk applications require a robust knowledge of many attributes of this seemingly simple subject. This book teaches the reader through examples and case studies the fundamental (and subtle) aspects of risk - regardless of the specific situation. The text allows the reader to understand the concept of risk analysis while not getting too involved in the mathematics; in this method the reader can apply these techniques across a wide range of situations. The second edition includes new examples from NASA and several other industries as well as new case studies from legal databases. The many real-life discussion topics enable the reader to form an understanding of the concepts of risk and risk management and apply them to day-to-day issues.
Download or read book Probabilities written by Peter Olofsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-06-05 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the chances? Find out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” — Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct “A delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.” — John Allen Paulos, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper “Beautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly about the uncertainty that governs our lives.” — John Haigh, University of Sussex, author of Taking Chances: Winning with Probability From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives investigates the often-surprising effects of risk and chance in our everyday lives. With examples ranging from WWII espionage to the O. J. Simpson trial, from bridge to blackjack, from Julius Caesar to Jerry Seinfeld, the reader is taught how to think straight in a world of randomness and uncertainty. Throughout the book, readers learn: Why it is not that surprising for someone to win the lottery twice How a faulty probability calculation forced an innocent woman to spend three years in prison How to place bets if you absolutely insist on gambling How a newspaper turned an opinion poll into one of the greatest election blunders in history Educational, eloquent, and entertaining, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives is the ideal companion for anyone who wants to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance.
Download or read book The Development of Thinking and Reasoning written by Pierre Barrouillet and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2013-06-26 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thinking and reasoning are key activities for human beings. In this book a distinguished set of contributors provides a wide readership with up-to-date scientific advances in the developmental psychology of thinking and reasoning, both at the theoretical and empirical levels. The first part of the book illustrates how modern approaches to the study of thinking and reasoning have gone beyond the Piagetian legacy: through the investigation of avenues previously not explored, and by demonstrating that young children have higher capacities than was assumed within the Piagetian tradition. The second part focuses upon theoretical and empirical investigations of the interplay between logic and intuition in reasoning and decision making, and how these forms of thinking evolve with age, through the general framework of what is known as dual-process theories. Contrary to Piaget’s claim, it becomes apparent that elaborate adult reasoning could rely on some form of intuition. The Development of Thinking and Reasoning provides psychologists, educators and everyone interested in child development with an integrated and up-to-date series of chapters, written by prominent specialists in the areas of thinking, reasoning, and decision making.
Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-11-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Download or read book Forum written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book written by 関野孝雄 and published by ベレ出版. This book was released on 2007-03 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 外国人のお客様のお世話をするとき、海外出張に行くことになったときに役立つ表現集。電話での応対、道案内、お客様を出迎えるとき、見送るとき、食事のとき、ミーティングの合間、電車などの移動中、など、実は一番会話に困る場面、状況で使える表現が満載。Eメール表現も収録。海外事業部、海外赴任を長年経験した著者が、実地で本当に使える英語を紹介してくれます。外国人のお客様をアテンドすることになったときに必携の1冊です。
Download or read book Illustrating Statistical Procedures Finding Meaning in Quantitative Data written by Ray W. Cooksey and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-05-14 with total page 752 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book occupies a unique position in the field of statistical analysis in the behavioural and social sciences in that it targets learners who would benefit from learning more conceptually and less computationally about statistical procedures and the software packages that can be used to implement them. This book provides a comprehensive overview of this important research skill domain with an emphasis on visual support for learning and better understanding. The primary focus is on fundamental concepts, procedures and interpretations of statistical analyses within a single broad illustrative research context. The book covers a wide range of descriptive, correlational and inferential statistical procedures as well as more advanced procedures not typically covered in introductory and intermediate statistical texts. It is an ideal reference for postgraduate students as well as for researchers seeking to broaden their conceptual exposure to what is possible in statistical analysis.
Download or read book Probability written by Robert P. Dobrow and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-10-16 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to probability at the undergraduate level Chance and randomness are encountered on a daily basis. Authored by a highly qualified professor in the field, Probability: With Applications and R delves into the theories and applications essential to obtaining a thorough understanding of probability. With real-life examples and thoughtful exercises from fields as diverse as biology, computer science, cryptology, ecology, public health, and sports, the book is accessible for a variety of readers. The book’s emphasis on simulation through the use of the popular R software language clarifies and illustrates key computational and theoretical results. Probability: With Applications and R helps readers develop problem-solving skills and delivers an appropriate mix of theory and application. The book includes: Chapters covering first principles, conditional probability, independent trials, random variables, discrete distributions, continuous probability, continuous distributions, conditional distribution, and limits An early introduction to random variables and Monte Carlo simulation and an emphasis on conditional probability, conditioning, and developing probabilistic intuition An R tutorial with example script files Many classic and historical problems of probability as well as nontraditional material, such as Benford’s law, power-law distributions, and Bayesian statistics A topics section with suitable material for projects and explorations, such as random walk on graphs, Markov chains, and Markov chain Monte Carlo Chapter-by-chapter summaries and hundreds of practical exercises Probability: With Applications and R is an ideal text for a beginning course in probability at the undergraduate level.
Download or read book Cahsee Mathematics Test written by Stephen Hearne and published by Research & Education Assoc.. This book was released on 2004-10-27 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: REA ... Real review, Real practice, Real results. REA's California CAHSEE Math Study Guide! Fully aligned with California’s core curriculum standards Are you prepared to excel on this state high-stakes assessment exam? * Passing the exam is required to receive a high school diploma * Find out what you know and what you should know * Use REA's advice and tips to ready yourself for proper study and practice Sharpen your knowledge and skills * The book's full subject review refreshes knowledge and covers all 5 subject areas on the official exam: Number Sense; Measurement and Geometry; Statistics, Data Analysis and Probability; Algebra and Functions; Algebra I * Smart and friendly lessons reinforce necessary skills * Key tutorials enhance specific abilities needed on the test * Targeted drills increase comprehension and help organize study * Color icons and graphics highlight important concepts and tasks Practice for real * Create the closest experience to test-day conditions with two full-length practice tests * Chart your progress with detailed explanations of each answer * Boost confidence with test-taking strategies and focused drills Ideal for Classroom, Family, or Solo Test Preparation! REA has helped generations of students study smart and excel on the important tests. REA’s study guides for state-required exams are teacher-recommended and written by experts who have mastered the test.
Download or read book Study Guide for Human Information Processing written by Ross Bott and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Study Guide for Human Information Processing is designed to accompany Lindsay and Norman's Human Information Processing (HIP). Problems and questions range from ones that are relatively easy to several that are somewhat difficult. This variation is intentional; the easy exercises explain and demonstrate the principles introduced in HIP, and the harder problems challenge students to apply those principles to new areas. Much of this study guide relies on the process of model building to review and expand on the principles in the text. Models will be proposed to explain experimental results. By using models the goal is to help students develop the ability to find truly significant patterns of results. This ability involves a critical attitude toward any experiment. For many of the models proposed, a joint search is conducted with students to discover the fatal flaws in the models. Students are also encouraged to propose models of their own, and to design experiments to test them
Download or read book Essentials of Applied Quantitative Methods for Health Services written by James Lewis and published by Jones & Bartlett Learning. This book was released on 2011 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essentials of Applied Quantitative Methods for Health Services Management shows students how to use statistics in all aspects of health care administration. Offering careful, step-by-step instructions for calculations using Microsoft Excel, this hands-on resource begins with basic foundational competencies in statistics, and then walks the reader through forecasting, designing and analyzing systems, and project analysis. The text stresses the application of concepts, models, and techniques and provides problems involving all of the methods. It is intended to build a student management and planning tools repertoire. Ideal for junior and seniors in baccalaureate level health administration programs as well as first year graduate students in non-MBA health administration programs, this book requires limited previous knowledge of statistics; its mathematical dimension is equal to basic high school algebra.
Download or read book Joe and the Agenda written by Terri M. Sanders and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2022-12-29 with total page 554 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If someone suggested this scenario to me ten years ago, I would have done little more than raise an eyebrow. That is no longer the case. I don’t consider myself an alarmist. The fact is, however, that more and more groups and organizations openly show bigotry toward the Christian faith every year. There’s a notable increase in lawsuits over prayer in schools. Christian business owners that promote conservative views can face devastating retaliation from anti-Christian groups. These groups often march and demonstrate and protest, and they certainly have a right to be heard. The concern I have, however, is about the possibility that something more sinister may evolve. Perhaps the people to watch more closely are the individuals that are not marching and not protesting. Many terrorists are not so easily recognized. Any one of the hundreds of anti-Christian hate groups in this country could have members that quietly go rogue, at any time, targeting Christians and other religious groups with their hidden agenda. This story is of one such hate group who has managed to infiltrate a police department in a Texas town. The year is 1991, and the fuse of intolerance has been lit. Joe Conti and his family have been added to the list of targeted Christians, along with a number of Christian police officers, in the Windbluff Police Department, in northeast Texas. They quickly find the battle is quite impossible to win without divine intervention. This book is a work of fiction. None of the characters are real; however, some people in this book were inspired by real characters I have known.
Download or read book Statistics in Engineering written by Andrew Metcalfe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1994-07-01 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistics in Engineering provides a succinct introduction to statistics. The ideas are introduced with examples set in their practical context. The underlying mathematics are given in an informal way and are included for those who find that mathematical justification helps their understanding of concepts, and for anyone who needs to take the subject further The author indicates sections that can be omitted without any loss of continuity. The book is kept as simple as possible, and assumes only some familiarity with elementary calculus and matrices. The first seven chapters of the book cover a typical 40-hour statistics module taken by engineering or science students who are beginning the subject. This includes the basic ideas, relationships between variables, and the design and analysis of experiments. The final chapter looks at some important engineering situations that are not fully covered by the methods of the preceding chapters.
Download or read book Choosing Safety written by Michael V. Dr Frank and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2010-09-30 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The technological age has seen a range of catastrophic and preventable failures, often as a result of decisions that did not appropriately consider safety as a factor in design and engineering. Through more than a dozen practical examples from the author‘s experience in nuclear power, aerospace, and other potentially hazardous facilities, Choosing Safety is the first book to bring together probabilistic risk assessment and decision analysis using real case studies. For managers, project leaders, engineers, scientists, and interested students, Michael V. Frank focuses on methods for making logical decisions about complex engineered systems and products in which safety is a key factor in design - and where failure can cause great harm, injury, or death.
Download or read book Modern Probability Theory written by B. Ramdas Bhat and published by New Age International. This book was released on 2007 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Book Continues To Cover The Syllabus Of A One-Year Course On Probability Theory. The Rigorous Axiomatic Approach Continues To Be Followed. For Those Who Plan To Apply Probability Models In Their Chosen Areas The Book Will Provide The Necessary Foundation. For Those Who Want To Proceed To Work In The Area Of Stochastic Processes, The Present Work Will Provide The Necessary Preliminary Background. It Can Be Used By Probabilists, Statisticians And Mathematicians. In The Present Revised Edition Many Concepts Have Been Elaborated. Clarifications Are Given For A Number Of Steps In The Proofs Of Results Derived. Additional Examples And Problems Are Given At The End Of Different Chapters. An Additional Preliminary Chapter Has Been Added So That Students Can Recapitulate The Topics Normally Covered In The Undergraduate Courses. It Also Forms The Foundation For Topics Covered In The Remaining Chapters. The Third Edition Incorporates The Suggestions For Improvements Received By The Author When The Earlier Editions Were In Circulation. With The Additional Features And Most Of The Errors Weeded Out, The Book Is Hoped To Become More Useful In The Hands Of Students And Teachers.
Download or read book Benefit Cost Analysis written by Harry F. Campbell and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-06-16 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Benefit-Cost Analysis offers the perfect introduction to benefit–cost analysis. The book closely integrates the theory and practice of benefit–cost analysis using a spreadsheet framework. The spreadsheet model is constructed in a truly original way which contributes to transparency, provides a check on the accuracy of the analysis, and facilitates sensitivity, risk and alternative scenario assessment. A case study incorporating the various issues is progressively developed on a spreadsheet with the links between each stage thoroughly explained. The complete case study spreadsheet can serve as a template for the reader's own appraisal of projects in the field. In addition to the worked examples in the text some exercises are appended at the end of each chapter. For further information please visit http://www.uq.edu.au/economics/bca
